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CFL News and Notes Week 14

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(@blade)
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EDMONTON (6 - 6) at WINNIPEG (4 - 8)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 7)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-5 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Saturday, October 3

MONTREAL (10 - 2) at TORONTO (3 - 9)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


HAMILTON (6 - 6) at CALGARY (7 - 5)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : September 30, 2009 11:44 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
British Columbia is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home

Saturday, October 3

MONTREAL vs. TORONTO
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home

HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
Hamilton is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing Hamilton

 
Posted : September 30, 2009 11:45 pm
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DUNKEL

Edmonton at Winnipeg
The Eskimos look to take advantage of a Winnipeg team that is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS victory. Edmonton is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4)

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2

Edmonton at Winnipeg
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 111.301; Winnipeg 104.540
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4); Under

Saskatchewan at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.886; BC 111.233
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 54
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+1); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 3

Montreal at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 121.873; Toronto 105.584
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 16 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10); Over

Hamilton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.846; Calgary 113.360
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 51
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+7); Over

 
Posted : October 1, 2009 7:35 am
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Week 14 CFL games

Friday, October 2

Edmonton (6-6) @ Winnipeg (4-8)-- Eskimos (-9) beat Winnipeg 19-17 in season opener, winning despite -3 turnover ratio; five of their last six games were decided by four or less points, with Eskimos losing three of last four. Bombers are +11 in turnovers in last three wins, -18 in last five losses; they're 1-3 in last four home games, losing by 14-27-45 points. Four of five Winnipeg home games went over the total.

Saskatchewan (7-5) @ BCLions (5-7)-- Home side won both series tilts this year; Riders won season opener 28-24 (+2), lost 35-20 here in Week 6 (+1), turning ball over 10 times in two games (-1). Saskatchewan won three of last four games, covered five of last six- they're 5-1 vs spread on foreign soil. Lions won three of last four at home after losing first two-- eight of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Saturday, October 3

Montreal (10-2) @ Toronto (2-10)-- Alouettes (-13) blanked Argos 25-0 in first meeting, outgaining Toronto 452-126; Als won last three games, are 4-2 on road, with all four wins by 13+ points. Argos lost last eight games after 2-2 start; they're 0-5 at home, losing by 10-1-8-3-3 points- they're 3-5 as a dog. Eight of last ten Montreal games stayed under total. Alouettes are just 6-5 vs spread as a favorite this season, 4-2 on road.

Hamilton (7-5) @ Calgary (7-5)-- TiCats had 3-game win streak crushed by Montreal last week, but Hamilton is still 9-2 vs spread last 11 games; they beat Calgary 24-17 at home two weeks ago (+3.5), holding Stamps to 93 yards thru air- that is only Calgary loss in last five games. TiCats are 8-0 vs spread when they allow less than 30 points- they lost three of last four on road. Calgary won last three at home, scoring 31-32-27 pts.

 
Posted : October 2, 2009 7:30 am
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CFL Week 14 Preview and Picks
By Charles-André Marchand

Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg Blue Bombers

The Eskimos, which have allowed the most points in 12 games so far (369) and are depleted by key injuries on defence. Defensive tackle Dario Romero is out for the season with a torn bicep while DT Eric Taylor, defensive backs Lenny Williams and Kelly Malveaux are all nursing leg injuries. This isn’t good news for a team that his dead last in the CFL for total defence (4607). Fortunately, the Eskimos got deeper on defence when they signed free agents Reggie Hunt, Jerome Haywood and Randee Drew. All three are expected to play against the Bombers as well as Byron Parker, acquired earlier this week in a trade with the Toronto Argonauts. Winnipeg, who will try to win back-to-back games for the first time this season, must win this game to keep its frail playoff hopes alive. The Bombers should be able to take advantage of the Eskimos defence as long as they keep giving the ball to Fred Reid while throwing occasionally to sensational newcomer Otis Amey (118 yards receiving against Toronto last week).

Pick: Winnipeg +4

Saskatchewan Roughriders at B.C. Lions

Most teams dread playing at B.C. Place but apparently not the Roughriders, who have won six of their last 10 games in Vancouver. Darian Durant is improving and shows more leadership as Saskatchewan’s pivot while his B.C. counterpart Buck Pierce is being sacked way too often. Can Casey Printers do better? We doubt it. The OL needs to do a much better job protecting their QB. Against a team that showcases a tandem like Baggs and Chick, who both have registered eight sacks, this should be a source of concern for the Lions. B.C. also seems powerless against the run (worst record in the CFL with an average of 147.4 yards rushing per game) and this could be a field day for Cates and Dressler. But with running back Martell Mallett, on pace for a 1500 yards season, the Lions can also do some damages rushing. Turnovers will play a factor in this game with B.C. showing a differential of -11 in the giveaways/takeaways column while the Riders are at +7. The Roughriders are battling the Stampeders for first place and know that this is a must-win game on a week where Calgary will host the Tiger Cats.

Pick: Saskatchewan +1

Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argonauts

The Alouettes vow that they are still hungry and motivated after posting a 10-2 record and that they won’t slow down or lose focus even if five of their six last regular season games will be against teams with losing records. Coach Marc Trestman insists that the Argos are a much better team than their 3-9 record suggests. The Alouettes are also starting to think about matching the 16-2 record, best ever in an 18-games season, posted by the Edmonton Eskimos in 1989. But most importantly, they are aware that a win against the Argos and a Hamilton loss in Calgary would mean they would clinch first place in the East. Safety Mathieu Proulx and left tackle Josh Bourke, two key players, will be back in action in Toronto. The Argos will be without cornerback Willie Middlebrooks, who suffered a neck injury. But Dominic Dorsey will play is first home game of the year. The last time these two teams met in Montreal on August 7, the Alouettes shut out the Argos 25-0.

Pick: Montreal -10

Hamilton Tiger Cats at Calgary Stampeders

Defensive end Mike Labinjo is back after missing six games with a broken leg and the Stampeders will want to avenge a 24-17 loss suffered two weeks ago in Hamilton. The Tiger Cats just took a 42-8 pounding at home from the Montreal Alouettes. Both times the TiCats took a heavy beating this season they came back to win a game they were not expected to. Can they do it a third time? This could prove close to impossible against the defending Grey Cup champs. Calgary has won eight of its last 10 games against the Tiger Cats. CFL Offensive Player of the Month Jeremaine Copeland is playing arguably his best football and Henry Burris is taking full advantage of it. Calgary, powered by Joffrey Reynolds, also has a very potent running game that now leads the CFL in rushing yards per game while the Tiger Cats are ranked seventh in the league with an average of 133 rushing yards allowed per game. Quinton Porter will start at QB for the Tiger Cats but he has been struggling despite this team’s rise from mediocrity to respectability. Don’t be surprised to see Kevin Glenn take over if Porter continues to fail igniting the offence. Actually, don’t even be surprised if rookie QB Adam Tafralis sees some action.

Pick: Calgary -7

Last Week 1-3, season 26-22

 
Posted : October 2, 2009 9:27 am
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