NCAAF Opening Line Report: Week 2
By Patrick Everson
Covers.com
Week 2 of the college football season doesn’t look anything like Week 1. There are no huge matchups of highly rated teams or traditional powers. Many Top 25 games have giant pointspreads. Covers talks about a few of the opening lines with John Lester, senior lines manager for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.
No. 10 Tennessee Volunteers (-10) at Virginia Tech Hokies
The Vols were being talked about as potential dark-horse threats to make the College Football Playoff and perhaps make a national title run this year. They sure didn’t look the part in Week 1, needing overtime to nab a 20-13 victory Thursday as a 21.5-point home favorite against Appalachian State of the Sun Belt Conference.
Virginia Tech had an easier time with FCS outfit Liberty, but also failed to cash in a 36-13 home victory Saturday giving 31.5 points.
“I don’t think anyone was impressed with either of these teams in their openers,” Lester said. “This is going to be a bad spot for Tennessee, and I’m sure we’ll see some sharp spread and moneyline plays on the Hokies.”
Arkansas Razorbacks at No. 14 Texas Christian Horned Frogs (-7)
TCU was underwhelming Saturday in its opener against FCS challenger South Dakota State, trailing 17-7 in the second quarter and ending up in a shootout well into the fourth quarter. The Frogs ultimately prevailed 59-41 as massive 34.5-point home faves.
Arkansas also struggled in Week 1, barely fending off Louisiana Tech 21-20 laying 21 points at home.
“Again, two underwhelming showings from these two in their openers,” Lester said. “But there’s always something to be said for knocking off the rust. If the Razorbacks can control the trenches like they’re supposed to, they could come away with a big victory here.”
Central Florida Knights at No. 8 Michigan Wolverines (-34.5)
The Wolverines, who drew a fair amount of futures action to win this year’s national title, got the 2016 campaign off to a strong start with a 63-3 wipeout of visiting Hawaii on Saturday, easily cashing as a 38-point chalk.
They aren’t favored by quite as much this week, but it’s still another lopsided home affair, this time against Central Florida. The Knights opened the season with a 38-0 victory over FCS squad South Carolina State laying 26 points at home.
“After the utter domination by Michigan in the opener, this is a number we had to be generous with,” Lester said. “Central Florida is certainly a step up from Hawaii, but the square support for Michigan was insane through one week. They’ll bet them here at any number.”
Nevada Wolf Pack at No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (no line)
Bookmaker.eu had to hold off on the opening line for this game, since Notre Dame was playing at Texas late into Sunday night. In that contest, the Fighting Irish rallied from a 31-14 third-quarter deficit but ultimately lost 50-47 in a double-overtime thriller as a 3.5-point road favorite.
Nevada got all it could handle from FCS foe Cal Poly-SLO on Friday night, needing overtime to notch a 30-27 victory while falling miles short as 27.5-point home chalk. So look for a steamed Notre Dame squad to be a hefty chalk in its home opener.
“Again, this will be an inflated number due to the matchup of a marquee program versus a poor team,” Cooley said. “And the public will overreact to Nevada’s struggle against an FCS team in Week 1. We’ll have to see how Notre Dame looks Monday to assess how this number will go.”
Opening Line Report - Week 2
By Marcus DiNitto
VegasInsider.com
Analyzing the Bounce-back Factor
After a thrilling opening weekend of college football, replete with marque matchups, major upsets and fantastic finishes, Week 2 doesn’t offer much of an encore. Mismatches abound, and there are a gulf-like point spreads to be found all over the betting board.
The biggest number on the card is Oklahoma laying about 45 points to Louisiana-Monroe. The Sooners, of course, were knocked from their No. 3 national ranking via a 33-23 loss to Houston to get the upset train started.
Notre Dame, UCLA and LSU also face severely overmatched opponents in Week 2 after losing unexpectedly in their season openers.
Handicappers who prescribe to the bounce-back theory better be prepared to pay a premium on these teams. The fact that they’re coming off a loss and in desperate need of a win to avoid going 0-2 and watching their national championship hopes obliterated is factored into the betting lines, said John Avello, vice president of race and sports at The Wynn.
"What I see this week is rebounding," Avello said. "I think you’ll see some teams this week that maybe played a quality team last week and had trouble but will expect to bounce back this week."
The bounce-back factor is indeed built into Avello’s numbers, the first posted each week in Las Vegas on college football.
"It’s in my LSU number, it’s in my Notre Dame number, it’s in my UCLA number," Avello said.
Futures Adjustments
In no sport is a season-opening loss more damaging to a team’s national title chances than college football. With a second loss, it becomes very difficult to make a case for an invitation to the four-team playoff.
There have been significant adjustments, therefore, to the futures odds of LSU (8/1 to 15/1) Oklahoma (12/1 to 20/1), Notre Dame (20/1 to 30/1) and UCL A (60/1 to 100/1) at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
LSU is an interesting case. Playing in the SEC, there are scenarios by which a two-loss Tigers team can get into the playoffs.
To SuperBook oddsmaker Ed Salmons, though, nearly doubling LSU’s futures price was less about these viable scenarios and more about how LSU looked against the Badgers.
"LSU took on a ton of future book money – the most money of any team," Salmons said. "They were talkin’ em up like they’re an NFL team, but you watch them, and it’s the same old LSU offense . They just run the ball, they have no quarterback, they play football like it’s 1965.
"It’s hard to believe that team could beat Alabama, playing that kind of style. That’s not the kind of team that beats Alabama. Playing slow, running the ball and all that."
Salmons added, "Realistically, they probably should be a little bit higher (than 15/1). The Wisconsin game is not the game you’d figure they’d lose."
Early Week 2 Line Moves
Here are spreads that moved 2 points or more in the favorite’s direction in the first 24 hours of wagering at The Wynn.
Penn State at Pittsburgh
Opening line: Pitt -4
After 24 hours: Pitt -6
Bookmaker’s take: "Interesting game. It used to be a huge rivalry, and they haven’t played in 16 years," said Salmons. "Penn State has a good chance to beat Pittsburgh. Penn State is being underrated right now."
Tulsa at Ohio State
Opening line: Ohio State -27
After 24 hours: Ohio State -29
UT-San Antonio at Colorado State
Opening line: Colorado State -9.5
After 24 hours: Colorado State -11.5
Idaho at Washington
Opening line: Washington -35
After 24 hours: Washington -37
Middle Tennessee State at Vanderbilt
Opening line: Vanderbilt -3
After 24 hours: Vanderbilt -5.5
Washington State at Boise State
Opening line: Boise State -9.5
After 24 hours: Boise State -12.5
Here are spreads that moved 2 points or more in the underdog’s direction in the first 24 hours of wagering at The Wynn.
Arkansas at TCU
Opening line: TCU -9.5
After 24 hours: TCU -7.5
Central Florida at Michigan
Opening line: Michigan -38
After 24 hours: Michigan -35
UConn at Navy
Opening line: Navy -8
After 24 hours: Navy -5
BYU at Utah
Opening line: Utah -5
After 24 hours: Utah -3
Bookmaker’s take: "BYU owes Utah from (last season’s Las Vegas Bowl), when they were down 35-0 in the first quarter," Salmons said. The Cougars scored 28 straight after that but came up short in the 35-28 loss.
Texas Tech at Arizona State
Opening line: Arizona State -5.5
After 24 hours: Arizona State -3
Bookmaker’s take: Salmons agrees with this move on the Red Raiders. "I think Texas Tech can beat Arizona State," he said.
NCAAF: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Central Florida at Michigan
Two squads off resounding opening wins meet in Ann Arbor when Michigan Wolverines host Central Florida Knights. Wolverines thrashed Hawaii 63-3 as 38.0 point favorites in Wk1 recording its largest margin of victory since beating Northwestern 69-0 in 1975. The Knights crushed South Carolina State 38-zip covering the 26.0 point spot.
Wolverines off its dominant performance on both sides of the ball are handing Knights 35 points of offense. Tread cautiously, this is dangerous betting territory for Wolverines as they're 3-4 ATS in front of the home audience laying 30.0 or more points, 3-6 ATS in September while Knight's enter on a 19-8 ATS road stretch vs a team with a winning home record. Road dog worth a shot here.
Nevada at Notre Dame
Fighting Irish dropping its opener at Texas 50-47 as a 3.5-point road favorite look to get back to winning ways when they host Nevada who opened with a 30-27 victory over Cal Poly-SLO but falling miles short as 27.5-point home chalk.
According to current odds at Sports Interaction the Irish are -28.0 point home favorites. Rather generous, Fighting Irish have not been a peg to hang your hopes on when laying twenty or more at home posting a vig-losing 3-3 mark against the betting line. Fighting Irish are also 0-4 against the number during Brian Kelly's tenure prior to a game against Michigan State.
Virginia Tech vs. Tennessee
The Hokies' and Volunteers' clash at Bristol Motor Speedway in what is anticipated to be the highest attended college football game in history. According to current odds at Bovada.lv the Volunteers are 11.5 point favorites at this neutral site venue.
Tennessee off a lackluster performance last week in scratching out a 20-13 OT win against Appalachian State as 21.5 point home favorites certainly raises questions surrounding Volunteers who many considered to be a threat for an SEC East title with its eighteen returning starters. However, the best thing faithfull Tennessee fans and those with a penchant for sports gaming can do about the poor performance, is 'Forget About It'.
