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CFL Betting News and Notes Week 5

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(@blade)
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Posts: 318493
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CALGARY (3 - 1) at OTTAWA (2 - 2) - 7/24/2015, 7:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996. CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-0 against the spread versus
OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-0 straight up against
OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (2 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 1) - 7/24/2015, 10:05 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 against the spread versus
TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 straight up against
TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (2 - 2) at EDMONTON (2 - 1) - 7/25/2015, 7:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. WINNIPEG is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-0 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-0 straight up against
WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HAMILTON (1 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 4) - 7/26/2015, 7:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-81 ATS (+25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in7:00 PM

CALGARY vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games

TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
British Columbia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
British Columbia is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Toronto

WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg

HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Hamilton this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 21, 2015 1:55 pm
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

Week 4 Betting Recap

The underdogs continued to payoff this season in the CFL with a 3-1 record against the spread in Week 4. This included two straight-up wins by the dogs and both Edmonton and British Columbia pulled-off the sweep in the backend of a home-and-home series.

Montreal actually got things started last Thursday with a 17-13 victory over Hamilton as a 2½-point home underdog. In the first of two Friday games, the Eskimos completed their sweep of Ottawa with a 23-12 victory as a three-point road favorite. Later that day, BC made it two in a row over Saskatchewan with a 27-24 win as a 3½-point underdog on the road. Week 4 capped things off with Calgary squeaking by Winnipeg 26-25 as an eight-point favorite at home this past Saturday.

Opening odds provided by 5Dimes.

Friday, July 24

Calgary Stampeders (3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 48

Game Overview

The defending Grey Cup Champs continue to find ways to win games, but the Stampeders have been no bargain for bettors so far at 0-4 ATS. They got a big effort from running back Jon Cornish in the fourth quarter of this past Saturday’s tight victory against Winnipeg and he ended the night with 120 yards rushing on 15 carries.

Ottawa started the season on a roll with two wins both SU and ATS, but it has settled into the role of being a second-year team in the CFL by getting outscored 69-29 in two straight losses (SU and ATS) to Edmonton. The RedBlacks are now ranked last in the league in scoring with an average of 19 points a game.

Betting Trends

In two prior meetings last season, Calgary won both SU and ATS by a combined score of 70-24. The total stayed UNDER a closing line of 51½ points in its 32-7 victory on the road as a nine-point favorite.

Toronto Argonauts (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)

Point-spread: BC -3½
Total: 54½

Game Overview

Toronto is coming off a bye last week following a 25-20 loss to Calgary in Week 3 as a 7½-point road underdog. This week’s matchup will be the third game in a four-game span on the road. The Argonauts are still waiting for quarterback Ricky Ray to recover from another shoulder injury, but in the meantime Trevor Harris has been an effective backup with 837 yards passing and nine touchdown throws.

The Lions’ recent sweep of Saskatchewan both SU and ATS was fueled by an offensive attack that posted a total of 62 points. Travis Lulay only threw for 127 yards in this past Friday’s win, but he led all rushers with 105 yards on just six attempts. Running back Andrew Harris was the work horse in that win with 94 yards and a score on 16 carries.

Betting Trends

BC has won seven of the last nine meetings SU and it is 6-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last eight games between these two inter-division foes. The last two seasons have been split 2-2 ATS with each covering twice at home and twice on the road.

Saturday, July 25

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)

Point-spread: Edmonton -4½
Total: 51½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have averaged 26.5 points through their first four games this season after averaging just 16.1 points over their last seven games in 2014. Part of the turnaround can be attributed to the play of quarterback Drew Willy, who is ranked fifth in the CFL in passing yards with 913. He has completed 77 percent of his 87 attempts.

Edmonton built up its scoring stats this season at the expense of Ottawa after losing to Toronto 26-11 as a 7½-point road favorite in its season opener. Matt Nichols continues to fill in at quarterback for the injured Mike Reilly and in last week’s win he passed for 242 yards and a score, but he was also picked-off three times. Eskimos’ running back Shakir Bell piled-up 144 yards rushing in that game.

Betting Trends

Edmonton has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS and it is 6-1 both ways in the last seven games between the two. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 13 games.

