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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 31

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TULSA (1 - 6) at MEMPHIS (4 - 3) - 10/31/2014, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CINCINNATI (4 - 3) at TULANE (2 - 5) - 10/31/2014, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TULSA vs. MEMPHIS
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games
Memphis is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home

CINCINNATI vs. TULANE

Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tulane
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Tulane is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

Tulsa at Memphis
Tulsa: 38-60 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored
Memphis: 4-16 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game

Cincinnati at Tulane
Cincinnati: 14-4 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games
Tulane: 81-109 ATS as an underdog

 
Posted : October 27, 2014 7:39 pm
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Game of the Day: Cincinnati at Tulane
By Covers.com

Cincinnati Bearcats at Tulane Green Wave (+4.5, 58)

Quarterback Gunner Kiel aggravated his rib injury in his last start, allowing backup Munchie Legaux to give Cincinnati the emotional boost that has helped the team rebound from an ugly losing streak. Kiel is expected to resume his normal duties Friday as the Bearcats attempt to get a rare win at Tulane. Legaux scored on a second-half touchdown run in Cincinnati’s 34-17 victory over South Florida, putting an exclamation mark on his return from a career-threatening knee injury last season.

"He put a long year of rehab in, something most of us wouldn't have (gone) through. This was his moment," Bearcats coach Tommy Tuberville told reporters about Legaux, who finished 14-for-15 for 121 yards in relief of Kiel. After dropping three straight by an average of 23.3 points, Cincinnati has outscored Southern Methodist and South Florida by a combined 55 points, but is only 3-11 all-time against the Green Wave. Tulane has not played since Oct. 18, when it was stopped on fourth down on two potential game-tying drives in the fourth quarter of a 20-13 loss at Central Florida.

LINE HISTORY: Tulane opened at +4, but within hours is was down to +3.5. Then late Wednesday night the line moved to it's original 4 before moving to +4.5 Thursday. The total has been more tame after opening at 57, it jumped one point to 58.

INJURY REPORT: Cincinnati - QB Gunner Kiel (Prob-Ribs), S Adrian Witty (Ques-Leg) Tulane - QB Tanner Lee (Prob-Shoulder), LB Jarrod Franklin (Ques-Knee)

WEATHER REPORT: Clear skies and comfortable temperatures are expected in New Orleans with winds blowing to the north at 12 mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Both teams have injuries at quarterback, however both starters are listed as probable and expected to play in this game. Cincinnati holds a substantial offense edge, averaging 34 points per game and 6.4 yards per play this season, while Tulane averages only 19 points and 5.0 yards per play. However, the Green Wave does have the much better defense as they permit just 28 ppg and 5.4 yards per play, compared to a poor Cincinnati stop unit that is allowing 32 points per game and 6.5 yards per play this season. The scheduling situation also favors Tulane as a home underdog coming off a bye week with extra time to prepare. However, if Tulane gets behind early, they might have trouble catching up with a terrible passing offense that is averaging a paltry 5.5 yards per pass this season (versus opponents that allow 7.3 ypp)." - Covers Expert Steve Merril

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "It will be a rough night for the shop if Cincinnati covers, as both sharp bettors & a heavy majority of the betting public (88 percent of cash, 91 percent of bets) are backing the Bearcats. Cincinnati opened -3.5 and on Tuesday, got sharp action on the favorite, so moved Cincy to -4.5. Earlier Thursday we saw more sharps on Cincy, so moved them to current number of -6.5." - Mike Jerome of TopBet.eu

ABOUT CINCINNATI (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Linebacker Marcus Tappan was suspended indefinitely following a Sunday morning arrest for breaking and entering, continuing a troubling off-field pattern for the Bearcats. Quarterback Jarred Evans was arrested on a misdemeanor assault charge last week and four Cincinnati players were arrested, cited or found with outstanding warrants last month when police responded to a party where gunshots were fired. Freshman Mike Boone ran 19 times for 212 yards and a touchdown last week, the first 200-yard game by a Bearcats running back in four years.

ABOUT TULANE (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U): Cincinnati’s 12th-ranked passing offense figures to receive a stiff test from the Green Wave, who have allowed only one opponent to throw for more than 213 yards after surrendering 438 in a season-opening loss at Tulsa. Freshman running back Sherman Badie sports the 17th-best yard-per-carry average in the nation (6.61) and is only the second player in the 120-year history of Tulane football to record three runs of at least 70 yards. Cornerback Lorenzo Doss has 14 career interceptions, one shy of setting the school record.

TRENDS:

*Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
*Green Wave are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
*Under is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 conference games.
*Under is 8-2-1 in Green Wave last 11 games following a S.U. loss.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
78.12 percent of Covers users are backing the Bearcats -4.5 with 50.6 percent on the over.

 
Posted : October 30, 2014 10:02 pm
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NCAAF Week 10

Memphis is 4-1-1 vs spread this year, 2-1 as favorite; they're 3-4 under Fuentes as home favorite. Two of Tigers' three losses were Ole Miss and UCLA. Tulsa won last four series games, but teams haven't played since 2010; Golden Hurricane lost last six games (1-5 vs spread) since opening season with an OT win over Tulane. Tulsa is 0-3 on road, losing by 29-25-11 points; they're 1-1 as road dogs this year, 1-4 in last five overall. AAC home favorites are 6-7 against the spread.

