College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, November 2

Games to Watch - Week 10
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

The Week 10 college football card isn’t exactly the best we’ve seen this season, but there are some monster games looming in Week 11. And we don’t even have to wait until the weekend.

A pair of Thursday contests will go a long way toward deciding who gets invited to Pasadena, as Baylor takes on Oklahoma in Waco and Oregon ventures into Palo Alto to face Stanford. All four teams have open dates this weekend.

The LVH SuperBook in Las Vegas updates its lines for Games of the Year every week. The current number for Baylor is 12 for its home game against the Sooners, who haven’t been double-digit underdogs since losing 45-12 to Texas on Oct. 8 of 2005 when they were catching 14½ points. The Bears are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as double-digit favorites.

LVH has the Ducks listed as 10-point favorites at Stanford. The Cardinal suffered a huge loss earlier this week when it was determined that DE Ben Gardner is out for the season with a pectoral injury. Gardner, a two-time second-team All Pac-12 selection, was second on the team in sacks (4.5) and third in tackles for loss (7.5).

Oregon will looking to avenge a 17-14 home loss to Stanford in overtime last season that prevented it from playing for the national title. When these schools squared off last in Palo Alto, the Ducks rolled to a 53-30 win as 3.5-point road underdogs.

During David Shaw’s tenure, Stanford has only been a home underdog once. The Cardinal beat USC by a 21-14 count as a 7 ½-point home puppy last year.

You may remember that Alabama was an 11-point favorite for next week’s showdown vs. LSU last week. After smashing Tennessee 45-10 last weekend, LVH adjusted the Crimson Tide to a 12-point ‘chalk’ against the Bayou Bengals.

LSU won a 9-6 defensive struggle in overtime in its last visit to Bryant-Denny Stadium. However, that loss was avenged by Nick Saban’s squad in a 21-0 rout at the Superdome to win the 2011 BCS title. Then in Baton Rouge last season, A.J. McCarron’s screen pass to T.J. Yeldon for a touchdown in the final minute capped a 21-17 comeback win for the Tide.

LSU is still alive in the SEC West race. It needs to win out and hope that Auburn can knock off Alabama on The Plains in the Iron Bowl. In that scenario, LSU would go to the Ga. Dome by virtue of the tiebreaker advantage over ‘Bama (and potentially Texas A&M as well).

But the odds are stacked against Les Miles’s squad. Sportsbook.ag currently has Alabama as the -800 ‘chalk’ (risk $800 to win $100) to win the SEC, while LSU has 100/1 odds.

With South Carolina’s epic rally to win at Missouri in double overtime last weekend, the SEC East is wide open again. The Tigers appeared poised to essentially clinch the division in October before Connor Shaw sparked the Gamecocks to victory in comeback fashion.

Sportsbook.ag now has Missouri and South Carolina sharing the second-shortest odds to win the SEC at 8/1 (or +800). The Florida-Georgia winner will still be alive in the East. The Bulldogs have 20/1 odds to win the SEC, while UF’s number is 40/1.

Believe it or not, but Auburn controls its own destiny to get to Atlanta. Gus Malzahn’s squad wins the West if it wins out. The offshore website has AU with 12/1 odds to win the SEC.

In the Big Ten, Sportsbook.ag has Ohio State as the -300 favorite (Bet $300 to win $100). The next-shortest odds belong to Michigan St. (+300), Michigan (+500), Nebraska (+800) and Wisconsin (20/1). The Spartans can take control of the Legends Division with a win over Michigan in East Lansing this weekend.

The shortest odds to win the Pac-12 obviously belong to Oregon (-300) and Stanford (+300). The mystery is who will come out of the other division. Sportsbook.ag has Arizona St. with +600 odds, while UCLA’s future number is +700.

Let’s go back to Games of the Year from LVH now. While Bama-LSU will steal the spotlight next weekend, I love the under-the-radar showdown that’ll take place at Camp Randall. BYU is on a serious roll and will be gunning for Wisconsin. LVH has the Badgers as 10-point home favorites.

Other Games of the Year numbers listed below:

South Carolina -7½ vs. Florida
Nebraska -1 vs. Michigan State
LSU -5½ vs. Texas A&M
Oregon -27 vs. Oregon State
Ohio State -7 at Michigan
FSU -14½ at Florida
South Carolina -3½ vs. Clemson
Texas A&M -3 at Missouri
Alabama -14 at Auburn

Outside of Saturday’s showdown between Florida State and Miami, Fl. from Tallahassee, I believe bettors should keep an eye on three other conference clashes in Week 10.

Florida vs. Georgia

As of Wednesday morning, most books had Georgia (4-3 SU, 1-5-1 ATS) listed as a 2 ½-point favorite with a total of 47½. Both schools are coming off bye weeks. Florida (4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS) has dropped back-to-back games at LSU (17-6) and at Missouri (36-17), while UGA is also hoping to avoid a three-game losing streak after going down vs. Mizzou (41-26) and at Vandy (31-27). The Bulldogs will get RB Todd Gurley back after a 3.5-game absence stemming from a sprained ankle suffered in the second quarter of a 44-41 home win over LSU on Sept. 28. Also, WR Michael Bennett (‘questionable’) could return and starting safety Tray Matthews has been upgraded to ‘probable.’ Bennett and Matthews were both injured in the second half of a 34-31 overtime win at Tennessee on Oct. 5. UF has lost eight players to season-ending injuries and it was down an additional pair of starting defensive linemen in the loss at Missouri. DT Damien Jacobs and DE Ronald Powell remain question marks this week and it hasn’t been easy to get accurate injury information out of Gainesville this season. UGA senior QB Aaron Murray was enjoying a monster season before many of his weapons went down with injuries, including RB Keith Marshall, WR Malcolm Mitchell and WR Justin Scott-Wesley, each of which is out for the season. But Murray still has a solid 17/6 TD-INT ratio and will welcome Gurley and possibly Bennett back this weekend. The Bulldogs had not beaten UF in back-to-back contests until the last two seasons when they won by scores of 24-20 and 17-9. The Gators committed six turnovers in last year’s encounter, including Jordan Reed’s fumble inside the UGA five in the final minute. UF third-year coach Will Muschamp is winless in six games of this rivalry, with the first four defeats coming in the early ‘90s when he played safety at UGA. Looking for a spark offensively, Florida will finally give true freshman Kelvin ‘Baby Fred’ Taylor his first career start at tailback. Taylor has looked explosive with increased playing time the last two games. The son of Fred, the Gator legend, Taylor has rushed 28 times for 172 yards and one TD, averaging 6.1 yards per carry. CBS will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

Michigan at Michigan State

As of Wednesday morning, most spots had Michigan St. (7-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) as a six-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 46. Gamblers can back the Wolverines on the money line for a +200 return (risk $100 to win $200). The Spartans have the nation’s top-ranked defense that’s giving up only 12.2 points per game. They are actually third in scoring defense but No. 1 in total ‘D’ and rushing defense. Michigan (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) is fortunate to have won six of its seven games, dodging major upsets in comeback triumphs over Akron (28-24) and UConn (24-21). Michigan is an abysmal 1-4 ATS in five games as a road underdog during Brady Hoke’s tenure. Mark Dantonio’s team had won four straight in this rivalry until dropping a 12-10 decision in Ann Arbor last season. Nevertheless, the Spartans have covered the number in five consecutive games against Michigan. Also, the ‘under’ has cashed in four straight head-to-head encounters. The ‘under’ is 5-3 overall for Michigan St., but the ‘over’ is 5-2 for the Wolverines. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

Tennessee at Missouri

As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Missouri (7-1 SU, 6-1-1 ATS) installed as an 11½-point favorite with a total of 55½. Tennessee (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) beat a ranked team for the first time since 2009 two weeks ago when it clipped South Carolina 23-21 on a walk-off field goal from Michael Palardy. The Volunteers are 1-2 ATS in three road assignments this year under first-year coach Butch Jones. UT quarterback Justin Worley is out for the rest of the regular season with a torn ligament in his thumb. Therefore, Josh Dobbs will get his first career start against the Tigers. The true freshman made his debut in the second half of last week’s 45-10 loss at Alabama and looked decent. Dobbs made a few plays, completing 5-of-12 passes for 75 yards. He ran for 19 yards on three carries. Missouri QB James Franklin is ‘doubtful’ but is probably only two weeks away from getting back into the lineup. RB Henry Josey (head) and CB E.J. Gaines (quad) are ‘questionable.’ Gaines has missed back-to-back games. Gamblers shouldn’t concern themselves too much with Josey’s injury. Although he is Missouri’s best RB, Marcus Murphy and Russell Hansbrough are more than capable of carry the load. Gary Pinkel’s team blew a 17-0 fourth-quarter lead in last week’s 27-24 home loss to South Carolina in double overtime. Both schools have seen the ‘over’ hit at a 5-3 overall clip this year. When these teams met at Neyland Stadium last season, the Tigers captured a 51-48 win as 3½-point underdogs in four overtimes. ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

College Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Miami at Florida State

A top-10 showdown takes place in the Sunshine State when 3rd-ranked Seminoles (7-0, 5-2 ATS) and 7th-ranked Hurricanes (7-0, 4-3 ATS) collide in Tallahassee. Seminoles clicking on both sides of the ball scoring 52.6 PPG on 553.7 total yards while surrendering just 13.0 PPG on 289.4 total yards looked primed to knock Miami down a peg. Seminoles have beaten Hurricanes both on the ground and in the air the last three years outscoring Canes 101-56 in the process. Miami is not going to be able to topple Florida State in it's own back-yard. However, Canes not so shabby scoring defense allowing 17.7 points/game should give Seminoles a run for the money. Canes have done well against-the-number in this series posting a 10-5 ATS mark last fifteen encounters including 7-1 ATS last eight in the visitor roll. Canes are also on a smart 9-2 ATS stretch vs the conference, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, 4-0 ATS taking 17 or more points.