The Volunteers are too talented and experienced to be flat out bad two weeks in a row and have shown they can right the ship after a dismal showing. In each of Volunteers' last four games scoring 20 or less the squad has come out firing on all cylinders average 47.0 points/game with a 16.5 point winning margin going 4-0 SU/ATS in those contests. Matching that, Volunters are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games. Lay the points knowing Hokies aren't a peg to hang your hopes on in non-conference games (7-17-2 ATS) or in neutral site games (2-6-1 ATS).
ACC Report - Week 2
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Louisville at Syracuse
The Cardinals look to build upon their 70-14 spanking of Charlotte in the opener. QB Lamar Jackson figured in on eight touchdowns, including six TD strikes, in only one half of work to set conference and school records. The Orange also had a solid performance, opening with a 33-7 win over Colgate, an upper-echelon FCS squad to make head coach Dino Babers successful in his Syracuse debut. Head coach Bobby Petrino has never lost in five tries against the Orange, and Louisville is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. However, the Orange enter as more than a two-touchdown underdog, and the 'dog is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings between these sides.
North Carolina State at East Carolina
The Wolfpack head to the Coastal Plain to battle the Pirates, who plan to offer their in-state rivals 'No Quarter'. Both sides were successful a week ago, as N.C. State won and covered against FCS William & Mary while East Carolina powered past FCS Western Carolina in a 52-7 laugher. The last time these teams met it was East Carolina scoring an important 42-28 win back on Nov. 23, 2013. The Pirates typically get up for games against ACC foes, playing at their best. East Carolina has rattled off five straight wins against ACC opponents, and they have covered in six in row against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference, including four straight-up wins as an underdog.
Penn State at Pittsburgh
Keystone State rivals Penn State and Pitt meet for the first time since Sept. 16, 2000. It is a much anticipated game for both sides, and a very important game for recruiting purposes, too. The Panthers are favored by six points despite the fact they were rather mediocre in a 28-7 win against FCS Villanova. Penn State failed to cover a 24-point number last week, but they were still rather impressive in a 33-13 victory against Kent State of the MAC. The Nittany Lions have struggled againts the number on the road in recent seasons, going 2-13-2 ATS in their past 17 away from Happy Valley while going 1-5 ATS in their past six non-conference tilts. The Panthers haven't lit the world afire, either, going 2-8 ATS in their past 10 non-conference battles and 1-7 ATS in their past eight at home. As mentioned, these sides haven't met since 2000. Historically, it is the underdog shining, going 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, but a few of these players were also just learning how to walk and use the toilet the last time these schools played, so that trend is rather meaningless today.
Wake Forest at Duke
Wake Forest and Duke took very different paths to victory last weekend. The Demon Deacons managed a 7-3 win against Tulane in their home opener, exhibiting outstanding defense and the same problems on offense as last season. In the Bull City Classic last week against N.C. Central, Duke had no issues on offense, piling up 535 total yards, including 308 rushing yards. The sledding will be much tougher this week against a stout Wake defense. The Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 home games against a team with a winning road record, and 24-11-1 ATS in their past 36 games overall. Duke has owned this season recently, with the favorite 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings and Wake Forest 0-5 ATS in their past five against Duke.
Florida Atlantic at Miami-Florida
Miami is back home at Hard Rock Stadium against another in-state team. They humbled Florida A&M by a 70-3 count last week, while FAU struggled to put away FCS Southern Illinois in their home opener in Boca Raton, 38-30. These two sides met last season, and the Owls hung tough at home into the second half before the Hurricanes pulled away with a solid rushing attack, winning 44-20. Vegas expects a similar result this season, with Miami up to a 24-point favorite. The Owls are 7-2 ATS in their past nine against a team with a winning record, and 13-3 ATS in their past 16 on the road against a team with a winning home record. Miami is just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 against Conference USA opponents, but 4-1 ATS in their past five games in the month of September.
North Carolina at Illinois
The Tar Heels opened the season with a 33-24 setback in Atlanta against Georgia last weekend, hanging tough into the fourth quarterback before Heisman Trophy candidate RB Nick Chubb took his team on his back. The Illini picked up a 52-3 victory against FCS Murray State, barely breaking a sweat and easily covering a 33-point number. These two sides met each other in Chapel Hill, and it was the Tar Heels coming away with a 48-14 victory as just a touchdown favorite. UNC opened as a 10-point favorite, but it is down to single digits at most shops. UNC is 3-8 ATS in their past 11 non-conference games, and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 in September. Illinois is 6-16 ATS in their past 22 following a cover in the previous game.
Virginia Tech vs. Tennessee
The Hokies and Volunteers are set to meet at Bristol Motor Speedway, and a new college football attendance record is expected with a potential crowd of 150,000. Thunder Valley will definitely live up to its name, but the venue will not be the only interesting thing. Tennessee barely edged Appalachian State in its home opener, escaping with a 20-13 overtime victory in front of a very nervous crowd at Neyland Stadium. Virginia Tech had a much easier time in a 36-13 win over FCS Liberty, but never really threatened to cover the 31 1/2-point number. This line opened as low as Tennesse -9, and has been bet up to as much as Tennessee -11 1/2. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in their past four neutral-site battles, while Virginia Tech is 2-6-1 ATS in their past nine in neutral-site venues. The Hokies are also 5-15-1 ATS in their past 21 in September, and 7-17-2 ATS in their past 26 non-conference tilts.
Virginia at Oregon
On the surface this one has the makings of being really ugly, really quickly. Virginia has quarterback uncertainty after an ugly blowout loss at home to FCS Richmond. Oregon opened with a 53-28 win against FCS UC-Davis, but never came close to covering a 48-point number. The Ducks spanked the Cavaliers 59-10 in the most recent meeting Sept. 7, 2013, but that was also with Marcus Mariota, De'Anthony Thomas and a much better offense. The cupboard is definitely not bare in Eugene with Royce Freeman toting the rock and Dakota Prukop slinging it to a bevy of talented young receivers. If the Cavaliers struggled with Richmond's offense, Oregon's multi-talented offense will really give them fits. Jet lag also won't do the Cavs any favors. It might not be 59-10 again, but it could come close.
Other Games
BC enters their game with UMass as a 17-point favorite. They're 11-27 ATS in their past 38 against teams with a losing record. UMass played Florida tough in The Swamp last week, losing 24-7. UMass is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 in September. ... Clemson returns home to face Troy after a road win at Auburn. They're more than a five-touchdown favorite against the Trojans. The Tigers covered their home opener against Wofford last year as a 34-point favorite, and they're 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in their past five home openers, including a 43-19 win and cover against Troy Sept. 3, 2011. ... FSU will face FCS Charleston Southern. While the 'Noles are 6-0 SU in their past six against FCS teams since Sept. 10, 2011, they're 2-3 ATS, including a win and non-cover against the Buccaneers in 2011. ... Georgia Tech is back from Ireland with a win, and now they return home to face FCS Mercer in their home opener. Ga. Tech is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their past seven against FCS foes.
Big 12 Report - Week 2
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Central Michigan at Oklahoma State
Central Michigan opened as a 19-point favorite, and the line quickly moved to 21. Oklahoma State side bettors were apparently not impressed by CMU's 49-3 win and cover against Presbyterian last weekend. The Cowboys also pasted an FCS school, walking over Southeast Louisiana by a 61-7 count at Boone Pickens Stadium. These sides met last season in Mount Pleasant, and the Cowboys came away with a 24-13 victory. The Chippewas are 11-4 ATS in their past 15 games overall, and 9-2 ATS in their past 11 road outings. They're also 6-1 ATS in their past seven non-conference tilts. The Cowboys covered last week at home, but were 3-4 ATS in seven home outings last season.
Youngstown State at West Virginia
Youngstown State heads down to Morgantown for a pay day, while the Mountaineers look to build upon their 26-11 opening game win against Missouri. The Penguins of YSU racked up 610 yards of offense in their 45-10 win against Duquesne, but West Virginia and their team speed will be a whole different animal. The Mountaineers enter 7-0 SU against FCS foes over the past six seasons, but they're just 2-5 ATS during that span.
Ohio U. at Kansas
Ohio was stunned at home against Texas State, falling in 3OT by a 56-54 count despite entering their game as a 17-point favorite. Kansas, a team which was winless in 12 games a year ago, already has a mark in the win column after rolling up a 55-6 win against FCS Rhode Island. The Jayhawks were also 3-9 ATS last season, but they covered against the Rams to get off on the right foot. The Jayhawks opened as a two-point underdog, but are now a three-point favorite as of Wednesday morning. Despite last weekend's shocking loss at home, the Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their past eight non-conference games, and 6-1 ATS in their past seven in September. Kansas is 4-0-1 ATS in their past five againt the MAC, but 3-10-1 ATS in their past 14 non-conference tilts and 2-6 ATS in their past eight at home.
Southern Methodist at Baylor
SMU opened their season with a 34-21 road win at North Texas, covering as a touchdown favorite. Baylor kicked off a new era with a 55-7 win and non-cover against FCS Northwestern State. The Bears still have plenty of offense despite a regime change, but the Mustangs aren't too shabby on offense, either. The Bears are holding steady as a 32-point favorite. They won last season's meeting by a 56-21 score Sept. 4, 2015, but SMU hung on for a cover as a 36-point underdog at home. SMU is 4-1 ATS in their past five non-conference games, but just 7-19-1 ATS in their past 27 against the Big 12. Baylor is 9-4 ATS in their past 13 non-conference battles and 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine in the month of September.