Favorites covered all three of Cincinnati's road games this year; Bearcats won 41-3 at SMU, lost at Ohio State/Miami. Cincy are 2-3 as favorites on road under Tuberville; they ran ball for 240-273 yards last in last two games, after averaging 96.4 in first five. Tulane averaged 11 ppg in losing three of last four games; they've allowed 31+ points in four of their five losses. Green Wave is 8-3 as home dog under Johnson, 0-1 this season. AAC home underdogs are 0-4 against spread.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : October 30, 2014 10:05 pm
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College Football Betting Preview for Friday, Oct. 31
Atssportsline.com

The American Athletic Conference is on tap on Halloween night with two important games. If you need some help handicapping games, we'll have betting previews before for each matchup.

Cincinnati (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U) at Tulane (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U)

Weather: Dome.

College Football Key Trends

Cincinnati is
2-5 ATS last 7 following a bye week.
4-1 ATS last 5 Friday games.
13-6 last 19 matchups on the over bet following a bye week.

Tulane is
9-0 ATS last 9 in October.
6-1 ATS last 7 at home.
0-6 ATS last 6 Friday games.

Intangibles
Cincinnati has rushed for at least 240 yards in each of its last two wins.
Tulane has forced at least one turnover in 16 straight games.
Tualne ranks ninth in the AAC in scoring at 18.7 points per game.

Outlook: Cincinnati has the rare luxury of having two very good quarterbacks. Last week, quarterback Gunner Kiel aggravated a rib injury allowing backup Munchie Legaux to give them a boost in their 34-17 win over South Florida. He scored on a second-half touchdown run, which came after suffered a career-threatening knee injury last season. Legaux threw for 121 yards on 14-of-15 passing. Cincinnati has outscored USF and SMU by a combined 55 points. They face a Tulane team off a bye and is just 3-11 all-time against the Green Wave. The running game was led by Mike Boone, who has 212 of their 273 rushing yards against USF. Amazingly, he had rushed for just 32 yards coming into this game. Kiel completed 13-of-22 for 196 yards and a score in the first half. He has 2,049 yards passing with 20 TDs and six picks this season. WR Shaq Washington leads the way with 39 catches for 432 receiving yards, after catching 12 for 163 yards last week. Defensively, they allowed just 281 yards last week, as they claimed a 13-minute advantage in time of possession. The defense has been battered this year, allowing 489.3 yards passing per game.

Tulane has struggled on both sides of the ball as they average 354 yards per game and is ninth in scoring. They are coming off a 20-13 road loss at UCF, as they covered the 17.5 on Oct. 18. The good news is that quarterback Tanner Lee is probable with a shoulder injury after missing the last two games. QB Nick Montana has completed 37 of 68 for just 282 yards in those games as a replacement. Lee has completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 914 yards, eight TDs and nine picks. Freshman running back Sherman Badie is their best offensive weapon, who averages 6.61 yards per game and has three runs of at least 70 yards. Defensively, they've allowed just one opponent to throw for more than 213 yards after surrendering 438 in a season-opening loss at Tulsa. They allow 367.3 yards per game and 28.1 points per game, but also give up 164.7 rushing yards per game. Cornerback Lorenzo Doss is one shy of setting the school record of 15 interceptions. College Football Lines: Cincinnati is a 6.5-point betting odds favorite. Total: 58.0.

Tulsa (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, 6-1 O/U) at Memphis (4-3 SU, 5-1-1 ATS, 4-3 O/U)

Weather: Mostly fair, North wind 12-17. Gametime temperature: 47.

Intangibles
Tulsa has lost six straight games and covered just one in that span.
Memphis has has not won two straight all year.
Memphis allows just 19.3 points per game to rank 16th in FBS.

Key Football Trends

Tulsa is:
1-5 ATS last 6 overall.
3-9 ATS last 12 following an ATS loss.
0-4 ATS last 4 on fieldturf.

Memphis is
1-4 ATS last 5 in series.
Home team is 1-4 ATS last 5 in series.
7-15 ATS last 22 in October.

Outlook: Tulsa has lost six straight since beating Tulane in double overtime in the season opener. These teams used to meet all the time back in Conference USA, but haven't played since 2010. Tulsa was up 27-7 at the half in their last game against South Florida, before falling apart and losing 38-30 at home on Oct. 18. Tulsa's offense ranks fourth in the AAC in total offense (433.3 yards per game). Quarterback Dane Evans has an efficiency rating of 121.35, completing 56.3 percent of his passes for 1,941 yards and 12 touchdowns, but also has nine interceptions. His top target is receiver Keevan Lucas, who has 64 receptions for 809 yards and eight TDs. RB Zach Langer has 105 carries for 436 yards and three scores. The offense has weapons, but the defense struggles. They allow 40.7 points and 494.4 yards per game to rank next-to-last in AAC, barely ahead of SMU.

Memphis comes into this game leading the AAC in rushing (200.7 yards per game). The also have the second-best scoring offense at 35.5 points per game. Running back Brandon Hayes rushed for a season-high 101 yards in their 48-10 win over SMU on the road last week. He became the third different Tigers' running back to top 100 yards rushing in a game this season. QB Paxton Lynch (6-7, 230) has 10 TD passes in seven games. He has completed nearly 65 percent of his passes for 1,708 yards with six INTs. He threw for 307 yards passing against SMU. Memphis is solid defensively, allowing just 19.3 points per game and 342 yards per game overall. They also get a lot of pressure, ranking third in the league in sacks with 18 and second in tackles for loss with 52. Tank Jakes leads with six sacks and an AAC-best 12 tackles for loss. College Football Odds: Memphis is a 24.5 point betting odds favorite. Total: 61.0.

 
Posted : October 31, 2014 7:22 am
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