CFL Betting Recap - Week 18
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 4-0 straight up in Week 18
Favorites/underdogs went 1-1-2 ATS in Week 18
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 18
Home/road teams posted a 1-1-2 ATS record in Week 18
The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 18
Team Betting Notes
Calgary (14-2) is showing no signs of taking their foot off the gas peddle, pounding Saskatchewan (9-8) by a 40-27 score. The Stampeders are 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS over the past 11 games.
The defending champion Roughriders have fallen on hard times, losing five in a row. They have also failed to cover in seven consecutive games.
Hamilton (7-9) has fallen a full game out of first place in the East Division, and into a tie with Toronto (7-9) following the Argonauts 26-24 win over the TiCats.
The Argos have won four of the past five, although they are 0-4 ATS over the past four games. They'll travel to Montreal (8-8) next Sunday. In two previous meetings this season, the home team is 2-0 SU/ATS.
Another week, another loss for Ottawa (2-14). However, they are still a respectable 4-2-1 ATS over the past seven. A better trend involving the RedBlacks is the 'under', which is 3-0 in the past three, and 8-2 over the past 10.
BC Lions (9-7) is trying to rescue its season in the final months. They have won back-to-back games, and travel to Edmonton (11-5) next weekend. The Lions and Esks haven't met since June 28 in Week 1, when Edmonton won 27-20 in BC.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
With just two weeks remaining in the CFL regular season, four of the six spots for this year’s Grey Cup Playoffs have been claimed and they all belong to teams in the West Division.
Montreal helped its cause to lock-up a spot in the East Division with last Friday’s 23-17 victory against Ottawa in a game that ended as a PUSH with the Alouettes favored by six points on the road. The total stayed UNDER the closing 43-point line. Friday’s other game ended with Calgary rolling over Saskatchewan 40-27 as a 10½-point home favorite to notch its 14th straight-up win of the year. The total in that contest went OVER the 48-point closing line.
This past Saturday’s CFL double-header started with Toronto securing a 26-24 victory against Hamilton in that huge East Division clash. The Argonauts could not cover the three points at home and the total stayed just UNDER the 51½-point line. Week 18 closed things out with British Columbia earning a playoff berth with a 28-23 victory over Winnipeg as a 4½-point road favorite. The total this time around went OVER the closing 45½-point line.
Friday, Oct. 31
Hamilton (7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS at Ottawa (2-14 SU, 6-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7½
Total: 44½
Game Overview
Hamilton is faced with a must-win situation this Friday night to stay in the hunt for a playoff spot in the East. It comes into this game 5-2 SU in its last seven games with a 4-3 record ATS. Last week against Toronto, Tiger-Cats quarterback Zach Collaros threw for 335 yards and three touchdowns in the losing cause, but the offense managed to gain just 12 yards on the ground.
The RedBlacks know that the end is finally in sight for their long and painful inaugural season in the CFL. While they only have two SU wins on the year, you have to give credit to Ottawa for remaining competitive down the stretch to post a 4-2-1 record ATS in their last seven games. Veteran quarterback Henry Burris is ranked fourth in the CFL this season in passing yards with 3.412.
Betting Trends
Hamilton won both of the previous meetings this season SU, but the series is split 1-1 ATS after the RedBlacks covered as 12-point road underdogs in a 16-6 loss on Oct. 17. The total has also been split 1-1.
Saturday, Nov. 1
Winnipeg (6-11 SU, 7-9-1 ATS) at Calgary (14-2 SU, 11-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -11
Total: 48
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers have fallen off the map over the second half of the season with an eight-game SU losing streak and a costly 0-6-1 record ATS in their last seven games. Mercifully for this team, this will be its last game of the season with a bye in Week 20. Winnipeg has allowed an average of 27.5 points a game, which is ranked dead-last in the CFL.
