USC (5 - 3) at OREGON ST (6 - 2) - 11/1/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SOUTHERN CAL vs. OREGON STATE
Southern Cal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Southern Cal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games
USC at Oregon State
USC: 0-7 ATS off a home win
Oregon St: 26-10 ATS in home games in November
USC at Oregon State: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com
USC Trojans at Oregon State Beavers (-4, 52.5)
USC’s stellar defense figures to be tested Friday against Oregon State at Reser Stadium, where the Trojans haven’t won since 2004. The Trojans held Utah to 201 total yards in a 19-3 victory last week, but weren’t facing Beavers quarterback Sean Mannion, who leads the nation in passing yards and touchdown passes. USC has been ravaged by injuries, especially to its offensive line and receiving corps, and All-American receiver Marqise Lee (knee) is expected to miss at least one more week.
Oregon State bounced back from its season-opening loss to FCS team Eastern Washington with six straight wins before yielding eight sacks in a 20-12 loss to Stanford last week. “Even though we lost, we took a top 10 team to the end,” Beavers coach Mike Riley said. “We saw a lot of good stuff out there and some stuff we have to correct. We’ll use that going forward." USC leads the all-time series 59-11-4, but Oregon State has won three of the past five meetings.
LINE: The Beavers opened -4.5 and are now -4. The total opened at 52.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s. The threat of rain will increase as the game progresses.
ABOUT USC (5-3, 2-2 Pac-12): The Trojans dropped to 116th in the country on third-down conversions with a 27.6-percent success rate after going 3-for-15 against Utah. Andre Heidari kicked four field goals against the Utes to lead USC’s offense, which needs to see continued growth from sophomore quarterback Cody Kessler. The injury bug has impacted the entire roster, but defensive end Leonard Williams has been a constant force while leading the Trojans in tackles (54), tackles for loss (11) and sacks (five).
ABOUT OREGON STATE (6-2, 4-1): After struggling against Stanford, the Beavers' offensive line squares off against a USC squad that leads the Pac-12 in total defense and forced four Utah turnovers last week. Brandin Cooks leads the nation in receiving yards, receptions and receiving TDs, but the Beavers rank 122nd among 123 FBS teams in rushing at 66.6 yards per game. The Beavers are coming off their best defensive game of the season, and are ranked tied for fifth nationally in turnover margin and tied for sixth in interceptions.
TRENDS:
* Home team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Trojans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Over is 9-1 in Beavers last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. USC has allowed a total of 17 points in the first quarter of its first eight games.
2. Oregon State is 56-5 since the start of the 2004 season when leading after three quarters.
3. USC has a 10-3 record in games played Nov. 1, most recently a 56-0 victory over Washington in 2008.
USC at Oregon State
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
With their hopes of getting to the Pac-12 Championship Game at stake, Oregon State and Southern Cal will collide Friday night in Corvallis. As of early Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had the Beavers favored by four with a total of 52.5.
Gamblers can take USC (5-3 straight up, 3-5 against the spread) on the money line for a +170 return (risk $100 to win $170). For first-half wagers, Oregon State (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) is favored by three (with a -120 price tag) with a total of 26.5.
Mike Riley's squad saw its six-game winning streak snapped last Saturday night in a 20-12 home loss to Stanford as a four-point underdog. Sean Mannion's fourth-and-goal pass to Kevin Cummings from the seven was broken up in the final seconds.
USC forced four turnovers and didn't commit any in last week's 19-3 win over Utah as a five-point home favorite. Andre Heidari buried four field goals and Cody Kessler threw for 230 yards and one touchdown to pace the Trojans.
In the win over Utah, USC played without 2012 All-American WR Marquise Lee due to a knee injury. However, Lee has been upgraded to 'probable' at OSU and that's great news for a Trojans' offense that is averaging only 24.6 points per game.
Kessler has had an up-and-down campaign to date. The third-year sophomore has completed 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,560 yards with a 9/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Nelson Agholor has hauled in 30 receptions for a team-high 539 yards and three TDs.
Lee has missed two games and parts of two others, so that's obviously played a tremendous role in his lack of production. And the quality of USC's quarterback play has also been down in 2013. But still, we're talking about a guy that had 11 TD catches as a true freshman and 14 TD grabs last season. Lee has 32 receptions for 403 yards this year, but he has only been in the end zone once.
