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CFL Week 15 News and Notes

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(@blade)
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Friday, October 8

EDMONTON (4 - 9) at HAMILTON (6 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Saturday, October 9

TORONTO (6 - 7) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 146-109 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 146-109 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 133-98 ATS (+25.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Monday, October 11

CALGARY (10 - 3) at MONTREAL (9 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 8) at WINNIPEG (3 - 10)

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : October 7, 2010 10:16 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Friday, October 8

EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home

Saturday, October 9

TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games
Saskatchewan is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Monday, October 11

CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of British Columbia's last 15 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
British Columbia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 10 games when playing British Columbia

 
Posted : October 7, 2010 10:17 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

CFL Betting Preview
By David Schwab

Edmonton Eskimos at Hamilton Tiger-Cats

The Edmonton Eskimos will go on the road looking for the home-and-home series sweep against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats after last week's 37-35 win at home. This Week 15 matchup is scheduled for Friday, Oct. 8 at Ivor Wynne Stadium in Hamilton. Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. (PT).

Edmonton kept its playoff hopes alive with the victory over Hamilton last week. The Eskimos are still in last place of the West Division with a record of 4-9 straight up. They currently trail British Columbia by two points for the sixth and final spot in the postseason. Edmonton is 5-8 overall against the CFL betting spread this year and is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of its last 10 games.

Last week’s loss dropped Hamilton to 6-7 SU on the year and leaves it still tied with Toronto for second place in the East Division, three games behind first-place Montreal. The Tiger-Cats are also 6-7 ATS overall and 3-3 both SU and ATS at home this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of Hamilton’s last seven games.

Game 1 of this home-and-home series was a battle to the end with the Eskimos hanging on for the two-point win. Hamilton failed to cover as a 1 ½-point road favorite and the total went way over the 50-point line. The Tiger-Cats built a 21-7 lead midway through the second quarter but the Eskimos battled back on a Fred Stamps five yard touchdown catch from QB Ricky Ray.

Rod Davis then intercepted a Kevin Glenn pass and returned it 22 yards for a score to tie the game at 21. It remained close through much of the second half until Stamps' 45-yard reception with less than five minutes to play in the game set up a one yard TD plunge by Ray to give Edmonton a 37-29 lead that it never relinquished.

Ray ended the game completing 28-of-36 attempts for 384 yards and two TD’s, while his counterpart Glenn completed 26-of-37 attempts for 294 yards and two TD’s along with the one costly interception. Stamps finished with 10 receptions for 181 yards and one TD. Tiger-Cats WR Marquey McDaniel led his team with nine catches for 122 yards and two teams. You have to believe both these pass-and-catch duos will be at it again this week as the ground game for either CFL team was not extremely effective.

Edmonton has now won four of the last five games between these two teams SU, but Hamilton is 3-2 ATS. The average margin of victory in these five games has only been 4.2 points with the largest spread being seven points. Sportsinteraction.com has opened the Tiger-Cats as a 5½-point favorite and the ‘over/under’ line is currently set at 52.

The Eskimos are battling for their playoff life and desperately need a win to keep B.C. within their sights. They may not be able to win this game on the road, but will be able to keep it close enough to cover the 5½ points.

Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders

The Toronto Argonauts will be looking to snap the Saskatchewan Roughriders' three-game winning streak as well as avenge last week's 27-16 loss at Saskatchewan in the second of this home-and home series. This Week 15 matchup is scheduled for Saturday, Oct. 9 at Mosaic Stadium in Regina SK. Kickoff is set for 2 p.m. (PT).

Toronto’s season continues to be in a free-fall as it has now lost five out of its last six games including last week’s loss to Saskatchewan. The Argonauts have fallen to 6-7 on the year both straight-up and against the CFL spread. They are currently tied with Hamilton for second place in the East Division, three games in back of Montreal.

Though still in a solid position to make the playoffs, Toronto needs to string together a few wins to try and regain the momentum it had earlier in the year. The road may not be the best place to turn things around as the Argos are 2-4 both SU and ATS away from home this year. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their last six games.

Saskatchewan clinched a berth in the postseason with last week’s win, but still has the West Division title in its sights. The Roughriders are now 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS on the year and just two points behind Calgary for first place. They are the only team in the league that has yet to lose a game at home this year with a 6-0 record SU, but they are 4-2 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of Saskatchewan’s last eight games.

The story in Game 1 of this home-and-home series was Roughriders QB Darian Durant, who got the job done with both his arm and his feet. Durant ended the night completing 29-of-37 attempts for 310 yards and two TD’s. He also led the team in rushing with 47 yards on seven carries including a 10-yard run for a score in the first quarter.

Durant put his team ahead for good with a 66-yard scoring strike to Andy Fantuz to give Saskatchewan a 24-13 lead early in the second half. Each team added a field goal and the Roughriders covered as a 3 ½-point road favorite at the CFL betting window. The total stayed ‘under’ the 49-point line.

