College Football Betting News and Notes Week 13

I won't be around at all on Friday not even in the morning since I will be traveling in the morning then will be going to the PK80 Basketball tournament for the entire day.

NCAAF Week 13

Virginia lost four of its last five games; they played their hearts out in Miami LW, losing 44-28 to undefeated ‘canes (led 28-14 in 3rd 1/4). Cavaliers are 4-2 at home, losing to BC/Indiana; they are 4-3 vs spread as an underdog. Virginia Tech lost their last two road games, at Ga Tech, Miami; they’re 1-2 as road favorites. Tech won its last 13 games with Virginia; underdogs covered four of last five series games. Hokies won their last six visits to Charlotteville (4-2 vs spread). Dogs are 12-8 vs spread in ACC league play. Under is 6-2 in Hokies’ last eight games.

Indiana/Purdue are both 5-6; this rivalry game is for a bowl bid, too. Hoosiers are 2-3 on road, winning at Virginia/Illinois. Indiana is 2-6 vs spread in its last eight games, 1-4 as an underdog. Purdue lost four of last six games but upset Iowa LW; Boilermakers are 4-1 vs spread when a favorite this year. Indiana won its last four games with Purdue, scoring 39.8 ppg; Hoosiers lost seven of last nine visits to Ross-Ade Stadium (favorites 7-2 vs spread). Home favorites are 18-15 vs spread in Big 14 conference games. Last six Purdue games stayed under the total.

Ohio State won its last five games with Michigan, but Wolverines covered three of last four. Buckeyes won five of last six visits to Ann Arbor, winning 42-13/42-41 in last two. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last eight series games (one pick ‘em). Ohio St scored 100 points in winning its last two games; 8 of their 9 wins this year are by 28+ points. Michigan is 3-4 vs spread in last eight games as an underdog, 0-2 this year- Wolverines are 1-3 vs spread this year, in games with a double digit spread. Big 14 home underdogs are 12-13 vs spread in league play.

Probably last home game in Manhattan for legendary coach Snyder, who built this program from nothing. Kansas State lost its last three home games, allowing 32 ppg- they have severe injury issues at QB. Iowa State is 4-1 on road with only loss 20-16 at West Va; ISU is 3-3-1 as an underdog this season. K-State won its last nine games with Iowa State, last three by 4-3-5 points; Cyclones are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six series games- they lost last five visits to Little Apple, by 3-34-7-8-21 points. Under is 7-2 in Iowa State’s last nine games.

Road team won last four Georgia-Georgia Tech games, all decided by 7 or less points; Dawgs won last eight visits to Atlanta (8-0 vs spread). Favorites covered four of last six series games; visitor is 16-2-1 vs spread in last 19. Georgia has SEC title game next week, but needs this win to stay in national title hunt. Jackets lost three of last four games; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread as an underdog this season. Since 2015, ACC teams are 16-11 vs spread when playing an SEC opponent. Five of last six Georgia games, four of last five Tech games went over total.

Washington State split its four road games, losing 37-3 at Cal, 58-37 at Arizona. Under Leach, Coogs are 22-14 vs spread as an underdog, 7-2 in last nine tries as a road dog. Washington is 3-2 as a home favorite this year; they allowed 30 points in each of last two games. Huskies won their last four games with Washington State, covered last three; Wazzu lost last three visits to Seattle, by 10-30-35 points. Home favorites are 17-10 vs spread in Pac-12 conference games. Three of last four Washington games went over; under is 6-2 in Coogs’ last eight games.

Stanford won seven of its last eight games after a 1-2 start; Cardinal has Pac-12 title game next week, so star RB Love could sit this game out. Stanford is 5-0 SU at home this year, 1-2 vs spread as an underdog. Notre Dame won eight of last nine games, is 3-1 on road, losing 41-8 at Miami two weeks ago- they’re 3-1 as a road favorite this season. Underdogs are 4-0-1 vs spread in last five Notre Dame-Stanford games; Irish lost last four visits to the Farm, by 7-14-7-2 points. ND is 1-3-1 vs spread in last five series games as a favorite. Pac-12 non-conference home favorites are 3-9 vs spread.

