CFL Betting Recap - Week 17
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 17
Underdogs went 2-1-1 ATS in Week 17
Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 17
Road teams posted a 3-0-1 ATS record in Week 17
The under went 3-1 in Week 17
Team Betting Notes
Calgary (13-2) continues to roll right along. They have won seven of their eight road games, and they are 7-1 ATS away from home.
Hamilton (7-8) started the season with a 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS through the first seven games, but they're 6-2 SU over the past eight games. The 'under has also been a frequent happening for the TiCats, going 5-1 over the past six games.
While Toronto (6-9) has won three of the past four games, but they have failed to cover in three straight after their 20-12 setback to Montreal (7-8).
The Alouettes have caught fire in the second half of the season. After starting out a dismal 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in the first eight games, Montreal is 6-1 SU/ATS over the past seven games to vault into first place in the East. Defense has been a huge part of their success, allowing just 43 total points over the past four games, with the 'under' cashing in three of those outings.
Edmonton (11-5) can't catch Calgary in the West Division, but they are going to the playoffs. The Eskimos have ripped off six consecutive covers, too.
Ottawa (2-13) has struggled to pick up victories and post points, but their defense has kept them in games. While Ottawa has scored 10 or fewer points in seven of the past nine games, but they have given up 20 or fewer in five of the past seven. There is still betting value with the RedBlacks, who are 4-2 ATS over the past six games, and the 'under' is 7-2 over the past nine.
Stop if you've heard this before...another week, another loss for Winnipeg (6-10). They started out 5-1 SU/ATS over the first six games, but they're now 1-9 SU and they have failed to cover each of their past six.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
There are just three weeks left in the CFL regular season and while Calgary has already clinched the West Division, the race to the division title in the East is probably going to be a three-team battle to the bitter end.
Last week in the CFL, Hamilton got things started with Friday’s 16-6 victory against Ottawa as a 12-point home favorite. The total stayed well UNDER the 45-point closing line. Montreal got a leg-up on Toronto in key showdown in the East with a 20-12 victory as a five-point road underdog in a game where the total also stayed UNDER on a closing line of 51.
The other two games last week saw the Stampeders clinch the West with a 33-23 win over Winnipeg. That contest ended as a PUSH with Calgary favored by 10 points on the road. The total went OVER the 48½-point closing line. This past Sunday, Edmonton got past Saskatchewan 24-19 as a 4 ½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48½-point line.
Friday, Oct. 24
Montreal (7-8 SU, 8-7 ATS) at Ottawa (2-13 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -7
Total: 44
Game Overview
Montreal could have easily been given-up for dead after posting a dismal 1-7 straight-up record in its first eight games, but the Alouettes have turned things around down the stretch with a current SU winning streak of four games. They are also 4-0 against the spread and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the four games. They have outscored their opponents 106-43 during this run.
The RedBlacks will be happy to see their inaugural season in the CFL come to an end after posting just two SU wins in their first 15 games. You have to give this expansion team credit for showing up each week and, after covering against the Tiger-Cats last week, Ottawa is now 4-2 ATS in its last six games.
Betting Trends
Montreal has won the two previous meetings this season both SU and ATS starting with a 20-10 win at home as a five-point favorite in Week 10 followed by a 15-7 victory as 2½-point road favorites at the end of September. The total stayed UNDER in both games
Saskatchewan (9-7 SU, 6-10 ATS) at Calgary (13-2 SU, 10-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -10
Total: 46½
Game Overview
It has been a really rough go of it for Saskatchewan ever since quarterback Darian Durant was lost for the season due to injury. The team’s nine SU wins are good enough to have already clinched a spot in this year’s Grey Cup Playoffs, but given the fact that the Roughriders have just one SU win in their last six games with a 0-6 record ATS, their stay in the postseason will most likely be short lived. This offense has scored a grand total of just 52 points in its last four games (all losses both SU and ATS).
With the division clinched, you might see Calgary take its foot off the gas these last three weeks, but be careful if you are going to bet on it. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 258 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s win over Winnipeg and Jon Cornish racked-up a 160 yards and a score on the ground in 21 rushing attempts.
