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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 27

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MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 1) at BYU (1 - 2) - 9/27/2013, 9:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

UTAH ST (2 - 2) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 2) - 9/27/2013, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UTAH STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Utah State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Utah State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah State

MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. BYU
Middle Tennessee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 6 games
BYU is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Middle Tennessee State at BYU
Mid Tenn State: 6-0 ATS away in the first half of the season
BYU: 1-10 ATS at home off BB home games

Utah State at San Jose State
Utah State: 7-0 ATS off a non-conference game
San Jose State: 5-18 ATS off BB road losses

 
Posted : September 24, 2013 11:14 pm
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NCAAF Week 5

BYU just finished playing Texas/Utah; as independents, Notre Dame is their only reaally big game left, and thats at end of schedule. Cougars ran ball down Texas' throat for 550 yards in 40-21 win, but scored 16-13 in losing other two games, in monsoon at Virginia and in-state rivalry game last week vs Utah. BYU is 22-17 as home favorite since '06, 8-2 in last twn when laying 10+ points. Middle Tennessee is 14-18 as road dogs in Stockstill era; they gave up 503 yards, 35 points in 42-35 C-USA road win last week. Kilgore is senior QB (19 starts); Blue Raiders lost only six starters from LY; being on national TV probably means more to them than BYU squad that is on TV fairly often.

Fourth road game in five weeks for Utah State squad that lost to pair of Pac-12 squads (Utah 30-26/USC 17-14) won 52-20 at Air Force. Aggies won last four games vs San Jose, winning 49-27/38-34 in last two visits here. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. San Jose is 0-2 vs I-A foes, losing by 21 at San Jose, 19 at Minnesota; they gave up 353 rushing yards to Gophers last week. Spartans were 6-2 as home dog under MacIntyre; this is their first I-A home game with Caragher. Aggies covered three of last four as a road favorite- they outgained Utah by 37 yards, USC 285-282 last week. Keeton is completing 71% of his passes.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 25, 2013 9:39 pm
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Friday Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Middle Tennessee at Brigham Young

As of Wednesday afternoon, most books had BYU (1-2 straight up, 1-2 against the spread) listed as a 23-point favorite with a total of 59.5 for 'over/under' wagers. 5Dimes had the Blue Raiders with 11/1 odds to win outright (risk $100 to win $1,100).

Middle Tennessee (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS) has won back-to-back games since losing 40-20 at North Carolina in Week 2. The Blue Raiders captured a wild overtime win at Florida Atlantic last week, 42-35. FAU forced OT with a 21-yard touchdown pass with three seconds remaining, but MTSU responded in the extra session with a 19-yard scoring strike from Logan Kilgore to Kyle Griswould. A stop by the defense in OT gave it the victory and its first spread cover of the year as a 3-point favorite.

Junior RB and special-teams ace Reggie Whatley was the catalyst in the win over FAU. Whatley rushed for 154 yards and three touchdowns on 10 carries. He also had 80 yards on just a pair of kick returns for the Blue Raiders. Kilgore threw for 150 yards and a pair of TDs.

Bronco Mendenhall's squad suffered a 19-16 loss at Virginia in its opener, but it bounced back by trashing Texas 40-21 as a seven-point home underdog. BYU had an open date going into last Saturday's home game vs. Utah. The Cougars trailed throughout and lost a 20-13 decision to their in-state rivals as seven-point home favorites. Taysom Hill threw for 260 yards and ran for 99, but it wasn't enough.

BYU running back Jamaal Williams is 'out' after sustaining a concussion in the loss vs. Utah. Williams has rushed for 378 yards this season, averaging 5.0 yards per carry.

Hill has rushed for a team-high 400 yards and four TDs, averaging 8.3 yards per carry. The sophomore signal caller exploded for 259 rushing yards and three TDs in the win over the Longhorns. However, Hill is completing only 35.1 percent of his throws for 564 yards with a 1/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Middle Tennessee QB Logan Kilgore is connecting on 60.7 percent of his passing attempts for 729 yards with a mediocre 4/5 TD-INT ratio. Kilgore was more effective last season when he had 16 TD passes compared to only six interceptions. Jordan Parker is the Blue Raiders' leading rusher with 435 yards and four TDs.

BYU owns a 23-19 spread record as a home favorite during Mendenhall's nine-year tenure.

As a road underdog on Rick Stockstill's watch, Middle Tennessee has compiled a 14-17 spread record.

Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

Utah State at San Jose State

As of Wednesday afternoon, most spots had Utah St. (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS) installed as a 10-point 'chalk' with a total of 61. The Spartans are +300 on the money line (risk $100 to win $300).

Utah St. is coming off a 17-14 loss at Southern Cal as a 6.5-point underdog. Junior QB Chuckie Keeton tossed a pair of TD passes and didn't commit a turnover. But the Aggies couldn't answer a field goal from the Trojans early in the fourth quarter and suffered another narrow defeat.

Matt Wells's team has wins at Air Force (52-20) and vs. Weber St. (70-6), but it lost 30-26 at Utah as a two-point underdog in the season opener. Keeton has been sensational as usual, throwing for 1,102 yards with a remarkable 14/1 TD-INT ratio. Keeton now has a 52/12 TD-INT ratio in 25 career games.

