College Football betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, October 20th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.
MIAMI (4 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TROY (5 - 1) at S ALABAMA (3 - 3) - 10/20/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BYU (4 - 3) at BOISE ST (6 - 0) - 10/20/2016, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 131-91 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 131-91 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 107-77 ATS (+22.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 80-53 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-50 ATS (+28.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 74-43 ATS (+26.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games when playing Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Virginia Tech's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games at home
TROY vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
Troy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of South Alabama's last 10 games at home
BYU vs. BOISE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of BYU's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boise State's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 6 games
Miami Florida at Virginia Tech
Miami FL: 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56
Virginia Tech: 17-6 UNDER in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Troy at South Alabama
Troy: 10-2 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
S Alabama: 0-7 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3
BYU at Boise State
BYU: 6-0 OVER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games
Boise St: 35-14 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals
StatFox Super Situations
TROY at S ALABAMA
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (S ALABAMA) off a road loss against a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival
181-87 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.5% | 0.0 units ) 14-8 this year. ( 63.6% | 0.0 units )
Miami, Fl. at Virginia Tech
By ASAWins.com
This week’s Thursday Night spotlight game takes place in the ACC as two of the preseason favorites in the Coastal Division face off in a critical game for each school.
Match-up: Miami, Fl. at Virginia Tech
Venue: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, Virginia
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 20, 7:30 p.m. ET
Line: Virginia Tech -6, Total is 51
Last Meeting: 2015, at Miami FL 30 – Virginia Tech 20
Both of these teams came into last year with high hopes and visions of winning the ACC dancing in their heads. Both disappointed. The Miami Hurricanes finished last season 8-5 overall and 5-3 in the ACC Coastal Division which was good for 3rd place.
Virginia Tech was worse finishing up the 2015 season with a 7-6 overall record and just 4-4 in the ACC which was 4th out of 6 in the Coastal Division. Both teams again came into this season with high hopes, new head coaches, and again, two of the favorites in the ACC Coastal.
When these teams met last year in Miami the Hurricanes were 3-2 on the season coming of consecutive losses at Cincinnati and at Florida State. The Hokies were just 2-3 with their only wins coming over Purdue and Furman who ended the 2015 season with a combined 6-17 record.
Miami was a three-point home favorite and won the game 30-20. Miami QB Brad Kaaya shredded the Tech defense for nearly 300 yards passing and 2 TD’s. The overall yardage was fairly even with Miami racking up 395 yards to 361 for the Hokies, however Virginia Tech actually put up 5.8 yards per play to 5.7 for the 'Canes.
The key in the game was the 4 turnovers by Tech to Miami’s 0 giveaways. Despite scoring points in 3 of their 4 first half possessions, the Hokies trailed 20-13 at half. They cut the lead to 23-20 early in the 4th quarter but Miami’s next possession was a 79 yard TD drive to salt the game away. It was the 3rd time in 4 years (2012 – 2015) that Miami topped Virginia Tech.
We move ahead to this matchup and the Hurricanes come in reeling. New head coach Mark Richt had "The U" rolling to start the season with a 4-0 mark but they have since lost two straight home games to drop to 4-2 overall and 1-2 in the ACC.
Their lone conference win came at Georgia Tech by a final score of 35-21. The Yellow Jackets actually rushed for 267 yards in that game and ran 73 offensive plays to just 56 for Miami. The 'Canes were bolstered by not one, but two fumble recoveries for TD’s which turned out to be the margin in the 14-point win.
The last two weeks have seen Miami lose, tight, down to the wire games at home to Florida State and North Carolina. Miami was outgained in each of those two losses by a combined 230 yards, however both were decided very late.
In their loss to FSU, the Hurricanes scored what seemed to be the tying TD with under 2:00 minutes remaining but missed the extra point in the 20-19 loss. Last week Miami trailed UNC 20-13 with under 2:00 minutes remaining and had the ball looking for the game tying drive but QB Brad Kaaya fumbled after getting sacked and the Heels recovered and ran out the clock.
