W MICHIGAN (5 - 4) at TOLEDO (5 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TOLEDO is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
TOLEDO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TOLEDO is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS (6 - 3) at BOWLING GREEN (4 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BOWLING GREEN
Northern Illinois is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Northern Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 7 games at home
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. TOLEDO
Western Michigan is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Toledo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games
W MICHIGAN at TOLEDO
W MICHIGAN: 2-8 ATS off BB conference games
TOLEDO: 7-0 ATS At home after allowing 525+ yards
N ILLINOIS at BOWLING GREEN
N ILLINOIS: 9-0 ATS off SU dog win over conf opponent
BOWLING GREEN: 1-8 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
What Bettors Need to Know: Tuesday's MAC Action
By David Payne
Covers.com
Western Michigan at Toledo (-11), 8 p.m., ESPNU
Toledo faces a major letdown situation when Western Michigan visits the Glass Bowl for Senior Night.
The Rockets (5-4, 5-4 ATS) lost a back-and-forth 63-60 home game to Northern Illinois last Tuesday, an emotional defeat that delivered a major blow to their MAC title hopes.
The Broncos (5-4, 5-4 ATS) arrive off of a bye week and haven’t played since Oct. 29.
Toledo won at Western Michigan, 37-24, last September, despite being outgained 416-268.
The Line
Toledo opened as a 10-point favorite Sunday at the Las Vegas Wynn. By Monday, the Rockets were giving 11 with even a few 11.5s available offshore.
The underdog has covered the spread in the last five meetings, with the road team covering four straight.
Quarterbacks
Sophomore Terrance Owens and junior Austin Dantin have split snaps throughout the year, but Dantin played the vast majority of the game against Northern Illinois. He completed 20 of 33 passes for 321 yards and four touchdowns. Dantin had 173 yards with two touchdowns and an interception last year against Western Michigan.
Senior Alex Carder has put up huge numbers for the Broncos, throwing for 2,274 yards already, with 18 touchdowns and only eight interceptions. He threw for 403 yards and four interceptions against Toledo last year.
Weather
Temperatures are expected to drop into the low 40s, with light winds and only a slim chance of precipitation.
Injury Report
Toledo starting safety Charles Rancifer was suspended for the Northern Illinois game. Coach Tim Beckman had not said publicly if Rancifer would be back against Western Michigan.
Western Michigan is not reporting any significant injuries.
Trends
Over is 20-6-1 in Toledo’s last 27 games as a home favorite and 19-7 overall as a favorite.
WMU is 10-21-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Toledo is 40-23 ATS at the Glass Bowl since 2000.
Northern Illinois (-6) at Bowling Green, 8 p.m.
The Huskies cannot afford to come out flat against an up-and-down Bowling Green team that is expecting to get its leading rusher back and had an extra week to stew over an ugly 27-15 loss at Kent State on Oct. 29.
The Falcons will need to improve their shoddy run defense (91st, allowing 190.78 yards per game) if they want to hang with the Huskies, who are averaging 246.78 rushing yards, ninth most in the nation.
On the bright side, Northern Illinois’ rushing defense is worse, surrendering 202 yards per game.
Northern Illinois hasn’t won in Bowling Green since 1986. The two teams have not met since 2008, a 16-13 Northern Illinois home win.
The Line
Northern Illinois opened as a 7-point favorite Sunday at the Las Vegas Wynn. But the line had dropped to -5.5 at a lot of books by Monday afternoon.
The Falcons are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 home games and just 2-5 ATS as a home dog under coach Dave Clawson.
Quarterbacks
Northern Illinois boast the best QB in the conference in senior Chandler Harnish (1,962 passing yards, 18 TDs, 4 INTs). Harnish also leads the Huskies in rushing.
Sophomore Matt Schilz threw for 400 yards against Kent State. He has 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, but has been sacked 20 times.
Injury Report
Bowling Green is expected to get leading rusher Anthon Samuel back. The freshman, who has five 100-yard rushing games, missed the loss to Kent State with a concussion.
Cornerback Jeffrey Garrett, a starter before suffering a hamstring injury in early October, could return, but is considered a game-time decision.
Weather
Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-50s with a 13 mph South wind and the possibility of late thunder storms moving in during the second half.
Trends
Bowling Green is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games in November.
Under is 8-3 in Falcons’ last 11 games as underdogs.
Over is 10-4 in Northern Illinois’ last 14 games overall.
Huskies are on a 10-3-1 ATS run in MAC play.
NCAAF Week 11
Underdogs covered last five Western Michigan-Toledo games, going 4-1 SU; Broncos won four of last five games in series, winning last two visits here, 58-26 (+9), 42-28 (+1.5). Broncos haven't played in 10 days, while Rockets scored 60 points at home last Tuesday but lost; they've allowed three kickoff returns for TDs in last their three games, winning four of last five. Four of last five Western games, three of last four Toledo games went over the total. Double digit home favorites are 6-4 vs the spread this year in MAC games.
Northern Illinois won three of last four games vs Bowling Green-- home teams won five of last six series games. Huskies lost last two visits here, 34-18/35-10- they gave up 90 points in last two games overall, but won both by combined total of four points, running two kicks back for TDs last week. Falcons lost four of last five days, with three losses by 12 or more points- they haven't played in 10 days, Northern played last week on Tuesday. MAC home underdogs are 9-4 vs spread this season. Five of last seven Bowling Green games went over the total.