South Carolina is 6-0 vs spread as an underdog this year; Clemson has ACC title game with Miami on deck. Clemson is 3-1 on road this year, but allowed 24 ppg in those games; Tigers are 6-11 in last 17 games as a road favorite, 2-2 this year. Favorites covered five of last seven Clemson-South Carolina tilts; Tigers won last three games, by 49-5-18 points, scoring 49.3 ppg- they’ve lost three of last four visits to Columbia. ACC non-conference faves are 11-6 vs spread, 2-1 on road. SEC non-conference dogs are 4-3. Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Clemson games,

Word has it that Texas A&M will fire Kevin Sumlin after game; how will his players react? LSU won/covered its last six games with the Aggies, who lost last two visits to Death Valley, by 19-7/34-10 scores. A&M is 3-1-1 vs spread as an underdog this year; their three true road games were decided by total of 10 points. LSU won five of last six games, covered last five; they’re 3-2 as a double digit favorite this season. SEC home favorites are 14-16 vs spread in league play. Under is 5-2 in Aggies’ last seven games, 3-0 in LSU’s last three games.

Home side won last four Arizona-ASU games; Wildcats lost 52-37/58-21 in last two visits to Tempe. Favorites covered three of last four series games. Arizona is 7-4 but lost last two road games, 49-35 at USC, 48-28 at Oregon- they allowed 300+ rushing yards in both games. ASU is 4-2 SU at home, 1-2 as a home favorite; they ran ball for 320 yds/game the last three weeks. Pac-12 home underdogs are 14-8 vs spread in conference play. Six of last seven Arizona games went over the total, as have Sun Devils’ last four games.

QB Mayfield won’t start his last home game for Oklahoma; how long he sits out is unknown. Sooners are 5-0 vs West Virginia in Big X play, scoring 56-44-45 in last three meetings (3-0 vs spread). Mountaineers lost last two visits here, 44-24/16-7. West Virginia lost QB Grier (finger) LW; they’re 3-1 on road, losing 31-24 at TCU. Oklahoma won its last six games, covered last four; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a home favorite this year. Home favorites are 9-11 vs spread in Big X conference play. Under is 3-1 in last four Sooner games, 3-0 in WVU’s last three.

Alabama won/covered five of last six Iron Bowls, winning last three by 18-16-11 points; Crimson Tide won three of last four visits to Jordan-Hare Stadium, winning by 16-28-5 points. Auburn scored 44 ppg in winning its last four games; they’re 1-1 as an underdog this year, losing 14-6 to Clemson, 27-23 to LSU. Alabama is 3-0 on road, winning last two 27-19 at A&M, 31-24 at Miss State; this is first time since Labor Day that Crimson Tide is in game with a single digit spread. Four of last six Alabama games stayed under; seven of last eight Auburn games went over.

Rough year for Gators/Seminoles; State needs win here and next week to go bowling- they’re 0-5-2 vs spread as favorites this year. FSU’s three I-A wins this year are by 7-7-3 points. Florida fired its coach already; they lost five of last six games- their two home losses were by total of three points. Gators are 1-4 as an underdog this season. Florida State won its last four games with Florida; three of the wins were by 18+ points. Seminoles won last three visits to the Swamp, by combined score of 85-16. Under is 7-1-1 in FSU tilts, 4-2 in last six Florida games.

