College Football betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, October 21st, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.
S FLORIDA (6 - 1) at TEMPLE (4 - 3) - 10/21/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
S FLORIDA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON (2 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (3 - 3) - 10/21/2016, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST (2 - 5) at SAN DIEGO ST (5 - 1) - 10/21/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. TEMPLE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Florida's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games on the road
Temple is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games
SAN JOSE STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
San Jose State is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State
San Diego State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Jose State
OREGON vs. CALIFORNIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing on the road against California
Oregon is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
California is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of California's last 8 games
South Florida at Temple
S Florida: 8-1 ATS as a favorite
Temple: 9-1 UNDER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog
Oregon at California
Oregon: 14-4 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
California: 18-42 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
San Jose State at San Diego State
San Jose St: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog
San Diego St: 8-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49
College Football Week 8
Temple pulled rabbit out of its hat at UCF last week, rallying from down 25-7 to stun Knights on a TD pass with 0:01 left. Owls covered their last six games; they’re 7-3 as a home underdog under Rhule. USF won 45-20 in both road games this year (Syracuse/Cincy); Bulls are 4-1 in last five games as a road favorite. USF won its last three games, all by 15+ points; they’ve run for 300+ yards in each of last two games. Home side won last two South Florida-Temple games; underdogs covered both. Four of last five Temple games stayed under total.
Oregon-Cal both had last week off. Oregon lost its last four games, allowing 49.3 pts/game; they got crushed 70-21 by Washington in last game, giving up 378 rushing yards. Oregon allowed 1,333 TY in last two games. Cal Bears allowed 474 RY in its last game, a 47-44 loss at Oregon State.; Golden Bears are 0-2 when favored this year (both on road); they’re 4-6 as home favorites under Dykes. Ducks won last seven games with California, covering last five- they won 59-17/15-13 in last two visits here, but are just 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Berkeley.
San Jose State scored 17 or less points in four of five I-A games; they held off Nevada 14-10 at home last week. Spartans are 2-11 vs spread in last 13 games as a road underdog. San Diego State won 26-7/17-3 in its last two games (rushing for 547 yards) after getting upset at South Alabama; Aztecs won their last three games with San Jose, winning 30-7/38-7 last two years. Spartans lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 31-31-27 points. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. Mountain West home favorites are 3-6 vs spread.
Armadillosports.com
Pac-12 Report - Week 8
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Oregon at California
The Ducks have had two weeks to make adjustments and get back on track after a four-game losing streak, something that is just unheard of in Eugene in recent years. The Ducks head into this game as the only Pac-12 team having failed to cover at least once, going 0-5-1 ATS in six games so far. Despite the struggles, Oregon is an impressive 22-6-1 ATS in their past 29 road games and they're 5-0 ATS in their past five meetings against Cal. The Golden Bears enter this game 9-20 ATS in their past 29 home games while going 1-4 ATS in their past five conference games while going 8-23 ATS in their past 31 following a straight up loss. The under has connected in seven of the past nine meetings in this series. The line is set at 87 1/2 as of Wednesday morning with Cal favored by a field goal.
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
South Florida at Temple
South Florida (6-1 straight up, 5-2 against the spread) is thriving in its fourth season of Willie Taggart’s tenure. The Bulls have posted wins vs. Towson (56-20), vs. No. Illinois (48-17), at Syracuse (45-20), at Cincinnati (45-20), vs. East Carolina (38-22) and vs. UConn (42-27). They have just one loss to ACC powerhouse FSU by a 55-35 count on Sept. 24.
USF failed to cover the 20-point spread in last week’s win over the Huskies at Raymond James Stadium. The 69 combined points catapulted ‘over’ the 53.5-point total. The Bulls went to intermission with a 14-3 advantage over UConn, only to see the Huskies score twice and take the lead in the first three minutes of the third quarter. Taggart’s bunch answered with 14 straight points on an eight-yard touchdown run by junior quarterback Quinton Flowers, who also found Marquez Valdes-Scantling for a 26-yard scoring strike. After UConn trimmed the deficit to 28-20 with 8:12 remaining thanks to a short field goal, USF created some separation with a 29-yard TD pass from Flowers to Mitchell Wilcox with 4:21 left for a 35-20 lead. When Marlon Mack scored on a 34-yard TD scamper with 2:57 remaining, the Bulls were ahead of the number with a 42-20 advantage for the first time in the entire game. However, to the disgust of USF backers, UConn QB Bryant Shirreffs found Alec Bloom for a four-yard TD pass with 57 ticks left to give the Huskies the backdoor cover in the 42-27 defeat.
