CFL Week 6 News and Notes

Friday, August 7

TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
Toronto is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home
British Columbia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

Saturday, August 8

EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Edmonton

WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
Winnipeg is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg

DUNKEL

Toronto at Montreal
The Argonauts look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games in Week 6. Toronto is the pick (+13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+13 1/2).

Toronto at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.391; Montreal 120.352
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 10; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 13 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+13 1/2); Over

Saskatchewan at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 105.965; BC 113.429
Dunkel Line: BC by 7 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 59
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1); Under

SATURDAY, AUGUST 8

Edmonton at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 111.722; Hamilton 107.713
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 4; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 52
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-1); Under

Winnipeg at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.123; Calgary 115.335
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 8; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Calgary by 14 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+14 1/2); Over

Ron Raymond's CFL WEEK 6 BETTING TRENDS

TORONTO
When ANY CFL Team played as a Road team -During Week 4 to 8 -Playing on Friday - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Allowed score 13 points or more against
ATS Result :- 12-4-1
SU Result :- 11-5-1
O/U Result :-8-9-0

MONTREAL
When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team -Vs Division Opponent -During the month of August -During Week 4 to 8 - Coming off a Road loss as a Favorite
ATS Result :- 11-17-0
SU Result :- 12-15-1
O/U Result :-12-16-0

SASKATCHEWAN
When ANY CFL Team played as a Road team -Playing on Friday -Vs Division Opponent -Total is 54.5 or more - Coming off a game scored 24 points or more - Coming off a Win over Calgary opponent - Allowed scored 24 points or less against
ATS Result :- 5-11-0
SU Result :- 4-11-1
O/U Result :-7-9-0

SASKATCHEWAN
When ANY CFL Team played as a 0 to 3 Road Underdog -After a division game - Coming off a game scored 24 points or more - Allowed scored 24 points or less against - Coming off a 1 game under
ATS Result :- 5-6-1
SU Result :- 5-7-0
O/U Result :-5-7-0

SASKATCHEWAN
When ANY CFL Team played as Road team as a Underdog -With 5 day off -Playing on Friday -After a division game - Allowed scored 24 points or less against
ATS Result :- 8-9-1
SU Result :- 6-12-0
O/U Result :-4-13-1

SASKATCHEWAN
When ANY CFL Team played as a Road team -After a division game -Playing on Friday - Coming off a game scored 24 points or more - Coming off a Score 21 - 24 AGAINST in last game
ATS Result :- 2-11-0
SU Result :- 3-10-0
O/U Result :-7-6-0

WINNIPEG
When ANY CFL Team played as a 10 or more Road Underdog -Total is between 51.5 to 54 -Vs Non Division Opponent -After a division game - Coming off a game scored 13 points or more
ATS Result :- 4-7-1
SU Result :- 0-12-0
O/U Result :-5-7-0

HAMILTON
When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team -After a non conference game -Total is between 51.5 to 54 -Vs Non Conference Opponent - Allowed scored 20 points or less against
ATS Result :- 10-5-0
SU Result :- 11-4-0
O/U Result :-8-6-1

EDMONTON
When ANY CFL Team played as a Road team -Vs Non Conference Opponent -Vs Non Division Opponent -During the month of August - Coming off a 2 game winning streak
ATS Result :- 11-6-1
SU Result :- 10-8-0
O/U Result :-5-13-0

CFL Week 6 Previews
By Ron Raymond

Toronto Argonauts (51) vs. Montreal Alouettes (-13)

The Toronto Argonauts can build off their defense, as they are the only reason why the Argonauts are able to stay close in the games theyve played this season. If you look up their defensive statistics, they are currently ranked the #1 defense in total yards against, as they?ve allowed 1061 passing yards and 427 via the rush. The Alouettes are a bit banged up on offense this week, as they had a few of their offensive starters sit out Mondays practice and Kerry Watkins left the team for family issues, but should be back before game time on Friday vs. the Argonauts.

The Alouettes are 3-2 ATS and are coming off their first lost of the season to the Edmonton Eskimos, as they fell 33-19 to Ricky Ray and the Eskimos. The Argos are coming off a defensive battle over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and a discipline penalty on the final play of the game cost them the victory, as they were penalized for a delay of game on a long field goal attempt. The UNDER is 4-1-0 for the Argos this season and they are scoring 21.2 points on offense, but have been limited to 12 and 19 points for in their last 2 games. The Alouettes have seen their productions slip a bit the last few weeks, as they were scoring over 40 points a game in their first 3 games, but have scored 21 and 19 in their last two vs. the Tiger Cats and Eskimos.

Toronto is 4-6 SU in their last 10 visits to Montreal, but have covered 60% of their games in this contests, with the OVER hitting at 60%. The Bookmakers have set the Argonauts as a 13 point Road Underdog for this game on Friday and the over/under has been set at 51. The Argonauts are 3-7 SU and against the spread as a Road Underdog in their last 10 games and the UNDER is 6-4-0. Montreal as a Home Favorite in their last 10 games at Percival Molson Stadium are 8-2 SU and 6-4-0 ATS with the UNDER being 7-3-0.