Michigan at Michigan State

A Big-Ten in-state battle that has Michigan State Spartans (7-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) looking to stay undefeated in the conference when they host Michigan Wolverines (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS). The Spartans posted an impressive 42-3 victory over Illinois last time out for a fourth-straight conference victory (3-1 ATS). Michigan State backers may be a little edgy laying 4.5 points knowing Spartans are on an 0-6 ATS skid laying 7 or less points, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games, 1-5 ATS last six hosting a conference foe. Meanwhile, Wolverines coming off a bye week were last seen destroying Indiana 63-47 to give the squad a 2-1 SU/ATS mark in the Big-Ten. Wolverine backers have their own slew of negative numbers to overcome. Wolverines are 0-5 ATS last five meetings, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games in November, 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 road games.

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech

Red Raiders suffering their fist blemish of the season a 38-30 loss to Stoops Troops in Norman return home to host 18th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys who've rattled off three straight victories. Texas Tech can certainly air it out (412.9 PYG) behind QB's Webb, Mayfield but a combined 12 interceptions leaves Red Raiders vulnerable against Cowboys' sporting a solid pass protection (231.1 PYG) picked off 13 passes so far this season. Look for 'Pickens Pokes' to move to 8-1 ATS vs Texas Tech while Red Raiders fall to 5-12 ATS at home, 2-9 ATS at home vs the conference, 2-5-1 ATS as home favorites of 4 or less.

Big Ten Report - Week 10
By ASAWins.com

Week 8 in the Big Ten watched the favorites go 3-1 both straight up and against the spread, two of those margins decided by double digits. The lone underdog to cash tickets was Minnesota (+10 ½), who knocked off Nebraska 34-23 at home. It was the second consecutive win for the Golden Gophers as double-digit ‘dogs. Total bettors watched ‘over/under’ go 2-2.

Michigan State (-6, 46) vs. Michigan

Michigan State is currently in first place in the Big Ten Legends division with a perfect 4-0 conference mark. The schedule heats up in November and the Spartans can take a huge step toward Indianapolis by beating rival Michigan this week. QB Cook and the offense got on track against Illinois, racking up 42 points and 477 total yards. That’s a big weight off the shoulders after MSU managed just one offensive score against Purdue in the prior game. The defense was again fantastic. MSU suffocated the Illini’s offense and allowed just 128 total yards, 8 first downs, and 3 points. As always, MSU will only go as far as its offense takes them, because the defense has proved time and time again that it will be outstanding (1st in yards allowed, 3rd in points allowed). The offense will have an opportunity at home against a Michigan defense that has allowed 40+ points in back-to-back games. Michigan is off of an open week. The Wolverines’ offense was utterly unstoppable against Indiana in their last game. The Wolverines totaled 751 total yards of offense and 35 first downs. QB Gardner threw for 503 yards and rushed for 81 more and accounted for five total touchdowns. WR Gallon set a school record with 369 receiving yards and RB Toussaint had 151 rush yards and four scores. Michigan needed every single one of those yards as Indiana wasn’t rolling over in defeat. The Wolves defense allowed 572 yards and 28 first downs and Indiana trailed by just two points with 6:00 remaining. Gardner has been a turnover machine at times this season (6th nationally with 10 INT) and he’ll have to control the ball better if he wants a shot at winning as he faces the toughest defense in the B1G. Michigan is 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last five games against MSU. The lone SU win was last year at home in a 12-10 win. Michigan has lost the last two trips to East Lansing by an average score of 27-17. Michigan State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a six point or more favorite.

Wisconsin (-9½, 48½ ) at Iowa

Wisconsin's second open week came at a good time as star linebacker Chris Borland had some extra time to heal from a hamstring injury suffered at Illinois in the last game. Borland should be good to go for this week's trip to Iowa, as Wisconsin reunites with its longtime rival for the first time since 2010. In the last game at Illinois, the Badgers jumped out to a 21-0 lead just 10 minutes into the game. The Illini cut the deficit to 11 points at halftime, but UW scored 28 2nd half points to put the game out of reach. The Badgers tallied 478 yards and 25 first downs while only seeing 8 third down opportunities. RB’s Gordon & White combined for 240 rush yards (6.5 YPC) and six total touchdowns. The most promising performance was an efficient game by QB Stave. Stave completed 16-of-21 passes for 189 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT and coach Anderson has praised the maturation of his starting QB. Yards and points won’t come as easy as they did against Illinois when the Badgers travel to face Iowa and the nation’s 12th ranked defense. That “D” is off of an impressive performance in an overtime win over Northwestern. The Hawkeyes shut out Northwestern in the 1st half, recorded six sacks, and allowed just 10 points. QB Rudock wasn't great but made the big throw when it counted to C.J. Fiedorowicz in overtime. Motivation won’t be lacking for Iowa as the Hawks are a win away from becoming bowl eligible and they could get there by beating rival Wisconsin and bringing back the Heartland Trophy for the first time since 2009. Wisconsin won the last meeting in 2010 in a thrilling last-minute victory. The Badgers are 2-1 SU & ATS in the last three trips to Kinnick Stadium, but Iowa is 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings overall. Wisconsin is just 9-18 ATS in its last 27 games as a 7-point or more road favorite.

Ohio State (31½, 56½) at Purdue

Ohio State quickly put to rest any worries of a Penn State upset by jumping out to a 42-7 halftime lead. The Buckeyes led by as much as 56-points before officially calling off the dogs. Braxton Miller has performed like a Heisman Trophy candidate, picking apart Penn State's defense for 252 passing yards and three touchdowns on 18-of-24 passing while also added 68 rush yards and 2 TD. Ohio State racked up its highest-ever yardage total (686) against a Big Ten foe. The Buckeyes' defense performed admirably after a couple of shaky outings, recording three takeaways and holding PSU to just 357 yards – much of which came in the 2nd half when OSU had the game in hand. The Bucks now make a trip to Purdue, which has a recent trouble spot for them, but don’t expect any surprises from the Boilers this weekend. The Boilers are 31.5 point underdogs at home – the most since they were 32-point underdogs at home against Notre Dame in 1989. The Boilers entered their bye week feeling as good as a team could despite a 1-6 record. They haven’t had a lot to be excited about but holding Michigan State to just one offensive touchdown and 294 yards is a “win” in their books this year. They’ll get another test from a scorching OSU offense this week and it’ll be an ugly outcome if Purdue can’t put some sort of offense together. Purdue has scored just seven points the last two weeks and ranks 122nd in yards per game and 121st in points per game. Freshman QB Etling is taking too many sacks behind this offensive line and he’s completing just 47.5% with 3 TD and 4 INT this year. The Buckeyes are just 3-8 ATS in the last nine meetings with Purdue. The Boilers are 3-1 SU & ATS in the last four home meetings with OSU.

Indiana (-9½, 66) vs. Minnesota

Indiana spent its bye week trying to fix its defensive issues. Indiana’s offense is pretty close to unstoppable, but the Hoosiers won’t win many games as long as the defense continues to play like it is. IU ranks 9th in total offense and 11th in points per game. QB’s Sudfeld & Roberson have combined for 22 TD passes and RB Coleman has 9 rush TD. They’ve scored 35+ points in five of seven games this season. Defensively the Hoosiers rank at or near the bottom in every major statistical category. They allowed 751 yards and 63 points to Michigan in their last game. Indiana sits at 3-4 on the season, needing three more victories to become bowl-eligible. The Hoosiers have five games remaining, two of which are road trips to Wisconsin and Ohio State – likely losses. That means the three home games against Minnesota, Illinois, and Purdue are all “must-wins.” They’ll get their first opportunity against a Minnesota squad off of back-to-back huge victories against Northwestern and Nebraska. The Gophers dominated the Huskers to the tune of +102 yards and +6 first downs. Defensively this was one of the best performances from the Gophers that we can remember. They held Nebraska to just 328 total yards and 23 points while forcing a pair of turnovers. Minny won the game in the trenches with RB Cobb (138 yards) and the offensive line. That will be the key against Indiana. The Goph’s will want to control the ball as much as possible and keep Indiana’s high-powered offense off the field at all costs. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 meetings with the Hoosiers, but IU won the last meeting at home by 20 points.

Nebraska (-7, 58½) vs. Northwestern

Here we have a matchup of two of the most disappointing teams in the Big Ten this year. Nebraska quashed any perceived progress since the UCLA game by struggling in all three phases in a loss at Minnesota last week. The Huskers built a 10-0 lead at Minnesota, but after that the wheels came off. QB Martinez looked lost in the offense as Nebraska failed to get anything going against a penetrating Minnesota defense. Defensively the “Blackshirts” couldn’t get off the field. Minnesota ran it at will against this Nebraska front (271 yards on 5.0 YPC) and that helped the Gophers control the ball for +11 minutes TOP. They’ll try to right the ship as they return home to face Northwestern. It seems like forever ago that 15th ranked Northwestern held a 4th quarter lead at home against Ohio State. The Wildcats lost that game and the subsequent three after that to give them a four-game losing streak heading into Saturday. The Wildcats have a brutal three game stretch coming up and it’s no certainty that they’ll be going bowling if they don’t break their funk. QB Colter returned from injury last week but couldn’t get much going on offense. He tossed for 104 yards and rushed for 60 yards but the offense managed just one total touchdown in the overtime loss to Iowa. The defense has performed admirably over the last two weeks, allowing just 302 YPG and 18.5 PPG to Minnesota and Iowa. It was all for naught as Northwestern’s offense continues to struggle. Star RB Mark will not be in the lineup this week and the Wildcats will have to find other answers against this struggling Nebraska defense. This has been one of the more closely contested matchup of the past two years. Northwestern won in 2011 by three points in Lincoln. Nebraska won by one-point last year in Evanston. The Wildcats covered both meetings as the underdog.