Betting Trends
The Roughriders have lost six of their last seven road games against Calgary SU and they are 3-10 SU in this series in the last 13 games overall. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings.
Saturday, October 25
Hamilton (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) at Toronto (6-9 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -3
Total: 53
Game Overview
Hamilton’s win last Friday kept it tied with Montreal for the lead in the East and it brings a 5-1 SU (3-3 ATS) record in its last six games into this huge East Division clash. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of its last nine games. The Tiger-Cats have scored just one point more (330) than they have allowed this season (329).
The Argonauts stunning loss to Montreal as favorites last week snapped a three-game SU winning streak and they have failed to cover in their last three outings. Toronto, under quarterback Ricky Ray, had averaged 35 points a game in their previous four outings before putting up just 12 points in last week’s loss.
Betting Trends
Hamilton comes into this matchup with a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings, but it has lost five of its last seven road games SU against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Toronto.
British Columbia (8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-10 SU, 7-8-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -6
Total: 45½
Game Overview
BC is another team in the West that has faded down the stretch. It did crush Ottawa 41-3 as a 10-point home favorite before heading into last week’s bye. This victory did snap a three-game skid, but the Lions are well aware of the fact that they cannot afford any more losses to keep their playoff hopes alive. Defensively, BC is still ranked first in the CFL in average points allowed (18.1).
The dive has been deep and severe for a Winnipeg team that started the season 5-1 SU in its first six games. The Blue Bombers current SU losing streak stands at seven games and during this slide they have gone a costly 1-5-1 ATS. The offense has scored 23 points or less in five of the seven games and Winnipeg’s defense has allowed 30 points or more in five games as well.
Betting Trends
BC has a 6-1 SU edge in its last seven games against the Blue Bombers and it is 6-2 SU in its last eight road games against Winnipeg. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings including both games this season.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
There are just three weeks left in the CFL regular season and while Calgary has already clinched the West Division, the race to the division title in the East is probably going to be a three-team battle to the bitter end.
Last week in the CFL, Hamilton got things started with Friday’s 16-6 victory against Ottawa as a 12-point home favorite. The total stayed well UNDER the 45-point closing line. Montreal got a leg-up on Toronto in key showdown in the East with a 20-12 victory as a five-point road underdog in a game where the total also stayed UNDER on a closing line of 51.
The other two games last week saw the Stampeders clinch the West with a 33-23 win over Winnipeg. That contest ended as a PUSH with Calgary favored by 10 points on the road. The total went OVER the 48½-point closing line. This past Sunday, Edmonton got past Saskatchewan 24-19 as a 4 ½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48½-point line.
Friday, Oct. 24
Montreal (7-8 SU, 8-7 ATS) at Ottawa (2-13 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -7
Total: 44
Game Overview
Montreal could have easily been given-up for dead after posting a dismal 1-7 straight-up record in its first eight games, but the Alouettes have turned things around down the stretch with a current SU winning streak of four games. They are also 4-0 against the spread and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the four games. They have outscored their opponents 106-43 during this run.
The RedBlacks will be happy to see their inaugural season in the CFL come to an end after posting just two SU wins in their first 15 games. You have to give this expansion team credit for showing up each week and, after covering against the Tiger-Cats last week, Ottawa is now 4-2 ATS in its last six games.
Betting Trends
Montreal has won the two previous meetings this season both SU and ATS starting with a 20-10 win at home as a five-point favorite in Week 10 followed by a 15-7 victory as 2½-point road favorites at the end of September. The total stayed UNDER in both games
Saskatchewan (9-7 SU, 6-10 ATS) at Calgary (13-2 SU, 10-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -10
Total: 46½
Game Overview
It has been a really rough go of it for Saskatchewan ever since quarterback Darian Durant was lost for the season due to injury. The team’s nine SU wins are good enough to have already clinched a spot in this year’s Grey Cup Playoffs, but given the fact that the Roughriders have just one SU win in their last six games with a 0-6 record ATS, their stay in the postseason will most likely be short lived. This offense has scored a grand total of just 52 points in its last four games (all losses both SU and ATS).
