Week 4 CFL games
Thursday, July 22
Hamilton (1-2) @ Montreal (2-1)-- Alouettes finally home after a three-game western swing to start season; team that led at half lost all three of Als' games so far, with Montreal outscoring last two foes 32-10 in 2nd half. TiCats' defense shut Winnipeg out in first half last week, after they gave up 36 ppg in first two games. Favorites are 3-9 vs spread so far in CFL this year, going 1-3 all three weeks.
Friday, July 23
BC Lions (1-2) @ Toronto (2-1)-- BC been outscored 34-11 in second half of last two games; they were +3 in turnovers of first two games, are -2 in last two. Home team lost all three of their games. Toronto scored 31.5 ppg in winning last two games, after splitting at Calgary/Winnipeg to start season. Under is 6-6 so far this season.
Saturday, July 24
Edmonton (0-3) @ Winnipeg (1-2)-- Eskimos only winless CFL team, as they've been outscored 45-16 in second half, in losing by 15-10-4 points. They allowed 502 rushing yards this year (167.3 ypg), a ton in the CFL. Bombers scored 83 points in first two games, both at home, then scored lone TD at Hamilton last week. East/West split six games so far in '10.
Saskatchewan (3-0) @ Calgary (2-1)-- Riders trailed at half twice in its three games, outscored 48-33, but after half, they've outscored foes by a 82-42 margin. Calgary's last two games were decided by total of just four points; they outrushed Argonauts 176-54 in winning only home game by 30-16 score. Stampeders turned ball over 10 times in three games (-3).
Thursday, July 22
HAMILTON (1 - 2) at MONTREAL (2 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Friday, July 23
BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 2) at TORONTO (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games in July games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Saturday, July 24
EDMONTON (0 - 3) at WINNIPEG (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 0) at CALGARY (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 94-56 ATS (+32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) in July games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Thursday, July 22
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HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Hamilton's last 19 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Montreal is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Friday, July 23
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BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Saturday, July 24
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EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
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SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Saskatchewan7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
CFL Week 4 Betting Preview and Picks
By Charles-André Marchand
Thursday
Hamilton Tiger Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-7, 53)
Montreal played a much better game on defence in Vancouver and the struggling offence should get back on tracks at home. Hamilton’s coach, Marcel Bellefeuille knows this. Montreal quarterback Anthony Calvillo is second in passing with 902 yards and six touchdown passes in three games.
The Alouettes swept their three-game series against the Tiger Cats last season and that Hamilton has not won in Montreal since 2002. In those three games in 2009, the Als outscored the TiCats 104-54.
These Tiger Cats shouldn't be taken lightly, though. Kevin Glenn was named offensive player of the week after his stellar performance against Winnipeg and veteran slotback Dave Stala, a former Alouette, was the Canadian Player of the Week. This team can be explosive and if their defence manages to unsettle Calvillo, then we could have a much closer game on our hands.
However, a Hamilton win is still a long shot. Don’t bet on it.
Pick: Montreal
Friday
B.C. Lions at Toronto Argonauts (+2, 47)
The Lion may have to play the Argos without starting quarterback Casey Printers, who is fighting through a sore knee. He will be a last-minute decision Friday, according to head coach Wally Buono.
If backup Travis Lulay starts the game under centre, the Argonauts could give their fans another reason to hope for better days to come. Jarious Jackson, who had shoulder surgery in February, could also be called upon to play against Toronto.
On the bright side for B.C., defensive lineman Keron Williams, who sat out for the last two games, has been deemed fit enough to play against the Argos. That may not be enough in Toronto Friday.
Pick: Toronto
Saturday
Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (pick, 48)
Winnipeg will be without starting quarterback Buck Pierce (sprained knee) and will need to rely on Steven Jyles, who was somewhat effective in Friday’s lost to Hamilton (9-for-13 for 95 yards and a touchdown).
New Bombers head coach Paul LaPolice told the media that the Eskimos are “the best 0-3 team” he has seen in a long time. The Eskimos just can’t afford to leave Winnipeg with another loss and, with the return of standout DT Dario Romero giving the defense a boost against an inexperienced QB, they shouldn’t.
Pick: Edmonton
Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders (-1, 56)
After three weeks of activities, the Saskatchewan Roughriders are on top of the CFL with a perfect 3-0 record. However, none of those wins were pretty - starting with the opening-day shootout against the Alouettes to Week 3's ugly 24-20 win against the Eskimos.
The Stampeders look to rebound from their first loss of the season at the hands of the Argonauts in Toronto. With a win, the Stamps would join the Riders in first place of the West Division. They have all the tools to win this one at home and should take advantage of a Riders defensive squad that has been far too generous.
These two teams met twice in Calgary last season and went down to the wire both times. The Roughriders won 24-23 on August 1 and the teams played to a 44-44 overtime draw on October 17.
Pick: Calgary