College Football betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, November 2nd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
N ILLINOIS (6 - 2) at TOLEDO (7 - 1) - 11/2/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 72-42 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 72-42 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST (2 - 6) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 6) - 11/2/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NAVY (5 - 2) at TEMPLE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 164-121 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 164-121 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 80-39 ATS (+37.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 80-39 ATS (+37.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 72-40 ATS (+28.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
NAVY is 38-16 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO (3 - 5) at TROY (6 - 2) - 11/2/2017, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
IDAHO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL STATE @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Eastern Michigan's last 8 games when playing Ball State
NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ TOLEDO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Toledo
Northern Illinois is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
NAVY @ TEMPLE
Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games
Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Navy
IDAHO @ TROY
Idaho is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Idaho's last 5 games
Troy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 6 games
NCAAF Week 10
Underdogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six Northern Illinois-Toledo games; Toledo (-7) beat NIU 31-24 LY, ending a 5-game series skid. Huskies won last three visits to Toledo, by 3-18-5 points. NIU won its last four games; they’re 3-1 on road, including a win at Nebraska- they won MAC road games by 14-13/48-17 scores. Toledo is 7-1, winning its last four games, last three by 20+ points. Rockets ran ball for 300+ yards in their last three games. Four of last six Toledo games went over the total. MAC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread in conference games.
Eastern Michigan lost its last six games, the last five all by 5 or less points; they’re 1-1 as home favorites this year- their two wins are by 17-3 points. Eagles beat Ball State 48-41 LY, just their 2nd win in last 12 games with the Cardinals, who’ve won their last six visits to Ypsilanti. Under is 6-2 in Eastern games this season. Ball State lost its last five games, allowing 55+ points in three of last four- they’re 1-2-1 vs spread as a road underdog this year, losing away games by 3-12-52-28 points. Four of Cardinals’ last five games went over the total.
Armadillosports.com
Navy at Temple
By Joe Nelson
VegasInsider.com
The past two Thursday night ESPN games have featured dramatic finishes with comeback wins for Memphis and Stanford. This week’s game is a rematch of the AAC Championship from last season as Navy visits Temple.
While both teams might fail to match last season’s success, this is a pivotal game in the season goals on both sides.
Matchup: Navy Midshipmen at Temple Owls
Venue: At Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 2, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: Navy -8, Over/Under 55
Last Meeting: 2016, Temple (+2½) 34, at Navy 10 (AAC Championship Game)
Temple has been to the American Athletics Conference championship game the past two seasons and last year the Owls beat Navy 34-10 in a minor upset to claim the title. That made it a second consecutive 10-win season for Temple. After a nice climb in four years Matt Rhule left to take the Baylor head coaching job, a move he may now regret with Baylor’s scandal continuing to grow and the Bears still winless as the calendar is set to turn to November.
Geoff Collins was selected as Temple’s fourth head coach since 2010 with a defensive background from the SEC, leading successful defenses at Mississippi State and Florida. A clear transition season was expected for the Owls with only a handful or returning starters while needing to replace long-time starting quarterback Phillip Walker, top rusher Jahad Thomas, and five of the team’s top six leading tacklers from last season.
At 3-5 Temple already has more losses than in either of the past two seasons and a bowl bid looks fairly unlikely as the team still has to play AAC leader UCF in November plus two road games remain in the final month. An upset this week could change that equation however but this season’s wins have come against FCS Villanova, Massachusetts, and East Carolina. The past three losses for Temple have all been single-score games however and Temple is 3-1 ATS in the past four games.
Logan Marchi started the first seven games at quarterback for Temple but he has been injured and is not expected to be available this week. Frank Nutile is much bigger than Marchi and he was effective in his first start against Army, completing 20-29 passes for 290 yards and avoiding interceptions. It isn’t clear if Marchi could return later this season or if Nutile will start the rest of the way but so far he has posted better numbers, albeit through just two games against marginal competition.