Penn State (-10, 56) vs. Illinois

Nothing went right for the Nittany Lions last week in Ohio State. Freshman QB Hackenberg looked overmatched in the road night game in the first real hostile environment of his young career. He completed just 12-of-23 passes for 112 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT and was replaced by QB Ferguson early in the 3rd quarter. OSU gained 410 yards in the first half alone en route to a 42-7 halftime lead. It was the ugliest loss of the Bill O’Brien era and the largest margin of defeat for Penn State in the last 114 years. Penn State's defensive issues are real as the Lions have allowed more than 40 points in three consecutive games. PSU is 5-0 ATS off of a loss in the Bill O’Brien era and they get a home game against Illinois to continue that streak this weekend. The Illini's fast start seems like a distant memory now as they've been swallowed up in Big Ten play. Illinois was blown out at home last weekend and has now lost back-to-back home games by a combined score of 98-35. QB Scheelhaase started the season hot (12 TD & 3 INT through the first four games) but has cooled off considerably over the last three weeks. Scheelhaase has 0 TD passes and 2 INT over the last three weeks and the Illini have dropped those three by an average of 27.6 PPG. The defense has been seriously exposed by strong rushing teams. Over the last three, Nebraska, Wisconsin, and Michigan State have averaged 297 rush YPG (5.9 YPC) with 12 rush TD against the Illini. Penn State is 5-2 SU but just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings with Illinois. The Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in the last four home meetings with the Illini.

ACC Report - Week 10
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

It's marquee matchup time in the Atlantic Coast Conference, as the Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles battle on the gridiron with national championship implications. Did someone fire up the DeLorean to 88 miles per hour? We haven't seen this important of a game between these two Sunshine State rivals in a decade.

The Miami-FSU game isn't the only rivalry game in the ACC this weekend, though. Yes, the North Carolina Tar Heels and North Carolina State Wolfpack have struggled this season, but both teams meet at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, and there will be a lot of spit and vinegar both on the field, and in the stands. These schools do not care for each other. I live in the Triangle, and have heard the salvos leading up to this game. UNC TE Eric Ebron has been posting boasts and predictions on Twitter, the fans are fighting on social media and the call-in radio programs, and neither of these teams are really in a position to do much of anything. Imagine if these teams were having a good season.

Virginia Tech at Boston College

The Hokies made mistake after mistake last weekend at home against Duke, and ended up losing 13-10 at home to the Blue Devils. The third-ranked defense in the nation did their part, as the Blue Devils did not complete a single pass in the second half. But the damage was done in the first half, and Virginia Tech's mistake-prone offense could not bounce back. The Hokies are 1-8 ATS in their past nine road games, and 2-8-1 ATS in their past 11 games against a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, Boston College is 5-1 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record, and 6-1 ATS in their past seven home games. The trends say Boston College and the points, especially since Va. Tech is 2-5 ATS in their past seven visits to Boston College. The only trend that favors the Hokies is the fact the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven, and they're installed as a five-point favorite. While the over is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings, this one should be a low-scoring slog. The under is 5-2 in BC's seven games this season, and 6-1-1 in Va. Tech's eight outings.

North Carolina at North Carolina State

Last season was such a killer for bettors who had the Wolfpack plus seven and a hook. I can still remember it like it was yesterday. Giovani Bernard ripped off a late punt return for touchdown, and for whatever reason, the Tar Heels went for and converted a two-point conversion to win 43-35. It ended a five-game winning streak by N.C. State in this series. This weekend's rivalry game isn't without some pregame hype, too. TE Eric Ebron took to Twitter, bragging that the Tar Heels would punish NC State. Head coach Dave Doeren has undoubtedly used the tweet for motivation for the field goal underdogs at home. The Tar Heels are 1-8 ATS in their past nine road games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a losing home record. The Wolfpack is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 home games against a team with a losing road record, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven ACC contests. NC State is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven outings, and the underdog is 12-3 in the past 15 battles.

Wake Forest at Syracuse

The Demon Deacons nearly pulled off a giant upset in Miami last week, and now they head north to battle Syracuse. The Orange were pummeled 56-0 in Atlanta by Georgia Tech two weeks ago, and have had a bye to lick their wounds and regroup. The Orange enter the game as a field-goal favorite. The Deacs are 4-0 ATS in their past four against a team with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS in their past five overall. The Orange are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight at home, and 8-3 ATS in their past 11 overall. And they are 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine after a bye.

Clemson at Virginia

The Tigers hit the road for a second straight weekend after their ugly home loss to Florida State two weeks ago. They rebounded pretty nicely last week, 40-27 at Maryland, although they were sloppy for about the first 40 minutes. They'll needf a more complete effort if they are to win by 17, which is the spread. Bettors do not have nearly as much confidence in the Tigers after their failure to cover the past two games. However, remember UVA is just 6-19-1 ATS in their past 26 against a team with a winning record, 5-15-2 ATS in their past 22 overall, and 2-10-2 ATS in their past 14 games at Scott Stadium. Yes, Clemson was annihilated by Florida State at home. But Virginia was undressed by Ball State a few weeks ago.

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech

Things appears to be getting better for Pittsburgh heading into last week's non-conference tilt at Navy. The Panthers face a much tougher test this weekend against a Georgia Tech rushing offense which ranks first in the league, and fourth in the nation. Georgia Tech has racked up 91 points over the past two games, and they will face a Pitt defense which has allowed 27.6 points per game. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS this season, and 0-3 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech is 3-1 ATS at home, and they have averaged 41.0 ppg at Bobby Dodd Stadium, while giving up just 9.2 ppg.

Miami, Fl. at Florida State

It seems like old times. The Hurricanes and Seminoles have met nine times while both have been unbeaten, but this is the first time that has happened in 10 years. For the second time in three weeks, Florida State is part of the marquee game in the ACC. Last time they were featured in the 'big' game, they blasted Clemson 51-14 Miami has narrowly escaped over the past two games, nearly falling at North Carolina and home against Wake Forest. Was this a case of looking ahead to Saturday's rivalry game, or are the Hurricanes just not that good? We'll find out soon. The Hurricanes are still 9-2 ATS in their past 11 ACC games, and 9-3 ATS in their past 12 road outings. FSU is 6-2 ATS in their past eight overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five against a winning team. Miami is 6-1 ATS in their past seven meetings with Florida State in Tallahassee. The road has covered in six of the past seven battles, and the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the past 16 meetings. The Canes are dogs by 22 points, and they should be hyped early. If Miami can score early, and find a way to slow redshirt freshman QB Jameis Winston, the Hurricanes could keep it within three touchdowns. This is a rivalry game, obviously, and all records, past results against other teams this season, etc. should be thrown out the window.

Byes

Duke, Maryland

NCAAF Week 10

Top 13 games

Missouri (+3) won 51-48 at Tennessee LY in first meeting as conference rivals, despite being outgained by 131 yards (585-454). Tigers lost first game last week, at home to South Carolina after blowing 17-0 lead- they are 9-7 in last 16 games as home favorite, 1-2 this year. Tennessee is 1-2 as road underdog this year, losing by 45-14-35 points- they're 3-7 in last ten tries as a road dog. Vols allowed 200+ rushing yards in five of last six games. SEC home favorites are 7-10 vs spread this year.

TCU (+3.5) won 39-38 at West Virginia LY in first meeting as rivals in Big X, averaging 21+ yards on 13 completed passes. Horned Frogs lost four of five league games, with only win vs hapless Kansas- they're 1-3 as favorites this year, 5-12-1 in last 18 such games. West Virginia is 0-4 on road this year, losing by combined score of 161-61 (40-15 average); they're 1-3 as a road dog this year, after covering seven of previous nine as road dogs. Big X home favorites are 6-5 vs spread in conference play.

Georgia beat Florida 17-9/24-20 last two years, after going 2-11 in series the previous 13 years; underdogs are 7-4 vs spread in series. Gators ran ball for only 56 yards combined last two meetings, after averaging 208.7 the previous three years. Dawgs have big edge in experience at QB; they are 0-5 vs the spread in last five games, had last week off to rest tattered defense that allowed 36 ppg in its last four games. SEC faves are 16-15 vs spread; this game is at traditional neutral (Jacksonville) site.

Underdogs covered eight in row and 11 of last 12 Miami-Florida St tilts; 'canes covered their last eight games as a series underdog and won four of last six visits to Tallahassee- last time they didn't cover as a dog at FSU was 1988, but Seminoles have won last three series games, by 13-4-28 points. Florida State is 4-1-1 vs spread this year- they pushed last week, but were a 32-point favorite and led 35-0 in first quarter. Miami is 7-0, with three wins by 4 or less. ACC home favorites are 9-7 vs spread.

Iowa covered five of last six times they were underdog to Wisconsin, in series where dog is 7-4 overall; Badgers won two of last three visits to Iowa, but wins were by 1-3 points. Wisky is 5-2, with all five wins by 24+ points; since '07, they're 8-10-1 as road favorites, covering last game at Illinois in only '13 game as a road favorite. Big Dozen home underdogs are 3-5 so far this season. While Badgers had last week off, Iowa won in OT over Northwestern- since '07, they're 5-1-1 vs spread as home dogs.

