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CFL News and Notes Week 16

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Friday, October 16

EDMONTON (6 - 8) at TORONTO (3 - 11)

Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
EDMONTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Saturday, October 17

SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 6) at CALGARY (8 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 90-55 ATS (+29.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Sunday, October 18

HAMILTON (6 - 8) at MONTREAL (12 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-4 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 7) at WINNIPEG (6 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:48 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Friday, October 16

EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Edmonton

Saturday, October 17

SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Calgary is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Sunday, October 18

HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton

BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:49 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Week 16 CFL games

Friday, October 16

Edmonton (6-8) @ Toronto (2-12)-- Argonauts lost their last ten games; four of their last seven losses are by six or less points, Argos are 0-6 at home, losing by 10-1-8-3-3-19 points (1-3 as home dog). Eight of last 12 Toronto games stayed under the total. Eskimos are 1-5 in last six games, losing last three by 3-10-3 points; they're 2-4 on road, winning twice in Regina, 38-33/31-27. Edmonton is 1-6 if they score less than 31 points.

Saturday, October 17

Saskatchewan (8-6) @ Calgary (8-6)-- Roughriders (+9.5) won 24-23 in Calgary in Week 5; Riders are 4-3 on road, 4-1 vs spread as dog on road, with away losses by 15-9-3 points. Stampeders won last four games at home by 8-24-1-9 points; they scored 17 or less points in three of last four games, scoring 15-11 points in last two. Six of last seven Calgary games stayed under. Winner takes over first place in a wide open west.

Sunday, October 18

Hamilton (7-7) @ Montreal (12-2)-- Alouettes beat Hamilton twice this year, 21-8 here in Week 4 (-14), 42-8 (-3.5) three weeks ago in Hamilton, holding TiCats to 63 passing yards in rematch. Als won last five games, covered last four; they're 7-0 at home, 4-3 as home favorite, winning its home games by 34-13-25-9-4-19-21 points. Hamilton is 5-1 vs spread on road, 4-0 as underdog, losing its away games by 1-1-13-10 points.

BCLions (7-7) @ Winnipeg (6-8)-- Bombers were 2-5 when they went west and upset Lions 37-10 in Week 8 (+8), running ball 42 times for an astounding 393 yards, with a +4 turnover ratio. BC is 3-4 on road, with dogs 5-2 vs spread in those games. Six of Lions' last seven games stayed under the total. Winnipeg won its last three games, scoring 31.3 ppg- in their eight losses, they have -16 TO ratio- in their wins, TO ratio is +15.

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:50 pm
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CFL Week 16 Preview and Picks
By Charles-André Marchand

Edmonton Eskimos vs Toronto Argonauts (+4, 51)

The Argonauts have lost eight of their last nine games and their playoff hopes are nothing but virtual. It’s not that the Argos have played poorly, but they just don’t play well enough to end up on the winning side. Things aren’t that much rosier in Edmonton, as the Esks lost five on their last six. Edmonton’s offence did well last week, putting 31 points on the board but the defence ended up giving three more.

Nonetheless, since they fired their offensive coordinator Rick Worman, the Eskimos have a 1-5 record. And the Eskimos didn’t win in Toronto since 2005. Edmonton will get some reinforcement for this game with the returns of two solid defensive backs in Kelly Malveaux and Eric Taylor. Kerry Joseph, despite suffering a concussion late in the second quarter of last week’s game in Regina, will be the starting QB and his backup will be rookie Stephen Reaves since Cody Pickett suffered a muscular tear to the torso. Nothing to make Argos fans feel better.

Pick: Edmonton -4

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Calgary Stampeders (-4, 54)

As good as Henry Burris is, and despite the fact he still is one of the best quarterbacks the CFL, his offensive line doesn’t give him enough time to throw the ball and his receivers can’t seem to free themselves. No one should be surprised that tempers flared up in the locker room after an awful loss in Montreal, where slotback Teyo Johnson and cornerback Brandon Browner almost exchanged blows. The Roughriders are coming to Calgary with ambitions of taking first place in the West but they will have to face the Stampeders without tight end Weston Dressler, who nurses a leg injury. Dressler is an awesome playmaker and his loss will undoubtedly be felt. At home, with the support of their zealous and intimidating fans, Calgary gets a perfect occasion to reaffirm their western supremacy.

Pick: Calgary -4

Hamilton Tiger Cats vs Montreal Alouettes (-13, 48)

The digestion of the Thanksgiving turkey must have not been easy for the Tiger Cats players after that brutal loss to the Blue Bombers. Of course, the Tiger Cats did attempt a valiant comeback but still, the screening of the game film was undoubtedly unpleasant for many Hamilton players. The Tiger Cats have lost five of their last six games. End result: Kevin Glenn is now the number one QB ahead of Quinton Porter, whose two fumbles on Monday took away whatever patience was left in head coach Marcel Bellefeuille. Porter, by himself, was responsible of nine turnovers in the last four games.

Everything is peachy with the Alouettes and the perspective of a 16-2 season is now a topic of conversation in Montreal. Only the 1989 Eskimos managed to have such a regular season record. Some observers fear a letdown, especially since the Alouettes, with a guaranteed home game in the East Final on November 22, will play their last four regular season games against teams with loosing records. But in the Als dressing room, players vow it won’t be the case and they intend not only to win all four games but all six games, including of course the Grey Cup final.

Pick: Montreal -13

B.C. Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-1.5, 50.5)

Here are two teams that have been through a chaotic journey since the start of the season but that have seemingly got back on track. The Lions defence is once again threatening to opposing quarterbacks while Bombers QB Michael Bishop has found his timing, leading is team to three straight victories. The only other team in the CFL that can boast winning at least three in a row at this point are the Montreal Alouettes.

With a QB on the top of his game, the Blue Bombers have regained their status of a very menacing team. Let’s not forget that their cornerback and punt/kickoff returner Jovon Johnson as well as receiver Adarius Bowman both have been among the CFL stars of the week. Plus, running back Fred Reid is now leading again the CFL with 1135 yards rushing, eight more than his counterpart for the Lions, Martel Mallett. The last time these two teams clashed, the Bombers won convincingly by the score of 37-10 at B.C. Place.

Pick: Winnipeg -1.5

(Last Week 3-1, season 32-24)

 
Posted : October 16, 2009 2:05 pm
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