Can Miami get off the matt after those two physically and emotionally draining losses? On top of that they travel on a short week with just three days to practice for Virginia Tech?
That will be a key element in this game. If history holds true, the Hurricanes should play well as they have the ACC’s best record in Thursday Night games. They are 18-4 lifetime on Thursday night including a winning 7-3 record on the road.
New head coach Justin Fuente has the Hokies sitting at an identical 4-2 overall record but they are a game ahead for Miami in the ACC Coastal at 2-1.
Tech is coming off an embarrassing 31-17 road loss at Syracuse, a game that had the Hokies favored by 23 points. Coming into the game, V-Tech had a 56-2 outright record in games in which they were favored by 21 points or more. Make that 56-3.
They couldn’t slow down a Syracuse passing attack that beat them for 405 yards on 55 pass attempts. The fast paced Syracuse offense ran a ridiculous 100 offensive plays to just 72 for Tech. It was a tie game with under 8:00 remaining and the Orange closed it out with two TD’s to win by 14. It was the first game this season that their opponent had more yardage than Virginia Tech.
Their other two ACC games were dominating wins at they beat UNC on the road in terrible weather (Hurricane Andrew weekend) 34-3 and whipped BC 49-0. Their only other loss besides Syracuse, was against a very good Tennessee team at a neutral site (Bristol). They jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead over the Vols, as most seem to do, and Tennessee outscored them 45-7 the rest of the way.
Tech is happy to be at home, where they are 72-21 since 2002, after back-to-back road games the last two weeks.
These two have eerily similar stats on the season and not just their identical 4-2 records.
Miami averages 422 YPG offensively while V-Tech puts up 421 YPG. They both average 188 YPG rushing with Miami passing for 234 and Virginia Tech 233. The Hurricanes allow 313 total defensive yards and Tech gives up 291, although both are allowing 4.2 yards per play.
Laslty, these two teams have the two top point differentials in the ACC Coastal with Miami at +136 (220-84) and Tech at +105 (214-109).
These two teams look very evenly matched on paper but we’ll see if that plays out on the field Thursday night.
Historical Trends:
Virginia Tech is 2-0 ATS at home in FBS games this year. However they were just 10-20 ATS their previous 30 home games entering this season.
Between 1995 – 2010, Virginia Tech covered 13 of the 16 meetings in this ACC series. However, Miami has covered 4 of the 5 meetings since 2010.
The 'Canes are just 6-22 SU as a road dog of +6 or more (17-12-1 ATS)
Virginia Tech is just 9-25-1 ATS the last 35 times they’ve been favored by -6 or more. That includes a 2-0 ATS mark in that role this season.
Canes visit Virginia Tech
By Sportsbook.ag
The ACC takes center stage on Thursday night as two programs coming off embarrassing outright losses as big favorites try to get their season back on track. Miami and Virginia Tech both fell out of the Top 25 rankings this week thanks to their respective losses.
Miami closed as six-point home favorites last week and fell 20-13 to UNC in a game that was sloppy from the beginning for the Hurricanes.
However, Virginia Tech's 31-17 loss as -23 point favorites at Syracuse was even worse as the Hokies stumbled out of the gate, battled back to tie the contest, and then tripped up in the final eight minutes as Syracuse put up two more TD's to seal the deal. Now both teams are hoping to bounce back on a short week and get one win away from being Bowl eligible this year.
On the surface it's obvious that the loss by the Hokies was the worst of the two last week and in the “what have you done for me lately” betting world we live in there will likely end up being a small majority of the wagers coming in and taking the points with Miami this week. Losing outright by double digits when you are laying 20 or more is completely unacceptable and that team becomes unworthy of trust from bettors, but that mentality might end up costing you this week.
For as bad as the Hokies were last week, they were on the road against a desperate Syracuse team. Yes, they didn't play well at all, but they probably shouldn't have been laying that many points to begin with.