Arkansas at Texas Christian
The Razorbacks and Horned Frogs each struggled at times last week and are lucky to each have a 1-0 record. Arkansas barely scraped by Louisiana Tech at home, 21-20, while TCU allowed FCS South Dakota State to roll up 41 points and 461 total yards, including 333 through the air. The Horned Frogs enter as a 7 1/2-point favorite, looking to improve on their 14-3 ATS mark over the past 17 home games. TCU is also 7-3 ATS in their past 10 non-conference games, and 16-5 ATS in their past 21 games on grass. The Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts, and 0-4 ATS in their past four in September. However, they are 7-1 ATS in their past eight against the Big 12 while going 14-6 ATS in their past 20 against teams with a winning overall record.
Texas El-Paso at Texas
The eyes of Texas were certainly smiling following a thrilling overtime win against Notre Dame Sunday night, vaulting the Longhorns into the Top 25 for the first time during the Charlie Strong era. It will be interesting to see how Texas handles success against a lesser opponent. Will there be a huge dropoff in intensity with a non-marquee opponent, or will Texas remain focused and continue to build? UTEP enters as a four-touchdown underdog despite winning and covering in their opener against New Mexico State last week. The Miners are 6-1 ATS in their past seven overall dating back to last season, but just 2-5 ATS in their past seven non-conference games and 4-11 ATS in their past 15 tries against the Big 12. Texas is 10-4 ATS in their past 14 against Conference USA teams, and 4-1 ATS in their past five home outings.
Louisiana-Monroe at Oklahoma
The WarHawks hit the road for Norman and they will find a very ornery Oklahoma team which was taken down by a powerful Houston squad. ULM won and covered against FCS Southern, 38-21, but facing the Sooners will be a much more daunting task. Vegas expects this game to be a big-time rout, as Oklahoma is installed as a 46-point favorite. ULM is 4-0-1 ATS in their past five non-conference games, while Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in their past four against the Sun Belt Conference and 7-2 ATS in their past nine in the month of September. The total is set at 65, and the 'under' might be the play. The under is 4-1 in ULM's past five against non-conference opponents, and the under is 6-1 in Oklahoma's past seven outside the Big 12.
Iowa State at Iowa
Iowa State laid an egg in their opener, falling to FCS Northern Iowa by a 25-20 count. Iowa barely missed covering in a 45-21 win against Miami-Ohio, but their offense was impressive with 212 rushing yards and 404 total yards of output. The Cyclones enter Iowa City 14-5 ATS in their past 19 tries against the Big Ten, but just 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight road games. Still, Iowa State has dominated this series in recent years, at least against the number, going 8-1 ATS in their past nine trips to Iowa City while going 13-5 ATS in the past 18 meetings overall. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this rivalry, which means the 15-point number might be a bit much for Iowa to cover. The under is 5-0 in the past five meetings in Iowa City, and 8-2-1 in the past 11 meetings overall in this series.
Texas Tech at Arizona State
Texas Tech hits the road for Tempe looking to run its record to 2-0. The offense was in top form with a 69-17 win against Stephen F. Austin, covering a 37 1/2-point spread. Arizona State also faced an FCS foe, winning and covering against Northern Arizona in a 44-13 rout. The Red Raiders are 5-0-1 ATS in their past six games in the month of September, and they're 3-1-1 ATS in their past five non-conference battles. The Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their past four home games dating back to last season, but their cover against NAU was their first in the past seven tries in the month of September. Trends point to the 'over' in this late-night tilt for Texas Tech, as the over is 11-4 in Texas Tech's past 15 games and 16-7 in their past 23 non-conference tilts. However the 'under' is 4-1 in AZ State's past five non-conference games, and 5-0 in the past five games in the month of September.
Pac-12 Report - Week 2
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Utah State at Southern California
USC was embarrassed 52-6 by Alabama in Arlington, Tex. last weekend, and now they return home to face Utah State. They barely got by the Aggies the last time these sides faced each other, winning 17-14 in the Coliseum back on Sept. 21, 2013. Utah State did a little embarrassing of their own, outclassing FCS Weber State by a 45-6 count. They enter as a 16 1/2-point underdog at USC, and the public is jumping on the Trojans and banking on them being extremely angry and to come out with a purpose. The Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their past seven games in the month of September, and 1-4 ATS in their past five road outings. USC is 28-11 ATS in their past 39 games following a straight-up loss, and they're 8-1 ATS in their past nine after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Brigham Young at Utah
BYU scratched out a hard-fought 18-16 win against Arizona last weekend, now they set their sights on another Pac-12 foe. The Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their past six trips to Rice-Eccles in Salt Lake City, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four meetings against the rival Utes. The underdog has cashed in five of the past six meetings in this series. Utah was rather lackluster on offense in their opener against FCS Southern Utah, but they pitched a shutout in the 24-0 win. The Utes enter as 3 1/2-point favorites, and the total is set at 45 1/2 points. Based on the defensive effort of both sides, and struggles on offense, the 'under' might be a popular play.
UNLV at UCLA
UNLV scorched FCS Jackson State by a 63-13 count, covering a 40-point number while nearly taking care of the 63 1/2-point total themselves. UCLA looks to pick itself off the mat after a disappointing 31-24 overtime loss at Texas A&M. They fought back to force OT, but could not get over the hump. The total of 55 also pushed in their road opener. UNLV is 5-1 ATS in their past six non-conference battles, but they're 0-4-1 ATS in their past five tries against the Pac-12. For UCLA, they're 12-3 ATS in their past 15 games against Mountain West foes and 6-2 ATS in their past eight games following a non-cover. The 'over' is 14-3 in UNLV's past 17 games, and 4-1 in their past five against the Pac-12. The under is 5-1 in UCLA's past six at home, and 3-1-1 in their past five non-conference battles.
Texas Tech at Arizona State
Texas Tech hits the road for Tempe looking to run its record to 2-0. The offense was in top form with a 69-17 win against Stephen F. Austin, covering a 37 1/2-point spread. Arizona State also faced an FCS foe, winning and covering against Northern Arizona in a 44-13 rout. The Red Raiders are 5-0-1 ATS in their past six games in the month of September, and they're 3-1-1 ATS in their past five non-conference battles. The Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their past four home games dating back to last season, but their cover against NAU was their first in the past seven tries in the month of September. Trends point to the 'over' in this late-night tilt for Texas Tech, as the over is 11-4 in Texas Tech's past 15 games and 16-7 in their past 23 non-conference tilts. However the 'under' is 4-1 in AZ State's past five non-conference games, and 5-0 in the past five games in the month of September.
Washington State at Boise State
Washington State was tripped up in their opener by an FCS club for the second consecutive season. Like last season, they hit the road looking for redemption. They rebounded last season at Rutgers by a 37-34 count after falling to Portland State, but this season the task is much more daunting with a trip to the Smurf Turf on the agenda. The Cougs are 4-0 ATS in their past four after a straight-up loss, and they're 7-0 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. However, Washington State is also 0-4-1 ATS in their past five tries against Mountain West opponents. Boise State rolled up an impressive 45-10 win at Louisiana-Lafayette last weekend, and return home where they have been hard to beat. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their past four non-conference games, and 8-3 ATS in their past 11 games in the month of September.
California at San Diego State
Cal opened with a 51-31 win down under in Australia against Hawaii back on Aug. 26, and they have had two weeks to get acclimated following the long road trip. They polished off San Diego State 35-7 last Sept. 12, and look for a repeat performance. The Aztecs picked up a 31-0 victory against a solid FCS club from New Hampshire last weekend, and they'll lean upon RB Donnel Pumphrey to try and push aside the Pac-12 visitor. San Diego State is a 7 1/2-point favorite at most shops. Cal hasn't had a lot of luck on the road in past seasons, and they're just 1-4 ATS in their past five dating back to last year. San Diego State is 8-1-2 ATS in their past 11 overall, and 3-1-2 ATS in their past six at home. However, they are just 4-12 ATS in their past 16 against the Pac-12, 1-7-1 ATS in their past nine non-conference tilts and 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven in the month of September.
Virginia at Oregon
On the surface this one has the makings of being really ugly, really quickly. Virginia has quarterback uncertainty after an ugly blowout loss at home to FCS Richmond. Oregon opened with a 53-28 win against FCS UC-Davis, but never came close to covering a 48-point number. The Ducks spanked the Cavaliers 59-10 in the most recent meeting Sept. 7, 2013, but that was also with Marcus Mariota, De'Anthony Thomas and a much better offense. The cupboard is definitely not bare in Eugene with Royce Freeman toting the rock and Dakota Prukop slinging it to a bevy of talented young receivers. If the Cavaliers struggled with Richmond's offense, Oregon's multi-talented offense will really give them fits. Jet lag also won't do the Cavs any favors. It might not be 59-10 again, but it could come close.
Other Games
Idaho barely scraped by with a win over FCS Montana State last weekend, 20-17. They meet Washington for the first time in nearly seven years, losing 42-23 last time the two faced each other. The Vandals are 1-7 ATS in their past eight in September, and 5-16-1 ATS in their past 22 aginst teams with a winning overall record. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their past five non-confernce games, 5-1 ATS in their past six in September and 4-0 ATS in their past four overall. ... Colorado roughed up rival Colorado State last week, now face FCS Idaho State. After a stunning loss to Sacramento State Sept. 8, 2012, the Buffaloes are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in their past three against FCS squads. ... Arizona opened with an 18-16 setback to BYU, now they get a presumed breather against FCS Grambling State. The Wildcats are 6-0 in their past six against FCS opponents, covering each of the past five dating back to Sept. 12, 2009.
NCAAF Week 2
Arkansas (-21) held off La Tech 21-20 LW; yardage was 297-291. Hogs are 7-4 as road underdogs under Bielema (4-0 LY), 8-6 in non-SEC games. TCU held off South Dakota State 59-41 LW; it was 24-all at half. Jackrabbits threw ball for 333 yards. Frogs are 10-2 as home favorites last two years; their new QB is transfer from Texas A&M. SEC teams are 10-9-1 in last 20 games against Big X teams.