Sunday, July 26

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskatchewan -1
Total: 53½

Game Overview

Hamilton will be playing its fourth-straight game on the road to start this season. Last Thursday against Montreal, the Tiger-Cats struggled to find the end zone behind Zach Collaros’ three interceptions. He ended the game with 296 yards passing to raise his season total to 931 yards; however he has just three touchdown passes on the year verse four interceptions.

The Roughriders appear to be in for another rough ride without quarterback Darian Durant, who was lost for the year on opening day. They hit the skids when he went down last season with an injury and their 0-4 start (SU and ATS) this year does bode well for any reversal of fortunes in his continued absence. Ironically enough, his replacement Kevin Glenn leads the CFL in total passing yards with 1,228.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats have failed to cover ATS in 23 of their last 31 games against Saskatchewan and they are just 1-4 SU in the last five matchups. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine meetings.

 
Posted : July 21, 2015 2:13 pm
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CFL Week 5

Calgary (3-1) @ Ottawa (2-2) -- Stampeders' three wins are all by five or less points; they are 0-4 vs spread, with all four games staying under total- they lost at Montreal in only road tilt so far. Calgary beat expansion Ottawa 38-17/32-7 in two meetings LY. RedBlacks lost twice to Edmonton after 2-0 start this year; three of their four games stayed under total. Stamps led at halftime only once in their four games so far.

Toronto (2-1) @ BCLions (2-1) -- Lions won 17 of last 20 series games, but lost two of last three-- under is 15-7 in last 22 series games. Toronto is 3-0 vs spread, winning road game in OT in Regina, losing 25-20 at Calgary- they had a bye last week. Lions beat Saskatchewan twice, by FG each; they were outgained by 190 yards last week but won. Underdogs are on a roll so far, covering 13 of 16-- under is 10-6.

Winnipeg (2-2) @ Edmonton (2-1) -- Eskimos won last four series games, routing Bombers in LY's meetings, 26-3/41-9. Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve series games. Edmonton beat Ottawa in its last two games, winning 46-17 in only home game so far. Winnipeg's last two games were decided by total of three points; they splir pair of road games, winning in Regina by 4, losing 26-25 in Calgary last week.

Hamilton (1-2) @ Saskatchewan (0-4) -- Roughriders are off to miserable start, with all four of its losses by 4 or less points; they're scoring 30.5 ppg and are 0-4, with three of the losses at home. Saskatchewan is 8-3 in its last 11 games with Hamilton; TiCats are 1-12 in their last 13 visits here, losing by 37-12-21 points in last three visits. Hamilton still hasn't played at home this year; their two losses are by a total of five points.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : July 24, 2015 11:18 am
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Game of the Day: Friday CFL doubleheader
By Covers.com

Calgary Stampeders at Ottawa RedBlacks (+5, 47)

The Calgary Stampeders look to continue their hot start when they travel to Ottawa to face the Redblacks on Friday. The Stampeders erased a 16-point deficit en route to a 26-25 victory over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Week 4 to take sole possession of first place in the West Division.

The defending Grey Cup champions haven't exactly steamrolled their way to the best record in the CFL, winning their three games by a combined seven points, but are a sparkling 18-4 in their last 22 regular-season contests. The Redblacks' 2-0 start seems like a distant memory following back-to-back losses to the Edmonton Eskimos. Ottawa suffered a humiliating 46-17 setback in Edmonton before dropping a 23-12 decision in the nation's capital, and hopes its sputtering offense can get back on track in order to notch its first win in franchise history against Calgary. "We have good enough players on offense if we can get the ball in their hands," Redblacks coach Rick Campbell told reporters. "Calgary is a big challenge but it's doable."

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Ottawa as a 5.5-point home dog. The total opened 47.5.

INJURY REPORT: Stampeders - WR Kamar Jordan (Questionable, undisclosed), OL Karl Lavoie (Questionable, shoulder). RedBlacks - WR Khalil Paden (Questionable, undisclosed), RB Jeremiah Johnson (Questionable, undisclosed).

