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College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday 12/10

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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ARMY (3 - 8) vs. NAVY (4 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARMY is 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 8-29 ATS (-23.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
NAVY is 123-90 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 123-90 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 115-82 ATS (+24.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NAVY is 61-31 ATS (+26.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
NAVY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ARMY vs. NAVY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's last 6 games
Army is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Navy is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games

ARMY vs NAVY
ARMY: 0-6 ATS after scoring 14 pts or less last game
NAVY: 8-1 ATS vs. Army

 
Posted : December 6, 2011 10:46 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Army vs. Navy: What Bettors Need to Know
By David Payne
Covers.com

Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen (-7, 58)

The 112th Army-Navy is the only FBS game on the board Saturday and will generate plenty of betting action.

The Midshipmen (4-7, 6-5 ATS) have won nine straight against the Black Knights (3-8, 5-6 ATS) by an average of 22.5 points per game. The nine-game run is the longest streak in series history. Navy has covered the spread in seven of the last nine meetings.

Navy has looked like the superior team again this year and has played better competition. The Midshipmen’s opponents were a combined 58-46. Army’s opponents went 48-55.

Per usual, both squads feature potent ground games. Army leads the nation in rushing at 350.9 yards and needs 140 yards against Navy to become the first team at West Point to rush for 4,000 yards in a season. The Blacks Knights have put up prolific numbers, despite being without starting quarterback Trent Steelman for much of the second half of the season.

Steelman is expected to start against Navy, but isn’t thought to be 100 percent. Freshman Angel Santiago and senior Max Jenkins will backup Steelman.

Both teams have had ample time to prepare, but that hasn’t always helped the Black Knights, who are 5-22 ATS after a bye week.

The game will be played at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland.

The line

Navy opened as a 7-point favorite and remained there throughout the week. There were a few 7.5s popping up as of Friday but the vast majority of sportsbooks in Nevada and offshore were offering -7.

The total

The total opened at 56, but was up to 58 by Friday. Army is averaging 25.18 and allowing 28.36 points. Navy is averaging 29.91 and surrendering 29.64 points.

The last five meetings have stayed under the total, averaging 36.6 points, and Army has scored a total of two touchdowns in the last four games against Navy.

Weather

Temperatures are expected to be in the low 40s by kickoff with a 13 mph NW wind.

Trends

Army is 9-20-1 ATS in last 30 as an underdog of 3.5-10.
Navy is 10-4 AT in its last 14 games in December.
Under is 10-2 in last 12 games following a bye week.

 
Posted : December 9, 2011 10:19 pm
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Posts: 318493
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NCAAF Preview

Strange that Army-Navy game is in Washington for first time; Middies won last nine series games, covering seven of them, with last four wins by combined score of 120-23. Favorites covered eight of last ten series games. 4-7 Navy is 0-5 in games decided by less than 7 points; lack of a quality kicker cost them dearly earlier in season. Army is 2-8 vs D-I teams, with six losses by 10+ points; they scored 14-12-14 points in lat three games, losses by 10-15-28 points. No bowl game for either team, so this game takes on even more importance than it usually does.

 
Posted : December 10, 2011 8:56 am
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