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CFL Week 11

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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CALGARY (5 - 3) at EDMONTON (5 - 3) - 9/5/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 6

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 5) at HAMILTON (2 - 6) - 9/6/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 7

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TORONTO (3 - 5) at MONTREAL (6 - 3) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 2) at WINNIPEG (2 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : September 4, 2008 7:04 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Friday, September 5

Calgary (5-4) @ Edmonton (6-3)-- Eskimos thrashed Stamps last week in Calgary, 37-16, outgaining hosts 496-268, completing 26 of 38 passes for 376 yards- they earlier beat Stampeders 34-31 on this field in Week 2. Road team won last four Calgary games. Eskimos won four of last five games; they're 4-0 at home, 2-0 as home favorite, with wins at home by 3-19-11-17 points.

Saturday, September 6

BCLions (4-5) @ Hamilton (2-7)-- TiCats ran ball for 679 yards in last three games, but their only wins came against Toronto-- they allowed 33+ points in six of nine games. Lions lost three of last four games- they are 1-3 on road, with Winnipeg their only win. BC has a -8 turnover ratio in their last five games. Seven of last eight Hamilton games, four of last five BC tilts went over.

Sunday, September 7

Toronto (4-5) @ Montreal (6-3)-- Trestman's offense scored 30+ in eight of nine games; Alouettes won last four games, scored an average of 36.3 ppg in last six games. Als won 32-14 couple of weeks ago in Toronto (-5.5), holding the Argos to 86 passing yards on 38 attempts. Toronto lost three of last four road tilts, with losses by 19-6-24 points. Under is 3-0 last 3 Alouette tilts.

Saskatchewan (7-2) @ Winnipeg (2-7)-- Roughrider troubles on offense shown with recently-acquired Bishop being thrown in at QB last week. Riders scored 10-19 points in last two games, after they averaged 32.4 ppg in first five games. Bombers lost in Regina last week, 19-6; they've thrown 17 INTs in nine games. Four of last five Saskatchewan games stayed under the total.

 
Posted : September 4, 2008 7:04 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Trend Sheet

Friday, September 5

9:00 PM CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
Calgary is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Saturday, September 6

4:00 PM BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
British Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Hamilton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia

Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
Toronto is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:00 PM SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

 
Posted : September 4, 2008 7:05 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Saturday, September 6

B.C. Lions (4-5) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-7) (B.C. -4 1/2)

It will be family day in Hamilton in a battle of the felines. The Lions have won their last seven games against the Tiger-Cats and it should be eight consecutive after this matchup.

Casey Printers seems to have secured the No. 1 spot at QB for Hamilton. Last week against the Argos, he ran for two touchdowns in a 34-31 loss to Toronto but completed only 12 of 22 pass attempts and 161 yards.

In any case, Printers should not be the No. 1 worry for Hamilton. For the first time this season, they will have their hands full trying to stop the run. Stefan Logan is exceptionally fast and could give the Ti-Cats some of their own medicine after Hammertown's Jesse Lumsden has helped the Tabbies become one of the best rushing squads in the CFL.

But the B.C Lions, who turned the ball over five times last week in a 30-25 loss to the Alouettes, will have to show more consistency and avoid costly mistakes.

Pick: B.C.

Sunday, September 7

Toronto Argonauts (4-5) at Montreal Alouettes (6-3) (Alouettes -6 1/2)

The Alouettes will likely be without star running back Avon Cobourne who nurses an ankle injury. Mike Imoh is expected to replace him but the running game probably won't be as efficient without Cobourne.

The good news for Montreal is that Toronto's rush defense is not one of the strongest in the CFL. Last time those two teams met, the Alouettes won 32-14. But Kerry Joseph seems more at ease since the departure of Michael Bishop and last week against Hamilton, he threw for 399 yards.

Arland Bruce caught 10 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown in a very close 34-31 win against the Tiger-Cats. Dominique Dorsey also had a great game, gaining 74 yards off two kickoff returns, another 105 yards on two pass receptions and 25 yards on six rushes.

The Alouettes are on a four-game winning streak after beating the Lions 30-25 in Week 10. They should pick up a fifth win in a row against the Argos but it will be much closer than the spread indicates.

Pick: Toronto

Saskatchewan Roughriders (7-2) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-7) (No line yet)

Everything seems to point towards a Saskatchewan win in this matchup but let's not forget that in Regina last Sunday, the Roughriders won a defensive showdown against those same Blue Bombers, 19-6.

The Roughriders defensive front has been successful putting pressure on Winnipeg's quarterback Kevin Glenn, who never got comfortable in the pocket. But offensively, quarterback Michael Bishop - recently traded by Toronto - completed only 10 passes for Saskatchewan, gaining 107 yards passing and 51 yards running.

Winnipeg's injury list is finally shrinking and center Dominic Picard, who suffered an ankle injury early in the season, is now listed as probable. For the Riders, quarterback Darian Durant won't play, still bothered by a rib injury and Bishop will get another start.

Pick: Saskatchewan

 
Posted : September 5, 2008 10:22 pm
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