Flowers rushed for a team-high 157 yards and three TDs on 16 attempts. He also completed 23-of-37 throws for 213 yards and two TDs, but he was intercepted twice. Mack rushed 16 times for 107 yards and one TD and also had six catches for 75 yards.
As of Thursday, most betting shops had South Fla. listed as a seven-point favorite with a total of 60 points. The Owls were +220 on the money line (risk $100 to win $220).
USF owns a 4-1 spread record in five games as a road favorite on Taggart’s watch, including 45-20 wins at Syracuse and Cincy this year.
USF’s offense ranks eighth in the nation in scoring, producing 44.1 points per game. The Bulls are 15th in total offense and eighth in rushing with a 261.9 yards-per-game average.
Flowers has connected on 58.6 percent of his passes for 1,530 yards with a 13/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has also run for a team-best 655 yards and seven TDs with a 7.0 yards-per-carry average. Mack has rushed for 592 yards and nine TDs and also has a 7.0 YPC average. Rodney Adams has a team-high 32 receptions for 459 yards and four TDs.
Temple (4-3 SU, 6-1 ATS) can pull into a first-place tie with USF in the AAC East with a win in this spot. Actually, the Owls would then own the tiebreaker so they’d technically be ahead of the Bulls despite an identical record in league play. They improved to 2-1 in conference action with last week’s 26-25 come-from-behind win at Central Florida as 3.5-point road underdogs.
Matt Rhule’s squad trailed 25-7 at UCF late in the second quarter until senior RB Jahad Thomas scored on a seven-yard TD run. In the third quarter, the Owls pulled to within 25-20 thanks to a pair of field goals from Aaron Boumerhi. Still behind by that margin, Temple took possession at its own 30 with 32 ticks left. P.J. Walker connected on passes of 20, 16 and 26 yards to move to the UCF eight with 10 seconds remaining. With the clock stopped to move the chains, UCF understandably felt like the Owls were about to spike the ball. Instead, Walker threw to the end zone and found a leaping Keith Kirkwood in the back of the end zone with one second remaining to lift his team to the improbable victory in Orlando. Thomas rushed for 120 yards and one score on 27 attempts. He also had three catches for 33 yards and one TD. Walker completed 12-of-24 passes for 167 yards and two TDs with one interception. Ventell Bryant had five catches for 94 yards.
Since losing at home to Army by a 28-13 count as a 14.5-point ‘chalk’ in its season opener, Temple has taken the cash in six consecutive games. The Owls have won three of their four home games both SU and ATS, including wins over Stony Brook (38-0), Charlotte (48-20) and SMU (45-20).
Temple’s two other losses came at Penn State (34-27) and at Memphis (34-27).
There’s something about these evened-year seasons for Walker. As a freshman in 2013, an odd-numbered year, Walker had 20 TD passes compared to only eight interceptions. But in 2014, he slumped with a 13/15 TD-INT ratio. Then during the ’15 campaign when the Owls won 10 games, Walker had a 19/8 TD-INT ratio. This season, however, he has completed just 56.2 percent of his passes for 1,582 yards with a 10/10 TD-INT ratio.
Thomas, who rushed for 1,262 yards and 17 TDs last year, missed the first two games with an injury. In the five games since his return, Thomas has run for 357 yards and seven TDs with a 4.2 YPC average. He also has 18 receptions for 251 yards and three TDs. Ryquell Armstead has 71 carries for a team-high 403 yards and seven TDs with a 5.7 YPC average. Kirkwood has 23 catches for 334 yards and three TDs.
Temple has been a home underdog 10 times during Rhule’s four-year tenure, compiling a 7-3 spread record with three outright victories.
Temple owns an 18-7 spread record in 25 games as an underdog on Rhule’s watch.