Toronto QB Dalton Bell got his first start of the year, replacing the injured Cleo Lemon. Bell was able to give the Argos some hope, completing close to 70 percent of his passes for 153 yards, but still had trouble getting his team in the end zone. This has been the case over the past six weeks as Toronto has not scored more than 17 points in any single game. Head coach Jim Barker has already stated that Bell will be the starter for this game as well.

Cory Boyd returned to the lineup and also added a spark by gaining 145 yards on 20 carries, but he too was kept from crossing the goal line.

Saskatchewan has won the last five games between these two teams SU but is just 2-2-1 ATS. The average margin of victory in those five games has been 8.4 points. Sportsinteraction.com has opened the Roughriders as an 11½-point favorite with the ‘over/under’ line set at 49.

The Roughriders have all the momentum and motivation coming into this game. While the Argonauts were able to keep the first game somewhat close at home, they will not be able to keep it closer than 11½ points against the Roughriders this week on the road.

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes.

The Calgary Stampeders made an early statement for the upcoming postseason with last week's 46-21 win at home, so this week they will go on the road looking for the home-and-home series sweep against the Montreal Alouettes. This Week 15 Thanksgiving Day matchup is scheduled for Monday, Oct. 11 at Percival-Molson Memorial Stadium in Montreal with kickoff set for 10 a.m. (PT).

Calgary left little doubt it is currently the best team in the league with a dominating win over Montreal last week. The Stampeders easily covered the three-point spread as the home favorite with the 25-point victory and the total went well ‘over’ the 56½-point line. The win moved their record on the year to 10-3 straight-up and 9-4 against the CFL spread. Calgary also maintained its two-point lead over Saskatchewan in the West Division and now has the best record in the league. The Stamps head on the road this week where they are 4-2 both SU and ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven games.

Montreal has to be reeling a bit after getting blown out by a team it will not only face again this week, but will most likely have to cross paths with again on the road to another Grey Cup championship. The loss dropped the Alouettes to 9-4 SU on the year and 6-7 ATS.

They still lead the East Division by six points with Hamilton and Toronto both losing last week as well. Montreal will try and even the score at home where it is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of its last seven games.

Stampeders QB Henry Burris picked the perfect time to snap his team out of a two-game slump with a spectacular performance against the Alouettes last Friday night. He finished the night completing 19-of-28 attempts for 412 yards and four TD’s. Romby Bryant had five receptions for 146 yards and two touchdowns and Ken-yon Rambo led the team with six receptions for 169 yards and a score. Calgary was able to build a 27-14 lead at the half that it never relinquished.

Montreal signal caller Anthony Calvillo did not have one of his better nights as he went 17-for-33 and only had 211 yards passing. He did pass for three TD’s but threw a costly interception as well. Wide receiver Jamal Richardson had a productive night with five catches for 124 yards and a TD but it was not nearly enough to keep up with the Stamps’ high powered offensive attack.

The Alouettes did little with the ball on the ground as they were held to under 100 yards rushing. Another concern for Montreal is the health of its kicker Damon Duval who left the game with a leg injury. His status for this game is currently unknown.

Calgary has won six of the last 10 games between these two teams SU and is also 6-4 ATS. The two have split their last four meetings with average margin of victory being 13.4 points. Sportsinteraction.com has opened Montreal as a 3½-point CFL betting favorite with the ‘over/under’ line set at 58.

Fortunately for Montreal, Calvillo is extremely resilient and should be able to quickly bounce back from his poor performance last week, especially in front of the home-town crowd. The Alouettes take round two of this heavyweight matchup and cover the 3½ points.

British Columbia Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers

The British Columbia Lions will go on the road looking to complete the home-and-home series sweep over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers after their 16-14 win at home last week. This Week 15 Thanksgiving Day matchup is scheduled for Monday, Oct. 11 at Canad Inns in Manitoba with kickoff scheduled for 1:30 p.m. (PT).

B.C. has been able to string together a couple of wins to put itself right in the thick of the playoff picture. Last week’s win raised the Lions record to 5-8 on the year both straight-up and against the CFL spread. They are currently in third place in the West Division and lead Edmonton by two points for the sixth and final spot in the CFL postseason, and are only two points away from possibly locking down the fourth seed.

The Lions actually have a better road record than at home at 3-3 SU and ATS on the year. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of their last six games.

Last week’s loss to the Lions put a serious dent in any postseason plans for Winnipeg. The Bombers third straight defeat dropped them to 3-10 SU for the season and four points behind B.C. for the sixth and final playoff spot. They remain a solid team in terms of the spread. Covering last week as a four-point road underdog, they improved to 7-6 ATS overall. Winnipeg has played well at home this year, going 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of its last five games.

B.C. QB Travis Lulay got the start last week in place of an ineffective Casey Printers and made the most of the opportunity. He rallied his team from a 10-0 hole at the half for the two-point win highlighted by a drive at the end of the game that setup a 19-yard game-winning field goal by Paul McCallum with 12 seconds left to play. Lulay completed 21-of-33 attempts for 237 yards and did not turn the ball over. He also scored the only Lion touchdown on a 10-yard run early in the second half.

Winnipeg’s offense continued to struggle last week as it could only manage one touchdown; a 58 yard pass from Steven Jyles to Terrence Edwards early in the first quarter. Jyles ended the game completing 21-of-37 attempts for 258 yards but the Bombers only managed to add four points in the second half. This game exemplified why both these teams rank near the bottom of the league in CFL scoring.

B.C. has won eight of the last 10 games between these two teams SU and is 6-1-3 ATS. The last four games have stayed ‘under’ the total as they have all been close, low-scoring affairs. The last two games have been decided by a total of five points. Sportsinteraction.com opened the Bombers as a 3½-point CFL betting favorites and the ‘over/under’ line is 52.

Winnipeg appears to have been snake bitten the last couple weeks as its last four losses have been by a combined 14 points. The Bombers know how to keep the game close, but tend to find a way to blow it at the end. They have yet to cover this year as a favorite and this game will be no exception. Take the Lions and the points in this one.

 
Posted : October 7, 2010 11:15 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Week 15 CFL games

Edmonton (4-9) @ Hamilton (6-7) - TiCats lost three of last four games, dropping last two at home; they're 2-6 vs spread when favored, 2-4 if at home. Eskimos upset Toronto/Hamilton last two weeks, passing for 384 yards last week in 37-35 slugfest over TiCats. Eskimos are 4-6 vs spread as a dog, 2-4 on road-- they were +5 in turnovers in last two weeks, after being -13 before that game. TiCats have 426 rushing yards in last three games. Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Edmonton games.

Toronto (6-7) @ Saskatchewan (9-4) - Roughriders (-3.5) got outrushed by 112 yards but won 27-16 last week in Toronto. Argonauts lost five of last six games, scoring 17 or less points in all six games- they're 2-4 as road dog. losing away games by 14-31-15-21 points. Toronto is 5-0 if they score 24+ points, 1-7 if they don't. Riders won last three games by 6-3-11 points- they're 6-0 at home, 2-2 as home fave. Seven of last eight Saskatchewan tilts stayed under the total.

Calgary (10-3) @ Montreal (9-4) -
Stampeders passed for 412 yards in last week's 46-21 home win over Montreal; Calgary is 4-2 on road, with losses by 3 at Toronto, 6 in OT in Regina. Montreal is 5-1 at home, 3-3 as home favorite, Alouettes are 8-0 when they allow less than 38 points, 1-4 if they allow more. Stampeders scored 36+ points in six of its last seven games, with six of those seven going over total.

BC Lions (5-8) @ Winnipeg (3-10) - Lions won four of last five games, scoring 30.2 ppg- they won last two road games, scoring 67 points, and are 3-2 as road dog. Winnipeg is 1-8 in last nine games, but split its six home games- they're 1-3 vs spread as favorite. Lions have 19 takeaways in last six games (+5). Four of last five Bomber games were decided by 4 or less points. Lions are 0-7 if they allow more than 17 points. Under is 7-2 in Bombers' last nine games.

 
Posted : October 9, 2010 7:33 am
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Posts: 318493
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CFL Week 15 Preview and Picks
By Charles-André Marchand

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-3.5, 58)

The Stampeders are coming to Montreal for the second of a home-and-away series with the intention of securing a playoff home game. The Stampeders’ attack embarrassed Montreal’s secondary last week. Henry Burris, Ken-Yon Rambo and Romby Briant really had a blast against the Alouettes defense. Can they repeat at Percival-Molson this Monday?

The Alouettes want to avenge that painful lost but they will go without two key elements: center Paul Lambert (biceps) whose season is over and kicker Damon Duval (torn hamstring). A last minute replacement was hired but Duval’s absence could prove costly against a team as powerful as Calgary. At center, sophomore Luc Brodeur-Jourdain, who has had ups and downs in his second professional season, will be asked to replace Lambert.

Pick: Calgary

B.C. Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-3.5, 52)

After a horrendous start, the Lions seem to be back to life, mainly because of their stop unit. On offense, Travis Lulay has done some good work behind center and can also be credited for the Lions resurrection. The hot streak should continue against the Bombers, who’ve lost some key players to injuries and just seem to be jinxed.

Rookie QB Alex Brink will face the Lions. Don’t forget Brinks is the third QB on the Bombers depth chart, behind Buck Pierce (injured) and Steven Jyles. But Winnipeg is desperate and their playoff hopes are fading fast.

Pick: Lions

 
Posted : October 10, 2010 8:50 pm
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