Armadillosports.com

ACC Report - Week 13
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Miami-Florida at Pittsburgh

The Hurricanes have a spot in the ACC Championship Game wrapped up for the first time since joining the conference, but they look to finish up strong in the Steel City and keep their playoff hopes on track. The Panthers cannot qualify for a bowl game, so this is it, and they'd love to pull off the playoff picture changing upset with all eyes on them Saturday afternoon. However, the Hurricanes have actually played more consistently on the road this season than in the comfort of their own home, going 4-1 ATS in their past five away from home. And they're 12-5 ATS over their past 17 following a straight-up win. The Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, but they lost all chance at a bowl appearance when they fell to lowly North Carolina two weeks ago. Pitt is just 7-19 ATS in their past 26 at home, including 1-5 ATS in the past six at home against teams with a winning road mark.I st

Virginia Tech at Virginia

Both of these Old Dominion State rivals will be going bowling, it's just a matter of where. That will be determined at Scott Stadium when these teams play their final regular season game in Charlottesville. The Hokies enter this game just 2-5 ATS over their past seven games overall, and 2-6 ATS in the past eight on the road. The Hoos have posted a 5-1 ATS mark in their past six against winning teams, and the Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their past seven at home against teams with a winning road record. In this series the home team has cashed in each of the past four meetings, with the underdog going 4-1 ATS in the past five. However, the Hokies are 9-4 ATS in the past 13. The 'under' is also 5-2 across the past seven battles.

Georgia at Georgia Tech

The Bulldogs head to Atlanta, putting their No. 7 ranking and playoff hopes on the line against their rivals. The Ramblin' Wreck are 5-5 and searching for bowl eligibility - and a win over their playoff-contending rivals would be a signature win. Georgia enters 7-1 ATS over their past eight road outings, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven against ACC foes. Ga. Tech has been faring well against the number, too, posting a 7-0 ATS mark across their past seven home outings, while going 6-0 ATS in their past six non-conference tilts and 4-0 ATS in the past four against SEC teams. In addition, they're 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine against teams with a winning record and 11-2-1 ATS in the past 14 overall. UGA has posted an 8-0 ATS mark in their past eight trips to Georgia Tech, and the road team is 16-4-1 ATS in the past 21 meetings in this series.

Florida State at Florida

The Seminoles and Gators doesn't have quite the same cache as past seasons, but it's a big rivalry game nonetheless. Both teams enter 4-6 SU, with the Seminoles having an outside chance of a bowl still. They enter as a five-point favorite as of early Wednesday morning. FSU heads in 4-0 ATS in the past four against losing teams, and 5-1 ATS in their past six non-coference battles. The Noles are 1-7-2 ATS in the past 10 games overall, and 0-2-2 ATS in the past four road outings. The Gators are 9-4 ATS in the past 13 against teams with a losing record, but they're 2-8 ATS in the past 10 non-conference battles and 1-4 ATS in the past five overall.

Louisville at Kentucky

A pair of 7-4 teams battle in Kentucky in another ACC vs. SEC matchup in the final weekend. The Cardinals roll into Lexington favored by 10 points as of early Wednesday morning. The Cardinals are 4-11 ATS in the past 15 games overall, while going 1-7 ATS across the past eight against winning teams. Louisville is also 0-6-1 ATS in the past seven non-conference battles. For the Wildcats, they're 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams and 1-6 ATS in the past seven overall while going 0-4 ATS in the past four home games. Louisville is 4-0 ATS in the past four trips to Kentucky, while the road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings. The over is 4-1-1 in the past six in this series, too.

Boston College at Syracuse

The Eagles have been red hot against the number lately, posting a 5-0-1 ATS mark across the past six conference battles. Boston College is also 7-0-1 ATS in the past eight games overall while going 4-0 ATS in the past four road outings. B.C. is also 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record. For 'Cuse, they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, and 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine overall. The Orange are 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight home games, but 6-1 ATS in their past seven at home against teams with a winning road record. The underdog has hit in six of the past seven in this series, while the under is 4-1 in the past five meetings. B.C. is 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings in Syracuse.