Michigan State won four of last five games with Michigan; Wolverines lost 29-14/26-20 in last two visits here, where favorites are 3-1-1 against spread in last five meetings. Spartans are 4-0 in league but didn't beat any good teams; they're 1-3 as home favorites this year, are now 1-9 against spread in last 10 tries. Michigan had last week off, after giving up 90 points in previous two games; since '08, Wolverines are 4-10 as road dogs, 1-4 under Hoke. Big Dozen home favorites are 9-4 vs spread.

This is only third time in last 11 meetings Indiana has been favored over Minnesota; Gophers lost four of last five visits here, losing by 20-9-1-8 points (underdogs are 3-2 in last five played here), but won three of last four overall in series. Minnesota is coming off first win over Nebraska since 1960; they're 1-4 in last five games as road dogs. 3-4 Indiana gave up 41+ points, 238+ rushing yards in all four losses. Minnesota ran ball for 271 yards last week, after averaging 114 in first three league games.

Arkansas lost its last five games, allowing 44.8 ppg in last four, losing last two 52-7/52-0, as Beilema learns there are no Indianas in SEC. Hogs have won four of last five games with Auburn, with last three wins by 17+ points in series where underdog is 9-4 vs spread; Razorbacks got beat 38-14/44-23 in last two visits here. 7-1 Auburn's only loss was by 14 at LSU; they won 45-41 at A&M. Malzahn made his name as high school coach in this state. SEC home dogs are 9-5 vs spread.

Home team lost first two Northwestern-Nebraska Big Dozen games, as games were decided by total of four points. Wildcats ran ball for 207-180 yards, which is surprising, but they got outgained 543-301 LY, and could not hold 28-16 lead in 4th quarter. Huskers covered 10 of last 13 tries as a home favorite. Wildcats are 0-6 vs spread in last six games, scored total of 33 points in last three- they're 0-2 as road dogs this year, after being 13-4 in last 17. Big Dozen home favorites are 9-4 against spread.

UNLV beat rival Nevada last week for first time in nine years, becomes bowl eligible with win here. Rebels still haven't beat anyone good; they are 2-1 at home, beating CMichigan/Hawai'i. San Jose State scored 40.7 ppg in winning its last three games; they've allowed 27+ points in all six I-A games, giving up 32.8 ppg in four road games (2-2)- they've covered five of last six tries as a road favorite, and passed for 431/482 yards last two games. Mountain West home underdogs are 2-9 vs spread.

NC State won five of last six games with North Carolina, in series where underdogs covered 12 of last 15 meetings, going 11-4 SU. Tar Heels lost last three visits here, by 13-1-4 points. Wolfpack lost last three games, scoring 13.3 ppg; they were down 35-0 in first quarter at FSU last week, but now schedule softens. State is 11-3-1 in last 15 games as home dogs. ACC home underdogs are 8-4 vs spread. Carolina is 0-3 on road, scoring 15.7 ppg in losses by 17-8-10 points. Favorites are 5-2 in their games.

Oklahoma State won last four games with Texas Tech, thrashing Raiders 59-21/66-6 last two years; State won last two visits here by 17-60, after losing previous six visits to Lubbock. 6-1 Cowboys allowed 30.7 ppg in winning two of three true road games, winning by 21-31 at UTSA, Iowa State- they lost at West Virginia. State is 1-5 in its last six games as road favorites, after an 11-1 run from '09-'11 Big X home favorites are 6-5 vs spread. Tech lost its first game 38-30 last week at Oklahoma.

Boise State thrashed Colorado State 42-14/63-13 in first two meetings as Mountain West rivals, but they were favored by 28-32 points-- they're a single digit favorite here. Broncos are 1-3 on road this year, with win at Utah State 34-23 (-6)- favorites covered three of those four games. Rams allowed 76 points in splitting pair of road games; they just swept 2-game road trip, scoring 87 points in wins at Wyoming/Hawai'i- they're 12-5 in last 17 tries as a home dog. MW home underdogs are 2-9 vs spread.

Notes on rest of the games......

Armadillosports.com

Saturday's NCAAF Line Moves
By Covers.com

The odds for Week 10 of the college football season have been on the move since hitting the boards last weekend. We talk to oddsmakers about the biggest adjustments to this Saturday’s spreads.

Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles - Open: -22, Move: -21

Florida State is playing some of the best football in the country and Heisman-hopeful Jameis Winston and his talented group of WRs will look to cause fits for the 'Canes secondary. Money had been coming in on The U, and for good reason. Miami is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings at Florida State.

"All stats lead to Florida State, but rivalry games like this can often have strange things happen," says Aron Black of Bet365. "Some of these kids often act differently when the big stage comes against in-state rivals, but action so far is liking the plus points by about 2-to-1, however its coming back on the Seminoles -21."

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd - Open: -28.5, Move: -31.5

Action here has been all Marshall, all the time. Southern Miss is one of the worst FBS schools around, sporting an 0-7 SU record and 1-6 ATS record. The Golden Eagles have been double-digit dogs in six-straight games.

"Heavy majority of our players are betting on the Thundering Herd, so on Thursday we moved to the current number of -31.5," says Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag. "Eighty-eight percent of the cash is on Marshall."

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Open: -17, Move: -14.5

The Middies have a very respectable 5-2 ATS record on the season and Sharps instantly jumped on the large opening line. They have covered in back-to-back games heading into this weekend's tilt and boast the 10th most per-game rushing yards at 289.1.

"Navy can cause problems with the run, and if they can do that, can at least lengthen their possessions," claims Black. "Although they probably don’t have enough to fully upset, it's that kind of aspect that has sharps eating up the early plus-point lines."

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack - Open: +3.5, Move: +5.5

Wiseguy action had this line on the move from the get go, despite the Heels being a paltry 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, as well as 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with their in-state rivals.

"Friday afternoon, shortly after noon ET, we got huge wiseguy play at -3.5 and made a 2-point line move to -5.5," Perry tells Covers. "We are split almost right down middle as 51 percent of money is on the Tar Heels."

Georgia Bulldogs v Florida Gators - Open: -2.5, Move: -3.5

This game normally has something bigger at stake, but both of these programs are currently unranked for the second time in four years after at least one was ranked in each season since 1979.

"Monday got a sharp play on Georgia -2.5 and then today, moved number to -3.5 as 86 percent of money is on the Bulldogs," Perry tells Covers.

"Action is pretty split on this one," says Black. "Georgia is seeing about 1.5-to-1 against the spread action to Florida."

East Carolina Pirates at Florida International Golden Panthers - Open: -21, Move: -25.5

This matchup has seen the biggest movement of the week at Sportsbook.ag. FIU is in the midst of a dismal campaign, going 1-6 SU and just 2-5 ATS. The Pirates are coming off a bye week

"Despite not involving a BCS team or national television, this will be one of our 10 biggest decisions in college football," Perry said. "Ninety-six percent of money is on the Pirates."

Line Moves - Week 10
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 9 Recap

Favorites: 2-5 ATS (7-0 SU)
Underdogs: 0-7 ATS (0-7 SU)
Totals: 0-2

Three straight weeks and counting, the early college football bets have been more than welcomed at the betting counter. If you faded the line moves last week, you would’ve went 14-2 (88%). I doubt we’ll see anything close to that percentage again this season but it does tell you that the oddsmakers have done a very good job with their opening numbers.

Week 10 Line Moves

CRIS, one of the biggest offshore sportsbooks, opened up their college football lines for Week 10 last Sunday. Below are all of the moves of at least “Three Points” or more off the opening line from CRIS.

Favorites

Marshall vs. Southern Miss
Open: Thundering Herd -28 ½
Friday: Thundering Herd -31 ½

UCLA vs. Colorado
Open: Bruins -24
Friday: Bruins -28

Utah State vs. Hawaii
Open: Aggies -21
Friday: Aggies -24

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. New Mexico State
Open: Rajin’ Cajuns -27
Friday: Rajin’ Cajuns -31 ½

East Carolina at Florida International
Open: Pirates -20
Friday: Pirates -26

Underdogs

Tennessee at Missouri
Open: Volunteers +13
Friday: Volunteers +10

Navy at Notre Dame
Open: Midshipmen +17
Friday: Midshipmen +14

Arkansas vs. Auburn
Open: Razorbacks +10
Friday: Razorbacks +7

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
Open: Cowboys -2½
Friday: Red Raiders -1

Colorado State vs. Boise State
Open: Rams +10
Friday: Rams +7

New Mexico vs. San Diego State
Open: Lobos +17
Friday: Lobos +14

Week 10 Total Moves

CRIS opened their ‘over/under’ numbers on Monday. Only one game saw significant movement and they're listed below.

Army at Air Force
Open: 57½
Friday: 54

Saturday's Top Action
By Sportsbook.ag

MIAMI HURRICANES (7-0) at FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES (7-0)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Florida State -21 & 63
Opening Line & Total: Seminoles -22 & 62

No. 7 Miami travels to in-state rival and No. 3 Florida State for a battle between the two undefeated teams in the ACC on Saturday night.