The big question for this game is will Calgary start resting players this week with nothing left to gain heading into the playoffs? Bo Levi Mitchell got the start last Friday and went on to complete 21-of-31 attempts for 231 yards and a score in a dramatic come-from-behind win. Running back Jon Cornish did not play after torching Winnipeg for 160 yards on the ground in a 33-23 win in Week 17.
Betting Trends
Calgary has won the last five meetings at home SU and it is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home against Winnipeg. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings at McMahon Stadium.
British Columbia (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS) at Edmonton (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -5
Total: 49
Game Overview
With last week’s win both SU and ATS, the Lions have covered against the spread in their last three outings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Coming into this potential preview of a first round pairing in the West Division playoffs, BC’s defense is ranked first in the CFL in points allowed (18.4). This unit has been able to turn things up a notch or two by holding teams to just 16.1 points over its last seven games
The Eskimos are coming off a bye after posting a 24-19 win over Saskatchewan as 4.5-point road favorites in Week 17. They are now 4-2 SU and a profitable 6-0 ATS in their last six games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five outings. Edmonton’s defense is also one of the best in the league. This unit is currently tied with Calgary with a points-allowed average of 19.6 a game.
Betting Trends
The Lions are 5-1 SU the last six meetings overall and on the road against Edmonton they have gone 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) in the last nine meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six games played in Edmonton.
Sunday, Nov. 2
Toronto (7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS) at Montreal (8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -2½
Total: 50½
Game Overview
Toronto’s late season push towards the playoffs has resulted in SU wins in four of its last five games, but the lone loss was a 20-12 setback to Montreal in Week 17 as a five-point home favorite. This was one of its in one lowest scoring outputs this year with a potent offensive attack that is averaging 25.8 points a game behind quarterback Ricky Ray. He leads the CFL in both total passing yards (4,386) and touchdown throws (28).
Montreal crawled out of the gate this season to a 1-7 SU start, but last week’s 23-17 win over Ottawa as a six-point road favorite extended its late-season winning streak to five games SU. The game against the RedBlacks ended as a PUSH to leave the Alouettes with a profitable 4-0-1 record ATS during their recent run. One of the main reasons for the team’s turnaround on offense has been the play of quarterback Jonathan Crompton. The offense has averaged 25.8 points a game over its last five outings with him at the helm. You also have to give a ton of credit to a defense that has held teams to an average of just 12 points a game during this run.
Betting Trends
Montreal has won 17 of the last 24 meetings SU and it has gone 16-8 ATS in this same stretch of games against Toronto. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven games played in Montreal.
CFL Week 19 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com
First place in the East division standings will be on the line this Sunday afternoon as the Montreal Alouettes play host to the Toronto Argonauts to cap off the four-game slate that makes up Week 19 of the Canadian Football League season.
Find all of this week's CFL betting lines plus updated Grey Cup futures at Bovada.
Hamilton at Ottawa
Last 10 Meetings: Ottawa 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS | OU 1-1
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are still in the mix for top spot in the East as well as they head to Ottawa looking for their third straight win against the RedBlacks on Friday night. The Tiger-Cats have gone 2-0 SU against the expansion RedBlacks so far this season, although they failed to cover the spread in a 16-6 home win as a 12-point favorite in their last meeting. That game was an easy UNDER result.
Winnipeg at Calgary
Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 10-0 SU, 4-3-3 ATS | OU 6-4
The Calgary Stampeders, who have locked up first place in the West, have won 10 games in a row SU against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as those teams meet on Saturday afternoon. The Stampeders topped the Blue Bombers 33-23 in their first meeting of the season back on October 18, but only managed to PUSH the 10-point spread on the road in that contest. The OVER is 3-1 in their last four matchups.
BC at Edmonton
Last 10 Meetings: Edmonton 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS | OU 5-4-1
Playoff-bound teams will meet in Edmonton on Saturday night as the Eskimos get a visit from the B.C. Lions. The Lions fell 27-20 to the Eskimos in their first meeting of the season back on June 28 as an 8-point home favorite in an UNDER result. Prior to that game the Lions had been on runs of 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Eskimos dating back to 2012, with the OVER going 3-2 in their last five matchups.