Duke at Wake Forest

The Blue Devils head across I-40/85 to Winston-Salem looking to cool off the Demon Deacons while desperately clawing for bowl eligibility. A win, and Duke goes bowling. A loss, and they're done for the season. The Demon Deacons are favored by 12 points as of Wednesday morning, and they have been hot lately. The Deacs are 10-2-1 ATS in the past 13 conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 games overall. Wake is also 5-0-1 ATS in the past six home games. Duke is 1-5 ATS in the past six road games, 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven overall and 1-4-1 ATS in the past six conference battles. They have been hot against the number in this series, too, going 6-1 ATS in their past seven trips to Wake, 5-1 ATS in the past six overall and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The over is 4-1 in the past five trips to Wake, while going 7-3 in the past 10 meetings overall.

North Carolina at North Carolina State

The Tar Heels head over to Carter-Finley Stadium to battle the Wolfpack in their rivalry game, and N.C. State is more than a two-touchdown favorite. It's been a lost season in Chapel Hill due to injuries at key positions, but they have won two in a row to try and end on a high note. A win by North Carolina to spoil things for N.C. State would salvage their season. UNC is 2-7 ATS in the past nine conference games, while going 2-5 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning record. The Pack are 3-1-1 ATS in the past five conference games, but just 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games. The under has cashed in 10 of the past 14 conference games for UNC, while the under is 7-1 in N.C. State's past eight overall and 11-1 in their past 12 ACC games. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, with the underdog 14-5 ATS in the past 19. The under has hit in five of the past seven in this series.

Clemson at South Carolina

The Tigers head to Columbia to battle the Gamecocks, looking to keep their playoff hopes on track. Clemson is 7-0 ATS in their past seven non-conference battles, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five against SEC opponents. The Tigers are also 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight against tems with a winning record. For the Gamecocks, they're 4-1-2 ATS in the past seven overall, while going 8-2 ATS in their past 10 against ACC foes. In this series, the home team has connected in each of the past four, while the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven. Clemson is 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings, with the Tigers 0-5 ATS in the past five trips to Columbia. The under has hit in five of the past seven meetings overall, too.

Ohio State vs Michigan Preview
ASAWins.com

OHIO STATE – The Buckeyes have already won the Big Ten East clinching their spot in the Big 10 Championship game a week from today in Indianapolis vs Wisconsin. They have an outside shot at making the College Football Playoff, longshot at best, but need a number of things to fall their way and probably need to win convincingly here and next week. OSU destroyed Illinois last week 52-14 but failed to cover the lofty 41 point spread. The Buckeyes actually dominated more than the final score would indicate if that’s possible. They outgained the Illini 543 to 105 and Illinois had just one offensive TD and that came as the final score of the 4th quarter when the game was out of reach. Their other score came on a 54-yard fumble return for a TD. Ohio State was up 38-0 at half and called off the dogs in the 2nd stanza. Many of the starters on both sides of the ball were able to sit much of the 2nd half so they should be fresh here. Statistically the Buckeyes are the best team in the Big Ten. Their YPG differential (+254) and YPP differential (+2.7) are tops in the league. They have outgained every opponent in conference play with the exception of Iowa and that appears to be an aberration. Not only have they outgained opponents, they’ve dominated them outgaining every conference opponent by at least 150 yards with the exception of Iowa. If you subtract that stinker against Iowa, this offense is averaging 51 PPG in league play and they have scored at least 48 points in every other Big Ten game with the exception PSU where they had 39. Defensively they’ve been very good, again with the exception of the Iowa game when the Hawkeyes scored 55. We’re still not sure how that happened as Iowa has scored only 2 offensive TD’s in their two games since that win. Even the 38 they allowed to PSU wasn’t a terrible outing as OSU held the Nittany Lions to just 283 total yards.