The Seminoles enter this game as the heavy favorite despite playing another top-10 foe, having dismantled everyone in their path this season. They are now 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS, having won their past three games—including one against then-No. 3 Clemson—by a margin of 169-31. They could be in for another win and cover, as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points are 52-13 ATS (80%) over the past 10 years after scoring 35 or more points against a conference rival. Miami, meanwhile, has stayed undefeated, but is 4-3 ATS, having lost two in a row ATS with narrow wins against North Carolina and Wake Forest. The Hurricanes have typically fared well covering against teams with prolific passing attacks like the Seminoles, going 7-0 ATS over the past three seasons against teams with a completion percentage over 62%. Overall, the Seminoles have beaten Miami three consecutive times, but the Hurricanes have covered in the past two matchups. Every game is big for the Seminoles, who currently sit third in the BCS standings and this is their final regular-season game against a ranked squad.

RB Duke Johnson is the star of the Miami offense, averaging 6.7 YPC for 823 rushing yards and six touchdowns this season. He was on top of his game last week, rushing for 168 yards against Wake Forest, his second game of at least 150 rushing yards in the team’s past three contests. He couldn’t figure out the Seminoles defense last year, however, rushing the ball nine times for only 27 yards. Supplementing him is red-zone back Dallas Crawford, who doesn’t have a gain of longer than 19 yards, but still has nine touchdowns already. Through the air, QB Stephen Morris has been serviceable, but not great. Completing 60% of his passes, he has thrown for 1,463 yards, 10 TD and 8 INT. He went 25-of-43 for 223 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT in last year’s meeting. Miami’s defense has been stout, giving up 17.7 PPG, good for 11th-best in the nation. The 'Canes yield just 3.7 YPC and allow opponents to complete a pithy 54.2% of their passes, averaging 6.2 yards per passing attempt.

Florida State’s offense ranks third nationally with 52.6 PPG, while its defense places fourth with 13.0 PPG. On the offensive side of the ball, it’s the Jameis Winston show. The freshman signal caller has thrown for 2,177 yards already while completing 70% of his passes, reaching the end zone 23 times through the air while throwing only four picks. He’s also a threat with his legs too, rushing for three more touchdowns. RBs Devonta Freeman (561 rush yards, 6.4 YPC, 6 TD) and Karlos Williams (349 yards, 7.9 YPC, 7 TD) have also been quite effective, forcing opponents to keep guys in the box, which opens up the field for the wide receivers. Freeman found the end zone twice on 10 carries last year against the Hurricanes. Leading the receiving corps has been Rashad Greene, who has a team-high 690 receiving yards on 39 receptions (17.7 avg.) and eight touchdowns. The Seminoles defense is great against the pass and run. They yield just 3.2 YPC on the ground while opposing quarterbacks are completing just 52.2% of their passes against FSU.

GEORGIA BULLDOGS (4-3) vs. FLORIDA GATORS (4-3)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Georgia -3.5 & 46
Opening Line & Total: Bulldogs -2.5 & 47.5

Both struggling in the ultra-competitive SEC, Georgia and Florida will clash for their annual meeting Saturday looking to avoid slipping to .500 on the season.

Both teams are 4-3 SU this season, with Georgia a poor 1-5-1 ATS and the Gators an almost as bad 2-5 ATS. They are both also coming off back-to-back losses, though each had a bye week to recuperate since then. The Bulldogs first fell to Missouri then to Vanderbilt in a 31-27 defeat last time out. The Gators' last two losses have been at the hands of LSU and Missouri. Will Muschamp is now 0-7 ATS as the Florida head coach coming off an SEC loss, and is 4-13 ATS (24%) coming off one or more consecutive ATS losses. Georgia is 15-3 ATS (83%) since 1992 after two or more straight up losses. The Bulldogs have won two consecutive meetings SU and ATS in this rivalry that takes place on a neutral field in Jacksonville, earning the 17-9 win in a defensive slugfest last season that had the two teams combine for only 26 points and 539 yards of offense.

The Georgia offense isn’t the problem with solid weapons both in the air and on the ground. QB Aaron Murray leads the way with 1,938 passing yards this season, completing 62.1% of his passes and finding the end zone 17 times while getting picked off only six times. He also has five rushing touchdowns, though he’s not really a threat on the ground with just 2.8 YPC. The big question for Saturday is if top RB Todd Gurley will play, as he has missed three consecutive games with an ankle injury. He’s been upgraded to questionable this week and would really boost the ground game with his 450 rushing yards (6.3 YPC) and four scores. Gurley was key in last year’s win too, rumbling for 118 yards and one touchdown while Murray struggled. The good news is that RB J.J. Green has been a more than serviceable replacement with 6.7 YPC. In the passing game, Murray distributes the ball well, as nine different players have caught TD passes. Chris Conley paces the way with four receiving touchdowns, 30 catches and 418 yards. The defense has been the real issue for this team, surrendering 30 or more points in six of the team’s seven contests. While it gives up just 3.7 YPC on the ground, opponents are completing 62.2% of their passes against them and averaging 7.7 yards per passing attempt.

After winning his first three games under center, Florida QB Tyler Murphy has struggled mightily in his past two, not scoring a TD in either game while throwing one interception. Overall, he’s completing 62.7% of his passes and has 5 TD and 2 INT through the air, while also adding two rushing scores. And with top RB Matt Jones out for the season with a knee injury, the weight of the rushing workload has been put on the shoulders of Mack Brown (359 rush yards, 3.6 YPC, 3 TD), who has yet to break through. He performed horribly against Missouri, carrying the ball eight times for only 19 yards. The Florida defense is solid against the run, giving up 3.7 YPC, but is at its best defending against the pass, with opponents completing a miniscule 47.5% of their passes this season. Last year they limited Murray to a 50% completion rate while forcing him into throwing three picks while he reached only 150 yards with one touchdown.

WISCONSIN BADGERS (5-2) at IOWA HAWKEYES (5-3)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Wisconsin -9.5 & 48.5
Opening Line & Total: Badgers -9 & 49

No. 24 Wisconsin will look to stay on track for another berth in the Big Ten championship game as it travels to Iowa City Saturday afternoon to take on Iowa.

Wisconsin has bounced back after losing two of three games, including a 56-32 victory two weeks ago over Illinois. These two schools have not played since 2010, when the Badgers won a 31-30 thriller on the road. While a lot has changed since then, one thing remains the same, and that is Wisconsin still running the football as effectively as ever. Sophomore RB Melvin Gordon has rushed for 1,012 yards so far in the season, while averaging an outstanding 9.5 yards per carry. Gordon and teammate James White, (672 rush yards, seven touchdowns) the Badgers have one of the most elite rushing attacks in all of the country. Wisconsin is very close to being undefeated, with its two losses being by a combined nine points. On the season, the Badgers are 6-0-1 ATS, with their 7-point loss at Ohio State being the push. They have also been dominant in their victories, winning by an average of 35.4 PPG. They will be going against an Iowa team that has also been very competitive in its losses this year. Two weeks ago, the Hawkeyes had Ohio State on the ropes in Columbus before falling 34-24. Iowa is very similar to the Badgers when it comes to trying to dominate the game on the ground, as the team averages 43 carries per game. They will need to run the ball very well to keep the explosive Wisconsin offense on the sideline. Both coaches have extremely favorable trends here as Gary Andersen is 19-3 ATS in games played on turf, while Iowa's Kirk Ferentz is 15-2 ATS versus excellent rushing teams (230+ rushing YPG) since becoming the Iowa head coach.

Wisconsin currently ranks eighth in the country with 296.9 rushing yards per game, but is not one-dimensional on offense in large part because of WR Jared Abbrederis. On the season, he has 43 catches for 752 yards and five touchdowns. Against Ohio State on Sept. 28, Abbrederis had a monster game, finishing with 10 catches and 207 yards. He is a big reason why sophomore QB Joel Stave has completed 64% of his passes for 1,486 yards (8.4 YPA), 13 TD and 6 INT this year. While the offense gets a lot of the talk, the Badgers once again have one of the best defenses in all of the country. In the first seven games, the defense has only given up 15.9 points per game (6th in FBS). Linebacker Chris Borland is terrific, averaging 8.2 tackles per game, but his status is in question after suffering a hamstring injury against Illinois last weekend. However, there are other players that are very talented on the defense, especially CB Sojourn Shelton. With another interception last week, the freshman now has three on the season. He is a little undersized at 5-foot-9, but is very physical and fast enough to run with any receiver in the country. Both teams like to grind it out on offense, and they both rely on outstanding defense.

The Hawkeyes are allowing only 18.1 points per game, which ranks 12th in the country. These two teams may be as comparable of opponents as there are in the country. Iowa will lean on running back Mark Weisman, who has 732 yards and three touchdowns on the season. He must get back to his early season form in this game, as he rushed for at least 100 yards in four of the first five Hawkeyes games. In the past three games, he has been able to run for only 117 yards. He is a big, strong and powerful back that can wear out the opposing defense. Iowa also has a capable sophomore to run the offense in QB Jake Rudock, who has completed 61% of his throws for 1,616 yards (6.9 YPA), and 12 TD this year, but has also thrown 8 INT, including at least one pick in each of the past four games. Like the Badgers, Iowa has a star linebacker in James Morris. On the season, Morris has 63 tackles, to go along with three interceptions and three sacks. He is a playmaker with the ability to run sideline-to-sideline, which will be huge against Gordon of Wisconsin. Look for this game to be a very low-scoring affair, with the team that does not turn the ball over winning the game.

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (6-1) at TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS (7-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Texas Tech -1.5 & 69
Opening Line & Total: Red Raiders -1 & 67

Two Big 12 teams square off in Lubbock on Saturday night in what could be a conference elimination game as No. 18 Oklahoma State visits No. 15 Texas Tech.