On the other side, Miami fell by a TD at home as six-point favorites against a UNC team that Virginia Tech smoked the week earlier by a 34-3 score. That Hokies win also came at UNC compared to Miami losing at home to the Tar Heels. Those results against a common opponent tell you just how good the Hokies can be when they are playing well and they do have the advantage of being at home on this short week.
Last week Miami played like they were still trying to pick up the pieces from that tough 20-19 loss to Florida State the week before. The Hurricanes are 2-0 SU and ATS on the road this year, but neither of those opponents were of Virginia Tech's quality and I'm not sure the Hurricanes have completely gotten over that Florida State loss yet. Furthermore, when they've got to try and regroup and play much better just five days after that embarrassing home loss to UNC, this becomes a really tough spot for Miami to keep this one close.
While those looking to back Miami will point to the Hurricanes 2-0 SU and ATS record over Virginia Tech the last two years, that means that the Hokies actually have the double revenge angle in their favor this week. Virginia Tech is also a proven program in these Thursday showcase games as they are 21-10 ATS when under the bright Thursday lights and have much more to prove this week after losing to Syracuse last week.
Best Bet: Virginia Tech -6.5
College Football Week 8
Miami lost to Florida State/UNC last two weeks, now has short week here; ‘canes scored 40 pts/game in winning its two road games, at App State/Ga Tech. Miami is an underdog for first time this year; they’re 4-7-1 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Virginia Tech is 2-0 as a home favorite this year, but 10-17-1 in last 28 games as a home fave. ’canes beat Tech 30-20/30-6 last two years; underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games, 5-2 in last seven played here. Home favorites are 4-10 vs spread in ACC games this season.
5-1 Troy’s only loss was 30-24 at Clemson; total yardage was 414-386, so Troy is good. Trojans won last four games, have road wins at Southern Miss (37-31), Idaho (34-13)- they are 5-3 in last eight games as a road favorite. South Alabama lost three of last four I-A games but win was over San Diego State, which was in top 25 at the time- they also was at Miss State. Jaguars beat Troy 27-13/24-18 last two years; teams split last four meetings, with underdogs 2-0-1 vs spread in last three. Four of last five Troy games stayed under total; under is 4-1 in USA games.
BYU split its two true road games, winning 31-14 at Michigan State after tough 20-19 loss at rival Utah; Cougars are 12-4 vs spread in last 16 games as a road underdog. BYU won its last three games overall, beating Miss State in OT LW. Boise State is 2-8 vs spread in its last ten games as a home favorite. Home side won last five BYU-Boise State games; Cougars lost last three visits here, by 1-1-25 points. Underdogs are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games. Mountain West non-conference home favorites are 4-4 vs spread.
Armadillosports.com
ACC Report - Week 8
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Miami-Florida at Virginia Tech
Two weeks ago this game appeared to be shaping up as a battle of unbeatens in the Coastal Division. Miami lost their rivalry game against Florida State on a last-second blocked extra point, and followed it up with an egg-laying against North Carolina last week, so Mark Richt and the Hurricanes suddenly find themselves on the ropes. Virginia Tech isn't quite spinning out of control, but a shocking loss in the dome in Syracuse last week, a decisive loss at that, casts doubt on the championship aspirations of the Hokies. They still might come away with the Coastal Division title, having beaten UNC already. This Miami-Virginia Tech is always important, and this season is no exception. Two losses in the Coastal doesn't mean you're out of the hunt, but a third loss will be too much to overcome.
The Hokies generally bring their best to the national showcase game on Thursdays, posting a 21-10 ATS mark in their past 31 appearances on Thursday. Miami has covered five of their past seven conference battles, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five meetings with the Hokies. The under has cashed in four straight Thursday games for Miami, and the under is 5-1 in their past six against winning teams and 13-6 in their past 19 ACC battles. For the Hokies, the over is 4-1 in their past five at Lane Stadium, but the under is 19-7 in their past 26 on Thursday and 39-18-1 in their past 58 league outings.