When the Toronto Argonauts are a Road Underdog in their last 10 games vs. Eastern Division foes, they are 5-5 SU and 7-3-0 ATS. Montreal is 8-2 SU and 4-6-0 ATS vs. Eastern division rivals in their last 10 at home.

ATSDatabase.com System of the Game: When ANY CFL team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite (MTL) - After a non division game - Coming off a game where they scored 20 points or less; The Home Favorite (MTL) is 11-1 SU and the UNDER is 9-3-0.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (59) vs. BC Lions (-1.5)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders are coming off a +9.5 point Road Underdog win over the Calgary Stampeders at McMahon Stadium, as they won 24-23 vs. John Hufnagel?s Stamps and shocked the fans in attendance in the process. The BC Lions on the other hand are having the start of a season from hell; the Lions are 1-4 SU to start the year, they can?t stop the run and have got to find a way to stop turning the ball over. The Lions have thrown 9 interceptions in 5 games, fumbled 8 times and have turned the ball over on downs 4 times. The Lions have picked up Linebacker Juan Armour this week and this should help them on the defensive side of the ball, because they need somebody to stuff the run.

The Lions are coming off a lost to the Hamilton Tiger Cats, a game in which they were the Favorite to win and must now face a red hot Saskatchewan Roughriders team off a 9.5 point Road Underdog win. The Roughriders have been successful in their last 10 trips to BC Place; theyve won 60% of their games and covered the spread 8 out of 10 times. The UNDER is 7-3-0 for the Saskatchewan Roughriders in those last 10 trips to Vancouver as well! Plus, when the Roughriders are a Road Underdog in their last 10 CFL Football games, they are 6-4 SU and 7-3-0 Against the Spread, with the UNDER hitting at an 80% clip. The Lions have been dubbed a -1.5 point Home Favorite this Friday and the oddsmakers have set the total at 59. Therefore, the bookmakers are expecting a high scoring affair from both of these teams who cant stop the opposition from scoring. The Roughriders are allowing on average 32.8 points against per game, while the Lions have allowed 31.8.

When you look at this BC Lions football team, you have to wonder how come they are 1-4 SU on the season, they have two capable CFL Quarterbacks in Buck Pierce and Jarious Jackson, have a talented Running Back in Martell Mallet and with receivers like Geroy Simon and Paris Jackson, theres no reason why this team should be winning 20% of its football games. The Roughriders are a funny team, if you look at all of their games this season, they will play hard for 90% of the game and if teams can capitalize during that 10% when they take off, they can be had!

ATSDatabase.com System of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team (BC) -With 6 day off -Playing on Friday -Total is 54.5 or more - Allowed score 30 points or more against; The Home Team (BC) is 14-3-1 ATS in this role since 1996.

Edmonton Eskimos (-1) vs. Hamilton Tiger Cats (52)

Ricky Ray started the year like a lamb, but hes been roaring like a lion in his last 2 starts! The one thing I admire about Ricky Ray, there could be a hail storm rummaging the football field, but Ray will always have the same demeanor. Nothing phases this cat! If you look up Calm, Cool and collected, you will see a picture of Edmonton Eskimos QB Ricky Ray. Ray was outstanding last weekend in his 33-19 win over the Montreal Alouettes and the Eskimos have now played two great back to back football games for new head coach Richie Hall.

If you recall vs. the game vs. Saskatchewan, the Eskimos were down 22-0 in the first half, then a punt return from Tristan Jackson turned that game around and they havent looked backwards since. It could be the punt return that turned their season around. However, they are up against a much improved Hamilton Tiger Cats football team and if youve been following CFL Football as long as I have, you are happy for the Hamilton Tiger Cats fans, because theyve endured some pretty bad football for the last 5 years!

Hamilton is coming off a huge Home Underdog win over the BC Lions last week, as they won 30-18 and beat BC with the running game, as DeAndra Cobb ran for 167 yards and is the 5th leading rusher in the league. Plus, Im glad head coach Marcel Bellefeuille didnt pull the plug on his starting QB Quinton Porter and is allowing him to grow in to the CFL game and to get his lumps in early as a pro.

The Tigers cats are a Home Underdog again this weekend, as the linemakers have made the Tiger Cats a +1 point dog vs. the Eskimos and theyve relish this role of late, as they are 6-3-1 ATS in this spot. The Eskimos have been a funny Road Favorite team the last few years, they are 4-6 SU and 3-7-0 ATS in this spot in their last 10 attempts. The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Ticats as a Home Dog in their last 10 games at Ivor Wynne Stadium and they are 4-6 SU and 5-5-0 ATS vs. Western Division teams L10. Plus, the UNDER is on a 6-0 run for Hamilton vs. Western Division foes at Ivor Wynne.