Both teams are currently one game behind Big 12 leaders Baylor and Texas, and this game will go a long way in determining which team still remains in the race. Last season, these two teams squared off in Stillwater, and it was not close as the Cowboys defeated the Red Raiders 59-21 to give them four straight wins (SU and ATS) in this series by an average of 30.5 PPG. This includes a 66-6 drubbing the last time OSU visited Lubbock. In last year's contest, Cowboys quarterback Clint Chelf had a very solid game, throwing for 229 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. After losing the job to J.W. Walsh early in the season, Chelf has become the starter again, but really struggled in last week’s 58-27 win over Iowa State (10-for-26, 78 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). However, it did not make a difference as RB Desmond Roland had a monster game with 219 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Roland figures to get the bulk of the carries once again, seemingly taking the job from senior RB Jeremy Smith. Texas Tech was unable to get the victory in Norman last week, but had a chance with 1:17 left to tie the game, before falling 38-30. Freshman quarterback Davis Webb played well, throwing for 385 yards and two touchdowns, but had two big interceptions that played a huge role in the outcome. Also, the Red Raiders defense, which had been playing so well, gave up 526 yards of total offense, including big play after big play. They must shore that up this weekend, as the Cowboys definitely have the playmakers to post similar numbers. Mike Gundy loves high-scoring games, going 21-10 ATS (68%) when the total is between 63.5 and 70 as the OSU head coach, but is just 12-22 ATS (35%) in the underdog role.

With Chelf in at the quarterback position, Oklahoma State has a guy that is going to keep the offense composed and not make many mistakes. While he is being counted upon to be more of a game manager, Chelf still has the weapons on the perimeter to make the big plays. Josh Stewart leads the Cowboys on the season with 34 catches and 483 yards, while also scoring two touchdowns. He is extremely quick and is able to turn a short pass into a long touchdown on any given play. He complements Tracy Moore, (26 catches, 332 yards, 1 TD) who is more of the possession receiver that Chelf will look for on the big third down conversion. While the offense has been solid (38.9 PPG, 23rd in FBS) this season, it is the play of the defense that has the Cowboys still in the Big 12 race. They are currently giving up just 19.6 PPG, which ranks 19th in the country. For many years, they have had a championship worthy offense, but the defense has let them down. Justin Gilbert is one of the best cornerbacks in the country, with the ability to lock down any receiver in the Big 12. Against the offense that the Red Raiders are going to throw at Oklahoma State, he will have plenty of opportunities to make the big play.

Kliff Kingsbury has been quite impressive in the Big 12 in his first year as the Texas Tech coach, but for the first time all year, his team will be coming off a loss. Per usual in Lubbock, the Red Raiders love to throw the ball around the field, ranking third in the country with 413 passing yards per game. Davis Webb, the highly touted freshman has gotten the job after fellow freshman Baker Mayfield’s injury, and has played very sound football. Webb is completing 61 percent of his passes, while throwing 13 touchdowns to just seven interceptions. TE Jace Amaro has become his favorite target, with a rare combination of size and speed at 6-foot-5, 260 pounds. After being suspended for the first half of the game this season, he has at least eight catches and 86 yards in each of the team’s past seven games. The Cowboys will have to slow him down over the middle of the field, so that could create opportunities on the outside for Webb to attack downfield. Like OSU, the Red Raiders are playing their best defense in years, giving up just 21.0 points per game. However, the big play really hurt Texas Tech last weekend in Norman. In that game, the Sooners also carried the ball 50 times for 277 yards, which could be a bad sign, as Roland and the Cowboys' ground attack was so successful last weekend.

Check out more College Football Odds and Props at Sportsbook.ag

College Football Betting Preview: Miami (FL) at Florida State
By Rob Veno
Sportsmemo.com

Miami (FL) at Florida State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Florida State -21 O/U 61
CRIS Current: Florida State -21 O/U 61.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida State -15.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Miami

Extremely high number shows how far Florida State has jumped in oddsmakers’ and bettors’ eyes since October 19th (just 13 days ago) when they closed a short -4.5 at then undefeated Clemson. Maybe an even better comparison is the fact that at home in Tallahassee the week before (just 20 days ago) FSU was only -17.5 against Maryland. The Seminoles’ 51-14 shellacking of Clemson followed by last week’s 49-17 destruction of North Carolina State has the nation talking Florida State as a legitimate BCS Championship threat. The lower side of this game’s equation is how underwhelming Miami has been in its last three games. Since marching into Chapel Hill as a respected 9-point favorite on Thursday night three weeks ago, the Hurricanes have proceeded to squeak out a pair of extremely late comeback victories against North Carolina and Wake Forest. The latter is most concerning since it came on the heels of a bye week with Miami closing -26. So, what we have colliding here this week is a classic matchup of “what we saw last” really affecting the pointspread. Miami is a 7-0 team, ranked in the top 10, playing an in-state rival and getting over three touchdowns. Al Golden was used to being this heavy an underdog a few years back when he was the head man at Temple so he likely knows how to get his team in the right mindset for this.

Fundamentally, one of the unheard potential explanations for Miami’s sudden point scoring struggles is the loss of WR Phillip Dorsett. Personally, I haven’t heard one mention all week about his loss having anything to do with Miami averaging just 25.5 points per game over their last two contests but it is a large loss. Dorsett was the WR corps top home run threat and vertical field stretcher. Remember, before he got hurt in the first half of the UNC game, he already had 68-yard reception which added to the 55, 52 and 40 yarders that he already posted this season leading to his 20.7 yards per game average. That added threat in the passing game was lacking last week against Wake Forest and it would have really benefitted Miami to have him here giving FSU multiple threats plus RB Duke Johnson’s running to worry about. Still, if Stephen Morris can avoid the mistakes and poor decisions that have plagued him, Miami has enough firepower. The offensive line will face their toughest challenge to date but so far they’ve been terrific leading the way to 5.6 yards per carry and allowing only six sacks. Meanwhile, Miami figures to have their hands full with the FSU offense which is loaded in all aspects and clicking on all cylinders. The multi-dimensional, depth laden unit is averaging 8.2 yards per play, converting 52.2% of their third downs and they’ve scored 38-of-39 times inside the red zone (97.4%). There are no flaws and Miami’s overall defensive numbers are a bit skewed by games against Florida Atlantic, Savannah State and South Florida. In those games, the ‘Canes only allowed an average 240 typg and 11.3 points. Versus their three league opponents thus far and Florida, those numbers rise to 418.8 typg and 22.5 ppg.

Florida State has everything going for them right now including perhaps the most popular college player and now potential Heisman candidate Jameis Winston. While the fundamentals and current form suggest a possible rout on the horizon, it’s hard to believe Miami won’t enter this one feeling overlooked and subsequently be fully focused and ready. Pulling off the upset is probably far-fetched but covering as +21 (as high as +22 in Las Vegas) doesn’t seem to be. My power ratings made Florida State -15.5 and all things considered, I’ll take a lean toward the game ending closer to that number.

College Football Betting Preview: Georgia vs. Florida
By Brian Edwards
Sportsmemo.com

Georgia vs. Florida
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Georgia -2.5 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Georgia -3 (-105) O/U 47
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Georgia -0.5
Brain Edwards' Recommendation: Georgia

Thanks to South Carolina’s improbable comeback victory at Missouri, Georgia and Florida have something to play for when they collide along the St. John’s River in Jacksonville on Saturday afternoon. Despite disappointing seasons brought on by a rash of injuries, both schools remain alive in the SEC East race.

As of Friday morning, most betting shops had Georgia (4-3 straight up, 1-5-1 against the spread) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 47 or 47.5. Gamblers can take the Gators on the money line for a +130 return (risk $100 to win $130).

Florida (4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS) has dropped back-to-back games at LSU (17-6) and at Missouri (36-17. The Gators were without a pair of key starters on defense against the Tigers. DE Ronald Powell (ankle) and DT Damien Jacobs (head) didn’t dress out, but both players were upgraded to ‘probable’ on Thursday.

UF has had eight players go down to season-ending injuries this year and now it must face UGA without starting offensive tackle D.J. Humphries, who is going to miss the next 2-4 weeks with an MCL injury.

Georgia has also lost back-to-back games to Missouri (41-26) at home and at Vanderbilt (31-27), but the Bulldogs will have a different look against UF. That’s because RB Todd Gurley will return after missing three consecutive games. Gurley, who rushed for 450 yards and five touchdowns in the first 3.5 games, sprained his ankle in the first half of a 44-41 win over LSU on Sept. 28.

Mark Richt’s team will also get starting safety Tray Matthews back in the lineup for the first time since he strained his hamstring in a 34-31 overtime win at Tennessee on Oct .5. WR Michael Bennett suffered a knee injury at UT and might return this week. Bennett is listed as ‘questionable’ at this point, so check his status early Saturday.

Florida’s offense has been downright atrocious in 2013. The Gators haven’t scored more than 31 points in a game and they average a pedestrian 21.1 points per contest.

In an attempt to spark the offense, UF head coach Will Muschamp is going to start Kelvin ‘Baby Fred’ Taylor at tailback. The true freshman is the son of Fred, a Gator legend, and wears No. 21 just like his father.

With increased playing time in the last two games, Taylor has looked explosive. He has rushed for 172 yards and one TD on 28 carries for a 6.1 yards-per-carry average.

UF quarterback Tyler Murphy suffered a shoulder injury in the loss at LSU and it was clearly bothering him against Missouri. Murphy didn’t throw at all during the bye week and rested the shoulder until Tuesday’s practice.