San Jose St. (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) has dropped back-to-back games since beating Sacramento St. 24-0 on Aug. 29. The Spartans lost 34-13 at Stanford but took the money as 24-point underdogs. They came up on the wrong end of a 43-24 game last week at Minnesota, failing to cover as four-point 'dogs.

SJS has an NFL prospect at QB in David Fales, who threw for 4,193 yards with a 33/9 TD-INT ratio in 2012. This year he has completed 60.9 percent of his throws for 880 yards with a 6/3 TD-INT ratio. Noel Grigsby is Fales's favorite target, but the WR went down with a knee injury at practice last week and is out indefinitely.

Grigsby had to sit out the loss at Minnesota. In the first two games, the senior wideout caught 10 balls for 106 yards and a pair of scores. Grigsby had a banner 2012 campaign, making 82 receptions for 1,307 yards and nine TDs.

The 'over' is 3-1 for Utah St. this year, 2-1 in its three road assignments. The 'under' is 2-1 for San Jose St., 1-0 in its lone home game.

Utah St has won four in a row over SJS, going 3-1 ATS. The Aggies rolled to a 49-27 win as 2.5-point road underdogs last season. Keeton threw for 273 yards and three TDs without an interception. Fales completed 38-of-50 passes for 467 yards and three TDs without being intercepted. Grigsby hauled in 11 receptions for 181 yards and two scores.

The 'over' has hit in three consecutive head-to-head meetings.

ESPN will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets

Arkansas QB Brandon Allen has been downgraded to 'doubtful' for Saturday's home game vs. Texas A&M. Allen has a 5/1 TD-INT ratio. The Hogs lost 28-24 at Rutgers last week when back-up QB A.J. Derby was under center.

Florida stud DT Dominique Easley is 'out' at Kentucky and possibly for the season. He suffered a non-contact knee injury at practice on Tuesday. Will Muschamp called it a 'tweak' on Wednesday morning's SEC teleconference. However, Easley sent out a tweet moments later that indicated his career could with UF could be over. The Gators have incredible depth on the defensive line, but this would still be a huge loss. Easley was well on his way to garnering first-team All-American honors. Tyler Murphy will make his first career start at QB following Jeff Driskel's season-ending injury in last week's 31-17 win over Tennessee. Murphy's first start will come at Kentucky, as did Chris Leak's. UF is favored by 13. UK has lost 26 in a row to the Gators.

Stanford safety Ed Reynolds, a third-team All-American in 2012, will miss the first half of Saturday's game at Washington St. (in Seattle) for violating the NCAA's targeting rule in a win over Arizona St. The Cardinal will be without All-American OG David Yankey for the entire game. Yankey won't make the trip with the team due to a personal matter.

Arizona St. has lost three defensive players to season-ending injuries, including DE Junior Onyeali and nose tackle Jaxon Hood, who had six and three sacks last year, respectively.

Vandy owns a 7-2 spread record as a home favorite under James Franklin. The Commdores are favored by 20 Saturday vs. UAB.

 
Posted : September 26, 2013 9:41 am
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Friday's NCAAF Action: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at BYU Cougars (-23.5, 59.5)

The Blue Raiders have jumped out to a 3-1 start following an overtime win over FAU last weekend. They edged the Owls 42-35 on a Logan Kilgore pass to Kyle Griswould which covered the spread for MTU backers, their first payday of the year. Turnovers have been a big issue for Kilgore, who has thrown five INTs to his four TDs. He’s also been sacked nine times through four games, which ranks 110th in protection in the country.

Brigham Young has gone just 1-2 during a tough opening schedule. The Cougars fell to Utah 20-13 last weekend, failing to cover as 7-point home favorites. BYU is coming in ranked eighth in the country in rushing, plowing ahead for 306.7 yards per game. Dual-threat QB Taysom Hill is a big part of that attack, totaling 400 yards on the ground – the second most rushing yards for a QB this season.

LINE: BYU opened - 21.5 and has been bet up as high as -24. The total has remained steady at 59.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in low 40s with partly cloudy skies and winds WNW at 6 mph.

TRENDS:

* Blue Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
* Under is 5-2 in Blue Raiders last seven games overall.

Utah State Aggies at San Jose State Spartans (+9.5, 61.5)

Utah State nearly upset USC last weekend, falling 17-14 but managed to cover as 6.5-point road underdog. The Aggies defense has locked down opposing passers for just 152 yards per game – 12th in the country. But, funny enough, have yet to snatch an INT from an opponent this year.

They may get their chance for a pick or two visiting the Bay Area Friday. San Jose State is passing on 67.48 percent of its offensive plays this season, averaging 293.3 yards through the air. The Spartans have been up against stiff competition the past two games, losing to Stanford and Minnesota but splitting those outings ATS.

LINE: SJSU opened at +9.5 and remained steady around that number. The Total moved from 61 to 61.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in low 70s with clear skies and winds NNW at 4 mph.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Aggies are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.

 
Posted : September 26, 2013 9:33 pm
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