College Football betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, November 4th, 2016.
C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) at MIAMI OHIO (3 - 6) - 11/4/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE (6 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 6) - 11/4/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST (3 - 6) at BOISE ST (7 - 1) - 11/4/2016, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 131-93 ATS (+28.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 131-93 ATS (+28.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 107-79 ATS (+20.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Central Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Central Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
Miami (Ohio) is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan
TEMPLE vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 7 games
Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Temple
Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Temple
SAN JOSE STATE vs. BOISE STATE
San Jose State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
Central Michigan at Miami Ohio
C Michigan: 8-19 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses
Miami OH: 11-3 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
Temple at Connecticut
Temple: 9-2 ATS after playing a game at home
Connecticut: 1-10 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49
San Jose State at Boise State
San Jose St: 2-11 ATS as a road underdog
Boise St: 21-7 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers
StatFox Super Situations
TEMPLE at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (TEMPLE) off a home win against a conference rival, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season 111-20 over the last 5 seasons. *84.7% | 0.0 units*) 14-4 this year. (77.8% | 0.0 units)
NCAAF Week 10
Central Michigan won five of last six games with Miami, winning last three by 7-12-14 points; Chippewas won 21-9/38-37 in last two visits here. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Miami won its last three games after an 0-6 start, allowing 18.3 pts/game during its win streak. Redhawks are 4-4-1 as home dogs under Martin. Central is 9-2 in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year- they won at Oklahoma State this year, then got upset at Virginia. MAC home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread.
Temple won four of last five games with UConn, with three of four wins by 14+ points. Owls won 36-10/17-14 in last two visits here. Favorites covered last two series games after dogs covered six in row before that. Owls won last three games (by 1-16-21 points), covered last seven; they are 1-2 on road this year, with only win 26-25 at UCF. Temple is 6-5 as road favorite under Rhule. Huskies lost last three games, allowing 35.7 pts/game; they’re 21-10 as home dogs last nine years, 1-1 this year. AAC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread.
Boise State’s last three games were all decided by 5 or less points; they got upset at Wyoming LW, are 0-4 as home favorites this year, 6-11 under Harsin. Last five years, Boise is 9-3 vs spread in game following a loss. Broncos won last 11 games with San Jose State, covering last five, winning by average score of 42-11. Spartans covered once in last five games on blue turf, losing 45-7/42-7 in last two visits here. Boise ran for 512 yards in last two meetings. Mountain West home favorites are 5-9 vs spread. San Jose is 2-12 in last 14 games as a road underdog.
Armadillosports.com
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
Temple at Connecticut
Temple (6-3 straight up, 8-1 against the spread) is in charge in the AAC East and will win the division title if it can win its last three games at UConn, at Tulane and vs. East Carolina. Matt Rhule’s team is on fire for our purposes, covering the spread in eight consecutive games since dropping its season opener by a 28-13 count to Army. Since the regular-season finale in Rhule’s second season, the Owls have compiled a 17-7 SU record while cashing tickets at a 18-6 ATS clip.
Temple is 4-1 in league play, leaving it tied with USF atop the standings. However, the Owls own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Bulls by virtue of their 46-30 win as 6.5-point home underdogs two Fridays ago. Ryquell Armstead led the way against USF by rushing for 210 yards and two TDs on 20 carries. Jahad Thomas added two more TD runs, while P.J. Walker threw for 209 yards and one TD without an interception.
Temple won its third straight and fifth in its last six games by beating Cincinnati 34-13 as a 9.5-point home ‘chalk’ last week. The Owls produced 474 yards of total offense and limited the Bearcats to just 186 yards. Walker threw for 199 yards and two TDs without an interception, while Thomas rushed 17 times for 151 yards. Armstead ran for 61 yards and two scores on 18 totes. Ventell Bryant and Adonis Jennings had TD catches.
Temple owns a 4-3 spread record as a road favorite on Rhule’s watch.
As of Wednesday afternoon, most books had Temple installed as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5 points. The Huskies were +330 on the money line (risk $100 to win $330).
UConn (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) has lost three consecutive games and five of its last six, including last week’s 41-3 blowout defeat at East Carolina. Bryant Shirreffs completed 16-of-30 passes for 180 yards with two interceptions. The Huskies managed only 89 rushing yards on 31 attempts for an abysmal 2.9 yards-per-carry average.
UConn has wins vs. Maine (24-21), vs. Virginia (13-10) and vs. Cincinnati (20-9). The Huskies have lost at Navy (28-24), vs. Syracuse (31-24), at Houston (42-14), at USF (42-27) and vs. UCF (24-16).
