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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday 9/28

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HAWAII (1 - 2) at BYU (2 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HAWAII vs. BYU
Hawaii is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing BYU
Hawaii is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
BYU is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Hawaii at BYU
Hawaii: 10-2 Over off a home conference loss
BYU: 5-24 ATS off BB road games

 
Posted : September 25, 2012 9:31 pm
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NCAAF Week 5

Hawaii coach Chow was longtime aide at BYU, developing their rep as a quarterback factory; now he's in his first year as HC, but Warriors lost 12 starters from LY, have been outscored 118-34 in two games vs I-A opponents-- kid on Nevada had seven rushing TDs against them a week ago. Hawaii is 8-8 as road underdogs last 5+ years- they lost 41-20 (+8) to BYU LY, giving up 530 TY. Cougars lost bizarre 7-6 game at Boise last week, when Mendenhall went for 2-point conversion with 3:30 left even though Boise's kicker was awful-- BYU would've had edge in OT. Cougars are 8-4 in last dozen games as home favorites- they've got little bit of a QB controversy going on. MWC road underdogs are 12-3.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 27, 2012 7:56 am
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Hawaii at BYU
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

After nearly pulling an upset on the smurf turf behind an inspiring defensive performance in a 7-6 loss at Boise St. last Thursday, Brigham Young returns home Friday night to take on Hawaii at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

As of Thursday afternoon, most betting boards had BYU (2-2 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) installed as a 27½-point favorite with a total of 50. The offshore book 5Dimes had the Warriors available on the money line for a lucrative 25/1 return (risk $100 to win $2,500).

Bronco Mendenhall’s team couldn’t overcome five turnovers, a horrible performance from its starting quarterback or Mendenhall’s poor decision to go for a two-point conversion against the Broncos. Nevertheless, the Cougars hooked up their backers and covered the number as six-point road underdogs.

Riley Nelson completed 4-of-9 passes for only 19 yards and was intercepted three times. Mendenhall yanked Nelson in favor of promising freshman Taysom Hill, who has outstanding running skills. His mobility provided an immediate spark, as he rushed for 72 yards on 12 carries, including a four-yard touchdown scamper with 3:37 remaining.

The two-point conversion pass failed. I can understand Mendenhall feeling as if his team was fortunate to have a chance to win and, therefore, wanting to try and steal the victory in a one-play scenario.

But with no timeouts left, once the decision was made to go for two, it became an absolute given that if the conversion failed, you had zero choice but to attempt an onside kick. For starters, a three-and-out was the only way BYU would get the ball back. And even if BSU had good field position following an onside attempt, it still wasn’t going to try a field goal for a four-point lead. (Hell, Chris Petersen had passed on field-goal attempts and gone for two four times already!)

Obviously, Mendenhall decided to kick it deep and BSU got a first down and then melted the clock for the win.

Hawaii (1-2 SU, 1-1 ATS) is looking to bounce back from an embarrassing 69-24 loss to Nevada as a seven-point home underdog. The Warriors trailed by only three (20-17) when quarterback Sean Schroeder threw his second touchdown pass midway through the second quarter, but the Wolf Pack responded with 42 unanswered points.

Norm Chow’s team picked up its only win of the season when it trounced Lamar by a 54-2 count in a non-lined affair on Sept. 15. Schroeder threw three TD passes without an interception, while John Lister rushed 10 times for 50 yards and a pair of scores.

Hawaii’s other game was a season-opening 49-10 loss at USC. The Warriors took the cash as 44 ½-point underdogs.

As of Thursday, Nelson was listed as ‘doubtful’ with a back injury and Hill was expected to get his first career start. Senior DE Eathyn Manumaleuna is ‘out’ with a back injury.

BYU has won eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings against Hawaii, including last year’s 41-20 win as an eight-point road favorite at Aloha Stadium. Nelson threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. BYU wide receiver Cody Hoffman had seven catches for 123 yards and one TD.

BYU owns a 21-16 spread record as a home favorite during Mendenhall’s eight-year tenure. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as double-digit home ‘chalk.’

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Since 2006, Hawaii is 11-7 ATS as a road underdog.

BYU needs to get Hoffman more touches.

This is the first of three consecutive home games for BYU. The Cougars host Utah St. next Friday and welcome Oregon St. to Provo the following Saturday (10/13).

The ‘under’ is 2-1 overall for BYU, 1-0 in its home games with a total. Totals have been a wash for Hawaii with one ‘over,’ one ‘under’ and one game without a total.

Sportsbook.ag has West Va. QB Geno Smith installed as the plus-175 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman Trophy. Oregon’s De’Anthony Thomas has the second-shortest odds at plus-185, followed by Kansas State’s Collin Klein (+550), Ohio St.’s Braxton Miller (6/1) and USC’s Matt Barkley (8/1).

Kentucky head coach Joker Phillips told the media Wednesday that he expects starting QB Max Smith to return Saturday vs. South Carolina. Smith did not play due to a shoulder injury in last week’s 38-0 loss at Florida. The Wildcats, who are 21-point underdogs (+950 on money line at 5Dimes) against the Gamecocks, are 4-3 ATS as home ‘dogs under Phillips.

Early line for LSU at Florida next weekend (via Sportsbook.ag): LSU -4.5

 
Posted : September 27, 2012 7:57 pm
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Hawaii at BYU: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Hawaii Warriors at Brigham Young Cougars (-27.5, 50)

The BYU Cougars look to bounce back Friday when they host the Hawaii Warriors after suffering a tough 7-6 loss to Boise State last week. Cougar quarterbacks passed for just 61 yards in the contest – the school’s lowest passing total since getting only 41 yards in a 3-0 loss to Utah in 2003.

Warriors head coach Norm Chow coached at BYU for 27 years as offensive coordinator, assistant head coach and quarterbacks coach under LaVell Edwards. His team fell to 1-2 on the campaign after falling 69-24 to Nevada last week. Hawaii is ranked dead last in the Mountain West Conference.

LINE: BYU - 27.5, O/U 50

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Winds will be light out of the west.

ABOUT HAWAII (1-2, 0-1 Mountain West, 1-2 ATS):

Junior quarterback Sean Schroeder has thrived during his first season as a starting quarterback. Schroeder is connecting on 59.8 percent of his passes and has thrown for 592 yards this season, including a career-high 345 against Nevada. Senior wideout Jeremiah Ostrowski has been Schroeder’s favorite target, hauling in 17 receptions for 148 yards and six scores.

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (2-2, 2-0 Independent, 2-2 ATS):

The Cougars have suffered back-to-back losses to Utah and Boise State and will certainly need more than the 61 yards passing the offense produced last week.

"Sixty-one yards passing, and I feel like I am 61 years old,” joked offensive coordinator Brandon Doman after the contest. “Obviously, 61 [yards] is not good enough. It is not going to win us ball games, and it is not acceptable."

First-string QB Riley Nelson wasn’t at 100 percent in the loss, but BYU coaches say the plan is for him to start Friday. Freshman QB Taysom Hill replaced Nelson, who only threw for 19 yards in the first half, in the third quarter and closed the game. Hill will start Friday if Nelson is unable to suit up. Nelson told the media on Monday he played last week at an estimated 65 percent capacity because of his back ailment.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. MWC.
* Under is 8-1 in Cougars’ last nine Friday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. At home the Cougars are averaging 37.5 scoring, and holding teams to 9.5 points scored on defense.

2. Last season, BYU traveled to Hawaii and beat the Warriors 41-20. This will be the 29th meeting between the teams. BYU leads the all-time series 20-8 and has never lost in Provo.

 
Posted : September 28, 2012 9:18 am
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