Tre Madden has rushed for a team-high 671 yards. He has three rushing scores and a 5.3 yards-per-carry average. Justin Davis had run for 361 yards and six TDs with a 6.8 YPC average, but he had to have ankle surgery last week that'll keep him out for the rest of the season.
Silas Redd, the team's leading rusher in 2012 who missed the first five games this year, has only rushed for 192 yards. Redd, the transfer from Penn State, didn't gain a yard in 10 totes vs. Utah.
Oregon State has been one-dimensional on offense all year, but that hasn't been a bad thing. Mannion leads the nation in passing yards (3,263) and TD passes (30) while only being intercepted three times. The junior signal caller has completed 69.1 percent of his throws.
Mannion has one of the country's top WRs in junior Brandin Cooks, who is tops in America in receiving yards (1,256). Cooks has 85 catches and 13 TD grabs, in addition to a pair of rushing scores.
Mannion might be without three of his popular targets against USC. Senior WR Kevin Cummings was lost for the season when he injured his wrist in the final minute against Stanford. Cummings had made 23 receptions for 254 yards and two TDs.
Also, two Oregon State tight ends are 'questionable.' Connor Hamlett, the starter with 23 catches for 198 yards and four TDs this year, missed the loss to Stanford with a knee injury. Caleb Smith (17 receptions for 229 yards and three TDs) might not be able to go this week due to back spasms.
Gamblers should also check the status of OSU junior LB D.J. Alexander, who left last week's game with a shoulder injury and is considered a question mark.
USC's defense is dealing with injuries galore. The Trojans have been without their best pass rusher Morgan Breslin for more than a month. Breslin, who had 13 sacks in 2012, remains out with a hip pointer. Starting CB Anthony Brown (arm) is out this week, while starting LB Lamar Dawson suffered a season-ending injury at practice last week. Finally, reserve safety Gerald Bowman is also out at OSU.
The 'under' is 6-2 overall for USC, 2-1 in its three road assignments. The Trojans' eight games have averaged 43.9 combined points per game.
On the flip side, the 'over' has cashed at a 5-3 overall clip for the Beavers, going 2-2 in their four outings at home. They have seen an average combined score of 67.5 PPG.
These Pac-12 adversaries haven't faced each other since 2010 when Oregon State trounced the Trojans by a 36-7 count as a three-point home underdog. The Beavers have covered the number in five of the last six head-to-head meetings and they have taken the cash in five consecutive games against USC in Corvallis. The Trojans haven't won at OSU since 2004. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.
B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets
Virginia will be trying to snap a five-game losing streak when it hosts Clemson this weekend. The Cavaliers are 3-7-1 ATS as home underdogs on Mike London's watch. The Tigers are 8-7 ATS as road favorites under Dabo Swinney.
Temple has covered the number in four consecutive games, while Rutgers is an abysmal 1-4 ATS when favored this season. The Scarlet Knights, who lost 49-14 at home to Houston last week, are favored by 13.5 over the Owls at home.
Northwestern star RB and special-teams dynamo Venric Mark remains 'out' for the Wildcats, as they travel to Lincoln to face an angry Nebraska squad on Saturday.
Iowa is 9-3-1 ATS as a home underdog in its last 13 such spots going back to 2007. The Hawkeyes are catching 9.5 points Saturday vs. Wisconsin.
Florida OT D.J. Humphries will be out for the next 2-4 weeks with a sprained MCL. The Gators are already without their other starting OT Chaz Green, who went down with a season-ending injury in September. UF might get Ronald Powell back against UGA. 'Ro-Po' was upgraded to 'probable' yesterday, but he was also 'probable' at Missouri two weeks ago and didn't even dress out.
As for Georgia, it will get RB Todd Gurley and safety Tray Matthews back vs. UF. There's a chance one of Aaron Murray's top weapons, WR Michael Bennett, could also return. Bennett is still listed as 'questionable' with a knee injury sustained in a 34-31 overtime win at Tennessee on Oct. 5.
The 'over' is a perfect 7-0 for Florida State The only other perfect team in terms of totals going into last week was Troy. However, the 'under' appeared for the first time in the Trojans' win over Western Ky.