UConn is 1-1 both SU and ATS as a home underdog this season. The Huskies are 5-6 both SU and ATS in their 11 games as home ‘dogs since Bob Diaco took over.
UConn’s defense ranks No. 25 in the country against the rush, limiting foes to 125.3 yards per game on the ground. This unit is led by senior safety Obi Melifonwu, who has a team-high 74 tackles, two interceptions, one tackle for loss, one fumble recovery and three passes broken up. Another standout is junior LB Junior Joseph, who has recorded 60 tackles, four QB hurries, one TFL and one PBU.
UConn’s offense averaged 15.5 and 17.2 PPG in Diaco’s first two seasons at the helm. The Huskies have slightly improved to 18.3 PPG, but that number still ranks them No. 126 in the nation out of 128 FBS schools. Shirreffs has completed 58.7 percent of his throws for 2,010 yards with a 7/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His favorite target is senior WR Noel Thomas, who has 83 receptions for 1,058 yards and three TDs. Thomas ranks fifth in the country in receiving yards.
Junior RB Arkeel Newsome has rushed for a team-best 528 yards and four TDs while averaging 4.5 YPC. Shirreffs has rushed for 326 yards and two scores, while Ron Johnson has four rushing TDs.
Temple is 11th in the nation in total defense, giving up only 306.4 YPG. The Owls are sixth in pass defense, allowing only 163.7 YPG. They are giving up 22.7 PPG. This stop unit is led by senior LB Stephaun Marshall, who has produced 43 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s and two PBU.
Walker has connected on 57.6 percent of his passes for 1,990 yards with a 13/10 TD-INT ratio. Keith Kirkwood is his favorite target, hauling in 27 catches for 420 yards and three TDs. Bryant has 23 receptions for 412 yards and two TDs.
Thomas, a first-team All-AAC selection when he ran for 1,262 yards and 17 TDs in 2015, missed Temple’s first two games. Since then, Thomas has run for 564 yards and nine TDs on 118 carries for a 4.8 YPC average. Armstead has rushed for a team-high 674 yards and 11 TDs on 109 totes. Armstead averages 6.2 YPC. Thomas has 23 catches for 281 yards and three TDs.
The ‘over’ is 5-4 overall for the Owls, 2-1 in their road assignments. They’ve seen the ‘over’ go 5-2 in their last seven outings.
The ‘under’ is 5-4 overall for UConn, 4-1 in its home games.
Kickoff is scheduled for Friday night at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.
B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets
There are two additional games on Friday’s card, including Central Michigan at Miami (OH.) and San Jose State at Boise State.
Boise State (7-1 SU, 2-6 ATS) is off its first loss of the season and it was costly one. BSU went down 30-28 at Wyoming as a 14.5-point road ‘chalk.’ This leaves the Broncos at 3-1 in Mountain West Conference action, while the Cowboys improved to 4-0 in MWC play. This means Bryan Harsin’s club must win out and Wyoming must lose twice in order for Boise St. to get to the MWC Championship Game. The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for the Broncos, 4-0 in their home games. As of Wednesday, most spots had BSU installed as a 29-point home favorite with a total of 57.5 points. Since Harsin took over, Boise St. has posted a 6-11 spread record in 17 games as a home ‘chalk.’
San Jose State (3-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) has seen the ‘under’ cash in four consecutive games. The Spartans have won two of their last three contests, including a 30-24 win over UNLV as three-point home underdogs last weekend. Senior QB Kenny Potter threw for 292 yards and two TDs without an interception against the Rebels. San Jose St. has gone 1-3 ATS in four games as a road underdog this year. Since Ron Caragher took over in 2013, the Spartans are an atrocious 4-13 ATS as road ‘dogs.
BSU and San Jose State will kick from Albertsons Stadium on the smurf turf at 10:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.
CMU and Miami (OH.) are set for a 6:00 p.m. start on the CBS College Network. As of Wednesday, the Chippewas were favored by 3.5 with a total of 47. CMU has dropped back-to-back games, including a 27-24 loss to Kent St. as a 12-point home favorite this past Saturday. The Chippewas have limped to a 1-5 spread record in their last six outings.
Miami (OH.) lost its first six games of the season but has responded with straight victories both SU and ATS. The Redhawks beat Kent St. 18-14 at home before going on the road and winning 40-26 at Bowling Green and 28-15 at Eastern Michigan. They are 2-1 ATS as home ‘dogs this year and 5-4-1 ATS as home puppies on Chuck Martin’s watch.