Temple came to Tampa with an 8-1 record and ranked No. 21 in the country last season, but USF took it to the Owls. The Bulls led 31-10 at intermission on their way to a 44-23 win as two-point home underdogs. The 67 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 44.5-point total. Flowers threw for 230 yards and two TDs without an interception. Mack rushed 21 times for 230 yards and two TDs, while Flowers rushed for 90 yards and one TD on 18 attempts. Adams hauled in seven receptions for 147 yards and one TD, while Mack added three catches for 42 yards and one TD. In the losing effort, Walker completed only 20-of-48 passes for 259 yards and one TD with one interception. Thomas was limited to 65 rushing yards and one TD on 16 carries.
Temple senior free safety Nate L Smith is listed as ‘questionable’ this week. Rhule told local reporters that Smith participated in non-contact drills at Tuesday’s practice. Smith has recorded 27 tackles with one interception and one tackle for loss. Junior safety Sean Chandler, who was a second-team All-AAC selection last year when he had 66 tackles, 4.5 TFL’s, four interceptions and 10 passes broken up, is ‘out’ again this week due to a knee injury. Chandler, who will be missing a fourth straight game, had 23 tackles, one interception and 1.5 TFL’s before getting injured.
The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for the Owls, 2-2 in their home outings. They have seen their games average combined scores of 55.0 PPG. The ‘over’ had cashed in four straight for Temple until last week’s 51 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 51.5-point tally when the Owls two-point conversion try with one second left failed.
The ‘over’ has hit at a 5-2 clip overall for USF, going 1-1 in a pair of road assignments. The Bulls have seen their games average combined scores of 70.0 PPG.
As of Wednesday, the weather.com forecast for Friday night at Lincoln Financial Field called for a 50-percent chance of rain with 14 mph winds and a low temperature of 47 degrees.
Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.
Oregon at California
As of Thursday, most spots had California (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 87.5 points. The Ducks were +135 on the money line. The 87.5-point tally is the highest of the entire season in college football.
Oregon (2-4 SU, 0-5-1 ATS) has lost four in a row and has the nation’s worst ATS record. The Ducks have been deplorable on defense recently, giving up 35, 41, 51 and 70 during their four-game slide.
Mark Helfrich is on the hot seat in the fourth season of his tenure. Oregon started the season with wins over UC Davis (53-28) and Virginia (44-26) at home, but it has now dropped games at Nebraska (35-32), vs. Colorado (41-38), at Washington State (51-33) and vs. Washington (70-21).
Chris Petersen’s UW squad went into Autzen Stadium in Eugene and dealt out a ruthless beatdown. The scary part of this clubbing was that the Huskies had 70 with 9:58 remaining in the fourth quarter. They led by scores of 28-0 and 42-7, producing 682 yards of total offense. In the losing effort, true freshman QB Justin Herbert completed 21-of-34 passes for 179 yards and two TDs with one interception. He was making his first career start.
Herbert is expected to get his second starting nod ahead of Montana State transfer Dakota Prukop, who started the first five games. Prukop had connected on 66.2 percent of his passes for 1,173 yards with an 8/2 TD-INT ratio.
Oregon leads the Pac-12 in rushing, splitting the carries between four different productive RBs. Royce Freeman has run for a team-best 513 yards and seven TDs while averaging 7.7 YPC. Tony Brooks-James has 331 rushing yards, six TDs and a 7.0 YPC average. Kani Benoit (32-222, 2 TDs, 6.9 YPC) and Taj Griffin (29-168, 3 TDs, 5.8 YPC) also get their fair share of touches.
Oregon’s best WR is junior Darren Carrington, who has 24 catches for 351 yards and three TDs. Charles Nelson has 31 receptions for 285 yards, but he hasn’t scored yet.
Oregon is ranked 127th in the nation in total defense, allowing 522.3 yards per game. The Ducks are No. 125 in scoring defense (41.8 PPG).
Oregon will be without three starters due to injuries: WR Dwayne Stanford, OT Tyrell Crosby and LB Johnny Ragin. Stanford has 13 receptions for 175 yards and one TD, while Ragin had 29 tackles, one TFL and one QB hurry before going down with a season-ending injury after four games.
