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CFL Week 10 Betting News and Notes

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(@blade)
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 2) at MONTREAL (5 - 3) - 8/31/2012, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WINNIPEG (2 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 5) - 9/2/2012, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TORONTO (4 - 4) at HAMILTON (3 - 5) - 9/3/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

EDMONTON (5 - 3) at CALGARY (4 - 4) - 9/3/2012, 4:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : August 30, 2012 9:09 pm
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BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Montreal is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing British Columbia

WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg

TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Hamilton's last 10 games when playing Toronto

EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

 
Posted : August 30, 2012 9:10 pm
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

The CFL regular season reaches the halfway point of its 18-game regular season with the defending champion British Columbia Lions holding a one-game edge in the West Division after squeaking by Winnipeg 20-17 as 6½-point home favorites last Friday night. They will face Montreal this week in the first game of a home-and-home series in what could very end-up being an early preview of this season's Grey Cup. The Alouettes are coming off a 31-39 victory over Hamilton as four-point home favorites to open-up a one game lead in the East.

In other action from Week 9, Last Saturday Calgary knocked off Saskatchewan 17-10 as a five-point road underdog and Edmonton cruised past Toronto 26-17 this past Monday night as a three-point road dog.

The following is brief preview of this week's CFL games along with the opening point spread and 'over/under' lines as provided by 5Dimes.

Friday, August 31

British Columbia Lions vs. Montreal Alouettes (-1) Total: 52½

The Lions' 6-2 SU record is tops in the CFL, but they are just 4-4 ATS overall and 2-2 ATS on the road. The total has stayed 'under' in their last six games. Montreal is 5-3 SU overall but just 3-5 ATS and 1-3 ATS at home. The total has gone 'over' in five of its last seven games. BC is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against a team with a winning record and the total has stayed 'under' in its last 11 games on the road. The Alouettes are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The total has gone 'over' in eight of their last nine games on a Friday. Head-to-head, the Lions are 21-6 ATS in the last 27 meetings and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 trips to Montreal. The total has gone 'over' in seven of the last nine meetings in Montreal.

Sunday, Sept. 2

Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (-5) Total: 51

Last season's appearance in the Grey Cup must seem like a distant memory for Winnipeg after a 2-6 SU start to this season. It is 4-4 ATS and the total has gone 4-3-1 in its eight games. It has been a rough ride for the Roughriders with five straight losses after a 3-0 SU start. They are 4-4 ATS and the total has gone 4-4 as well.

The Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and the total has gone 'over' in three of their last five games following a SU loss. Saskatchewan is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games against a team with a losing record. The total has stayed 'under' in seven of its last eight home games. Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed 'under' in the last five meetings in Saskatchewan.

Monday, Sept. 3

Toronto Argonauts vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-3½) Total: 55

Toronto's loss last week dropped it to 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS on the year. The total has stayed 'under' in six of the eight games. The Tiger-Cats are 3-5 SU this season but 5-3 ATS. The total has gone 'over' in six of their first eight games.

The Argonauts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following both a SU and ATS loss. The total has stayed 'under' in six of their last eight games on the road. Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU loss. The total has gone 'over' in eight of its last 11 home games. Head-to-head, the Tiger-Cats have won seven of the last nine meetings SU and they are 6-3 ATS. The total has stayed 'under' in eight of the last 10 meetings overall.

Edmonton Eskimos vs. Calgary Stampeders (-3) Total: 46½

The Eskimos are just one game back in the West with an overall record of 5-3 SU. They are also 5-3 ATS and the total has gone 3-4-1 this season. Calgary is 4-4 both SU and ATS overall, but 1-3 ATS at home this season. The total has stayed 'under' in five of its first eight games.

Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed 'under' in 10 of its last 14 games in the division. The Stampeders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU win and the total has stayed 'under' in seven of their last 10 games against the West. The Eskimos have won three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS and the total has stayed 'under' in six of the last eight contests played in Calgary.

 
Posted : August 30, 2012 9:12 pm
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Week 10 CFL Preview

BCLions (6-2) @ Montreal (5-3) -- Lions won last four games, Alouettes won last three, so two hot clubs here; BC (-3) clubbed Montreal 43-1 in last meeting a year ago, after a 30-26 (+6.5) loss here in LY's season opener. Lions allowed average of only 9.8 ppg in last four games, outscoring foes 40-9 in first half- they're 3-1 away from home, winning last three road games, by 26-9-3 points. Montreal scored 31+ points in all five of its wins, 10-24-20 in its losses; they're 3-1 at home, losing only to Toronto. Last six BC games stayed under; over is 5-2 in Als' last seven games.

Home (16-16). Favorites (13-19), Over (14-18). West 10-6 vs East.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 31, 2012 7:26 am
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CFL Betting Preview: B.C. Lions at Montreal Alouettes
By Covers.com

B.C. Lions at Montreal Alouettes (+2, 52.5)

The rest of the CFL needs to stand and take notice. The Alouettes are gaining traction after a slippery start to the CFL season, winning three straight including a 31-29 victory over Hamilton last week.

Montreal kicker Sean Whyte booted a go-ahead field goal with nine seconds remaining to give the Als some momentum heading into this huge East-vs.-West showdown.