Colorado remains the best ATS team in America with a perfect 8-0 spread record. The next-best ATS squads include Temple (8-1), Auburn (7-1), Western Michigan (8-2) and Eastern Michigan (7-2).
The worst ATS squads who are all 1-7 versus the number include Florida Atlantic, Arizona, Nevada, TCU and Georgia Southern. Oregon is 1-6-1 ATS, while Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS.
According to multiple reports out of Los Angeles, UCLA sophomore QB Josh Rosen will miss the rest of the season due to a shoulder injury.
With last week’s spread cover in a 24-20 loss at Ohio St. as a 25.5-point road underdog, Northwestern improved to 25-15 ATS as a road underdog during Pat Fitzgerald’s 11-year tenure. The Wildcats, who have covered the number in four straight outings, also upped their ATS record to 11-5 ATS in their last 16 as double-digit ‘dogs. Northwestern hosts Wisconsin this weekend.
Baylor RBs Shock Linwood and Terrence Williams are both ‘questionable’ vs. TCU due to injuries.
NCAAF Game of the Day: San Jose State at Boise State
By Covers.com
San Jose State at Boise State (-29, 57.5)
Boise State suffered a discouraging loss to Wyoming last weekend and the No. 24 Broncos attempt to bounce back when they host San Jose State on Friday in Mountain West play. The 30-28 setback makes Boise State a long shot for the Cotton Bowl bid that goes to the top team from a non-power conference because the Broncos would have to make up two games on the Cowboys just to reach the conference title game.
Boise State allowed a season worst for points against Wyoming and the players were adamant that they will rebound from the painful outcome. "It's time to move on," sophomore defensive end Durrant Miles told reporters. "Obviously, we can't go back and change it, as much as we'd love to, but all we can do is move forward." Boise State is tied for 122nd in turnover margin -- committing 13, forcing just four -- while the Spartans have gone 12 consecutive quarters without committing a miscue. "It's no coincidence we've won the turnover battle the last three weeks and won two of those three games," San Jose State coach Ron Caragher said. "We always preach to our guys that we need to protect the football. I'll take a sack any day over just throwing the football up for grabs. That's a streak we're going to look to build upon."
LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Boise State -28 and has been bet up as high as -29 while the total has held at 57.5. Follow the complete line history, here.
INJURY REPORT:
San Jose State - CB Cameron Smith (shoulder, questionable), RB Thomas Tucker (concussion, questionable), RB Brandon Monroe (concussion, questionable)
Boise State - UT Gabe Perez (shoulder, out for season), Skyler Seibold (knee, out for season),
WEATHER REPORT: Sunny skies are expected for kickoff at Albertans Stadium, with a 0 percent chance of rain and temperatures in the mid-60s.
ABOUT SAN JOSE STATE (3-6 SU, 3-5 ATS, 3-5 O/U): The Spartans are averaging 23.1 points per game with senior quarterback Kenny Potter passing for 1,544 yards and 11 touchdowns against six interceptions. Potter has two reliable targets as senior receiver Tim Crawley has caught 34 passes for 389 yards while sophomore wideout Tre Hartley stretches the field with 33 receptions for 572 yards. San Jose State is giving up 35.1 points per game - it has allowed 34 or more points seven times - but has a couple standouts in junior cornerback Andre Chachere (team-high three interceptions) and senior defensive end Nick Oreglia (team-best 8 1/2 tackles for losses).
ABOUT BOISE STATE (7-1 SU, 2-6 ATS, 2-6 O/U): Sophomore quarterback Brett Rypien has passed for 2,359 yards and 15 touchdowns but three of his six interceptions have come in the past two games. Junior Jeremy McNichols leads the nation with 18 total touchdowns (14 rushing, four receiving) and ranks sixth nationally with 1,058 rushing yards while senior receiver Thomas Sperbeck is excelling with 55 catches for 890 yards and seven touchdowns. Senior weak-side linebacker Ben Weaver has a team-best 72 tackles after matching his career high of 16 against Wyoming and sophomore defensive tackle David Moa has a team-leading 6 1/2 sacks.
TRENDS:
* Spartans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games.
* Broncos are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
* Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games on field turf
* Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games vs. a team with a losing record
* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings
CONSENSUS: The Broncos are the team of choice in this one, with 61 percent of bets taking Boise State -29. 73 percent of bets taking the over.