Penn State-Pitt are meeting for first time since 2000; Nittany Lions are 0-8 vs spread on road under Franklin- they outgained Kent St LW, 354-279 in game they led 16-13 at half. Pitt beat I-AA team 28-7 but gained only 261 yards. Panthers are 4-7 as home favorites last two years; since ’11, they’re 11-16 in non-league games. Over last decade, PSU is 5-14 as road underdog. Big 14 teams are 8-4-1 vs ACC teams the last two years.
Wake Forest lost its last four games with Duke (0-3-1 vs spread), losing three of four by 7 or less points. Deacons are 6-1 in last seven visits here. Wake beat Tulane 7-3 LW, despite Green Wave outgaining them 280-175; Deacons are 7-9 as road dogs under Clawson. Duke has a new QB; they’re 13-7 as home favorites since 2012 (1-4 LY).
Florida won its last 19 games with Kentucky, but last two years were 36-30/14-9. Wildcats are 5-4 vs spread in last nine visits to the Swamp. Kentucky blew 35-10 lead in home loss to Southern Miss LY; USM ran for 262 yards, had 33 first downs. Wildcats are 7-18 in last 25 games as a road dog. Florida beat UMass 24-7 LW but game was 10-7 in 4th quarter; Gators are 6-15 vs spread in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Mississippi State lost at home to South Alabama last week; they lost 34-16 (+12) in last meeting with South Carolina, back in 2013. Bulldogs blew 17-0 lead LW, then missed GW FG at gun; they’re 19-12 as home faves under Mullen. Gamecocks won 13-10 at Vandy LW after trailing 10-0 in 4th quarter; they’re 8-6 in last 14 gaes as a road underdog.
Tennessee survived Appalachian State in OT LW; they trailed 13-3 at half- yardage was 319-292. Vols have 17 starters back and QB with 24 starts. Virginia Tech has new coach, new QB but return 15 starters; Hokies are 6-3 as underdogs the last three years. This game is being played at Bristol Motor Speedway; crowd of 150,000 is expected. Last 5+ years, SEC teams are 27-20 vs ACC teams.
Iowa State lost to I-AA Northern Iowa LW; UNI had 232 rushing yards, but Cyclones won last two visits here, in rivalry where road team won last four meetings. Dogs are 10-5 vs spread in series. Iowa jogged over Miami Ohio LW but allowed 449 yards; Hawkeyes are 8-17 vs spread in last 25 games as a home favorite. Over last 10+ years, they’re 13-30 when laying double digits. Last 5+ years, Big X teams are 10-7 vs spread when facing Big 14 teams.
USC got waxed 52-6 by Alabama LW, has Stanford/Utah on deck; how do they react here, vs Utah State team that is 4-6 as road dog under Wells, after being 23-9 as AU the six years before that. Trojans are 8-13 as double digit favorites the last four years, but 8-5 as HFs last two years. Utah State routed a I-AA team last Thursday; this game is more about how USC reacts to last week. Pac-12 teams are 10-5-1 in last 16 games vs Mountain West clubs.
New Mexico won its last four games with New Mexico State, but the dog is 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven series games. Lobos won 38-35/27-14 in last two visits here- they’ve run ball for 419 ypg in last four meetings. State is 6-11-2 as home dogs the lst four years; they gave up 289 rushing yards in 38-2 (+10) loss at UTEP LW. Lobos are 2-0-1 as road favorites under Davie, 2-1 as double digit favorites.
Utah won last five games with in-state rival BYU, last of which was 35-28 (-2.5) win in Las Vegas Bowl LY, when Utes almost blew its 35-7 halftime lead. Since 2011, Utes are 11-13 as home favorites. BYU won 18-16 at Arizona LW; Cougars are 9-4 in last 13 games as a road underdog.BYU outgained Arizona 415-328 LW, was +2 in turnovers, still needed a last-minute FG to win.
Washington State opened with loss to I-AA team for second year in row; Coogs are 14-6 as road underdogs under Leach- they are 4-4 as double digit underdogs in Leach era. Boise is 6-7 as home favorite under Harsin, 20-29 since 2008; they threw for 426 yards with no turnovers in easy win at UL-Lafayette LW. Teams last met in 2001. Pac-12 teams are 10-5-1 in last 16 games vs Mountain West clubs.
Texas Tech (+14) upset Arizona State 37-23 in Holiday Bowl three years ago; Red Raiders are 5-5 as road dogs under Kingsbury, 5-6 in non-league games. Tech has more experienced QB here. ASU is 14-9 as home favorite under Graham; they’re 4-8 vs spread in last 12 non-conference games. Both teams whacked I-AA stiffs in tuneups LW. Big X teams are 12-6 vs Pac-12 squads last 5+ years.
San Diego State (+13) lost 35-7 at California LY, outgained 485-325; Aztecs are 7-9 as home favorites last three years- they’re 9-17 in non-league games under Long. Cal won its opener in Australia; Bears are 8-10 as road underdogs under Dykes, 5-3 in last eight non-league games. Pac-12 teams are 10-5-1 in last 16 games vs Mountain West clubs.
Armadillosports.com
Saturday's Best Bets
By Sportsbook.ag
It wasn't a great opening week with this feature, but it wasn't a bad one either, as my best bets on West Virginia and Arizona went 1-1 ATS. A .500 record might be alright in some circles, but I'm looking to finish the year much higher and we've got plenty of football ahead to improve on that mark. Week 2 in college football gets going on Friday night, but it's the Saturday board that I'll be focusing on and looking to sweep the board.
Best Bet #1: Indiana -18
The early consensus from bettors on this game is that this is way too many points for the Hoosiers to be laying at home. Indiana struggled for three quarters last week against FIU before pulling away in the 4th and winning the frame 22-0. That ability to close out the game strong turned a one-point deficit into a comfortable 21-point win and brought home the money for Indiana backers.
Yet, when the Hoosiers got not one, but two Pick-Six's and a safety from their defense, many believe that asking them to win by about three TD's against a Ball State squad that looked impressive in a 31-21 outright underdog win (+6.5) vs. Georgia State is just too much.
Current betting percentages at VegasInsider.com have Ball State getting about 65% of the ATS bets and nearly 75% of the ML bets as many bettors aren't afraid to back this feisty underdog on the road once again.
Yet, this Indiana team is built to win games with their offense and that unit understands how poorly they played in the opener. It was a tougher road contest than the Hoosiers really expected, but now that they are back at home, I expect that this offense will do the heavy lifting this week and put together numerous scoring drives.
Knowing that their defense looked much better than many believed in Week 1 is an added boost for this program and they've owned teams from the MAC for years, posting a 24-5 SU mark against teams from that conference. The Hoosiers are also 5-1 ATS after their last six victories and 7-1 ATS after rushing for 200+ yards the previous week.
While many may believe this is too many points in this spot, don't be surprised to see Indiana cruise to at least a three-TD victory.
Best Bet #2: UTEP +30
Texas took advantage of being on the national stage last week in an epic 50-47 double-OT win over Notre Dame last week and with so many viewers tuned into that contest, it's no surprise to see the Longhorns getting plenty of support this week.
However, all the praise and media headlines Texas received after that huge win is more likely to be a negative for this week's game as huge favorites as it's nearly impossible for the players to come into this meeting with the same intensity and focus when they are expected to run away with the contest.
Bettors can't ignore the letdown factor for Texas here either as they embark on three straight road games after this one (including OK State and Oklahoma), and this is just flat out too many points to lay. Don't get me wrong, Texas should easily win this game outright, but 4+ TD's is too big of a spread in a spot like this for them.
UTEP beat up on New Mexico State last week but it's widely believed New Mexico State could end up being one of the worst teams in CFB this season. Yet, the Miners showed that they can put up points (38), and have been great to bettors the last little while with a 6-1 ATS run going on. Combine that with Texas being 1-4 ATS after their last five covers, and 2-9 ATS after scoring 40+, and you should have no problem taking all these points with UTEP.
Saturday's Underdog Bets
By Sportsbook.ag
Finding big underdogs across the college football board is very easy, but while there are multiple teams getting 20+ points, especially in the opening month, nearly all of those teams have a very slim chance of winning the game outright. It's the other sizable underdogs that are somewhere in the +4 to +14 range that bettors can be more willing to bet on the ML and I've got two of those teams to keep an eye on this week.
Underdog #1: Illinois (+9); ML (+270)
New Illinois head coach Lovie Smith comes over from the NFL and had his team cruising against an overmatched Murray State team a week ago. Illinois won that game 52-3 as 33-point favorites and held them to an abysmal -10 yards on the ground. That game was a great tune up for this week's contest against North Carolina as the Tar Heels are a much better program and based on the spread alone the Illini will be in tough.
But while Illinois is beaming with confidence right now, the same can't be said for UNC as they lost 33-24 to Georgia in Week 1 and could still be experiencing a bit of a hangover after making it to the ACC Championship game a year ago. In the end the Tar Heels will be just fine, but an 0-2 SU start is a very real possibility here despite the fact that UNC crushed Illinois 48-14 a year ago.
That blowout loss fuels plenty of fire for that Illini program who went through that beating in 2015, and now that they get the return match at home, they are expecting very different results. Illinois is also on a 3-0 SU run at home after a home win and getting them at nearly 3-1 here could turn out to be a huge payoff.