NCAAF Week 10
USC lost its last two road games, 62-41 at Arizona State, 14-10 at Notre Dame; they're thin because of probation, their QB is a soph and they've got an interim coach after Kiffin (who ran the offense) got fired. Oregon State lost to a I-AA team, then won six in row, then lost to Stanford six days ago, 20-12- Beavers had ball in red zone as game ended, but could not tie game. Home team won 11 of last 12 games in this series; Trojans lost last three visits to Corvallis by 29-6-2 points, losing 36-7 in '10, last time teams met. Last week was first time this year State threw ball for less than 367 yards (271). Pac-12 home favorites are 13-6 vs spread this season. Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
Armadillosports.com
Trojans, Beavers clash
By Sportsbook.ag
USC TROJANS (5-3) at OREGON STATE BEAVERS (6-2)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Oregon State -4.5 & 53
Opening Line & Total: Beavers -4.5 & 53
USC looks to go 3-1 under its new coach Ed Orgeron, but it won't be easy to win on the road against an Oregon State team with the top-ranked passing offense in the nation.
The Trojans' struggles have been well documented this season, but since the firing of Lane Kiffin after a 62-41 blowout loss on national television against conference foe Arizona State, the they have gone 2-1 and nearly beat Notre Dame (14-10) in South Bend. The Beavers have used their passing game to score more than 40 points per game this season, leading them to a 4-1 record in conference play. Their sole loss in the Pac-12 came against Stanford last week, where the Beavers were held to only 271 yards in the air, and threw an incompletion in the end zone down 20-12 with one second left on the clock.
Since 1992, USC has dominated in this series, going 13-4 SU against Oregon State, but only 9-8 ATS. These two programs last squared off in 2010, when the Beavers (as 3-point underdogs) defeated the Trojans 36-7 at home. In that game, there was only 585 yards of combined offense between the two teams, with the difference maker being the two turnovers by USC. Oregon State is an impressive 9-3 SU over its past 12 games at home, but has gone only 2-4 ATS in its past six at Reser Stadium. The Trojans are uncharacteristically 1-4 SU (0-5 ATS) in their past five road games. This will be the first time in the past 20 years that Oregon State is favored in this matchup, with USC averaging a two-touchdown spread advantage in those games. Trojans star WR Marqise Lee is questionable for this game with a knee injury.
USC has relied heavily on its defense this year to stay in games, as its offense has struggled (24.6 PPG) and has had to deal with injuries to their number one talent, WR Marqise Lee. He has not played in two of the past three games, and had only two catches for 18 yards in his last game played against Utah on Oct. 19. QB Cody Kessler has made due in Lee’s absence and has gone 36-for-62 (58.1%) for 431 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in the two games. On the season, Kessler has thrown for 1,560 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. With Lee out, WR Nelson Agholor has taken over the role of No. 1 receiver, and has 347 yards on 19 receptions (18.3 avg.) and two touchdowns over the past three games. HB Tre Madden has done well this season with 671 yards on 127 attempts (5.3 YPC) and three touchdowns. He has also added a lot to the passing game with 201 yards receiving (14.4 avg.) and four touchdowns. In his past two games played (did not play against Notre Dame on Oct. 19), Madden has only 17 total attempts.
The Trojans defense has allowed just 19.3 points per game and 317.3 yards per game against on the season, including giving up only 201 total offensive yards against Utah in their last game, a 19-3 USC victory.
Oregon State has torn up opposing defenses through the air and has QB Sean Mannion to thank. Mannion leads the nation in both passing yards (3,263 yards) and passing touchdowns (30), and has thrown for 360+ yards with 3+ touchdowns in every game but one this season. He struggled last week against the Stanford defense with only 271 passing yards and one touchdown. Amazingly, in Mannion’s 391 attempts on the season, he has only three interceptions. Accompanying Mannion atop the nation’s offensive leaderboards is WR Brandin Cooks, who leads FBS in both receptions (85) and receiving yards (1,256) and is also tied for the lead in receiving touchdowns (13). Cooks has caught a touchdown in all but one of the Beavers eight games, including five multi-touchdown games, and has eclipsed 130 yards in six of eight games this season. Oregon State’s rushing attack has added only 533 yards on 219 attempts (2.4 YPC) this season, but does have 10 touchdowns.
The Beavers have needed to put up a ton of points since their defense has not been that good, giving up an average of 27.4 PPG, including giving up a season-high 49 points in their first game of the year, a stunning loss against FCS school Eastern Washington.
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