MICHIGAN – The Wolverines are off a 24-10 loss @ Wisconsin last Saturday. The offense, that had been putting points on the board as of late, was shut down by the Badger defense. Michigan came in having topped 30 points in 3 straight games, was held to just 234 yards on 3.7 YPP. After going in to halftime tied at 7-7, the Michigan offense was completely walled off in the 2nd half with 60 total yards and their lone score coming on an 8-yard drive after a Wisconsin turnover that ended in a FG. QB Brandon Peters looked solid throwing the ball in the 1st half putting up 133 yards through the air. In the 2nd half Peters was held to 24 yards passing and was injured late in the 3rd quarter. He is currently in concussion protocol and may not play this weekend. If he can’t go, most likely John O’Korn will be back under center although we don’t want to completely rule out Wilton Speight who was the starter last year and for the first 4 games this season before injuring his back. Speight was cleared to practice last week but non-contact only. They will re-evaluate him this week to see if he’s ready for contact. If so, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Harbaugh send him out on the field as he is by far Michigan’s best option at QB. O’Korn looked very good in relief of Speight in the Purdue game back in late September. However, since that game O’Korn has completed under 50% of his passes with no TD’s and 4 interceptions. The Wolverines have leaned heavily on their staunch defense this season. Coming into last week’s game, this defense had allowed only ONE team all season to top 20 points (Penn State). They played very well in the first half vs the Badgers holding them to under 100 yards of total offense but seemed to run out of gas in the 2nd half as Wisconsin had 226 total yards after the break.

LAST SEASON – Ohio State was favored by 4.5 at home last season and pulled out a 30-27 win in OT. The Buckeyes were down 17-7 late in the 3rd quarter and rallied kicking the tying field goal as time expired to send the game tied at 17-17 into overtime. The defenses dominated the game as OSU had 330 total yards on just 4.0 YPP while Michigan totaled 310 yards on 3.9 YPP.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Ohio State has dominated this rivalry as of late winning 12 of the last 13 meetings. The Buckeyes have been favored in 11 of the last 12 meetings and they are 13-6 ATS the last 19 vs Michigan. This is just the second time since 1980 that OSU has been favored by more than 10 @ Michigan. The other was in 2013 when the Buckeyes were favored by 17 in Ann Arbor and squeaked out a 42-41 win. The winning team in this match up has reached at least 30 points in 9 of the last 13 meetings. Michigan has been a home dog of more than 10 (all games) just once in the last 38 seasons and that was the game here in 2013 vs OSU we just mentioned. If you subtract their games vs Ohio State, the Wolverines have been a home underdog only 15 times since 1980 (8-7 ATS).

Big 12 Report - Week 13
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Baylor at Texas Christian

The lost season for the Bears will come to an end at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs have bigger aspirations, as they put their 5-0 SU home record on the line. Neither side has been particularly strong against the number this season. Baylor is 10-21 ATS over the past 31 games overall, 3-8 ATS in the past 11 road games and 1-7 ATS in the past eight in the month of November. TCU is just 2-5 ATS in their past seven against losing teams, 2-11 ATS in their past 13 at home and 1-5 ATS in their past six at home against teams with a losing road record. The 'under' has been the play for both sides. The under is 4-0 in the past four for Baylor, 4-1 in their past five road games and 6-0 in their past six on the road against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-1 in TCU's past five home games, 16-5 in the past 21 games overall and 20-7 in the past 27 conference battles. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in the past five meetings, although the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the past six. The over is 5-1 in the past six meetings, too.

Texas Tech at Texas

The Longhorns secured bowl eligibility last weekend with a big win on the road at West Virginia. Now, they look to play spoiler to Texas Tech, keeping them from bowl eligibility, while improving their standing and potential payday in the postseason with another win. Texas heads into this one as a double-digit favorite, and they're 2-1 ATS over their past three favored by 10 or more points while going a perfect 3-0 SU. The Red Raiders are just 1-5 ATS in their past six conference games, 1-5 ATS in the past six overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning mark. The Longhorns are 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10, and 3-1-1 ATS in their past five conference battles. The road team has hit in four of the past five in this series, but the Red Raiders are a dismal 1-6 ATS over the past seven meetings. The under has hit in four of the past five battles in this rivalry.