Underdog #2: California (+7); ML (+255)
Cal is another team that's getting better than +250 to win outright this week and the Golden Bears are in a solid spot. They've essentially had two weeks to prepare for this game after their opener was played in Australia at the end of August, and they did demolish San Diego State 35-7 a year ago. Obviously things are quite a bit different for Cal this time around without QB Jared Goff, but the offense showed no signs of significant regression against Hawaii in the opener and should find some success again this week.
Now, it's understandable to look at the revenge angle in San Diego State's favor after last year's loss and disagree with this play, but this is also a huge step up in class for the Aztecs after they beat FCS New Hampshire last week. The holdovers from last year's team have no doubt been looking ahead to this rematch with Cal, but essentially getting their opponent off a bye week does the Aztecs no favors. The entire Cal coaching staff likely watched that New Hampshire game live from start to finish and have a thorough understanding of what they've got to do to be successful this week.
Saturday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
Kentucky at Florida
As of Friday morning, most betting shops had Florida (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) listed as a 16.5-point favorite with a total of 49 points. The Wildcats were +550 on the money line (risk $100 to win $550). For first-half bets, UF was favored by 9.5 points with a total of 26.
Florida hold the NCAA’s longest active winning streak over another team with its 29 consecutive wins over Kentucky, breaking the mark held by Penn St. over Temple until the Owls snapped that 31-game losing streak last season. The Wildcats haven’t beaten UF since 1986 and haven’t won in Gainesville since 1979. Twenty-one of the 29 UF wins have come by double-digit margins. Also, the Gators have covered the spread at an 8-1 ATS clip in the last nine games against the Wildcats.
With that said, Mark Stoops has had UK close to breaking this dubious record in back-to-back seasons. Two years ago in Gainesville, UF captured a 36-30 win in triple overtime as an 18-point home ‘chalk.’ The Gators caught a monster break in the first extra session, completing a TD pass on fourth down when it appeared clear that the play should’ve been whistled for a delay of game penalty. Then in Lexington last season, the UF defense had to make several stops in the fourth quarter to hold on for a 14-9 victory as a 3.5-point road favorite.
Stoops came into the fourth season of his tenure at UK with a 12-24 record. After a 2-10 campaign to begin his reign, the ‘Cats raced out to a 5-1 start in Year 2, only to lose their last six regular-season games. Then in 2015, they started 4-1 but slumped late to finish 5-7 again. Kentucky had an early double-digit lead at home against Louisville in last year’s regular-season finale, only to eventually lose by a 38-24 count. Stoops’s record fell to 12-25 after losing last week’s opener at home to Southern Miss, further warming the seat upon which he sits as head coach at UK.
It certainly didn’t help Stoops’s cause that his team jumped out to a 35-10 lead late in the first half against the Golden Eagles. Drew Barker, the third-year sophomore QB making his third career start, got off to a smoking start. Barker was a four-star recruit and considered the prize of Stoops’s second recruiting haul that earned national Top-25 honors. Barker had four TD passes in the first half vs. Southern Miss, including three in the first quarter, but So. Miss got a big boost before halftime with a 71-yard TD pass from Nick Mullens to Isaiah Jones with 26 seconds left in the second quarter. This would ignite 34 unanswered points and lead to a 44-35 win by the Golden Eagles as 3.5-point underdogs. The line had dipped from UK -7 down to -3.5 in the 24 hours leading up to kickoff.
Barker finished the night by completing 15-of-24 passes for 323 yards with a 4/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Garrett Johnson hauled in six receptions for 143 yards and two TDs, while Stanley ‘Boom’ Williams rushed 13 times for 94 yards.
UK’s defense couldn’t stop the run, allowing Southern Miss RB Ito Smith to rush for 173 yards and one TD on 36 carries. The Golden Eagles finished with 296 rushing yards.
Kentucky owns a 5-8 spread record as a road underdog on Stoops’s watch. Meanwhile, UF is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite since Jim McElwain took over before last season.
Kentucky WR Dorian Baker is ‘questionable’ at UF with a hamstring injury. Baker had 55 receptions for 608 yards and three TDs last year.
Florida had an inauspicious debut as well, albeit one in which it did emerge victorious. However, there wasn’t a whole lot for the Gators to feel good about in a 24-7 win over Massachusetts as a 34.5-point home favorite. McElwain’s squad had to win the fourth quarter 14-0 to put the game on ice. The 31 combined points never threatened the 51.5-point total, easily staying ‘under.’ Making matters worse, juco transfer WR Dre Massey was injured in the first quarter and is ‘out’ for the rest of the season with a knee injury.
On the bright side, UF didn’t have star junior cornerback Teez Tabor, who was a third-team All-American selection last year when he had 40 tackles, one sack, three TFL’s, 14 passes broken up, four interceptions and a pair of pick-sixes. Tabor was serving a one-game suspension along with back-up TE C’yontai Lewis for getting into a fight at practice in late August. Both players are set to return vs. UF. Also, WR C.J. Worton has been upgraded to ‘probable’ after missing the opener with a sprained ankle. Worton, who had a TD catch in last year’s 29-15 loss to Alabama at the SEC Championship Game, had a big offseason and is expected to make major contributions this year, especially now that Massey is out of the mix.
UF had a 363-187 advantage over the Minutemen in total offense. Luke Del Rio was sharp with 29 completions in 44 attempts for 256 yards and two TDs without an interception. Del Rio had a 12-yard TD pass to Antonio Callaway and a 26-yard scoring strike to Brandon Powell. Callaway had eight catches for 72 yards, while Powell had seven receptions for 73 yards. Jordan Scarlett rushed 13 times for a team-high 70 yards.
Kickoff on CBS is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern.
Arkansas at Texas Christian
As of early Friday, most spots had TCU (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) listed as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 58.5 points. The Razorbacks were +250 on the money line (risk $100 to win $250). For first-half plays, the Horned Frogs were favored by four with a total of 29.5.
Arkansas (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went down in Week 2 at home against Toledo last year, and it nearly found itself the victim of another upset at home in last week’s opener against Skip Holtz’s La. Tech squad from out of Conference USA. Bret Bielema’s squad captured a 21-20 win thanks to a four-yard TD pass from Austin Allen to Jeremy Sprinkle on a fourth-and-goal play with 6:37 remaining. In Allen’s first career start, the junior QB who is the younger brother of Brandon, who had a 30/8 TD-INT ratio for the Hogs last year, completed 20-of-29 throws for 191 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Keon Hatcher, the team’s leading receiver in 2014 who was off to a great start in ’15 before going down with a season-ending knee injury in the loss to Toledo, made a successful return by catching six balls for 86 yards. Drew Morgan had five receptions for 47 yards, while Rawleigh Williams had 24 carries for 96 yards and one TD.
TCU started the season with a 59-41 win over South Dakota St. as a 34.5-point home favorite. We should note that South Dakota St. is currently ranked No. 12 in the FCS Top 25 after being tabbed at No. 14 in the preseason poll. These teams were tied at 24-24 at halftime. The game featured five lead changes and two ties. When TCU went ahead 45-31, the Jackrabbits answered with 10 straight points to pull within four with 11:57 remaining. Only then did the Horned Frogs put the game away with a pair of TD drives.
TCU produced 35 first downs and 662 yards of total offense vs. SD St., but it gave up 461 yards and was minus one in the turnover department. The Frogs also had 12 penalties for 125 yards.
Kenny Hill, TCU’s starting QB after sitting out last year following his transfer from Texas A&M, connected on 33-of-49 passes for 439 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Hill, who was the favorite in terms of odds at offshore books to win the Heisman Trophy late in September of 2014, also had seven rushes for 45 yards and three TDs. RB Kyle Hicks had 15 carries for a team-best 59 rushing yards and two TDs. WR Taj Williams, a juco transfer, had 11 receptions for 158 yards and one TD. KaVontae Turpin, the Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year in ’15, had an 81-yard punt return for a TD. Also, Turpin had seven catches for 62 yards and a 33-yard gain on his only rushing attempt.
TCU finished ’15 with an 11-2 record after going 12-1 in ’14. The Frogs returned three starters on offense and eight on defense.
Arkansas has lost five consecutive road openers and 10 of its last 12.
During Bielema’s first three seasons at the helm, Arkansas has compiled a 7-4 spread record as a road underdog. In fact, the Hogs went 4-0 ATS in such spots last year and have covered the number in five straight as road puppies.
Since 2006, TCU owns a 33-21-1 spread record as a home favorite. The Frogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home ‘chalk.’
Arkansas lost junior DB Kevin Richardson to a season-ending injury to his pectoral muscle last week. Richardson had 44 tackles, one interception and two passes broken up last year.
These schools haven’t met since their rivalry days in the Southwest Conference which ended in 1991.
ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.
Virginia Tech vs. Tennessee
This SEC/ACC showdown will take place at Bristol Motor Speedway, which is located exactly halfway between the two campuses. The game has been dubbed the “Battle at Bristol,” which is expected to draw a record crowd of more than 150,000 fans. The NCAA single-game attendance record is 115,109 at The Big House in 2013 for Michigan vs. Notre Dame.
As of early Friday, most shops had Tennessee (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) installed as an 11-point favorite with a total of 54 points. The Hokies were available to win outright for a +350 return (risk $100 to win $350). For first-half wagers, UT was favored by 6.5 points with a total of 28.
Butch Jones’s team was extremely fortunate to emerge from last Thursday’s home game vs. Appalachian State unscathed. Tennessee trailed the Mountaineers 13-3 at halftime and were only able to force overtime because Appalachian St. missed an extra point in the first half and failed to convert a crucial 42-yard field-goal attempt in the fourth quarter. The Volunteers eventually won a 20-13 decision in overtime, but they never threatened to cover the number as 21.5-point home favorites. The 33 combined points easily remained ‘under’ the 58-point total.
