BOISE ST (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA (1 - 2) - 9/25/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 123-83 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 123-83 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 100-69 ATS (+24.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
STANFORD (2 - 1) at OREGON ST (2 - 1) - 9/25/2015, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOISE STATE vs. VIRGINIA
Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boise State's last 12 games
Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Virginia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
STANFORD vs. OREGON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Stanford is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oregon State's last 14 games when playing Stanford
Oregon State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Boise State at Virginia
Boise St: 123-83 ATS in all games
Virginia: 5-1 OVER after a game where 60 total points or more were scored
Stanford at Oregon State
Stanford: 35-14 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers
Oregon St: 8-3 UNDER as an underdog
StatFox Super Situations
BOISE ST at VIRGINIA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 off a home win by 17 points or more, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
College Football Week 4
Boise State lost QB Finley for eight weeks, visits Virginia squad here two weeks after Cavaliers lost in last minute to Notre Dame and its backup QB. UVa allowed 34 points to both UCLA/ND then squeaked by I-AA Wm-Mary 35-29 last week, not a good sign. ACC teams are 13-8 vs spread in non-conference games, 3-2 as an underdog; Mountain West teams are 11-12 vs spread out of conference, 0-5 when favored.
Trap game for Stanford after its win at USC; Cardinal is 3-7 in last ten games as road favorite, after going 12-2 in that role from 2010-12- they won last five games with Oregon State (4-0-1 vs spread) winning its last two in Corvallis, 20-12/38-13. Beavers was 1-4 as home dog last couple years under Riley; OSU had 303 rushing yards vs San Jose State LW but completed just 22-45 passes in its two games against I-A opponents.
Armadillosports.com
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
Boise State at Virginia
As of early Wednesday, most betting shops had Boise State (2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread) installed as a 2.5-point favorite. The total was 49.5 points.
Bryan Harsin's club will make the long venture to Charlottesville to take on Virginia without its starting quarterback. Ryan Finley sustained a broken bone in his right ankle in last Friday's 52-0 win over Idaho State as a 27.5-point home favorite. Finley, who will miss the next eight weeks, had completed 46-of-70 passes (65.7%) for 485 yards with a 1/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Harsin played two QBs after Finley was injured and plans to employ a two-QB system again Friday.
Brett Rypien, a true freshman who left high school early for spring practice last year, connected on 8-of-9 passes for 126 yards in his collegiate debut. He is the nephew of Mark Rypien, the former NFL QB who had his best days with the Washington Redskins. Also, Tommy Stuart will play at UVA. He has completed 9-of-13 passes for 69 yards and one TD without an interception.
BSU is led in rushing by sophomore Jeremy McNichols, who has 204 yards and seven TDs on 54 carries. Senior WR Shane Williams-Rhodes has a team-best 18 receptions for 173 yards.
Finley isn't the only injury BSU is coping with going into Week 4. Junior DE Gabe Perez went down with a season-ending shoulder injury last week. Perez finished 2014 with 29 tackles and 3.5 sacks.
BSU owns a 3-3 spread record in six games as a road favorite on Harsin's watch. Going back to 2005, the Broncos are 30-19 ATS as road 'chalk.'
Virginia (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) has covered the number in five consecutive games as a home underdog, including its Week 2 loss to Notre Dame by a 34-27 count as a 13.5-point puppy. However, the Cavaliers are just 8-8-1 ATS in 17 games as home 'dogs during Mike London's six-year tenure.
After nearly knocking off Notre Dame in Week 2, Virginia failed to cover the spread in a 35-29 win over William & Mary as a 22-point home favorite this past Saturday. Matt Johns completed 17-of-23 passes for 263 yards and three TDs, but he was intercepted twice. Junior RB Taquan Mizzell produced 202 all-purpose yards on 12 'touches' (five carries, five catches and two KO returns), including an 80-yard TD reception.
Johns has connected on 66.7 percent of his passes for 790 yards with a 6/3 TD-INT ratio. Mizzell has rushed for a team-high 155 yards and also has 17 catches for 233 yards and a pair of TDs. Canaan Severin is Johns's favorite target, hauling in 19 receptions for 264 yards and one TD.
The 'over' is 2-1 overall for UVA this year, 2-0 in its home outings. The Cavs have seen their games average a combined score of 58.3 points per game.
The 'under' is 2-1 overall for BSU, but the 'over' cashed in its lone road assignment.
This is the first meeting between these schools. UVA will make a return trip to face the Broncos on the smurf turf in 2017.
Boise State has made the trip into the Eastern time zone six times in the last five years, producing a 4-2 SU record and a 5-1 ATS mark. The Broncos beat a pair of ranked foes in Va. Tech (No. 10 in D.C.) and Georgia (No. 19 at Ga. Dome in the ATL), in addition to covering double-digit numbers at Toledo and UConn. They lost but covered at Michigan State in the 2012 season opener. In last year's lid-lifter, they lost 35-13 to Ole Miss at the Ga. Dome in a game they trailed just 7-6 going into the four quarter.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.
Stanford at Oregon State
As of early Wednesday, most spots had Stanford (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) favored by 15.5. With the uncertain status of QB Kevin Hogan, who is considered 'questionable' (leg) and will likely be a game-time decision, there was no total yet.
