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CFL Week 11 Betting News and Notes

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Friday, September 9

CALGARY (6 - 3) at EDMONTON (6 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Saturday, September 10

TORONTO (2 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home lined games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Sunday, September 11

HAMILTON (5 - 4) at MONTREAL (5 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 7) at WINNIPEG (7 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 101-64 ATS (+30.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games on the road
Edmonton is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto's last 17 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
British Columbia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto

HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton

SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

 
Posted : September 8, 2011 10:22 pm
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CFL Week 11 Odds and Picks
By Charles-André Marchand

Calgary Stampeders at Edmonton Eskimos (+3, 51)

Embarrassed at home by the Eskimos last weekend, the Stampeders will do everything to avoid another humiliating chapter in the Battle for Alberta.

Fortunately for Calgary backers, the Stamps have proven better on the road (4-4) than at home (2-3) this season.

Henri Burris, who’s coming off his worst game of the year, will need to redeem himself. He will definitely benefit from the return of OT Edwin Harrison.

Harrison should do a better job of protecting Burris’ blind side than rookie Tony Washington, who couldn’t stop anyone and got caught five times for illegal procedure in his last two games.

Pick: Stampeders

Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-7.5, 49)

Steven Jyles takes over at QB after the predictable dismissal of Cleo Lemon, but is it already too late for the Argonauts?

Lemon’s departure, after he threw a fit in the Argos' dressing room at halftime of Friday’s game, could be a source of tension on a team not known for unity and harmony.

Jim Barker won the coach of the year award last season for the job he did in Toronto, but he’s got to be wondering if he’ll even end the season as the Argos’ head coach.

Pick: Lions

Hamilton Tiger Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-5, 57)

The Alouettes are still plagued with injuries; it’s obvious that the chemistry that made this team so tough to beat over the last three seasons has been seriously put to the test by each loss.

But if this team still has a bit of pride, it will bounce back this week in front of the fans at Percival-Molson Stadium.

It is the second time this year that the Alouettes are on a two-game losing streak. Anthony Calvillo, although shut down by Hamilton’s defense, remains one of the most efficient QBs in the CFL with a TD-INT ratio of 17-4.

You have to think that coach Marc Trestman will run the ball more often with Brandon Whitaker, who leads all rushers. The attack becomes somewhat predictable, despite all of his tricky patterns on offense.

The return of DT Eric Wilson should slow down former Alouette Avon Cobourne, who rushed for 102 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 19 carries in the Tiger Cats' win.

Pick: Alouettes

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-5.5, 47.5)

The Roughriders are better than their 1-7 records indicates. Although it will be tough in Winnipeg, they should prevail again against a Blue Bombers team that is starting to show some weaknesses and vulnerability.

The acquisition of Dallas Baker and the return of Adam Fantuz (released by the Chicago Bears last week) will give QB Darian Durant two prime targets.

Defensively, the Blue Bombers have become more predictable after dominating the league in sacks. They only have one in their last two games.

Pick: Roughriders

 
Posted : September 8, 2011 10:23 pm
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 11
By David Schwab

Week 10 was the first of a home-and-home series for the CFL. This week, all eight teams lace them up again to play the same team at a different venue to either complete the two-game sweep or avenge last week's loss. British Columbia got the ball rolling in this series last Friday night with a 29-16 victory over Toronto as a two-point road favorite. This past Sunday, Saskatchewan snapped a four-game skid with a 27-7 pounding of Winnipeg as a 2½ -point road underdog. In the first of a Labor Day double-header, Hamilton stunned Montreal 44-21 as a 2½ -point home underdog. The night-cap featured another big upset as Edmonton got back to its winning ways with a 35-7 rout of Calgary as an 8½ -point road underdog.

The following is brief preview of round two of the home-and-home along with the opening point spread and ‘over/under’ lines as provided by TheGreek.com.

Friday, September 9

Calgary Stampeders (-3½) at Edmonton Eskimos Over/Under (52)

Calgary’s loss last week dropped it into a tie with Edmonton for first-place in the West Division with a 6-3 straight up record (5-4 against the spread). It is a perfect 4-0 SU on the road this season (3-1 ATS) and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of its nine games. The Eskimos are also 5-4 ATS and 3-1 SU at home (2-2 ATS). The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their nine games.

The Stampeders have now lost two straight to Edmonton this season both SU and ATS. Both games were played in Calgary and the total stayed ‘under’ in each one. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to Commonwealth Stadium and the total has gone ‘over’ in the last five meetings there. Calgary is second in the CFL in points scored with 232, while Edmonton is ranked seventh with 174.

Saturday September 10

Toronto Argonauts at British Columbia Lions (-7) Over/Under: (48)

Toronto is now 2-7 SU and in last-place in the East. It is 4-5 ATS overall but just 1-4 ATS on the road this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of its nine games. BC is in third-place in the West with a 3-6 SU record overall. It is also 4-5 ATS and 1-3 ATS at home. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its nine games.

The Argonauts have now lost eight of the last 10 games to the Lions SU. They are 3-3 ATS in the last six overall and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in BC. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 12 of the last 15 meetings overall, but is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings at Empire Field. Toronto is giving up an average of 29.1 points a game as compared to the Lions 25.4.

Sunday, September 11

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-5) Over/Under (56)

Hamilton’s win last week has it tied with Montreal at 5-4 SU; two games in back of Winnipeg in the East. The Tiger-Cats are 5-4 ATS overall but just 1-3 ATS on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their nine games this season. The Alouettes are 4-5 ATS and 2-2 ATS at home. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of their nine games this year.

This will be the third meeting between the two this season, with Hamilton winning the first two by a combined score of 78-47 as a home underdog each time. The total went ‘over’ in both. The Tiger-Cats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in Montreal and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven there. The Alouettes lead the league in points scored with 253 for an average of 28.1 points a game.

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-5½) Over/Under (48)

Last week’s upset victory raised Saskatchewan to 2-7 both SU and ATS on the year. It is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road and the total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its nine games overall. Despite the loss, Winnipeg still has the best record in the CFL at 7-2 SU (7-2 ATS) and is 4-1 SU (4-1 ATS) at home this year. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of its nine games.

The Roughriders are 8-2 SU in the last 10 games of this series. They are 4-2 ATS in the last six overall, but just 1-4 ATS in the last five games in Winnipeg. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the last eight meetings overall. Saskatchewan is dead-last in the league in scoring with an average of 18.3 points a game, while the Blue Bombers in the middle of the pack with an averaging 23.6 points.

 
Posted : September 8, 2011 10:24 pm
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