Trailing 13-6 with less than 11 minutes remaining in the final stanza, UT quarterback Josh Dobbs found Josh Malone for a 67-yard scoring strike to tie the game. Then on the first possession of overtime on third and goal, Dobbs dove for the end zone and attempted to reach the ball toward the plane of the goal line. However, he was hammered by an Appalachian State defender to knock the ball loose. The ensuing scramble for the ball in the end zone was recovered by star RB Jalen Hurd for a TD. Then on fourth and five, a pass to the end zone by the Mountaineers was broken up to preserve the victory for UT.
Dobbs struggled last week, connecting on just 16-of-29 throws for 192 yards with one TD and one interception. He was unable to make plays with his feet like he normally does, rushing nine times for negative four yards. Hurd ran for 110 yards and one TD on 28 carries.
Tennessee’s Cam Sutton is one of the SEC’s best cover corners and one of the country’s top punt returners. However, his three punt returns last week netted zero yards and one lost fumble that set the Mountaineers up with a short field that led to a TD and 7-0 deficit for the Vols. Sutton made up for it, though, by getting his first interception of the season off of Taylor Lamb.
UT went 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS in ’15, finishing the season with six straight wins. With the return of nine starters on offense and eight on defense, this squad received a ton of hype coming into the season. Obviously, the Vols didn’t respond well in their opener.
Virginia Tech reached great heights during the Frank Beamer Era, but the legendary coach decided to retire after four subpar campaigns. To be clear, the Hokies didn’t hit rock bottom by any means. They still went to the postseason the last four years, winning three bowl games, but the standard double-digit win totals were gone with 8-5 in ’13 serving as the best record.
With Beamer out, Virginia Tech made an excellent hire by signing Justin Fuente, who turned a moribund Memphis program into a winner fast. After going 4-8 and 3-9 in his first two seasons, Fuente led the Tigers to a 10-3 record in 2014. Then last season, they went 9-3 with Fuente during the regular season, reaching as high as No. 15 in the national rankings after an 8-0 start that included a 37-24 home win over 13th-ranked Ole Miss.
Virgnia Tech beat Liberty by a 36-13 count in its opener last week at home, but it was nowhere close to covering the 32-point spread. The 49 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 58-point tally. The Hokies actually trailed 13-10 late in the second quarter after Liberty took the lead thanks to a 71-yard fumble return for a TD.
Junior QB Jerod Evans, a juco transfer, had a stellar debut. Evans completed 20-of-32 passes for 221 yards and four TDs without an interception. He also rushed for a team-high 46 yards on just five carries. Junior WR Isaiah Ford, a first-team All-ACC selection last season, had 11 receptions for 117 yards and one TD. Bucky Hodges, second-team All-ACC selection as a sophomore TE in ’15, had three catches for 42 yards and two TDs.
Virginia Tech returned eight starters on offense and seven on defense from last year’s 7-6 team that beat Tulsa 55-52 at the Independence Bowl.
These schools haven’t met since the 2009 Chick-fil-A Bowl when Beamer’s Hokies blasted UT in its last game with Lane Kiffin as head coach, 37-14. Virginia Tech easily took the cash as a 5.5-point ‘chalk.’
Since 2011, Virgnia Tech has only been a double-digit underdog four times, going 2-2 ATS with one outright win (35-21 at Ohio St. in Week 2 of 2014).
Tennessee owns a 7-7 spread record as a double-digit ‘chalk’ on Jones’s watch.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ABC.
College Football Action Report
By Patrick Everson
Covers.com
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Arizona State Sun Devils – Open: -3; Move: pick ‘em
Both these teams are coming off lopsided SU and ATS victories in their season openers, against far over-matched FCS opponents. The Red Raiders railroaded Stephen F. Austin 69-17 as 37.5-point home favorites, while the Sun Devils ripped visiting Northern Arizona 44-13 giving 27 points.
This line opened as high as ASU -5 at offshore spots, and William Hill’s Nevada sportsbooks started in at -3 Monday morning. The movement has continued to trend downward all week.
“We’re at a pick ‘em,” Bogdanovich said from his Las Vegas office on Friday afternoon. “It’s definitely sharp money, but I think the public likes Texas Tech, as well. Still, anytime you see a move like that before the weekend, it’s always the professionals.”
Connecticut Huskies at Navy Midshipmen – Open: -5; Move: -4
Navy steamrolled past FCS foe Fordham in Week 1, a 52-16 victory laying 17 points at home. UConn also went the FCS route but had a much harder time, fending off Maine 24-21 and falling miles short as 27-point home chalk.
However, Navy learned during the week that starting quarterback Tago Smith would be out for the year with a torn ACL, and the line tightened.
“That’s due probably a little bit to money and a little bit to information,” Bogdanovich said. “When the Navy quarterback got hurt, we weren’t sure about the extent of the injury. Now, we know he’s out.”
Nevada Wolf Pack at Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Open: -27; Move: -28.5
The Fighting Irish rallied from a 31-14 third-quarter deficit last week at Texas in perhaps the most entertaining game of the weekend. However, Notre Dame ultimately fell 50-47 in overtime as a 3.5-point road fave, so Brian Kelly’s troops will likely be doubly motivated for their home opener.
Nevada could be a very willing opponent. The Wolf Pack worked overtime last week, too, but against a much weaker squad in Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo. Nevada won 30-27 as a heavy 21.5-point favorite.
“There’s plenty of Notre Dame money,” Bogdanovich said. “That game is one where there’s more public money than sharp money. We’ve got a lot of books up in Northern Nevada, and Nevada looked terrible in Week 1. The money we took I think is definitely square money.”
Georgia State Panthers at Air Force Falcons – Open: -18; Move: -21
Air Force topped FCS opponent Abilene Christian 37-21 last week, but fell well short as massive 42.5-point home chalk in that contest. The Falcons aren’t taking much of a step up against Georgia State, which suffered a 31-21 upset loss laying 6 points to visiting Ball State in Week 1.
There was talk that Air Force quarterback Nate Romine was hurt last week, though no injury was disclosed by the Falcons.
“The Air Force quarterback was questionable, and now he’s starting,” Bogdanovich said. “A lot of that line movement was (due to) that information. We got a little bit of money on Air Force.”
North Carolina Tar Heels at Illinois Fighting Illini – Open: +9.5; Move: +7
North Carolina lost at home in its regular-season opener, 33-24 to Georgia catching 3.5 points, while Illinois battered Murray State of the FCS 52-3 laying 33 points. Those outcomes apparently made the home underdog attractive in this ACC-Big Ten contest.
“That’s definitely sharp money,” Bogdanovich said.
Other Saturday games seeing significant line movement:
Wake Forest at Duke. The Blue Devils opened as 4.5-point favorites at William Hill and have since been bet up to 6.5.
Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech. This game will be played on the infield of Bristol Motor Speedway. The Vols opened as 9-point chalk at some books and have since moved to 11 and even 11.5, though William Hill opened a little later at 10.5 and stands at 11.
Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com
Central Florida Knights at No. 6 Michigan Wolverines (-35.5, 52.5)
Justin Holman struggled with his accuracy as he went 14-of-28 for 193 yards but threw two touchdown passes and ran for another in the win against South Carolina State. Tre'Qaun Smith caught four passes for 65 yards and a touchdown while Matthew Wright matched a single-game school record with four field goals. "I am excited to see how good they can get if they keep on working," Frost told reporters. "I don't want our kids to be afraid to play anybody and I think our guys are ready to go up there and look that challenge in the face and take swings at them."
Wilton Speight, who emerged as the winner in the quarterback battle with John O'Korn, bounced back from an interception on his first throw to finish 10-of-13 for 145 yards and three touchdowns in his first career start. Linebacker Mike McCray was named the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Week after registering nine tackles, including 3.5 for loss, two sacks and a forced fumble in his first game after missing last season with a shoulder injury. Chris Evans enjoyed a sparkling debut as he rushed for 112 yards and two touchdowns to become the third player in school history to run for more than 100 yards in his first game, and was one of 18 true freshmen who played against Hawaii.
LINE HISTORY:
Michigan opened as 34.5-point favorites and that line was bet up to 35.5 almost immediately. On Wednesday some money came back on Central Florida and the line came back to 35, but that was short-lived and the point spread currently sits at -35.5.
The total hit the board at 56 and has gradually been coming down in half point increments all week. The total currently sits at 52.5.
TRENDS:
* Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Over is 5-1 in Knights last 6 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 9-0 in Wolverines last 9 games overall.
Central Michigan Chippewas at No. 17 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-21, 61)
The Chippewas gave the Cowboys a scare in a 24-13 home loss in last year's season opener and will test the middle of the defense with their rushing attack. Jahray Hayes, who did not get a carry in last year's meeting, ran for three touchdowns against Presbyterian to highlight 255 yards on the ground for Central Michigan. "It’s about us, not about who we’re playing,” Chippewas coach John Bonamego told the school's website. “It’s about how we prepare, the physicality, the intensity, effort and discipline we bring to the game each week. It sounds cliche, but the opponent doesn’t really matter."
The Cowboys are featuring their rushing attack as well and four different players scored on the ground in the opener. "The players need a lot of credit for their work ethic and their intensity," Yurcich told reporters of the group of rushers. "They all ran very hard. They ran tough with the ball and secured the ball. So time is going to tell. We'll see at practice and take it one day at a time. Surely we'd like have a couple of guys emerge, but this is a good problem to have." Quarterback Mason Rudolph, who threw for 266 yards and a score in the win at Central Michigan last year, was solid with a pair of TD passes in the opener.
