Am not going to say we should have won that game, or anything else, we won that game the same way we list other right side plays all last week and this week period we will jump on some college later we had a nice hit with mercer over last night
Over byu/usc
Unlimited over MARQ/OK ST
Over in UNCG
Both those fuckin teams average close to 80 a game plus out of conf game, and combined for close to 70 1 St half and didn't do shit 2 nd half
I have to say that basketball especially college ball can be a lot of momentum , without a sold out Cameron indoor or other arenas the momentum is empty might be a long winter numbers wise...I followed the Marquette over with a live of 129 that worked might be a way to go?
Original thesis is x Enter mid
Stay with original thesis and if better line appears live add
If a crazy 10-20 point different line over/under appears live then pound
...just some thought
In most scenarios you might sweep but at worst you should take the pound which may not put u in the green but would break even without a loss and move one
So in Marquette You had 149
Live u take 139 Mildly
129 you pound
It should be fairly efffiecent in basketball as swings occur
So using 1 as a basis
149 1 unit
139 2 units
129 4 units
You could also make the change differential on the over at 5 , or 3 instead of 10 but that would also k crease exposure to more losses unless you changed the formula
149-1
146-1
143-1
140-2
137-2
134-2
131-4
128-4
Majority of games would have been around the 137 or more I think the Marquette game was just an anomaly at the 137 over you’d lose 5 units but win 12 or so +7 for the game