Ryquell Armstead is a contributing holdover from last season’s championship squad but the junior running back isn’t likely to match his results from last season, with just 428 yards through eight games. He had his best game of the season against Army with 151 yards on 18 carries and he’ll need another big day to keep pace with Navy’s rushing attack.
The biggest difference for Temple has come on defense this season, allowing 26.9 points per game, or nearly nine more points per game compared with last season. The Owls have surrendered 105 more yards per game as well with a particular decline against the run allowing 4.6 yards per carry after allowing only 3.6 yards per rush last season.
The run defense for the Owls draws a Navy offense posting 5.9 yards per rush on 376 yards per game for the nation’s most prolific rushing attack. A possible advantage in the schedule is that Temple faced Army in its last game, now drawing a similar option attack out of the bye week. Army beat Temple 31-28 in overtime but the Owls did a respectable job defensively, holding Army to just 248 rushing yards on 50 carries. Temple lost despite a 506-389 yardage edge and no turnovers for difficult setback.
Navy oddly plays opposite Temple in the AAC West division despite geography that sets these campuses just 130 miles apart. Navy moved to the AAC ahead of the 2015 season and went 7-1 and 7-1 the first two regular seasons as a member. Navy has already matched that combined loss count in the first five conference games this season at 3-2. Navy has already lost to West leader Memphis as they will be a long shot to return to the title game, effectively two games back of the Tigers with a remaining schedule for Memphis that looks favorable.
The Midshipmen have five fairly difficult games remaining as they still have road games at Notre Dame and Houston and home dates with SMU and rival Army as a run of five straight seasons with at least eight-wins will be put to the test for Ken Niumatalolo in his 10th season leading the program. One more win will seal up a sixth consecutive bowl berth for Navy, who has won three of its last four bowl games with a 4-0 ATS run.
Quarterback Zach Abey is one of the nation’s leading rushers with 1,142 yards gaining 5.5 yards per attempt. Senior Chris High has been the workhorse for the offense but sophomore Malcolm Perry has been a big play threat with 11.1 yards per carry so far this season. Navy has only completed 22 passes this season at a 35 percent clip and when Navy throws it has been a high risk, high reward, situation with six touchdowns and six interceptions.
Navy actually returned eight defensive starters from last season and there has been modest improvement in the numbers compared with last season. The schedule will stiffen in November as the unit will likely end up with similar numbers once they get through facing SMU and Notre Dame. The Midshipmen did have respectable showings in the recent losses holding Memphis to 30 and UCF to 31 in close games against two of the nation’s top scoring offenses. Navy is 5-2 ATS this season as they narrowly covered on the closing line in both recent losses.
Last Season: Navy was a threat to be the top Group of Five squad last season heading into the AAC title game as they were 9-2 with wins over Houston and Notre Dame, with Houston ranked #6 when they delivered the home upset. A Cotton Bowl spot was in play, even though Navy was still going to play the Army/Navy game the following week, a game the Midshipmen eventually lost. As a slight underdog known for defense the Temple offense made early noise, delivering touchdown drives on the first three possessions for a commanding 21-0 edge in the second quarter. Navy eventually closed to within 24-10 late in the third quarter but the Owls took advantage of Navy mistakes on offense for a 34-10 win in Annapolis. Temple had a 388-306 yardage edge and a 3-0 turnover edge and impressively held Navy to just 168 rushing yards on just 3.8 yards per attempt.
Historical Trends:
The long term track record for Navy in road games is outstanding with a 75-38-1 ATS run going back to 1994.
Under Niumatalolo, Navy is 28-23 S/U and 31-19-1 ATS in road games to keep up a strong pace, including covering in all three road games this season.
Navy is just 11-9-1 ATS as a road favorite in that run since 2008 however, though 6-1-1 ATS since 2015.
Temple is 17-12 S/U and 18-11 ATS at home since 2013.
Since 2006 Templeis on a 22-8 ATS run as a home underdog including covering in 10 of the last 12 instances including in all five attempts since 2015 with three S/U wins.
Temple is 7-2 ATS in this series since 2000 though Navy has won S/U in five of the last seven meetings including the last three meetings in Philadelphia.