Kansas at Oklahoma State

The Jayhawks wrap up another dismal season in Stillwater, and they're underdogs by 40-plus points. The Cowboys are looking to rebound after dropping two of the past three overall, including two in a row at home. The Cowboys are also in a tailspin against the number, too, going 0-3 ATS in the past three, and 2-6 ATS across the past eight. The 'over' has hit in four in a row, too. The Jayhawks have dropped 10 in a row since topping FCS foe Southeast Missouri State in their opener. However, they have been a respectable 3-1 ATS over their past four, including 3-0 ATS as an underdog of 24 or more points. The Jayhawks are a dismal 3-11 ATS in the past 14 in this series, including 1-6 ATS in their past seven sojourns to Stillwater.

Iowa State at Kansas State

Both the Cyclones and Wildcats are going bowling this season, but they would like to add another win to their resume and improve their postseason situation. Maybe people felt K-State would be in this position, heading to the postseason, but not many felt Iowa State would be in this spot. They have won some big games, including at Oklahoma earlier in the season, while posting a 6-0-1 ATS mark in the past seven conference games, and 4-0-1 ATS in the past five road outings. K-State is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 home games agaisnt a team with a winning road record, but 2-8 ATS in their past 10 following a straight-up win. The under is 5-1 in Iowa State's past six overall, 4-1 in their past five road games and 5-1 in the past six league outings. The Cyclones are also 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the home team 3-1-1 ATS in the past five in this series and the underdog posting a 4-1-1 ATS mark across the past six.

West Virginia at Oklahoma

In the final league game of the afternoon, the Mountaineers and Sooners battle each other with a different starting quarterback under center. West Virginia's Will Grier suffered a broken finger and he will be sidelined four to six weeks after having corrective surgery. Chris Chugunov will start in his absence. For Oklahoma, Baker Mayfield didn't care for Kansas not shaking his hand last week. He was caught on camera grabbing his crotch and spewing expletives at the Kansas bench, and he has been suspended as a result. While head coach Lincoln Riley did not specify how long the senior QB will sit, Kyler Murray will start the game, and Mayfield will also not serve as a team captain in his final game in Norman.

OU opened as a 21-point favorite, and the line is up to 22 1/2 as of early Wednesday morning. The Mountaineers are 3-1-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams, while going 1-3-1 ATS over their past five overall. Oklahoma has cashed in 10 of their past 11 against teams with a winning mark, and they're 9-1 ATS across their past 10 at home, with that only non-cover coming in an upset loss to Iowa State. The over has connected in five of the past six meetings in this series, too.

Pac-12 Report - Week 13
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

California at UCLA

The Golden Bears and Bruins close out their regular season on Friday night, and it's an important game. The winner gains bowl eligibility and the loser is home for the holidays. Cal opened the season with a win and cover at North Carolina, but they have dropped each of their past four road games while going 1-3 ATS. UCLA kicked off their season with an amazing 45-44 comeback against Texas A&M, and they haven't lose at the Rose Bowl since. They're 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in five outings at home this season. The home team is 13-3-1 ATS in the past 17 meetings in this series, with the underdog 14-6-1 ATS in the past 21 in this series. However, Cal is just 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight tries at UCLA, with the under 4-1 in the past five in Pasadena. The under is 4-0 in the past four in this series, too.

Arizona at Arizona State

The Grand Canyon State rivalry takes place in Tempe, and both teams are already eligible for the postseason. However, they can certainly improve their bowl profile with a victory, especially Arizona if they can get to eight victories. The Wildcats have cashed in just eight of the past 25 games overall, while going 5-11 ATS in the past 16 conference tilts. They're also a dismal 2-10 ATS in the past 12 games on the road, including 1-7 ATS in the past eight on the road against teams with a winning home record. Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning record, and 6-2 ATS over their past eight league games. They're also 11-4 ATS in the past 15 at home. In this series, the home team has hit in each of the past four meetings and the over is 5-0 in the past five in the series.

Oregon State at Oregon

The 1-10 Beavers head to Eugene looking to put a damper on the closing of their rivals' season. However, Oregon has already clinched bowl eligibility, and they're loooking to enter the postseason on a high note. The Beavers are 1-5 ATS in their past six on the road, while going 3-8 ATS in the past 11 overall. The Ducks haven't been much better lately, posting a 5-13 ATS mark in the past 18 conference battles, while going 0-5 ATS in the past five against losing teams and 1-9-1 ATS in their past 11 after a straight-up win. Oregon is up to a 25-point favorite as of Thursday morning, which is pretty high for the 'Civil War'. The Beavers are 4-0-1 ATS in the past five trips to Eugene, and the road team is 9-1-1 ATS in the past 11 in this series. The underdog is also 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings in this series. The over has cashed in seven straight in Eugene, and 12-3 in the past 15 meetings overall.

Notre Dame at Stanford

Notre Dame heads to 'The Farm' looking to get back into the playoff conversation. A humbling loss at Miami has them on the outside looking in, but an impressive win and some craziness this weekend and in conference championships could get them back in the mix. However, they need to slow the dynamic Bryce Love and the Cardinal offense. Stanford finds themselves as short 'dogs at home, but they're 3-1-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The Cardinal are also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 home games against a team with a winning road mark. Notre Dame is 7-19 ATS in the past 26 in November, and 1-4 ATS in the past five road games against a team with a winning home record. The underdog is also 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, with the under cashing in six of the past seven.The Irish are 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Palo Alto, while the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series.

Washington State at Washington

It's time for the Apple Cup, and the Huskies can punch their ticket to the Pac-12 Championship Game against USC with a win. If Washington State is victorious, Stanford heads to the league title game. Vegas thinks the Huskies will be victorious, as they're installed as a double-digit favorite heading into this one. Both sides are 5-1 ATS in their past six against winning teams, and the Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their past nine overall while the Huskies have hit in five of their past seven at home. Looking at the head-to-head numbers might help you decide a side. The favorite has cashed in six of the past eight in this series, while the Cougs are 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings. The under has hit in seven of the past nine meetings in Seattle.

Colorado at Utah

The Buffaloes and Utes wrap up the Pac-12 regular season, and Utah is installed as a 10 1/2-point favorite as of Thursday morning. Like Cal-UCLA above, this is an important game. The winner will become bowl eligible, while the loser will be left shaking their heads, watching the winner on TV during bowl season from the comfort of their couch. The Buffs are 1-4-1 ATS in their past six in conference, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five on the road. They're also a dismal 1-5 ATS in their past six on the road against a team with a losing home record. The Utes are a solid 7-3-1 ATS in their past 11 overall, but just 1-5 ATS in their past six tries against Colorado. The underdog has cashed in six in a row in this series.

Friday's Best Bets
Vegasinsider.com

The Thanksgiving holiday brings four four days of football action between the college ranks and the pros and it's a great time to not only enjoy time with your family, but make add a few units to your betting bankroll as well.

It's also rivalry week in the college football world and with plenty of huge games on tap before Conference Championship games kick off in a week, the handle on some of these huge college games should be through the roof.

Black Friday is the day when college football fans get an extra day of that all-day Saturday feeling and this year we've got 15 different games spread out across the full day. There are definitely some high-profile matchups, headlined by #2 Miami laying nearly double-digits on the road against Pittsburgh, but it's two other games from slightly smaller conferences that I'll be focused on that day.

Best Bet #1: Buffalo Bulls +5

Teams in the MAC are used to having the spotlight on weekdays, but after Akron won (but didn't cover as I correctly predicted here) on Tuesday, the Zips clinched the East Division crown and left everyone else in the division simply playing out the string. That's notable for Buffalo's opponent in this game – the Ohio Bobcats – as despite a great year (8-3 SU overall) they won't have an opportunity to play for the Conference Championship next week after losing outright to Akron two weeks ago as double-digit favorites.