Cal has wins vs. Hawaii (51-31 in Sydney, Australia), vs. Texas (50-43) and vs. Utah (28-23). The Golden Bears have lost 45-40 at San Diego State, 51-41 at Arizona State and at 47-44 at Oregon State in double overtime.
In the double OT loss at Oregon State, senior QB Davis Webb injured his hand and was held to season lows in every statistical category. Webb, who used the bye week to get healthy, completed only 23-of-44 passes for 113 yards and zero TDs with one interception. Therefore, Sonny Dykes’s offense leaned on ground attack and it worked. Khalfani Muhammad rushed for 164 yards and one TD on 21 carries. Tre Watson added 134 rushing yards and two TDs on 16 attempts.
Webb has completed 183-of-301 passes for 2,256 yards with a 22/7 TD-INT ratio. The Texas Tech transfer has also rushed for three TDs. Webb’s favorite target is Chad Hansen, who has 59 receptions for 770 yards and eight TDs. Demetris Robertson, a true freshman who was a five-star recruit, has 20 catches for 338 yards and five TDs. Melquis Stovall, another true freshman who was a four-star signee, has 24 receptions for 274 yards and two TDs.
Muhammad has rushed for a team-high 377 yards and two TDs while averaging 6.9 YPC. Vic Enwere was recently lost for the season due to a broken foot. Enwere had rushed for 336 yards and a pair of scores with a 5.5 YPC average. Watson has 297 rushing yards, two TDs and a 5.8 YPC average.
Cal is fourth in the country in passing yards (377.8 YPG) and 10th in scoring, averaging 42.3 PPG.
Cal ranks No. 121 in total defense (494.7 YPG), No. 127 in rushing defense (283.8 YPG) and No. 123 in scoring ‘D’ (40.0 PPG).
Oregon has won seven in a row over Cal by an average margin of 26.0 PPG. The Ducks have produced a 6-1 spread record in those contests. The ‘under’ is 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings.
When these Pac-12 rivals met in Eugene last year, Oregon captured a 44-28 win as a four-point home ‘chalk.’ Freeman was the catalyst with 180 rushing yards on 29 carries.
The ‘over’ has cashed at a 5-1 overall clip for the Golden Bears, going 1-1 in their home outings. They have seen their games average combined scores of 82.3 PPG.
The ‘over’ is 4-2 overall for the Ducks, 1-1 in their road assignments. Their games have averaged combined scores of 78.7 PPG.
ESPN will provide the telecast at 10:30 p.m. Eastern.
B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets
There’s a third game on Friday’s card: San Jose State at San Diego State. As of Thursday, most books had the Aztecs as 23.5-point home favorites with a total of 48.
Since Utah joined the Pac-12 in 2011, all five of its games against UCLA have gone ‘under’ the total. When the Utes and Bruins meet at The Rose Bowl this weekend, the Utes will be without a number of key players. Junior safety Marcus Williams, who was a first-team All Pac-12 selection last year, is ‘out’ with an undisclosed injury. Williams is third on the team in tackles (33) and has three interceptions, one TFL and one forced fumble. Utah offensive tackle J.J. Dielman is also ‘out’ after sustaining a season-ending foot injury earlier this month. Dielman was a second-team All Pac-12 pick last year. In addition, junior LB Sunia Tauteoli is ‘out’ with a leg injury. Tauteoli is tied for the team lead in tackles with 43 stops, one interception (for a TD via 41-yard return), two TFL’s, one sack and one forced fumble. The Bruins are seven-point home favorites against Utah.
Oregon State starting QB Darell Garretson is out for the rest of the year with an ankle injury. Also, the Beavers' No. 2 QB is out this week at Washington, so third-stringer Marcus McMaryion will get the second start of his career against the Huskies. The QB depth situation is so dire for OSU that Utah State legend Chuckie Keeton, who is now the quality control coach for his former head coach Gary Andersen, will run the scout team this week. Keeton's eligibility at Utah State ran out after last season.
Southern Cal junior WR Steven Mitchell is out for the rest of the season with a torn ACL. Mitchell had 24 receptions for 226 yards and two TDs this year.