With the division clinched, you might see Calgary take its foot off the gas these last three weeks, but be careful if you are going to bet on it. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 258 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s win over Winnipeg and Jon Cornish racked-up a 160 yards and a score on the ground in 21 rushing attempts.
Betting Trends
The Roughriders have lost six of their last seven road games against Calgary SU and they are 3-10 SU in this series in the last 13 games overall. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings.
Saturday, October 25
Hamilton (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) at Toronto (6-9 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -3
Total: 53
Game Overview
Hamilton’s win last Friday kept it tied with Montreal for the lead in the East and it brings a 5-1 SU (3-3 ATS) record in its last six games into this huge East Division clash. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of its last nine games. The Tiger-Cats have scored just one point more (330) than they have allowed this season (329).
The Argonauts stunning loss to Montreal as favorites last week snapped a three-game SU winning streak and they have failed to cover in their last three outings. Toronto, under quarterback Ricky Ray, had averaged 35 points a game in their previous four outings before putting up just 12 points in last week’s loss.
Betting Trends
Hamilton comes into this matchup with a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings, but it has lost five of its last seven road games SU against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Toronto.
British Columbia (8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-10 SU, 7-8-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -6
Total: 45½
Game Overview
BC is another team in the West that has faded down the stretch. It did crush Ottawa 41-3 as a 10-point home favorite before heading into last week’s bye. This victory did snap a three-game skid, but the Lions are well aware of the fact that they cannot afford any more losses to keep their playoff hopes alive. Defensively, BC is still ranked first in the CFL in average points allowed (18.1).
The dive has been deep and severe for a Winnipeg team that started the season 5-1 SU in its first six games. The Blue Bombers current SU losing streak stands at seven games and during this slide they have gone a costly 1-5-1 ATS. The offense has scored 23 points or less in five of the seven games and Winnipeg’s defense has allowed 30 points or more in five games as well.
Betting Trends
BC has a 6-1 SU edge in its last seven games against the Blue Bombers and it is 6-2 SU in its last eight road games against Winnipeg. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings including both games this season.
MONTREAL (7 - 8) at OTTAWA (2 - 13) - 10/24/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
MONTREAL is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 2-0 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 7) at CALGARY (13 - 2) - 10/24/2014, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-79 ATS (+28.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 104-70 ATS (+27.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HAMILTON (7 - 8) at TORONTO (6 - 9) - 10/25/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-5 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-5 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (8 - 7) at WINNIPEG (6 - 10) - 10/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Montreal's last 19 games
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hamilton's last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home
CFL Week 18 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com
The race for first place in the CFL's East division will continue this week as the Toronto Argonauts play host to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and the Montreal Alouettes look for another win over the Ottawa RedBlacks. Here's a look at this week's CFL betting slate.
Find all of this week's CFL betting lines plus updated Grey Cup futures at Bovada.
Montreal at Ottawa
Last 10 Meetings: Ottawa 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS | OU 0-2
The Ottawa RedBlacks will try for a third time to pick up a victory over the Montreal Alouettes when those teams hit the gridiron together on Friday night. The RedBlacks fell in Montreal 20-10 as a 4.5-point underdog on August 29, then lost 15-7 at home to the Alouettes as a 1.5-point underdog on September 26. Both of those matchups turned out to be easy UNDER results for totals bettors on the CFL betting lines at the sportsbooks.
Saskatchewan at Calgary
Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 7-3 SU, 4-5-1 ATS | OU 6-4
The Calgary Stampeders are already 1-0 both SU and ATS against the Saskatchewan Roughriders this season as those Western teams meet again on Friday night. The Stampeders topped the Roughriders 31-24 as a 6-point road favorite in the first meeting of the season between the two teams on October 3 in an OVER result. Overall the Stampeders are 4-2 SU but just 2-3-1 ATS in their last half-dozen games against the Roughriders dating back to 2012.