Toronto at Montreal
Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 1-9
The Alouettes hold a one-game lead on both the Argonauts and the Tiger-Cats in the East standings as they prepare to host Toronto to wrap up the week on the CFL betting lines on Sunday afternoon. Montreal is 1-1 both SU and ATS in its two games against Toronto so far this season, both UNDER results. In fact, the OVER has only paid out once in the past 10 games between the Argonauts and the Alouettes.
HAMILTON (7 - 9) at OTTAWA (2 - 14) - 10/31/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 1-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WINNIPEG (6 - 11) at CALGARY (14 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-0 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 7) at EDMONTON (11 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 50-25 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.
EDMONTON is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (7 - 9) at MONTREAL (8 - 8) - 11/2/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON vs. OTTAWA
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Hamilton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games on the road
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
British Columbia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Montreal is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
StatFox Super Situations
WINNIPEG at CALGARY
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) off a home win over a division rival 50-15 since 1997. ( 76.9% | 33.5 units ) 3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )
WINNIPEG at CALGARY
Play On - Any team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 27-25 since 1997. ( 51.9% | 0.0 units ) 0-3 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )
WINNIPEG at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 35-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.1% | 22.9 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )
CFL Week 19
Hamilton (8-9) @ Ottawa (2-14) — TiCats beat Ottawa twice this year, 33-22 (-7) in Week 5, then 45-12 (-12) two weeks ago; both games were at home. Hamilton won six of last eight games, with losses by total of 3 points; five of its last six games were decided by 5 or less points. TiCats are 1-6 on road, with only win 16-11 at Winnipeg- dogs covered six of their eight road games. This is first time Hamilton has been favored on road this year. RedBlacks lost last three games by 38-33-6 points; they covered four of last five home games, are 5-2 overall as home underdog. Five of last seven Hamilton games, six of last nine Ottawa games stayed under the total.
Winnipeg (6-11) @ Calgary (14-2) — Stampeders (-10) won 33-23 in Winnipeg two weeks ago, running ball for 195 yards in game that was 16-6 at half; they’ve 5-3 as home favorites this year, and have won last ten series games (4-3-3 vs spread). Bombers lost last ten visits to Calgary (2-7-1 vs spread) and last eight games overall, pushing spread last two weeks. Winnipeg lost last five road games, with four losses by 17+ points- they lost last three away games by combined score of 112-35. Bombers are 4-3 as road dogs this season. Three of last four Bomber games, three of last four Calgary games went over total.
BCLions (9-7) @ Edmonton (11-5) — Eskimos (+8) opened season with 27-20 win in Vancouver, picking off four passes with +4 turnover ratio in game that ended BC’s 5-game series win streak. Lions won last three visits here by 35-1-14 points. Edmonton covered its last six games (4-2 SU); they’re 5-1 as home favorites- favorites covered their last seven home games. BC won last two games, but they beat Ottawa/Winnipeg, two worst teams; they’re 5-3 SU on road this season, 3-1 as road underdogs. Eskimos have 2+ takeaways in their last five games. Seven of last nine Lion games, four of last five Edmonton games stayed under total.
Toronto (7-9) @ Montreal (8-8) — Road team won last eight series games; Argos won last four visits here, by 12-11-3-8 points- they beat Toronto 20-12 in SkyDome two weeks ago, after losing 31-5 at home to Toronto in Week 6. Alouettes won five in row, seven of last eight games, covering four of last five; they won last four home games by 10-7-16-31 points, are 2-2 as home favorites- they’re +9 in turnovers the last five games. Toronto won four of last five games, but are on road for first time in over a month; they covered four of last five games as a road underdog. Four of last five Montreal games stayed under the total.
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