CFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Week 18 from various handicappers and websites
CFL Betting Recap - Week 17
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 17
Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 17
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 17
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 17
The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 17
Analysis
Road teams continue to dominate in the Canadian Football League, posting a 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS mark over the past three weekends. After a clean sweep last week it was a split down the middle. Surprisingly, Calgary (13-1-1) had its hands full with Hamilton (4-11), a team which has been rather pesky lately. The Stampeders were able to pull out the 28-25 win at Tim Horton's Stadium, but it took a game-winning field goal at the end of regulation to win it. Hamilton actually held an 18-17 lead with 7:39 to play.
Ottawa (7-9-1) supplanted Toronto (7-9) at the top of the East Division standings by winning their game in Saskatchewan (8-7), 33-32 in the highest-scoring game on the board. The RedBlacks have won back-to-back games, and they have covered three in a row heading into their regular-season finale on Oct. 27 against the Ti-Cats. They'll have two weeks to prepare. The two sides have split the previous two meetings season, with both teams winning on each other's home field.
After a six-week freefall, Edmonton (9-6) has finally pulled the rip cord. They buried Montreal (10-4) last week, now they toppled the Argos by a 30-27 count. While the Esks are playing better over the past two games, averaging 36.0 PPG, they're still just 1-3 ATS over the past four outings, and 2-6 ATS over the past eight.
Team Betting Notes
BC Lions (6-9) has had a tale of two seasons, that's for sure. They started out 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS through five games, and they were a respectable 5-2 SU as recently as Aug. 5. However, the Lions have dropped seven of the past eight outings while going 1-7 ATS during the span, falling into the basement of the ultra-competitive West Division.
The Stamps haven't covered back-to-back games since a 6-0 ATS run from July 22-Sept. 4. They failed to cover as 9 1/2-point favorites on the road against the Ti-Cats after covering last week against the Alouettes. They'll be looking to bounce back Friday against the Roughriders, a team they just edged 15-9 on Sept. 24 in Regina. They're 2-0/1-0-1 ATS in the two previous meetings this season with the 'under' cashing in both.
The Riders had an 'over' result in their narrow loss to the RedBlacks, snapping a four-game 'under' streak. Their 33 points allowed were the second most they have given up in the past 13 games, and third-most points allowed this season. Their 32-point output on offense was the most since a 38-point effort bak on Sept. 3.
The Ti-Cats might not be winning many games again, but they're certainly much more competitive. They have alternated wins and losses over the past six outings, but they're an impressive 5-2 ATS over the past seven games after starting out a dismal 2-6 ATS over their first eight showings.
The Argos dropped a 30-27 decision in Edmonton, but it was another cover and 'over' result. The under hit in eight of their first 11 games, but the over has hit in four of their past five. Toronto is also an impressive 4-1 ATS over the past five outings after going 3-8 ATS across their first 11 contests.
SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 7) at CALGARY (13 - 1 - 1) - 10/20/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 132-97 ATS (+25.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-0 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG (11 - 4) at TORONTO (7 - 9) - 10/21/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON (9 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 9) - 10/21/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus division opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON (4 - 11) at MONTREAL (3 - 12) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN @ CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
WINNIPEG @ TORONTO
Winnipeg is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
EDMONTON @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
HAMILTON @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
SASKATCHEWAN @ CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
WINNIPEG @ TORONTO
Winnipeg is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 14 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
EDMONTON @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
HAMILTON @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
By David Schwab
Vegasinsider.com
Last weekend in the CFL, the favorites once again took it on the chin against the spread starting with Calgary’s close call in a tight 28-25 road victory against Hamilton as a heavy 9½-point favorite. In last Friday’s other action, Ottawa beat Saskatchewan outright as a 3½-point road underdog in a wild 33-32 victory.
Saturday’s doubleheader started with Winnipeg covering by the thinnest of margins in a 26-20 victory as a 5½-point home favorite against British Columbia. Edmonton closed things out by upending Toronto 30-27, but it could not cover as a seven-point favorite at home.
Friday, Oct. 20
Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-1-1 SU, 9-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9½
Total: 51
Game Overview
Saskatchewan is still in the driver seat for a spot in the postseason despite its last-second loss to Ottawa, but its margin for error to actually clinch one is a bit tighter heading into a tough road game this week. Kevin Glenn looked sharp in that game with 387 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 74.4 percent of his 39 attempts, but he was also picked off twice. Duron Carter hauled in 11 receptions for 231 yards in a losing cause.
The Stampeders kept their SU winning streak alive, but getting that 11th-straight victory was much harder than expected. This was just the second time in their last seven games that they failed to cover the spread in what has been another dominating performance in the regular season. Bo Levi Mitchell is one of the top quarterbacks in the CFL, but he struggled against the Tiger-Cats his last time out with completion percentage of just 55.9 on his 34 passing attempts.
Betting Trends
Calgary extended its current SU winning streak to eight games in this division clash with a hard-fought 15-9 victory as a 5½-point road favorite on Sept. 24. The Stampeders have covered in the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER in all five games.