The over is 6-1 overall for UGA, which has seen its combined scores average 69.3 points per game. Every total for the Bulldogs has been in the 60s except for a Week 2 win over South Carolina. In that contest, UGA won a 41-30 decision and the 71 combined point sailed ‘over’ the 55-point tally.

The under is 4-2-1 overall for the Gators, who have watched their games play to a combined average score of 37.4 PPG.

Muschamp is winless in six appearances in this rivalry. As a safety at Georgia in the 1990s, Florida beat the Bulldogs all four times. In Muschamp’s first two trips to Jacksonville as coach of the Gators, UGA has prevailed both times, including last year’s 17-9 victory.

Until winning the last two meetings, Georgia had not beaten UF in back-to-back games since the 1980s.

I think Georgia is the play in this spot. The return of Gurley is going to be huge and as bad as UGA is defensively, UF is even worse on offense. The Florida defense will keep it in the game the entire way, but I think the Bulldogs win by a touchdown.

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan at Michigan State
By Teddy Covers
Sportsmemo.com

Michigan at Michigan State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Michigan State -3.5 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Michigan State -5 O/U 46
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -3
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Michigan State

Michigan hasn’t enjoyed much success against Michigan State in recent years, particularly from a pointspread perspective. The Wolverines closed as 9.5 point home favorites against the Spartans last year, but failed to score a single touchdown in their 12-10 non-covering win. Prior to that two point victory, the Spartans had won four straight in the series (both SU and ATS), with three of those four victories coming by two touchdowns or more. Michigan’s last ATS cover against Michigan State came all the way back in 2006 – it’s been a while!

The Wolverines come into this game in a pretty good spot, rested and ready off their bye week. That stands in sharp contrast to Michigan State; a team that hasn’t had a bye since September, looking forward to their break following this game.

Mark Dantonio has earned a reputation as a defensive mastermind, and the Spartans stop unit will be the best unit on the field this Saturday. Michigan State’s D just gets better and better. After allowing 26 points per game on 381 yards per game back in 2009, the Spartans improved to 22 points and 354 yards allowed in 2010. In 2011 it was even better: 18 points and 277 yards. In 2012, it was even better: 16 points and 274 yards.

It’s hard to improve on those defensive numbers, but the Spartans have done it so far for the fifth consecutive season. The numbers don’t lie: Michigan State is allowing just 215 yards per game – by far the best in the country and 12 points per game (behind only Alabama and Louisville). And the Spartans force takeaways too, almost two per game on average.

That’s bad news for Wolverines turnover prone QB Devin Gardner. Gardner has thrown multiple interceptions in more than half of his games this season; a big part of the reason why Michigan struggled against the likes of Akron and UConn in non-conference play, and a big part of the reason that they lost their last road game at Penn State.

To make matters even worse for Michigan, their offense clearly lacks explosive playmakers. Feature back Fitz Toussaint is averaging only 3.7 yards per carry. Leading receiver Jeremy Gallon has 45 catches and seven TD’s. Tight end Devin Funchess has 23 catches and four TD’s. But other than those two weapons, Michigan doesn’t have a single skill position player with more than 105 yards from scrimmage this year. I’m expecting the Wolverines offense to struggle mightily here, just as every other offense has struggled.

The Spartans offense was their undoing last year when they averaged only 20 points per game; an eleven point drop-off from their 11 win season with Kirk Cousins behind center in 2011. That attack got off to a very slow start again this year, but the Spartans have come to life in recent weeks now that Connor Cook has taken firm control of the job. Cook completed 15 of his 16 pass attempts on the road last week, the Spartans have hung 26+ on their foes in three of their last four in Big 10 play. I’m certainly not expecting a blowout, but a Michigan State win by about a TD is what I would expect. Slight lean towards Michigan State.

College Football Betting Preview: North Carolina at NC State
By Andrew Lange
Sportsmemo.com

North Carolina at NC State
Saturday, 9:30 am PT - ESPN Game Plan
CRIS Opener: North Carolina -3 O/U 55
CRIS Current: North Carolina -4 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: North Carolina -6.5
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: NC State

There aren't very many statistics that I can use to make a case for supporting NC State. The Wolfpack are 0-4 in ACC play and own non-conference wins over Louisiana Tech, Richmond (by 2), and Central Michigan. North Carolina meanwhile has battled the likes of South Carolina, Virginia Tech, and Miami and while coming up on the short of end of it in those three games, the Tar Heels have shown to be at least capable. But that doesn't mean they are deserving of laying over a field goal on the road in a rivalry game as NC State should be primed for its best showing of the season.

NC State was dealt some bad cards when starting quarterback Brandon Mitchell went down in the first game of the season. Mitchell is a dual-threat weapon who first-year head coach Dave Doeren felt was capable of running his up-tempo offense. Without Mitchell and a few other key injuries, NC State obviously struggled. Mitchell returned last week but walked into a buzz saw in Tallahassee. Now at home, against the worst defense in the ACC statistically, I expect the Wolfpack to have their best offensive showing since hanging 48 on Central Michigan a month ago.

I supported North Carolina as a big home underdog against Miami and was rewarded with a winning ticket but it was yet another game that the Tar Heels should have won outright. They outplayed Georgia Tech for three quarters, were a no-show against East Carolina, and couldn’t make a stop late in the fourth quarter against the Hurricanes. There are still plenty of weapons on this team but they are a prime example of "all style and no substance." Bryn Renner gets rattled too easily, they can't run the football (2.85 ypc), and it's one of the weakest tackling units I've seen this season. Overall, it's a very soft football team – not the type of group I want to be supporting in this spot.

If you were selling this play to someone it would be a lot easier to get them on board with the road chalk but I see value and a potential upset on the horizon for the up-until-this-point ugly home dog.

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Afternoon Action
By Covers.com

Northern Illinois Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen (+23.5, 58)

The undefeated Huskies, who have won 20 of their last 21 games, shouldn't have a problem with a Massachusetts team it defeated 63-0 a year ago. Jordan Lynch continues to light up opposing defenses through the air and on the ground, and recently became the tenth player in FBS history to surpass 3,000 yards rushing and 4,000 yards passing in a career.

The Minutemen are coming off a heart-breaking 31-30 defeat to Western Michigan, in which head coach Charley Molnar opted for a two-point conversion attempt down by one point with 22 seconds remaining. The attempt failed, leaving the Minutemen with a 2-18 record since joining the FBS last season. Rob Blanchflower led the offense with a career-high 131 yards receiving on seven catches.

LINE: Northern Illinois opened as a 22.5-point favorite, but the line has grown to 23.5. The O/U is set at 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Huskies are 9-2-1 ATS vs. teams with losing records.
* Minutemen are 1-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
* Under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' last eight games.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers (+31.5, 56.5)

Quarterback Braxton Miller and running back Carlos Hyde look to continue raising their games when No. 4 Ohio State visits struggling Purdue for a Big Ten clash on Saturday. Miller completed 40-of-51 passes the last two weeks and Hyde gained 464 yards rushing over the previous three games for the Buckeyes, who have won 20 straight.

Ohio State, which is averaging 42 points in four league games, faces a Boilermakers team that started eight underclassmen in a 14-0 loss at Michigan State on Oct. 19. Freshman quarterback Danny Etling will make his third start as Purdue attempts to snap a five-game losing streak. Etling is 28-of-60 for 344 yards over his last two games, DeAngelo Yancey has made 15 catches for 327 yards and Akeem Hunt leads the team in rushing (293) and receptions (24).

LINE: The line has moved slightly to 31.5 after Ohio State opened as a 31-point fave. The total is 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with a 20 percent chance of rain and wind blowing diagonally from the northwest at 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Buckeyes are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win.
* Boilermakers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
* Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes (+9.5, 48.5)

The Badgers have won two straight games and had their second bye in four weeks last weekend. Iowa recorded a 17-10 overtime victory over Northwestern last Saturday after suffering consecutive losses to Michigan State and Ohio State. The Hawkeyes’ three defeats - Northern Illinois is the other team that beat them - are to teams with a combined 23-1 record.

Iowa middle linebacker James Morris is coming off a superb performance in which he had eight tackles, two sacks and recovered a fumble against Northwestern. Morris has 64 tackles - second on the squad behind the 79 of weak-side linebacker Anthony Hitchens - and ranks eighth in school history with 357 in his career.

LINE: The Badgers have held steady as a 9.5-point favorite. The total is set at 48 1/2.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-40s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 14 mph.
TRENDS:

* Badgers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win.
* Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (-12, 52)

With its division title hopes rejuvenated, No. 16 South Carolina returns home Saturday to take on struggling Mississippi State in a Southeastern Conference cross-divisional matchup. After entering the game in the third quarter and engineering a comeback last week against Missouri, South Carolina starting quarterback Connor Shaw is questionable this week with a virus.

Despite being kicked in the left shin by a fellow student on Mississippi State’s campus early this week, according to the school’s website, dual-threat quarterback Dak Prescott will get the start for the Bulldogs. Prescott has just five touchdowns against three interceptions since taking over for an injured Tyler Russell in the opening week, but he has rushed for over 100 yards three times in the Bulldogs' last five games.

LINE: The Gamecocks opened as 12.5-point favorites, but the line has since dipped to 12. The total is set at 52.
WEATHER: Sunny skies are expected with temperatures in the mid-60s and wind blowing across the field at 10 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
* Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass.
* Over is 8-2 in South Carolina's last 10 conference games.