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS, 0-4 O/U): Bo Levi Mitchell struggled with his accuracy against the Blue Bombers as he went 12-of-21 for 165 yards and a touchdown while Jon Cornish was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after racking up season-high 120 rushing yards on 15 carries. "I just have to play better," Mitchell told reporters. "My team got it done for me man." Calgary's patchwork offensive line will need to be reshuffled once more as Karl Lavoie injured his left knee in the first half against Winnipeg and was to have an MRI to determine the severity of the injury.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Ottawa quarterback Henry Burris has looked all of his 40 years in the last two weeks, throwing two interceptions while being held without a passing touchdown. "That's not acceptable," Burris told reporters. "We have the personnel that can get it done and now we just have to make it happen." Chris Williams caught seven passes for 90 yards against the Eskimos and is ranked fifth in the CFL with 270 receiving yards and Zack Evans recorded two sacks to bring his season total to three.

TRENDS:

* Stampeders are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 10-2 in RedBlacks last 12 Friday games.
* Under is 6-0 in Stampeders last six games in July.
* Under is 7-2 in RedBlacks last nine home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-six percent of Covers users are backing the Stamps.

Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-3, 54)

The Toronto Argonauts look to get back into the win column when they stay out West to take on the BC Lions on Friday. The Argonauts suffered a 25-20 setback to the Calgary Stampeders in the second of four straight road games and have lost nine of their last 12 contests away from home since the start of 2014.

Toronto has dropped 11 of its last 12 games in Vancouver but hopes to build off its 40-23 victory at BC Place last year, and improve to 3-1 for the first time since 2010 in the process. The Lions look to win three consecutive games for the first time since August 2014 after squeaking out a 27-24 victory over the Saskatchewan Roughriders. BC quarterback Travis Lulay is showing no ill effects from the shoulder trouble that has hampered him for the last two seasons and is flashing the ability that won him the CFL's Most Outstanding Player in 2011. BC's offense is starting to rev up too, putting up 62 points in its last two games as the players get more comfortable in Jeff Tedford's new high-powered system.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Lions as 3.5-point home favorites. The opening total was 54.

INJURY REPORT: Argonauts - OL Branndon Braxton (Questionable, suspension), SB Andre Durie (Out indefinitely, knee). Lions - G Cody Husband (Questionable, undisclosed), DB Ryan Phillips (Questionable, hamstring), LB Jason Arakgi (Questionable, hamstring).

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Trevor Harris continues to be a revelation in his first year as a starter as he threw for 223 yards and two touchdowns to give him a CFL-best nine on the year. Vidal Hazelton caught a team-high six passes for 98 yards and Tori Gurley and Kevin Elliott each hauled in a score to pace the aerial attack for Toronto. Defensive tackle Cleyon Laing and defensive back Devin Smith were fined after being penalized for late hits as the league continues to crack down on unnecessary roughness.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-1 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U): Lulay threw for 127 yards and two touchdowns and added 105 yards on the ground to become the first BC quarterback since Casey Printers in 2005 to rush for more than 100 in a game. "Travis is a very special player," running back Andrew Harris told reporters. "When he can do that for us it's going to change a lot of things." A.C. Leonard caught the first two touchdown passes of his CFL career and Harris was his usual reliable self, running for 94 yards and a score versus the Roughriders.

TRENDS:

* Under is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.
* Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in Week 5.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Lions last four home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-two percent of bettors are backing the Lions.

 
Posted : July 24, 2015 11:20 am
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Game of the Day: Blue Bombers at Eskimos
By Covers.com

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Edmonton Eskimos (-5.5, 51)

The Edmonton Eskimos look to win their third consecutive game when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Saturday. The Eskimos bounced back from a disappointing Week 1 loss by making short work of Ottawa in a home-and-home set as they outscored the previously unbeaten Redblacks 69-29.

Edmonton hopes to continue its recent dominance of the Blue Bombers after winning seven straight meetings at Commonwealth Stadium, including the last three games by an average margin of 27 points. Winnipeg looks to rebound from a heartbreaking 26-25 loss to the Calgary Stampeders in Week 4. The Blue Bombers blew a 16-point lead and squandered multiple chances to secure a win over the defending Grey Cup champions and face another stiff test as they try to notch a victory in Edmonton for the first time in more than nine years. Winnipeg has lost four straight games to the Eskimos overall and hasn't emerged victorious on the road in the series since a 25-22 triumph on July 20, 2006.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Eskies at 5.5-point faves. The total opened at 52 but is down to 51.

INJURY REPORT: Blue Bombers - DT Bryant Turner, Jr. (Questionable, hand). Eskimos - DT Gregory Alexandre (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Wallace Miles (Questionable, undisclosed), DE Elie Ngoyi (Questionable, undisclosed).