The Lions come into Friday with a ton of steam as well, having won four in a row after knocking off Winnipeg, 20-17, with a last-second field of their own. Paul McCallum split the uprights with just one tick remaining on the clock to edge the Bombers last Friday.

Week 10’s premier contest pits the Als’ potent pass attack of QB Anthony Calvillo and blossoming WR S.J. Green against B.C.’s stingy defense, which is allowing just 227.1 passing yards per game – tops in the CFL.

The last time these two giants collided, the Lions embarrassed the Alouettes 43-1 and limited Calvillo to just 9-for-17 passing and 63 yards, sacking the veteran pivot four times on November 5, 2011. British Columbia is going with a similar game plan Friday, knowing the best way to beat Montreal is to get to the Als' star passer early and often.

The Lions have dominated this matchup in recent years – at least from a betting standpoint. British Columbia is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 trips to Montreal and boasts a 21-6 ATS mark in their last 27 head-to-head meetings.

 
Posted : August 31, 2012 11:52 am
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This Weekend's CFL Preview
By Covers.com

Three regional rivalries are set for Sunday and Monday in the CFL. Here’s a few tidbits on the three matchups:

Sunday

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-6.5, 49)

Winnipeg’s 20-17 loss to the Lions last week cost head coach Paul LaPolice his job. Now the Bombers (2-6) have to find a way to win in Regina. Winnipeg has dropped its last seven games at Mosaic Stadium.

Saskatchewan is also struggling. The Riders (3-5) are coming off a 17-10 loss to the Stampeders and have dropped five straight games after opening the season with three consecutive victories.

TRENDS AND NOTES

*Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
*Roughriders are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
*Under is 7-1 in Roughriders last eight home games.
*Bombers have the worst pass defense (323.2 YPG) in the league.
*Riders boast the second-best running attack (106.8 YPG) in the league.

Monday

Toronto Argonauts at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-3.5, 53.5)

Toronto is coming off a disappointing 27-17 home loss to Edmonton. The Argonauts (4-4) continue to struggle with Ricky Ray under center and are having a tough time putting points up on the board (2-6-0 O/U) this season.

Hamilton dropped a close 31-29 decision to Montreal last week and has lost three straight. The Tiger-Cats (3-5) have the top offense in the CFL, scoring an average of 29.5 points per game (6-2-0 O/U).

TRENDS AND NOTES

*Argonauts are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
*Under is 5-0 in Argonauts last five games overall.
*Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. loss.
*Argos boast the top-ranked pass defense in the league, holding opponents to an average of 233.8 YPG.

Edmonton Eskimos at Calgary Stampeders (-3.5, 48.5)

Edmonton prevailed 26-17 over Toronto last week. The ground game continues to be the focus for the Eskimos (5-3) with new running back Cory Boyd now in the fold. Edmonton has the league’s worst passing attack at 239.5 YPG.

Calgary is also coming off a win last week, downing the Roughriders, 17-10. The Stampeders (4-4) also love to run the ball with their feature back Jon Cornish. The Calgary passing attack is sputtering with Kevin Glenn at the helm, so expect an old-fashioned ground war.

TRENDS AND NOTES

*Under is 4-0 in Calgary’s last four games overall.
*Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 3-0-1 in Eskimos’ last five road games.

 
Posted : September 1, 2012 9:15 pm
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Week 10 CFL Preview

Winnipeg (2-6) @ Saskatchewan (3-5) — Bombers fired their coach this week, after 20-17 home loss to BCLions gave them 2-2 mark on 4-game homestand that followed 0-4 road swing to start season. Winnipeg recovered seven opponent fumbles in last two games (+6 in turnovers) but they’ve been outscored 39-10 in first half of last three games, and have yet to lead at halftime this season. Saskatchewan lost five games in row, with four of five losses by 8 or less points, after a 3-0 start; they’re -10 in turnovers (with no takeaways) in last four games. Underdogs covered three of their four home games. Three of four Rider home games stayed under the total.

Toronto (4-4) @ Hamilton (3-5) — Argonauts (+5) lost 36-27 here back in Week 3, despite running ball for 170 yards and outgaining TiCats by 109 yards. TiCats allowed 24+ points in all eight games; they won only two games when they held opponent under 31. Road team won Toronto’s last four games, with Argos upsetting Montreal/Calgary in last two road skirmishes. Hamilton lost last three games, despite leading all three at half; they were outscored 72-27 in second half of those games. TiCats are 2-3 as a favorite. Toronto hasn’t played a game decided by more than nine points; three of their four losses are by exactly nine points. Six of eight Hamilton games went over the total; last five Argonaut games stayed under.

Edmonton (5-3) @ Calgary (4-4) — This is first meeting in rivalry since Eskimos knocked Calgary out of playoffs LY. Stampeders are 0-3 vs spread this season in game following a win; they’re 3-0 when they hold a team to 20 or less points, 1-4 when they don’t. Edmonton scored 22+ points in each of last six games; they’re 2-2 on road, with upset of Lions/Argos. Calgary scored total of just 22 points in losing its last two home games. Eskimos are 1-3 vs spread this season in game following a win; they’ve picked off 2+ passes in each of their last six games, and are +7 in turnovers for season. All four Edmonton road games stayed under total, as have Stampeders’ last four games overall.

Home (16-16). Favorites (13-19), Over (14-18). West 10-6 vs East.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 2, 2012 7:23 am
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