Clemson Tigers at Virginia Cavaliers (+17, 54.5)

No. 8 Clemson will try to break out of its offensive funk when the Tigers travel to play ACC rival Virginia on Saturday. Clemson, also No. 8 in the latest BCS rankings, struggled to put away Maryland last week after falling flat in a 51-14 loss to No. 3 Florida State. The Tigers should have an easier time against the Cavaliers, who have lost five straight and are allowing nearly 30 points a game.

Red-zone efficiency is of particular focus for the Tigers, who led the Terrapins 19-13 in the third quarter before claiming a 40-27 victory. Clemson settled for four field goals after getting inside the 20. Some of the Tigers’ offensive struggles can be attributed to quarterback Tajh Boyd, who got banged up against both the Seminoles and the Terrapins.

LINE: Clemson opened as a 17-point favorite, but the line has dropped to 16.5. The total has held steady at 54.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. teams with losing home records.
* Cavaliers are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games.
* Under is 9-1 in Virginia's last 10 November games.

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-6, 46.5)

First place in the Legends Division will be on the line when the 24th-ranked Spartans host No. 21 Michigan on Saturday. he Wolverines will be playing just their third true road game and barely scraped by a winless Connecticut team 24-21 away from home on Sept. 21 before suffering their lone loss, 43-40 in four overtimes, at Penn State on Oct. 12.

Michigan State padded its record and showed off on defense while making some necessary adjustments offensively in last week’s 42-3 triumph over Illinois, as quarterback Connor Cook went 15-of-16 for 208 yards and three touchdowns in his most efficient performance. Cook’s emergence complements a running attack that is averaging 196.5 yards.

LINE: Michigan State was installed as a 4.5-point favorite, but the line has since vaulted to 6. The total is set at 46.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 40 percent chance of rain and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 9 mph.
TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after racking up more than 280 yards in their previous contest.
* Spartans are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win.
* Over is 6-1 in Michigan's last seven conference games.

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17, 48.5)

Notre Dame seeks its fourth straight victory Saturday afternoon when it hosts Navy as the longtime rivals meet for the 87th straight season. The Fighting Irish are coming off their most lopsided win of the year, a 45-10 rout at Air Force. They have put a 3-2 start in the rear view mirror and are gearing up for a challenging stretch run that ends with a visit to Stanford on the Saturday after Thanksgiving.

The Midshipmen also took care of Air Force earlier in the year and are coming off a 24-21 win over Pittsburgh last Saturday. A 30-yard field goal as time expired was the difference as Navy scored 10 points in the final three-plus minutes to improve to 3-0 at home. The Midshipmen have dropped three straight on the road, however, including two to non-BCS conference schools.

LINE: Notre Dame has held steady as a 17-point favorite. The total has dipped from 49 to 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with a 46 percent chance of rain and wind blowing across the width of the field at 13 mph.
TRENDS:

* Midshipmen are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on grass.
* Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after scoring 40 or more points in their previous outing.
* Road team is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings.

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Evening Action
By Covers.com

Auburn Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks (+8, 54.5)

Arkansas has lost five straight since starting 3-0 while yielding 52 points in each of its two latest setbacks - to No. 18 South Carolina and No. 1 Alabama - while scoring only seven against the Gamecocks and getting blanked by the Crimson Tide. Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall, who injured his shoulder in the Tigers' 45-10 victory over Florida Atlantic last week, is expected to play, according to WBRC Fox 6 Birmingham.

The Razorbacks, who are playing their fifth straight ranked opponent, have the worst offense in the SEC at 20.4 points per game and have only mustered 17 points in their last three games combined. Running back Alex Collins, the first freshman in SEC history to start his career with three 100-yard rushing games, has been held to 79 yards in four games since conference play began.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 9.5-point favorite, but the line has since dropped to 8. The total is set at 54.5.
WEATHER: Clear skies are expected with temperatures in the low-50s and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
* Razorbacks are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 home games.
* Over is 19-7 in Arkansas' last 26 November games.

Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers (-10.5, 55.5)

Missouri still controls its fate in the SEC East, but the 10th-ranked Tigers can't afford another setback when they host upset-minded Tennessee on Saturday. The Tigers' charmed season suffered its first blemish in a 27-24 double-overtime loss to South Carolina last week. The Volunteers knocked off those same Gamecocks two weeks ago, but are coming off a 45-10 thrashing at the hands of top-ranked Alabama.

The Volunteers will hand the reins of the offense to freshman Joshua Dobbs, who will make his first start in place of Justin Worley (thumb). Dobbs was slated for a redshirt before coming off the bench against Alabama and going 5-for-12 for 75 yards. To pull off the upset, Tennessee will need a big game from running back Rajion Neal and a defense that has not fared well against strong offenses.

LINE: Missouri comes in as a 10.5-point favorite, down from an opening line of -13. The total is steady at 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies and wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Volunteers are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.
* Over is 8-3 in Missouri's last 11 games.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5, 66.5)

Oklahoma State will try to stretch its winning streak to five games against No. 15 Texas Tech when the No. 12 Cowboys travel to Lubbock for Saturday night’s Big 12 matchup. The Red Raiders are the first ranked team Oklahoma State will face this season and they entered the week tied for fifth in the nation at 537.1 total yards a game. Texas Tech is coming off its first loss of the season, however, and is 1-7 in the month of November over the last two years.

Josh Stewart is leading the Cowboys in receptions and receiving yards for the second straight season, leaving him 16 yards short of becoming the seventh player in school history to reach 2,000 receiving yards for his career. But Stewart was limited to 20 yards or less in two of the last three games. Chelf hasn’t helped Stewart’s productivity, completing 38 percent of his passes in the seven quarters since he took over for Walsh.

LINE: Texas Tech opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but the line has moved to 2.5 while the total holds steady at 66.5.
WEATHER: Fans should expect clear skies and temperatures in the low-60s. Wind will blow north across the length of the field at 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games on Fieldturf.
* Red Raiders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with winning road records.
* Over is 6-0 in Texas Tech's last six games following an ATS loss.

Colorado Buffaloes at UCLA Bruins (-27, 57)

The Buffaloes are yielding a conference-worst 287.5 rushing yards per Pac-12 game after giving up an eye-popping 405 against Arizona. Colorado isn't much better against the pass, yielding 268 yards per contest with only seven sacks. The Buffaloes' two best offensive weapons were injured against Arizona as wide receiver Paul Richardson hurt his ankle while freshman running back Michael Adkins II suffered a concussion

The Bruins have struggled without running back Jordon James, who averaged 141.3 yards in three games before injuring his ankle against Utah on Oct. 3 and missed the ensuing three contests since. Sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley appeared to be a Heisman Trophy candidate before throwing two touchdowns and four interceptions in his last two games, but has an opportunity to get his confidence back against Colorado.

LINE: The line has moved slightly from UCLA -26.5 to -27. The total is set at 57.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under sunny skies with wind blowing north across the length of the field at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Buffaloes are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
* Bruins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
* Under is 25-4 in UCLA's last 29 home games vs. teams with losing road records.

Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles (-22, 61)

The Hurricanes have won nine straight — their longest streak since winning 10 in a row from Nov. 15, 2003, to Oct. 23, 2004 — yet they're three-touchdown underdogs. Miami's offense was impressive early in the season but has been inconsistent against inferior opponents the past two games. The defense has kept the Hurricanes in the past two contests and boasts 22 sacks and 12 interceptions on the season

The Seminoles have been unstoppable on offense with redshirt freshman Jameis Winston running the show, scoring touchdowns on 54.2 percent of their drives — second-best in the nation. Winston has emerged as a Heisman Trophy contender, as he ranks second in the nation in passing efficiency and has passed for 2,177 yards and 23 touchdowns.

LINE: Florida State has held steady as a 22-point favorite. The total is set at 61.
WEATHER: Skies will be clear with temperatures in the mid-60s and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Hurricanes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
* Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on grass.
* Over is 7-0 in Florida State's last seven games.

UTEP Miners at Texas A&M Aggies (-45.5, 76)

Texas A&M would have been a heavy favorite against Texas-El Paso anyway, but now the No. 14 Aggies will be up against a second-string quarterback when they host the Miners in a nonconference game Saturday night. UTEP quarterback Jameill Showers injured his throwing shoulder in a loss to Rice last weekend and could be lost for the season.

Aggies star quarterback Manziel was limited during practice last week because of a shoulder injury but took the field Saturday against Vanderbilt and threw for 305 yards and four touchdowns in the 56-24 victory. Manziel rushed for career lows of 11 yards on four carries and may take that approach again Saturday to protect his shoulder.

LINE: The line opened with the Aggies a 45-point favorite, and has since risen to 45.5. The total is set at 76.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies and wind blowing diagonally out of the north at 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Miners are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 200 or more rushing yards in their previous outing.
* Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. Conference USA opponents.
* Over is 6-1 in Texas A&M's last seven home games.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs (-20.5, 73.5)

The Wolf Pack lost to rival UNLV for the first time in nine meetings last week. Cody Fajardo threw for 357 yards in the game, marking the third time in his last four outings that he's gone over 350 yards. Fajardo, whose Mountain West-record streak of 193 passes without an interception was snapped against UNLV, ranks 16th in the nation in completion percentage (67.7).

The Bulldogs blocked a field goal as regulation time expired last week and then got a 1-yard touchdown run from Marteze Waller to post a 35-28 win on the road. Fresno State has won 10 straight games at home, led by Carr, who ranks seventh in the nation in passing with 2,574 yards and is second in touchdowns with 25. The Bulldogs have won two games in overtime this season and has four wins by seven or fewer points.

LINE: The Bulldogs have been locked in as 20.5-point favorites, while the total is steady at 73.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Wolfpack are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.
* Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an SU win.
* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.