During David Shaw's five-year tenure, Stanford owns an 11-8 spread record in 19 games as a road favorite.
After pulling a no-show in a 16-6 season-opening loss at Northwestern, Stanford has responded with back-to-back wins vs. UCF (31-7) and at Southern Cal (41-31). The Cardinal was a double-digit underdog last week for only the third time on Shaw's watch. Like the two previous such spots (at top-ranked Oregon as a 20.5-point 'dog in 2012 and vs. Oregon as a 10.5-point puppy in '13), Shaw's team won outright as a 10-point underdog, improving to 6-1-1 ATS as a 'dog since 2011.
Hogan was the catalyst at The Coliseum last week, completing 18-of-23 passes for 279 yards and two TDs without an interception. Christian McCaffrey carried the load on the ground, rushing 26 times for 115 yards. Remound Wright did the heavy lifting in the red zone, rushing for 41 yards and three scores on 11 carries.
Oregon State (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) captured a 35-21 win over San Jose State as a six-point home favorite last weekend. The 56 combined points jumped 'over' the 50-point total. The Beavers trailed 21-14 at intermission, but they outscored the Spartans 21-0 in the third quarter. Seth Collins, the true freshman signal caller, ran 16 times for 114 yards and two TDs. He also connected on 13-of-25 throws for 135 yards with one TD and an interception. Storm Woods rushed for 151 yards and one TD on 17 carries.
Collins has completed 54.2 percent of his passes for 306 yards with an excellent 4/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has rushed for a team-high 294 yards and two TDs on 44 totes, averaging 6.7 yards per carry. Woods has rushed 35 times for 227 yards and one TD, averaging 6.5 YPC.
Oregon State opened the season with a 26-7 non-covering home win over Weber State In Week 2, the Beavers lost 35-7 at Michigan.
Stanford has won five in a row both SU and ATS over Oregon State , including a 38-14 triumph as a 12-point home 'chalk' last season. Hogan threw for 277 yards and two TDs, but he was also intercepted twice.
The 'under' is 2-1 overall for OSU, 1-1 in its home games. The 'under' is also 2-1 for Stanford, 1-0 its lone road outing.
Fox Sports 1 will have the telecast at 10:00 p.m. Eastern.
Game of the Day: Stanford at Oregon State
By Covers.com
Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers (+16, 44.5)
Stanford’s offense erupted for 41 points in last week’s upset of USC, but the 24th-ranked Cardinal could be without quarterback Kevin Hogan for Friday’s Pac-12 opener at Oregon State. Hogan, who made his first collegiate start against the Beavers in 2012, is listed as a game-time decision due to a sprained left ankle suffered in last week’s victory.
Hogan struggled in Stanford’s season-opening 16-6 loss at Northwestern but threw for a total of 620 yards and five touchdowns as the Cardinal offense returned to form in wins over UCF and USC. If Hogan isn’t cleared to face Oregon State, either freshman Keller Chryst or sophomore Ryan Burns will get the nod. Stanford has won the last five meetings against Oregon State while allowing an average of 12.4 points, but the Beavers are coming off an encouraging 35-21 win over San Jose State. Freshman quarterback Seth Collins and running back Storm Barrs-Woods each rushed for 100 yards against the Spartans but face a tougher challenge against Stanford, which recorded six sacks and held the Beavers to 12 yards rushing in last season’s 38-14 win.
LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Cardinal as 15.5-point road faves, but that's now at -16. The total opened at 44.5.
INJURY REPORT: Stanford - QB Kevin Hogan (Questionable, leg), LB Noor Davis (Questionable, leg), DE Nate Lohn (Questionable, undisclosed), DE Harrison Phillips (Out for season, knee). Oregon State - OL Gavin Andrews (Out for season, foot).
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 32 percent chance of rain early, but that goes down to 18 percent as the game progresses. Wind will blow toward the SW corner of the field at around six miles per hour.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Cardinal have bounced back from an embarrassing loss to Northwestern in Week 1, and after upsetting the Trojans they remain a contender in the PAC-12." Covers Expert Jesse Schule.
ABOUT STANFORD (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U): If Hogan sits out, look for the Cardinal to rely heavily on running back Christian McCaffrey, who accounted for 249 yards against USC and leads the Pac-12 in all-purpose yards with an average of 195.3 per game. Tight end Austin Hooper continued his strong start this season with four catches for 79 yards and a score against the Trojans and figures to be a key part of the passing game regardless of who starts at quarterback. Linebacker Blake Martinez has a Pac-12-high 38 tackles to lead the Stanford defense, which has held opponents to 20 or fewer points in 33 of its last 44 games.
ABOUT OREGON STATE (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Collins has proven to be a dangerous runner, but the Beavers would like to see improvement in the passing game after averaging 108 yards through the air in their first three games. The running game received a boost last week from a healthy Barrs-Woods, who was limited by a lingering knee injury against Michigan before rushing 17 times for 151 yards and one touchdown against San Jose State. The Beavers are inexperienced on defense, but linebackers Rommel Mageo and Manase Hungalu have played well early and helped shut out the Spartans in the second half last week.
TRENDS:
* Cardinal are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Oregon State.
* Cardinal are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 conference games.
* Beavers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games.
CONSENSUS: Fifty-seven percent of Covers users are backing the Beavers.