Michigan State has lost four in a row for the first time during Mark Dantonio’s tenure.
With FAU finally getting its first spread cover of the season last week, Oregon is now the only school in the nation that has yet to cover. The Ducks, who are 0-5-1 ATS and have lost four in a row outright, are at California on Friday night.
Best ATS squads: Colorado (7-0), Western Michigan (6-1), Eastern Michigan (6-1), Temple (6-1), Auburn (5-1), North Carolina State (5-1), Wisconsin (5-1), Nebraska (4-1-1), North Texas (4-1-1) and Tulane (4-1-1).
NCAAF Game of the Day: Oregon at California
By Covers.com
Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears (-3, 89.5)
Two of the most disappointing teams in the Pac-12 meet Friday as Oregon visits California, which is looking to bounce back from a surprising 47-44 overtime loss at Oregon State on Oct. 8. The Ducks are off to their worst start in 30 years and bring a four-game losing streak into the contest, but they’ve won their last seven straight matchups against Cal.
Oregon appeared to be a team in disarray following the Washington rout two weeks ago, when the Ducks allowed Huskies quarterback Jake Browning to throw for 304 yards and a school-record six touchdowns. “We’ve got some guys on our team who are busting their tails to win and other guys on our team that don’t even care if we win or lose,” senior offensive lineman Cameron Hunt told the Register-Guard. “I don’t think everyone is bought-in.” The Ducks will look to come together against the inconsistent Golden Bears, who beat Texas and Utah but allowed Oregon State to rush for 474 yards and record its first conference win in nearly two years. Friday’s contest figures to feature plenty of offense with both teams allowing at least 40 points per game while ranked among the worst in the country in several defensive categories.
LINE HISTORY: Cal opened as 2.5-point home favorites and have been bet up to -3. The total is the remarkable number here, with oddsmakers opening it at a sky high 87.5 and bettors haven't thought that was high enough, moving the line number up to 89.5. It is the highest total in ever. Check out the complete line history here.
WEATHER REPORT: It should be a beautiful night for football in Berkley, California. The forecast is calling for clear skies with temperatures in the low 60's for the game. There will be a slight five-to-six ile per hour wind gusting towards the southest end zone early on, but shuold die off as teh game goes along.
INJURY REPORT:
Oregon - RB R. Freeman (probable Friday, leg), DL J. Jelks (questionable Friday, knee), OL Z. Okun (questionable Friday, concussion), WR D. Stanford (doubtful Friday, undisclosed).
Cal - WR C. Hansen (probable Friday, foot), QB D. Webb (probable Friday, hand), DTnL. Bequette (out for season, knee), RB V. Enwere (out for season, knee).
ABOUT OREGON (2-4, 0-5-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U): Freshman quarterback Justin Herbert is expected to make his second career start after completing 62 percent of his passes and throwing for 179 yards and a pair of touchdowns with one interception against the stellar Washington defense. The Ducks boast the league’s top running game at 257.8 yards per game, and Friday’s gameplan figures to be filled with a heavy dose of Royce Freeman, Tony Brooks-James and Jarret LaCoste against the porous Cal run defense. Oregon has a number of freshmen starting on both sides of the ball, including linebacker Troy Dye, who ranks second on the team with 30 tackles.
ABOUT CAL (3-3, 3-3 ATS, 5-1 O/U): Last week’s bye came at a good time for quarterback Davis Webb, who averages 376 passing yards with 22 touchdowns and seven interceptions but was limited against Oregon State with a hand injury. Webb is expected to start against Oregon along with receiver Chad Hansen, a former walk-on who has 59 catches for 770 yards and eight touchdowns and hopes to play through an ankle injury. While the defense continues to struggle without several injured starters, Cal featured a balanced offensive attack against Oregon State as Tre Watson and Khalfani Muhammad rushed for a combined 299 yards.
TRENDS:
* Oregon is 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.
* Cal is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Over is 6-0 in Oregon's last six conference games.
* Over is 7-1 in Cal's last eight games overall.
CONSENSUS: The public is strongly backing Cal in this Pac-12 matchup, with 70 percent of wagers on the Golden Bears. As for the total, with a number so high the public is on the Under. Sixty-one percent of wagers are on the Under.