LINE HISTORY:
The Cowboys opened as 19-point favorites before the point spread quickly jumped to -20.5 on Sunday evening. Throughout the week the line wavered slightly before settling down at the current number of -21.
The total opened at 61.5 and fell a full point to 60.5 on Tuesday before being bet back up a half point to the current total of 61.
TRENDS:
* Chippewas are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Chippewas last 5 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games overall.
Troy Trojans at No. 2 Clemson Tigers (-36, 63)
The Trojans amassed 706 total yards last week – the third-highest total in school history – but the opposition will be much stiffer this time. Star running back Jordan Chunn did much of the damage, rolling up 161 yards on only 13 carries, and quarterback Brandon Silvers was 20-of-27 for 229 yards and two touchdowns. The Trojans were in the backfield all day against the Governors – nine different players recorded tackles for losses – but they’ll have a tougher time controlling the line of scrimmage against the Tigers.
The Tigers figure to have one of the nation’s most dynamic offenses with Heisman Trophy candidate Deshaun Watson returning along with a strong supporting cast. Wayne Gallman, who set a single-season school record with 1,527 rushing yards last season, ran for 123 against Auburn while receiver Mike Williams made nine catches for 174 yards in his first action since the initial game of the 2015 campaign. The Tigers ranked sixth in total defense (308.8 yards per game) last year and picked up where they left off against Auburn, allowing 262 total yards with three takeaways.
LINE HISTORY:
Clemson opened as big 36-point favorites at home against the over-matched Troy Trojans. The public, however, felt this line was a little bit too chunky and bet the underdog - forcing the books to drop their number to the current position of -34.5.
The total hit the board at 63.5 and has dropped slightly to 63.
TRENDS:
* Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* Tigers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 8-2 in Trojans last 10 games on grass.
* Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane at No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (-28.5, 73.5)
D'Angelo Brewer rushed for a career-high 164 yards and three touchdowns last week in Tulsa's resounding victory. The Golden Hurricane defense allowed a total of 287 yards and forced three turnovers, including a pair of defensive scores. Of the matchup with Ohio State, senior wideout Keevan Lucas said: “We’re not going to take anyone lightly or bow down to anybody just because of who they are. We like playing in those big games because we like to have a challenge."
Barrett posted a career-high 349 passing yards in Week 1, while Curtis Samuel also set a personal best with 177 receiving yards to go along with 84 rushing yards as part of a three-touchdown performance. All in all, it was a solid debut for a Buckeyes' roster that returns only three starters on each side of the ball - the fewest total returning starters (six) among all FBS programs. Mike Weber ran for 136 yards in his collegiate debut but could be challenged by a Tulsa defense that yielded 1.7 yards per rush in its opener.
LINE HISTORY:
The point spread for this one opened with the Buckeyes pegged as 28-point favorites. The line wavered all week between -28 and -29 before settling right in the middle at -28.5 by Thursday.
The total opened at 72.5 and was as high as 74 by mid-week. On Thursday afternoon the total nuzzled down the it's current number of 73.5.
TRENDS:
* Golden Hurricane are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Over is 10-1 in Golden Hurricane last 11 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 6-1 in Buckeyes last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Southern Methodist Mustangs at No. 19 Baylor Bears (-32, 76)
The big question for the Mustangs is whether Davis, who was 8-of-17 for 155 yards in the opener before leaving with a knee injury, will be ready to play. Morris said Davis will be a game-time decision with freshman Ben Hicks, who was 5-of-9 for 88 yards and a touchdown off the bench, the likely replacement if Davis can't go. Corner Horace Richardson (two interceptions) and defensive end Justin Lawler (3.5 sacks) both had big games defensively for the Mustangs in the opener.
The Bears' first team offense piled up 340 yards and scored on all seven of its possessions (5 TDs, 2 field goals) in less than a half of action in the opener. Quarterback Seth Russell improved to 9-0 as a starter and completed 14-of-20 passes for 163 yards and four touchdowns before departing while running back Shock Linwood rushed for 97 yards on just nine carries. Returning all-Big 12 linebacker Taylor Young led the Bears on defense with six tackles, including 3.5 for loss, and a sack while defensive end K.J. Smith added three tackles, including two for loss, and a sack.
LINE HISTORY:
The point spread for this contest opened with Baylor as 32-point favorites at home and the total opened at 76. As of Friday afternoon, neither number has moved.
TRENDS:
* Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
* Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 vs. Big 12.
* Over is 17-4 in Bears last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Nevada Wolf Pack at No. 21 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-28, 61)
The Wolf Pack needed overtime to escape FCS opponent Cal Poly and its triple-option offense in a 30-27 triumph in Week 1. "We have a lot to teach and there’s a lot we have to improve on before next week," Nevada coach Brian Polian told reporters after the win. "But we found a way to win the game. That’s all that matters." The Wolf Pack got a big performance from running back James Butler - 123 yards and two touchdowns - in the victory and figure to test the Irish run defense.
The Fighting Irish went into the season with a quarterback controversy between DeShone Kizer and Malik Zaire, and Kizer stood the tallest with the two each logging playing time in the opener. Kizer threw five touchdown passes and ran for another score while Zaire was limited to 23 yards on 2-of-5 passes, and Kelly seems on the verge of naming a No. 1 quarterback moving forward. "We plan on having two really good quarterbacks the rest of the year," Kelly told reporters. "I haven't sat down and talked with either one of them, so before we do that we don't have any plans to make any decisions."
LINE HISTORY:
The point spread for this one opened at Notre Dame -28 for their first home game of the season and the line has yet to move off that number. The total hit the board at 60.5, went up slightly to 61, and returned back to the original number of 60.5 on Friday afternoon.
TRENDS:
* Wolf Pack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.
* Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Under is 9-2 in Wolf Pack last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 7-0 in Fighting Irish last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-28.5, 62)
Junior Mike White, a transfer from South Florida, enjoyed a dynamic debut by passing for 517 yards and three touchdowns against Rice to become just the third quarterback in school history to throw for more than 500 yards. Senior receivers Nicholas Norris (seven receptions, 147 yards, two touchdowns) and Taywan Taylor (five catches, 165 yards) both had huge openers while senior running back Anthony Wales rushed for two scores. Junior linebacker T.J. McCollum stood out with 12 tackles and a forced fumble in the opener while redshirt freshman AJ Jackson and junior DeAndre Simmons each had an interception.
Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry is off to the NFL, but the Crimson Tide appear to have another superb bell cow back in sophomore Damien Harris, who rushed for 138 yards on nine carries against USC. Harris, a former five-star recruit, had just 157 yards while Henry was running wild last season but broke off runs of 46 and 73 yards while averaging 15.3 yards per carry versus the Trojans. Senior defensive end Jonathan Allen, who registered 12 sacks last season, was the SEC Defensive Player of the Week after posting two sacks and helping the defense limit USC to 194 yards.
LINE HISTORY:
The point spread for this one opened at 26.5, and after Alabama's very impressive 52-6 Week 1 victory over USC the public jumped all over the Tide and rode the line all the way up to -29.5 by mid-week. The public then came to their senses a little bit and the line came crept back down to its current status of -28.
The total opened at 58.5 and gradually rose in 1/2 point increments to 62.5.
TRENDS:
* Hilltoppers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Crimson Tide are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. CUSA.
* Over is 8-1-1 in Hilltoppers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 6-0 in Crimson Tide last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Kentucky Wildcats at No. 25 Florida Gators (-16.5, 49.5)
The offense showed what it is capable in the first half with Barker, wide receiver Garrett "Juice" Johnson (six receptions, 143 yards, two touchdowns for the game) and running back Stanley "Boom" Williams (13 carries, 94 yards) keying an attack that produced six plays of more than 30 yards including touchdown passes of 74 yards to Jeff Badet and 43 yards to Johnson. Kentucky's defense also started fast behind cornerback J.D. Harmon (two interceptions) and linebacker Jordan Jones (13 solo tackles), but gave up seven scores in the final eight possessions while the offense stalled and turned the ball over twice. Stoops said the defense obviously needs to play better, but also pointed out that Kentucky's quick scoring drives and the offense's second-half woes (two first downs) contributed to the defense wearing down.
Del Rio, who showed the ability to escape pressure in the pocket, didn't take long to show good chemistry with receivers with Powell (seven receptions, 73 yards) and explosive sophomore Antonio Callaway (eight receptions, 72 yards, one touchdown). While running back Jordan Scarlett had a solid game (13 carries, 70 yards), the offensive line struggled to consistently open up holes for the ground game with Florida managing only 107 yards rushing. Led by linebackers Jarrad Davis (nine tackles) and Alex Anzalone (six tackles, one sack), the defense was dominant as expected while perhaps the most positive development was the kicking of sophomore Eddy Pineiro, who made field goals of 40, 49 and 48 yards without a miss.
LINE HISTORY:
Florida opened the betting for this one as 16.5-point favorites. The line went up a half point to -17 on Wednesday but some Kentucky action drove the line down to its current position of -16 by Thursday night.
The total opened at 47.5 and the public hit the Over so hard that the books moved the number up a full two points to sit at 49.5.
TRENDS:
* Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
* Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Wildcats last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 6-0 in Gators last 6 games on grass.
