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College Football Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 16th, 2016

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College Football betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, November 16th, 2016.

 
Posted : November 15, 2016 12:09 am
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BALL ST (4 - 6) at TOLEDO (8 - 2) - 11/16/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

N ILLINOIS (3 - 7) at E MICHIGAN (6 - 4) - 11/16/2016, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
E MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
E MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
N ILLINOIS is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BALL STATE vs. TOLEDO
Ball State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Ball State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Toledo is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Toledo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 7 games
Northern Illinois is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 12 games when playing Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois

Ball State at Toledo
Ball St: 0-7 ATS after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games
Toledo: 76-51 ATS as a favorite

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
N Illinois: 67-41 ATS in road lined games
E Michigan: 17-33 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins

 
Posted : November 15, 2016 12:10 am
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NCAAF Week 12

Ball State lost its last three games, allowing 561 yards, 45 pts/game, but all three of those games were on road- they’re 3-2 SU on road, 3-0 vs spread as road underdogs, with losses on road 30-20 at Indiana, 24-21 at Central Michigan. Cardinals lost five of last seven games with Toledo; favorites are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games. Toledo is 2-2 as a home favorite this year, winning home games by 35-7-14 points- they lost to Ohio at home. Rockets could be looking ahead to next week’s game with unbeaten Western Michigan. MAC home favorites are 6-15 vs spread this season.

Eastern Michigan became bowl eligible LW after going 7-41 the last four years; Eagles allowed 38 pts/game the last three weeks, but lost last two home games by 15-13 points. EMU covered six of last seven games, is 5-1 as an underdog this year. Northern Illinois won its last eight games with Eagles (6-2 vs spread), running ball for 327.3 yds/game the last three years. NIU is playing first road game in 39 days; they scored 89 points in winning last two games after starting season 1-6. NIU is 2-1 as a favorite this season. MAC home underdogs are 6-10 vs spread.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : November 16, 2016 12:12 am
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Steve's Screenshot
By Steve Merril

Ball State at Toledo (-20.5, 67.5)

Ball State running back James Gilbert (leg injury) has been upgraded from questionable to probable tonight. He is the team's most important offensive player, gaining 1,196 rushing yards this season (5.4 ypr) with 12 touchdowns. The Cardinals have a strong rushing offense that averages 226 yards per game and 5.1 yards per carry (versus opponents that allow just 4.6 ypr).

Toledo is an explosive offensive team that averages 39.4 points per game on 7.1 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 30.6 ppg and 5.8 yppl). However, the Rockets have been a weaker defensive team than the 22.9 points per game they allow would seem to indicate. Toledo is permitting 6.0 yards per play (versus opponents that average just 5.5 yppl).

Northern Illinois (-2, 62.5) at Eastern Michigan

Northern Illinois is just 3-7 SU (4-6 ATS) this season, yet they are a road favorite against Eastern Michigan who is 6-4 SU (8-2 ATS). Northern Illinois has played better overall this season against a tougher schedule and my power ratings actually make them a 4-point favorite in this game. The Huskies are averaging 30.4 points per game on 5.9 yards per play (versus opponents that allow 27.7 ppg and 5.9 yppl). On defense, Northern Illinois is permitting 31.9 point per game on 5.9 yppl (versus opponents that average 33.1 ppg and 6.2 yppl).

Eastern Michigan is averaging 31.5 points per game on 5.9 yards per play on offense (versus opponents that allow 31.9 ppg and 6.0 yppl). Defensively, the Eagles are permitting 31.2 points per game on 5.6 yards per play (versus opponents that average 29.9 ppg and 5.6 yppl). Northern Illinois has dominated this series, going 8-0 SU (5-2-1 ATS) the past eight years. They have been an average -21 pointspread favorite in those past eight meetings.

 
Posted : November 16, 2016 6:16 pm
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