Saturday, Oct. 21
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-4 SU, 11-4 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 56
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers are holding down the second seed in the West Division heading into their final three games and they remain one of the most prolific scoring teams in the league with an average of 31.7 points per game. That average has dropped significantly over the last two games with a combined 39 points. One injury note, wide receiver Darvin Adams left last week’s game with an arm injury and he will be out indefinitely.
Toronto is still sporting a losing record and coming off back-to-back losses to Saskatchewan at home and Edmonton on the road, but its overall record is still good enough to clinch a playoff spot in the East. The Argonauts can still win the division with a win and an Ottawa loss. While its defense has been suspect all season long with a points-allowed average of 25.9, quarterback Ricky Ray has led Toronto’s offense to a scoring average of 25.8 points.
Betting Trends
Winnipeg has won the last three meetings both SU and ATS including a 33-25 victory earlier this season as a three-point home favorite. The total has gone OVER in all three games.
Edmonton Eskimos (9-6 SU, 5-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (6-9 SU, 5-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -2½
Total: 55
Game Overview
Edmonton’s roller coaster ride is headed back up the hill with back-to-back victories against Montreal on the road and Toronto at home. This followed a SU six-game losing streak which followed seven wins in a row to start the season. It all adds up to a spot in the playoffs, but the Eskimos’ record ATS is still a costly 3-7 over their last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight outings.
The Lions desperately need a win on Saturday to keep their fading postseason plans intact. This could be a tall task considering that they have only posted one game in the win column both SU and ATS in their last eight contests. The average margin of victory in BC’s last four games has been 6.5 points, but it has been on the losing end each time.
Betting Trends
Edmonton won both meetings earlier this season SU and ATS to extend its SU edge to 5-1 in the last six matchups. The Eskimos are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings with the total staying UNDER in three of those games.
Sunday, Oct. 22
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-11 SU, 7-8 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-12 SU, 4-11 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2½
Total: 51
Game Overview
Give credit to the Tiger-Cats for putting forth a solid effort down the stretch. After losing their first eight games of the season SU, they have gone 4-3 SU over their last seven games. While it is still a case of too little, too late this team is still in position to play the role of spoiler with a road game against Ottawa sandwiched in between this home-and home series against Montreal to close out the year.
The Alouettes have been riding out the string for quite some time now and coming off last week’s bye they are still in the midst of an eight-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Early in the year defense was a strong suit for Montreal, but this unit has been torched for at least 29 points in all eight of those recent losses. On the year, it is allowing an average of 31.3 points per game.
Betting Trends
This will be the first meeting this season and coming into this East Division tilt the road team has won four of the last five meetings SU while going a perfect 5-0 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings.
CFL Week 18
Saskatchewan (8-7) @ Calgary (13-1-1) — Calgary won its last 11 games (9-2 vs spread); they struggled to win at Hamilton LW (28-25) after winning first matchup 60-1. Stampeders are 8-0 in last eight series games, beating Roughriders 27-10/15-9 this season. Riders lost last four visits to Calgary, by 13-23-20-17 points- last four series games stayed under the total. Saskatchewan split its last six games; they’re 3-3 vs spread as road underdogs this season- four of their last five games stayed under. Under is 5-3 in Calgary’s last eight games.
Winnipeg (11-4) @ Toronto (6-9) — Blue Bombers won last three series games, by 17-17-8 points; they beat Argonauts 33-25 (-3) at home in first meeting July 13. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Bombers’ win here LY was their first in last five visits to Toronto. Winnipeg is 9-2 in its last 11 games, 5-1 vs spread in its last six on road- their last four games stayed under the total. Bombers are 3-1 as road underdogs this year. Argonauts lost last two games but covered four of last five; they’re 5-3 SU at home, 3-2 as a home favorite.
Edmonton (9-6) @ BCLions (6-9) — Eskimos won five of last six games with BC, beating Lions 30-27 (+4.5), 37-26 (-2.5) in two meetings this year. Teams split last four series games played here. Edmonton beat Montreal/Toronto in its last two games after a 6-game skid; they’re 4-3 SU on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Over is 10-3 in their last thirteen games. Lions lost four in row, 7 of last 8 games; their last three losses were by total of 10 points. BC is 3-4 at home, losing last two home tilts to Hamilton/Ottawa. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
Hamilton (4-11) @ Montreal (3-12) — Spunky Ti-Cats are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games, losing tough 28-25 game to Calgary LW. Hamilton won 3 of last 4 series games, winning 23-11, 31-7 in last two visits here. Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games. Ti-Cats are 4-3 in last seven games after an 0-8 start; they covered their last four road games. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Alouettes are in the tank, losing their last eight games (0-8 vs spread); Montreal lost its last four home games, by 8-28-18-18 points. Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Amadillosports.com
StatFox Super Situations
WINNIPEG at TORONTO
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) off a non-conference game 45-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.9% | 31.8 units ) 10-3 this year. ( 76.9% | 6.7 units )
EDMONTON at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game 34-5 since 1997. ( 87.2% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
EDMONTON at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses, when playing on a Saturday 36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
StatFox Super Situations
WINNIPEG at TORONTO
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) off a non-conference game 45-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.9% | 31.8 units ) 10-3 this year. ( 76.9% | 6.7 units )
EDMONTON at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game 34-5 since 1997. ( 87.2% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
EDMONTON at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses, when playing on a Saturday 36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )