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CFL Week 4 News and Notes

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(@blade)
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Thursday, July 23

HAMILTON (2 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 0)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Friday, July 24

TORONTO (1 - 2) at WINNIPEG (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CALGARY (1 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Saturday, July 25

EDMONTON (1 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 22, 2009 9:28 am
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Thursday, July 23

HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
Hamilton is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Montreal is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton

Friday, July 24

TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Toronto is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Calgary is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
British Columbia is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
British Columbia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Saturday, July 25

EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton

 
Posted : July 22, 2009 9:29 am
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DUNKEL

Hamilton at Montreal
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 meetings in Montreal. Hamilton is the pick (+14 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+14 1/2).

THURSDAY, JULY 23

Hamilton at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.713; Montreal 124.069
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 13 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Montreal by 14 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+14 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, JULY 24

Toronto at Winnipeg
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 101.899; Winnipeg 107.123
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 5; 57
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 3 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-3 1/2); Over

Calgary at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 112.335; BC 110.229
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2; 54
Vegas Line: Calgary by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+3); Under

SATURDAY, JULY 25

Edmonton at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 102.959; Saskatchewan 109.168
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 6; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4); Over

 
Posted : July 22, 2009 9:30 am
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CFL Week 4 preview and picks
By Charles-Andre Marchand

HAMILTON TIGER CATS (2-1) at MONTREAL ALOUETTES (3-0)

The Tiger Cats would love to steal a victory in Montreal and take hold of first place in the East Division. But they will be without linebacker Otis Floyd and don’t have the depth necessary to overtake the Als at this time in the season. Flamboyant slotback Jamal Richardson, who missed last week’s game in Regina, will be back and provides QB Anthony Calvillo another quality target. The Alouettes will remain unbeaten and should cover the 14.5 spread.

Pick: Alouettes

TORONTO ARGONAUTS (1-2) at WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (1-2)

Toronto will be without wide receivers Andre Talbot (sprained ankle) and Matt Lambros (knee) but youngster Mike Bradwell showed he can provide a fine target for Kerry Joseph. The Argos just can’t seem to run the ball consistently despite the obvious talent of running back Jamal Robertson. Former Bombers Dominic Picard and Zeke Moreno would probably like to help the Argos win this one even if they were downplaying any feeling of revenge this week. In Winnipeg, the heat is now on young QB Stefan LeFors and head coach Mike Kelly. This game could be ugly at times and we will carefully go with the Argos on this one.

Pick: Argonauts

CALGARY STAMPEDERS (1-2) at B.C. LIONS (1-2)

There is already a quarterback controversy in Vancouver after Jarious Jackson came off the bench to win one for the Lions after Buck Pierce suffered a concussion. Wally Buono insists Pierce is still the No. 1 man but the pressure to perform is definitely there more than ever. No such controversy in Calgary where Henry Burris finally played to the level expected last week against the Argos, completing 23-of-32 for 348 yards and one touchdown. The Stampeders will prevail in B.C.

Pick: Calgary

EDMONTON ESKIMOS (1-2) at SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (2-1)

After a great start, the Saskatchewan Roughriders were crushed by the Alouettes last week. The defence did, however, stand strong for the first 30 minutes, managing to limit Anthony Calvillo’s bunch to only 14 points. The offensive line of the Eskimos won’t be able to match wits, nor manage to outmuscle the stout front seven of the Riders and quarterback Ricky Ray should have a miserable day. But Darian Durant will need to see much better performances from his receivers if Saskatchewan is to win this one.

Pick: Saskatchewan

 
Posted : July 22, 2009 11:23 pm
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Week 4 CFL games

Thursday, July 23

Hamilton (2-1) @ Montreal (3-0)-- Alouettes been rolling thru CFL so far this year, scoring 40-50-43 points in three easy wins. TiCats are their first game vs eastern opponent this season. Als ran ball for 176-118-145 yards so far in '09. TiCats posted upset wins last two weeks, in games that were both tied at half- they've outscored teams 45-21 in second half.

Friday, July 24

Toronto (1-2) @ Winnipeg (1-2)-- Argos gave up 46-44 points in losing last two games; they've been outscored 45-0 in second half of their two road games. Argos turned ball over five times in each of last two games. Bombers have run ball 29 times for 19 yards in three games, completed less than half their passes in all three games, but are +7 in turnovers.

Calgary (1-2) @ BCLions (1-2)-- Both teams won first game last week, as Stampeders crushed Toronto 44-9, but Stamps still had 16 penalties, have 30 in last two games. Underdog won all three Lion games, with all three going over total- BC protected ball better in first win last week, with just one turnover, after giving ball away eight times first two games.

Saturday, July 25

Edmonton (1-2) @ Saskatchewan (2-1)-- Roughriders have QB issues, as evidenced by Graham Harrell signing- they have only 325 passing yards in last two games. Eskimos gave up 750 passing yards and 90 points in getting waxed last two weeks- in three '09 games, they've been outscored 70-28 in second half. First time Saskatchewan has been favored in 2009.

 
Posted : July 23, 2009 6:48 am
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