Hamilton at Toronto
Last 10 Meetings: Toronto 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 7-3
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats will be out for revenge on Saturday afternoon as they try to make up for a slim loss to the Toronto Argonauts in their most recent game against their provincial rival. The Argonauts edged the Tiger-Cats 34-33 but failed to cover the 4-point spread on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks when the teams last met on October 10. That made Toronto just 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last five games against Hamilton, with the OVER/UNDER going 2-3 in those matchups.
B.C. at Winnipeg
Last 10 Meetings: Winnipeg 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 3-7
The UNDER has paid out for totals bettors in both games between the B.C. Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers so far this season as those two teams meet once again on Saturday night. Winnipeg topped B.C. 23-6 as an 8-point road underdog in their first meeting of the season on July 25, but the Lions turned the tables on September 13 with a 26-9 home victory as a 7.5-point favorite. The Blue Bombers are just 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS in the last seven games between the two teams.
StatFox Super Situations
HAMILTON at TORONTO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season 35-9 since 1997. ( 79.5% | 25.1 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )
MONTREAL at OTTAWA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off a loss against a division rival 31-7 since 1997. ( 81.6% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
HAMILTON at TORONTO
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (HAMILTON) in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents), after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game 27-5 since 1997. ( 84.4% | 21.5 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
CFL Week 18
Montreal (7-8) @ Ottawa (2-13) — Alouettes have caught fire behind former Tennessee QB Crompton, winning four in row, six of last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’ve beaten Ottawa twice this year, 20-10 (-5) at home in Week 10, running for 183 yards, then 15-7 (-2.5) here three weeks ago, a game where RedBlacks outgained Als by 65 yards. Montreal won last two road games by 8 points each, after losing first five on foreign soil. Ottawa lost 45-13/41-3 last two weeks, both on road; they’re 2-5 SU at home, 3-4 as home underdog, with three of five losses by 8+ points. Six of last nine Ottawa games, three of last four Montreal games stayed under total.
Hamilton (7-8) @ Toronto (6-9) — Teams split pair of 1-point decisions this year, with home side winning both; Argos’ 34-33 win (-3.5) two weeks ago not only snapped TiCats’ 5-game win streak, it also ended their 4-game win streak over Toronto. Hamilton lost five of last seven visits here; they’ve won six of last seven games overall, but are 1-6 SU on road, with only win 16-11 at struggling Winnipeg four weeks ago. Argonauts are playing 4th straight home game; they’ve won three of last four games, are 4-3 SU at home, 1-3 vs spread when favored. Four of last five Toronto games went over total.
Saskatchewan (9-7) @ Calgary (13-2) — Roughriders lost four in row, five of last six games (0-6 vs spread), losing last three road games by combined score of 92-12; they lost 31-24 (+6) at home in only meeting vs Calgary this season two weeks ago, turning ball over three times (-2) in game where Riders outgained Stamps by 101 yards. Calgary is 7-2-1 vs spread in its last 10 games (9-1 SU), winning last four home games by 21-15-7-7 points; they’re 4-3 as home favorites this year. Saskatchewan is 1-3 as a road dog; they’ve lost five of last six visits here, but lone win was in LY’s playoffs, 35-13 (+4). Four of last six Calgary games went over total.
BCLions (8-7) @ Winnipeg (6-10) — Bombers lost last seven games (1-5-1 vs spread), with last three losses all by 10+ points; they split pair of games with BC in Vancouver this year, winning 23-6 (+8.5) in Week 5, losing 29-7 (+7) five weeks ago, when Lions ran ball for 163 yards. Lions snapped 3-game skid with 41-3 win over expansion Ottawa last week; they lost last two away games, scoring total of 31 points in last four road tilts. Winnipeg lost three in row, five of last six home games; they haven’t led at halftime since Week 7 vs Saskatchewan- they were outscored 53-6 in first half of last two games. Seven of last eight BC games stayed under the total.
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