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CFL Week 9 Betting News and Notes

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HAMILTON (3 - 4) at MONTREAL (4 - 3) - 8/23/2012, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 2) at WINNIPEG (2 - 5) - 8/24/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 92-66 ATS (+19.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-30 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) off a win over a division rival since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CALGARY (3 - 4) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 4) - 8/25/2012, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 93-61 ATS (+25.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

EDMONTON (4 - 3) at TORONTO (4 - 3) - 8/27/2012, 7:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : August 22, 2012 3:52 pm
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HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG

British Columbia is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of British Columbia's last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 15 games when playing British Columbia

CALGARY vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 23 games

EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Edmonton

 
Posted : August 22, 2012 3:54 pm
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

The entire CFL was back in action in Week 8 after a couple of bye weeks and as a result the race in both the East and West Division is as tight as ever. Winnipeg started things off on Thursday night with a stunning 32-25 victory over Hamilton as a three-point home underdog and Montreal beat Edmonton 38-25 on Friday night as a two-point underdog on the road.

The upsets continued into the weekend with Toronto getting past Calgary 22-14 as a 4½-point road underdog, but British Columbia snapped the streak at three with a convincing 24-5 win over Saskatchewan as a six-point home favorite in Sunday's finale.

The following is brief preview of this week's CFL games along with the opening point spread and 'over/under' lines as provided by 5Dimes.

Thursday, August 23

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes (-4½) Total: 60

Hamilton's loss to Winnipeg dropped it one game back in the East at 3-4 straight-up, but it is 4-3 against the spread. The total has gone 'over' in six of its seven games. Montreal is tied for the lead in the East at 4-3 SU (3-4 ATS) and the total has gone 'over' in five of seven games so far.

The Tiger-Cats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss, while the Alouettes are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU win. Hamilton won the first meeting this season 39-24 as a 2½-point home favorite and is now 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has stayed 'under' in five of the last seven meetings in Montreal.

Friday, August 24

British Columbia Lions (-5) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Total: 50

BC has won its last three games both SU and ATS to open-up a one game lead in the West at 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS). The total has stayed 'under' in six of its first seven games. Winnipeg is now 2-5 SU (3-4 ATS) with the total going 4-2-1 this year.

The Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. The Blue Bombers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win. These two have split the last six meetings SU but BC has the early edge this season with a 33-16 victory on opening day as an eight-point home favorite. The total has stayed 'under' in 12 of the last 15 meetings.

Saturday, August 25

Calgary Stampeders vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (- 2½) Total: 53

Calgary has lost two of its last three games to fall to 3-4 both SU and ATS. The total has stayed 'under' in its last three games after going 'over' in its previous three. Saskatchewan is also 3-4 SU (4-3 ATS) but mired in a four-game skid. The total has gone 4-3 over this stretch of games.

The Stampeders are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss and the Roughriders are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss. Calgary is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings including a 41-38 overtime victory this season as a 3½-point home favorite. The total has stayed 'under' in four of the last six meetings.

Monday, August 27

Edmonton Eskimos vs. Toronto Argonauts (-3½) Total: 45½

Edmonton sits just one game back in the West at 4-3 SU (4-3 ATS) with a 2-1 SU record in the division. The total has been evenly split at 3-3-1 in its first seven games. Toronto is tied for the lead in the East at 4-3 SU (3-4 ATS). The total has stayed 'under' in five of its first seven games.

The Eskimos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss but 1-4 ATS in their last five games on the road. The Argonauts are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. Edmonton has won the last four meetings SU and is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games in Toronto. The total has gone 'over' in three of the last five meetings overall.

 
Posted : August 22, 2012 3:56 pm
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Week 9 CFL Preview

Hamilton (3-4) @ Montreal (4-3) -- TiCats (-2) whacked Montreal 39-24 in Week 4, jumping out to 32-10 halftime lead, but allowed 34-31-32 points in its last three games, giving up 21+ points in second half of all three games. Underdog covered all three Hamilton road games, with totals of 75-69-57. Dogs are 5-2 against spread in TiCat games. Montreal scored 33+ points in its four wins, 10-24-20 in its losses; they're 1-2 as home favorite this year. Alouettes allowed 23+ points in all seven of their games. Six of seven Hamilton tilts went over total, as did five of Als' last six.

BCLions (5-2) @ Winnipeg (2-5) -- Bombers (+7.5) opened season with 33-16 loss in Vancouver, when they were outgained 358-204; after an 0-4 start, Bombers won two of last three games at home, but four of their five losses are by 10+ points. BC won its last three games, allowing 8-9-5 points; they're 2-1 on road and only one of their five wins is by less than 10 points. Lions had one takeaway (-6) in first four games, but have nine (+9) in last three- they had 125 rushing yards in first meeting with Bombers. Last five British Columbia games all stayed under the total.

Calgary (3-4) @ Saskatchewan (3-4) -- Roughriders were 3-0, then lost 41-38 in OT at Calgary in Week 4, and haven't won since, getting outscored 90-50 in second half of those games- they're 2-1 at home, with only loss by point to Hamilton. Riders were +4 in turnovers in 3-0 start, but are -8 since, with no takeaways at all in their last three games. Underdogs covered six of seven Calgary games; Stampeders lost two of three on road, but covered both tries as underdog. Last three Calgary games stayed under total; three of last four Saskatchewan games went over the total.