ATSDatabase.com System of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team (HAM) - During the month of August -Vs Non Conference Opponent - Coming off a game scored 30 points or more - Allowed scored 20 points or less against; the Home Team (HAM) is 13-1 SU in this situation since 1996.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (51.5) vs. Calgary Stampeders (-14.5)

Which Calgary Stampeders football team will show up for John Hufnagel this weekend at McMahon Stadium The Stamps have been a Jekyll and Hyde football team this year; they start the season 0-2, then go on a 2-0 winning streak and then lose a heart breaker last weekend vs the Green Riders from Saskatchewan. Furthermore, the lost of Ken-Yon Rambo will prove to be a big lost for Henry Burris, as its another deep threat taken way from #1 and his main go to guy this season has been 9 year veteran receiver Ryan Thelwell. Thelwell is a good receiver, but he?s got some mileage now in those legs and the rest of the receiving core is not getting any younger too, so one has to wonder how they will perform in the second half of the season and letting these types of games slip away could become contagious and costly for home field advantage for the playoffs.

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have a good QB in Michael Bishop who can now challenge the oppositions secondary and throw the ball more then 15 yards. It was just a matter of time before defensive coordinators caught on with the Blue Bombers offense game plan, because they couldnt throw the deep ball, so teams were stuffing 8 in the box. Now, the Bombers have got to return to running the football and let Fred Reid loose and keep a 60-40 balance on offense and I bet you dollars to doughnuts, they will start seeing a better return on their investment. Winnipeg has a very good defense, they can contain any offensive team in this league and Linebacker Siddeeq Shabazz would be my early vote for defensive player of the year!

However, as much as its back to the drawing board for the Bombers offense this week, they will need to exercise a few demons at McMahon Stadium, they are 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 trips to Calgary and the OVER/UNDER in those games are at the .500 mark. The Bombers won 13-12 last week as a +5.0 point Road Underdog, but they still have some work to do in a Road Underdog role, they are 3-7 SU and 4-5-1 ATS with the UNDER being 8-2-0.

The Stampeders are getting much respect this weekend from the offshore sportsbooks, as theyve labeled the Stamps a -14.5 point Home Favorite and the OVER/UNDER has been set at 51.5. Calgary is 6-4 SU as a Home Favorite in their last 10 games and covered the spread 5 out of 10 times. The Stampeders play good defense as a Home Favorite, the UNDER is 8-2-0 in this role in their last 10 home games. The UNDER is 4-1-0 for the Bombers this season, while the Stampeders have a 2-3-0 o/u record on the season.

Furthermore, this will be a non-division game for both teams and the Blue Bombers are 1-8-1 SU in their last 10 as a Road Underdog vs. Western division rivals and the UNDER is 3-7-0 in those games. Calgary alternatively, are 8-2 SU and against the spread vs. Eastern Division opponents in their last 10 games as a Home Favorite at McMahon Stadium.

ATSDatabase.com System of the Game: When WINNIPEG team played as a +10.0 or more Underdog -Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 ATS win; The OVER is 8-3-0 for the Bombers in this role since '96.

Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 6 Picks
By Charles-André Marchand

Toronto Argonauts at Montreal Alouettes (-14, 51.5)

Matchup trends and stats

The Alouettes (4-1) offense was slowed down last week in Edmonton leading to the club’s first loss of the campaign. Some were wondering if Montreal would lose a game after the way it came out on fire. After four consecutive weeks of generating 400-plus yards, the Als were kept to only 331 last week.

Defense is the Argos’ (2-3) saving grace this summer. Toronto’s D will need to cause a few turnovers to try and keep this one close. The turnover margin was the difference in the Argos’ loss the Blue Bombers last week.

Pick: Alouettes

Saskatchewan Roughriders at B.C. Lions (-1, 58.5)

Matchup trends and stats

Everyone knew coming into the season the Lions (1-4) would be behind the eight ball because of a series of injuries. But nobody expected Wally Buono’s team to find so many ways to beat itself. The Lions have been guilty of poor discipline, careless turnovers, sloppy run defense and a lack of imagination in the opponents’ red zone.

Is this team as bad as its 1-4 record suggests? I don’t think so.

But the Roughriders (3-2) did win in their last 10 trips to Vancouver and, strangely, have been more successful on the road so far this season. It should be a close one but this time the home team should prevail.

Pick: Lions

Edmonton Eskimos at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-1, 52)

Matchup trends and stats

Both stop units participating in this game are above average. Ricky Ray has been dominant in his last two games for the Eskimos (3-2) and his offensive line, after an atrocious start, is finally giving him some time.

The Tiger-Cats (3-2) hope RB DeAndra Cobb, who ran for 167 yards against B.C. last week, can be as successful against the Eskimos, but I wouldn’t hold my breath if a Ti-Cat fan. Edmonton’s defense has stepped up in the last two games and proved capable of stopping the run.

Pick: Eskimos

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders (-14.5, 50.5)

Matchup and trends

Michael Bishop brings more power to Winnipeg’s (2-3) offence and the Bomber defence, led by Siddeeq Shabazz, is in good shape. But the Bombers are still inconsistent putting points up on the board.

Calgary QB Henry Burris has helped the Stampeders (2-3) score the league’s second-highest season point total. The fact that the Bombers have lost their last eight games at Calgary can’t be reassuring to Winnipeg backers.

Pick: Stampeders