Week 5 Trends
Thursday, July 30
MONTREAL (4 - 0) at EDMONTON (2 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Friday, July 31
BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 3) at HAMILTON (2 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Saturday, August 1
WINNIPEG (1 - 3) at TORONTO (2 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 2) at CALGARY (2 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 86-53 ATS (+27.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL vs. EDMONTON
Montreal is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Edmonton is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
WINNIPEG vs. TORONTO
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 15 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Calgary is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
DUNKEL
Montreal at Edmonton
The Alouettes look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 road games. Montreal is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2).
THURSDAY, JULY 30
Montreal at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 123.326; Edmonton 109.449
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 14; 51
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2); Under
FRIDAY, JULY 31
BC at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: BC 110.229; Hamilton 103.238
Dunkel Line: BC by 7; 53
Vegas Line: BC by 2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-2); Over
SATURDAY, AUGUST 1
Winnipeg at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 101.731; Toronto 104.689
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3; 41
Vegas Line: Toronto by 5 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+5 1/2); Under
Saskatchewan at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 109.168; Calgary 116.134
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Calgary by 9 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+9 1/2); Under
Week 5 CFL games
Thursday, July 30
Montreal (4-0) @ Edmonton (2-2)-- Unbeaten Alouettes won all four of their games by 13+ points (2-1 as favorite), allowing a total of 34 points in last three games. Eskimos' two wins are by 2-5 points; their losses are by 34-18- hard to believe they're 2-2 with a -9 turnover ratio (only one takeaway in four games). Last three Edmonton games went over total.
Friday, July 31
BCLions (1-3) @ Hamilton (2-2)-- TiCats went to Vancouver, upset the Lions 31-28 three weeks ago (+13.5), running ball for 155 yards, in game where BC outgained them 437-355. TiCats scored 31-25 in wins, 17-8 in its losses- three of their four games stayed under. Lions got waxed 48-10 at home by Calgary last week- dogs covered three of their four games.
Saturday, August 1
Winnipeg (1-3) @ Toronto (2-2)-- Argonauts beat Winnipeg 19-5 last week in sloppy game out west; Toronto turned ball over 13 times in last three games, with 43 penalties for 346 yards. Bombers scored 42 points in their only win, a total of 35 in their three losses- they've completed less than half their passes in all four games this season. Under is 3-1 in both teams' games this season.
Saskatchewan (2-2) @ Calgary (2-2)-- Stampeders scored 92 points in winning last two games, with +7 turnover ratio, after giving up 82 points in losing first two (-2 TO ratio). Saskatchewan has been outscored 87-22 in second half of games, giving up 36-43-38 pts in last three- they lost at home last week after leading by 12 points at the half. Three of their four games went over the total.
CFL Week 5 preview and picks
By Charles-Andre Marchand
Montreal Alouettes (4-8) at Edmonton Eskimos (2-2) +6.5, 55
This game will feature two of the best quarterbacks in the CFL. Anthony Calvillo and Ricky Ray have been ripping defenses apart.
The Als average 40 points a game while the Eskimos have been allowing an average of 35 points a game. The last time these two met in Montreal, the club won 50-16. It will probably be less humiliating at home for the Eskimos, but they still will end up on the losing side of it.
Pick: Montreal
B.C. Lions (1-3) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-2) +2, 51
Three weeks ago, the Tiger-Cats shocked the CFL followers by winning at B.C. place. Last week, the Lions were crushed 48-10 by Calgary and their owner felt the need to apologize to the fans.
The Tiger-Cats proved to be the toughest opponent the Alouettes faced in the first month of action. Now Hamilton is not only playing host to the Lions, but the club will also feature its new receiver Arland Bruce.
Pick: Hamilton
Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-2) at Calgary Stampeders (2-2) -10, 61
The Stamps are back on track after losing their first two games this season. They outscored their last two opponents by 92 points. The Riders, meanwhile, have allowed 81 points in their last two games, which should be a serious indicator of the game we can expect between these two.
The Stamps learned some very bad news yesterday: Their star receiver Ken-Yon Rambo won’t play again this season because of a right knee injury. Nonetheless, Calgary QB Henry Burris has other options and the Grey Cup defending champions have much more depth than their rivals from Regina.
Pick: Calgary
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-3) at Toronto Argonauts (2-2) -4.5, 44.5
Michael Bishop is back in the CFL and is hoping to jump start Winnipeg’s anaemic offence. It might be too little, too late. The Bombers have deeper problems than a simple lack of production at quarterback.
The Argos have problems of their own. They just gave away their best receiver to Hamilton (Arland Bruce III) and have too many injured bodies. Adriano Belli has a serious knee injury and receiver Andre Talbot needs crutches to walk (ankle).
I expect the Argos to prevail but it won’t be pretty.
Pick: Toronto