Edmonton (4-3) @ Toronto (4-3) -- Argonauts (+1.5) opened season with a 19-15 loss in Edmonton- they outgained Eskimos 375-304 but lost. Toronto is favored for only second time this year; they won 25-22 (-7) in first try, but failed to cover vs Winnipeg. Argos won two of three at home, with both wins by three. Edmonton is 4-1 when they allow 20 or less points, 0-2 when they allow more- they're 1-2 on road, with losses by 1-16 points. Eskimos had been +8 in turnovers over 4-game stretch before being even last week. Last four Toronto games stayed under total.

Home (14-14). Favorites (12-16), Over (14-14). West 8-6 vs East.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 22, 2012 8:44 pm
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CFL Preview: Hamilton vs. Montreal
By Covers.com

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes (-4.5, 60)

THE MATCHUP: This marks the second meeting of the season between these two East Division rivals. Hamilton won the first one at home 39-24 as 2 ½-point favorites and the combined 63 points went over the total of 60. Montreal is tied atop the division with Toronto at 4-3 but Hamilton sits right behind at 3-4.

THE LINE: The odds haven’t moved much since this one opened. Some books opened at 4 and later moved to 4.5. The total has held steady at 60, which matches the season high for both teams. The over is 6-1 in Hamilton’s games this season and 5-2 in Montreal’s.

HAMILTON: It’s hard coming up with ways to talk about how bad Hamilton’s defense is. For starters, they let Winnipeg QB Joey Elliott win CFL player of the week honors in just his third start ever last week. The Tabbies also rank worst in just about every category that means anything, which is why no team in the league is a better over bet this season. The Ticats have held only two opponents to fewer than 30 points and maybe the lone bright spot is that one of them happens to be Montreal.

The offense looks like it might be starting to crack at the seams while having to carry the load. Quarterback Henry Burris is having a stellar season but he committed four fumbles last week in a game in which Hamilton committed six turnovers. It was the second straight loss and blown cover for Hamilton.

MONTREAL: When a man is as good for as long as Anthony Calvillo has been, it gets boring talking about him. But you have to because he’s had six straight 300-plus passing yard games and he’s on pace to pass for the most yards of his career, which he did in 2004. That’s big because he happens to be the all-time passing leader in pro football history.

That’s a roundabout way of saying Montreal’s offense is clicking. The Als have won and easily covered the spread in their last two games while scoring a combined 71 points. The defense isn’t much better than Hamilton’s though, allowing 30.4 points per game. This game could come down to who gets the ball last.

BETTING NOTES:

Montreal is 1-7 against the spread in its last eight home games
The Tiger-Cats are 6-1 in their last seven games against a team with a winning record
The Tiger-Cats are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven meetings

 
Posted : August 23, 2012 7:34 am
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CFL Preview: British Columbia at Winnipeg
By Covers.com

British Columbia at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+5.5, 49)

THE MATCHUP: The Lions beat the Blue Bombers 33-16 in the first game of the season and easily covered the 8-point spread. B.C. now comes in on a three-game winning streak while Winnipeg has been just plain streaky lately.

THE LINE: The way B.C. has been playing, don't be surprised if this line moves up from 5.5 points as game time approaches. The total has dropped a point to 49, which means bettors have noticed the way the Lions' defense is performing.

British Columbia: The Lions offense is fun to watch but it's the defense that has stolen the show lately. The D has now gone over 180 minutes without allowing a touchdown - the main reason B.C. has won and covered in its last three games. The Lions have also played under the total in their past five games. The team leads the league with +8 turnover margin and intercepted Saskatchewan three times last week. Meanwhile, the offense is averaging over 400 yards a game.

WINNIPEG: It's a little disturbing just how bad the Bombers defense has gotten compared to last year's 'Swaggerville' performance. Their numbers are pretty close to Hamilton's - the worst defensive team in the league - with 437 yards against per game. They have the most giveaways of any team with 20 this season, a terrible number heading in against a team like B.C. There may be some hope on offense suddenly, though. QB Joey Elliott earned CFL player of the week honors in his first CFL start last week.

BETTING NOTES:

Under is 10-1 in Lions last 11 road games.
Under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings.
Blue Bombers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Blue Bombers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Blue Bombers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

 
Posted : August 23, 2012 8:52 pm
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CFL Preview: Week 9 Weekend Breakdowns
By Covers.com

Calgary Stampeders at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-3.5, 53)

It's a roller coaster season for the Roughriders, who won their first three games to start the year and have now lost their last four. Sasky failed to cover the last three of those. QB Darian Durant needs to limit his interceptions - all seven of 'em have come during the losing streak.

Calgary has won the last four meetings in this series and covered four of those spreads. The Stamps' last three games have played under the total though as they struggle to generate offense. Penalties have hurt them at different times and QB Kevin Glenn is averaging just over 200 yards passing per game - a low number for the Canadian game.

Edmonton Eskimos at Toronto Argonauts (-3.5, 53)

This is the second meeting between these two teams, who traded quarterbacks in the offseason. So far, Edmonton got the worst of the deal with Steven Jyles, who is the lowest passing QB of any passer with seven starts under his belt. He's nursing a toe injury this week and his favorite target, Fred Stamps, is hurting also.

The Argos defense will be put to the test against running back Cory Boyd, who was unceremoniously dumped by the Argos about 10 days ago despite having a strong season so far. The defense ranks second in yards against in the CFL, but Boyd said this week he knows how to run on them. Argos QB Ricky Ray has to take a little comfort in the fact the Als ripped apart a banged up Eskies defense last week.

 
Posted : August 24, 2012 9:30 pm
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