At 8-3 SU, the Bobcats have been Bowl eligible for awhile, and while a double-digit win season would be a nice feather in the cap, it's hard to imagine Ohio having any sort of motivation to come out and play their best football on Friday.

Conversely, Buffalo has been out of the MAC Championship picture for awhile, but with a 5-6 SU record overall, they've got everything to play for here – specifically becoming Bowl eligible. This is a program that hasn't been to a Bowl game since 2013, and getting HC Lance Leipold his first Bowl bid in his 3rd year with the program would be a huge accomplishment.

Schools love to make it to a Bowl game for all the money and benefits that come with it, but for coaches, that extra two to three weeks of practice time they get can be vital to a program, especially one that's still building for the future. So with the favorite in this game having basically no motivation and nothing really to play for, and a home underdog with seemingly everything to play for I simply can't pass up the points here.

Buffalo has turned it on down the stretch with two SU wins the last two weeks, and with an 8-3 ATS mark on the year, they've been kind to bettors throughout 2017. Close games against quality rivals is nothing new for the Bulls as three of their losses in conference play have come by three points or less. Two of those were one point defeats against the likes of Akron and Northern Illinois – both of whom were or are playing for a division title all year long, and the other was a three-point OT loss in a wild 71-68 six-OT game against Western Michigan.

Ohio is a similar caliber of team to all three of those opponents, but with zero motivation on the Bobcats side this week, don't be surprised to see Buffalo come away with the outright win to accomplish that goal of getting to a Bowl game.

Best Bet #2: South Florida +10

Motivation will not be an issue in this game as the 9-1 SU USF Bulls head to Central Florida to take on the #13 ranked UCF Knights. This is a game with 1st place in the AAC East Division on the line and subsequently a berth in the AAC Conference Championship game to face Memphis a week later as well. Oh, and don't forget about UCF's bid to finish the year undefeated and potentially be a “Bowl Buster” come selection time.

With the stakes as high as they are, seeing UCF laying double-digits was a bit perplexing, even more so when you consider nearly 70% of the ATS money has come there way already. Now, many bettors are bypassing the points with USF and simply grabbing the ML price (not a horrible idea if you ask me), but taking the points is the better play overall in a game that should go down to the wire. Both teams match up very well on either side of the ball, and USF does have that little mental edge in their favor knowing they've pounded UCF each of the past two years in 48-31 and 44-3 victories.

With UCF HC Scott Frost being the hot name in coaching to jump to a bigger program in the very near future, you've always got to wonder about focus in terms of getting his guys prepared. Seemingly every year around this time of the year we've got a handful of coaches who've had great success at Mid-Majors jumping ship in December for that big payday elsewhere, and when that does happen it's the team they left behind that suffers mightily. UCF isn't in that spot as of now, but there is no doubt it's on everyone's mind, and if they do end up losing this game SU – costing them their perfect season and AAC Championship berth, don't be surprised to hear Frost's name directly connected to one of those big schools with coaching vacancies he's been linked to for weeks.

Regarding this game though, it's simply too many points to give a very good USF team that is led by a guy in Charlie Strong who has already lived the “success at small school – big payday at big program – and subsequent struggles at said big program” that Frost's situation is just entering. Strong may not be the greatest CFB coach out there, but his team has been looking ahead to this showdown for weeks as evidenced by a pair of “close” wins over Uconn (37-20) and Tulsa (27-20) when the Bulls were laying -23 and -24 points respectively. I've always subscribed to the notion that fading programs in potential look-ahead spots can be highly lucrative, but when the game that team has been waiting for finally arrives, you'd better be prepared to back them in a big way.

That is precisely the situation the USF Bulls have here, and with all the noise about a potential perfect season and Frost's departure from the program (likely), there are just too many concerns with UCF in this spot as healthy favorites. USF is on a 5-1 ATS run in their last six against a winning foe – which also tells you just how much they've had their focus on this game with since losing outright to Houston a few weeks back (they are 0-4 ATS against lesser competition the past four weeks) – and should stay well within this number of +10, if not win the game outright.