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Drew Willy finished 22-of-27 for 289 yards and two touchdowns but threw an interception on the final drive against the Stampeders. "We've just got to be better overall in all three phases," Willy told reporters. "Nothing is going to break this team apart and we've got a lot of guys with their heads held high." Defensive end Greg Peach is out for the next seven days with a lower-body injury and will be replaced by Thaddeus Gibson while defensive tackle Bryant Turner will miss another game with a thumb problem.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Rookie running back Shakir Bell was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after rushing for 144 yards on his CFL debut and defensive end Marcus Howard also made the three-man honours list after recording two sacks. "Shakir did a great job," Edmonton coach Chris Jones told reporters. "You knew he was due for a breakout game." Matt Nichols struggled against the Redblacks as he finished 18-of-33 for 242 yards and three interceptions but was bailed out by Bell, who rushed for the most yards in a single game by any running back this season.

TRENDS:

* Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Edmonton.
* Eskimos are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 21-7 in Blue Bombers last 28 Saturday games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-seven percent of Covers users are backing the Eskimos.

 
Posted : July 25, 2015 1:20 am
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Game of the day: Tiger-Cats at Roughriders
By Covers.com

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Saskatchwan Roughriders (-1, 56)

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to put a disappointing start to the season behind them when they hit the road to face the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Sunday. The Tiger-Cats were pegged by many as East Division favourites in the preseason but have lost two of their first three games, including a 17-13 setback to the Montreal Alouettes in Week 4.

Penalties and turnovers have hampered Hamilton's progress and it hopes to turn things around by securing its first victory in Regina since a 35-34 triumph on July 28, 2012. The Roughriders look to avoid their first 0-5 start in 20 years after dropping a 27-24 decision to the BC Lions. Kevin Glenn has been a more than capable replacement for the injured Darian Durant, and leads the league with 1,228 passing yards, but Saskatchewan's defence has given up a least 27 points in every game. The Roughriders have dropped their first three home games after finishing 6-3 last season, but have had some recent success against Hamilton, winning the last two meetings in Regina by an average margin of 29 points.

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened as a pick'em before moving to SSK -1. The total has jumped a point from 55 to 56.

INJURY REPORT: Tiger-Cats - DB Neil King (Ques-Undisclosed), DB Courtney Stephen (Ques-Undisclosed) Roughriders - LB Shea Emry (Ques-Neck)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "All is not well in Riderville, as Saskatchewan is still win-less heading into this Week 5 match-up versus Hamilton. It doesn't help matters that the Riders lost their starting quarterback in Week 1, but it would be unfair to blame backup Kevin Glenn for the rough start. Glenn is among the league leaders averaging over 300 yards per game, completing 74 percent of his passes. Saskatchewan is better than their 0-4 record would suggest, and it's important to note that each of those four losses came in games decided by four points or less." - Covers Expert Will Rogers

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Zach Collaros had his worst outing of the year after finishing 27-of-42 for 296 yards and three interceptions as Hamilton turned the ball over five times versus the Alouettes. The Tiger-Cats will get a big boost with the news that running back C.J. Gable has recovered from a finger injury and is back on the practice field after missing the first three games of the season. Linebacker Rico Murray, who led the team with five interceptions last year, has recovered from a hamstring injury and could be in line for his first start Sunday.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS, 3-0 O/U): Weston Dressler continued his hot start as he hauled in six passes for 125 yards against the Lions and is second in the CFL with 329 receiving yards. Ryan Smith, who has 11 catches for 251 yards and two touchdowns, is set to return to the lineup after missing the last two games with an upper-body injury while wide receiver Taj Smith is done for the rest of the season. "He wasn't at his fullest so we shut Taj down," Saskatchewan coach Corey Chamblin told reporters. "There's some other guys that moved ahead of him."

TRENDS:

*Tiger-Cats are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Saskatchewan.
*Roughriders are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
*Under is 10-4 in Tiger-Cats last 14 games overall.
*Over is 6-2 in Roughriders last 8 games following a S.U. loss.

CONSENSUS: 64.4 percent of the Covers community is behind SSK, with 53.5 percent on the under.

 
Posted : July 26, 2015 1:09 am
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