* Favorite is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Akron Zips at No. 16 Wisconsin Badgers (-23.5, 47.5)
The Zips rode a 407-yard, six-touchdown passing performance from junior quarterback Tommy Woodson, who connected 10 times for 196 yards and two scores to Jerome Lane. Warren Ball, an Ohio State transfer, led the ground game with 110 yards and one touchdown. The Mid-American Conference program, led by former Auburn coach Terry Bowden, is a concern for Chryst, who told reporters: "They’ll spread you out. Their quarterback has got a really strong arm but is also a good runner. I think their running back is a really good running back. They got some receivers that can run and got size. I think it’s going to stress us differently than last week where they’ll spread us out and we gotta play good assignment football. There’s times where you’ll be in one-on-one situations - we gotta make plays when we do."
Fifth-year quarterback Bart Houston was 19-of-31 for 205 yards in his first start, of which Chryst said: "I think that the one area that we talked about is how do you play the game. There’s that fine line. It’s not so much the science of quarterback but kind of the art of quarterbacking and situational awareness. I think that’s where he can grow, not just on the two picks, but other situations where he can progress. I loved the way he competed and responded when things didn’t go well." Houston found tight end Troy Fumagalli seven times for 100 yards and running back Corey Clement ran a career-high 21 times for 86 yards. Kicker Rafael Gaglianone nailed a 47-yard field goal that was the fourth game-winner of his career.
LINE HISTORY:
Wisconsin hit the board for this contest as 25.5-point favorites before gradually being bet down all week long to their current point spread of -23.5. The total for this one opened at 45 and, after initially dropping to 43.5, skyrocketed all the way up to the current total of 47.5.
TRENDS:
* Zips are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. MAC.
* Under is 9-1 in Zips last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 7-1 in Badgers last 8 home games.
Idaho Vandals at No. 11 Washington Huskies (-37.5, 60)
Junior quarterback Matt Linehan, the son of Dallas Cowboys offensive coordinator Scott Linehan, was a shaky 8-of-22 passing for 128 yards and one interception in the opener after passing for 2,972 yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Junior Aaron Duckworth is the new feature back and rushed for two scores while posting a career-high 108 yards on 14 carries, as the Vandals totaled 225 on the ground versus Montana State. Sophomore linebacker Tony Lashley (nine tackles) and senior defensive end Tueni Lupeamanu (eight stops, three for losses) had strong opening performances and senior safety Russell Siavii recorded an interception.
Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning got off to a good start by hitting 18-of-27 attempts for 287 yards and three touchdowns against Rutgers. Sophomore tailback Myles Gaskin had just 57 yards in the opener after rushing for 1,302 yards last season, eighth-most in school history, while versatile 5-foot-7 sophomore receiver Chico McClatcher caught a 43-yard scoring pass to compliment Ross' long scores. Junior linebacker Keishawn Bierria (12 tackles, one forced fumble) and junior linebacker Azeem Victor (11 tackles) had strong opening performances, but junior cornerback Budda Baker is considered the unit's top player.
LINE HISTORY:
Washington began the betting action for this matchup as 36.5-point favorites. On Wednesday afternoon the line was bumped up to -37 and on Friday morning Washington went up another point to -37.5.
The total was steady at 60 all week until Friday evening when it made a slight uptick to 60.5.
TRENDS:
* Vandals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
* Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-0 in Vandals last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Texas El Paso Miners at No. 20 Texas Longhorns (-30, 59)
Aaron Jones ran for 249 yards and two scores against New Mexico State to compliment Zack Greenlee's three passing scores. The Miners are 0-15 all-time against Big 12 opponents since 1996, including a pair of losses to the Longhorns. “I’ll be honest, we’ll probably have to play a perfect game for us to beat this team," UTEP coach Sean Kugler told reporters of Texas. "I’m not saying that it can’t be done. I know our kids are going to go out and give their all. I love the way our kids compete."
The Longhorns had three legitimate quarterback prospects on the roster before Jerrod Heard offered to play wide receiver, and the sophomore is already making an impact on the outside. Heard made a pair of catches against Notre Dame, including a key 68-yard grab, and totaled 73 yards. "That guy is really athletic and he's really honed in, he's really focused, motivated, and determined about being a really good receiver," Gilbert told reporters of Heard. "So he's jumped in wholeheartedly with that and what he wanted to do and what we've asked him to do."
LINE HISTORY:
The public is in love with Texas at the moment after their big win over Notre Dame in Week 1. The Longhorns opened as 28-point favorites but the line quicky rose and by Thursday morning they were sitting at the current number -30.
The total opened at 58.5 and went up a full point to 59.5 by Wednesday morning. But Under bettors drove the number back down to 58.5 on Friday, which is where it currently sits.
TRENDS:
* Miners are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
* Longhorns are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Under is 11-1-1 in Miners last 13 games following a straight up win.
* Under is 7-0 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
UL Monroe Warhawks at No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners (-46.5, 65.5)
Quarterback Garrett Smith became the first Warhawk to rush for 150 yards since 2011 and the first ULM signal-caller to top 200 yards passing since Nov. 29, 2014. Fellow sophomore Ben Luckett also ran for 110 yards versus Southern to give the Warhawks their first pair of 100-yard rushers in the same game since 2009. The team combined for three scores on the ground after tallying only seven all of last season. ULM also experienced much more success on third and fourth down in the opener, going 11-for-17 and 1-for-1, respectively, after ranking 123rd and 85th in those categories in 2015.
The Sooners, who averaged 222 yards rushing last season, managed only 70 on 26 carries versus the Cougars, although two-time 1,000-yard rusher Samaje Perine was limited in the second half with a shoulder injury after taking a big hit in the second quarter. Backfield mate Joe Mixon contributed 181 total yards - including a team-high 40 rushing - and took his first reception of the season for 60 yards, giving him a FBS-best three such plays by a running back over the last two seasons. Despite playing in only 14 games as a Sooner, quarterback Baker Mayfield is already tied for fourth in 300-yard passing games with seven after throwing for 323 in the opener.
LINE HISTORY:
The Duck Dynasty gang would not be impressed as the Oklahoma Sooners opened as 44-point favorites over the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. Throughout the week this line rose steadily to its current point spread of -46.5.
The total opened at 65 and rose slightly to 65.5 on Thursday afternoon.
TRENDS:
* Warhawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 5-1 in Warhawks last 6 games in September.
* Over is 8-1 in Sooners last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Arkansas Razorbacks at No. 12 Texas Christian Horned Frogs (-7, 58.5)
The Razorbacks needed a 77-yard fourth-quarter touchdown drive to pull out a 21-20 victory over Louisiana Tech in their opener on Saturday. Austin Allen, younger brother of three-year starting QB Brandon Allen, completed 20-of-29 passes for 191 yards and two touchdowns in his first college start, including a four-yarder to tight end Jeremy Sprinkle with 6:37 remaining for the game-winner but was also intercepted twice and sacked four times. The Hogs' normally potent ground game managed just 106 yards with Rawleigh Williams III garnering 96 yards on 24 carries and a touchdown.
Hill's 439 passing yards ranked seventh best in TCU history -- not a bad way to start -- and he teamed up with wide receiver Taj Williams, a junior-college transfer, 11 times for 158 yards and touchdown. Kyle Hicks led the ground game with 15 carries for 59 yards and two touchdowns as the Horned Frogs piled up 662 total yards and 35 first downs. TCU coach Gary Patterson took the blame for a shockingly inept defensive effort that gave up 461 yards and 41 points, saying "Hopefully, we'll do a lot better job as a coaching staff of getting them put in position against Arkansas. ... If not, they'll have 1,000 yards and 1,000 points."
LINE HISTORY:
The point spread for this matchup opened with TCU pegged as 7-5-point favorites. The line held tight all week until Friday when it started moving around like an untied balloon. The spread started the day by dropping to -7 and then dropped even further to -6.5 before regaining a half point on Friday evening to settle at -7.
The total opened at 60 and steadily dropped all week until eventually settling at 57.5.
TRENDS:
* Razorbacks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Big 12.
* Horned Frogs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Razorbacks last 8 road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Horned Frogs last 4 games in September.
Iowa State Cyclones at No. 10 Iowa Hawkeyes (-15, 51.5)
Junior quarterback Joel Lanning threw for 256 yards and three scores last week, but had two interceptions and the Cyclones fumbled twice while committing nine penalties. Lazard was outstanding against Northern Iowa with six receptions for 129 yards and a touchdown and has caught a pass in a school-record 24 straight contests. Iowa State managed just 51 yards rushing on 25 carries last week and the return of offensive tackle Julian Good-Jones from a one-game suspension should help an unsettled group of lineman.
Coach Kirk Ferentz, who signed a contract extension through 2025 on Tuesday, would accept the 7.3 yards per carry the Hawkeyes produced last week with Wadley leading the way and senior LeShun Daniels Jr. contributing 83 yards and a pair of TDs on the ground. Beathard completed 13-of-20 passes for 192 yards and a score in an efficient performance while senior Matt VandeBerg caught four balls for 99 of them. With standout linebacker Josey Jewell ejected early in the first quarter for a targeting hit, Iowa gave up 404 total yards against Miami.
LINE HISTORY:
Iowa opened as 15-point favorites and the line has held on that number all week. The total opened at 51 and stayed steady all week as well, until ticking up a half point to 51.5 on Friday afternoon.
TRENDS:
* Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Hawkeyes are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
* Under is 10-2 in Cyclones last 12 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 7-1 in Hawkeyes last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
* Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Iowa.
* Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Iowa.
No. 14 Tennessee Volunteers vs Virginia Tech Hokies (+11, 53.5)
The Volunteers, who have won seven straight games - their longest streak since 2001 - dropped four spots in the USA Today coaches poll after their lackluster performance against Appalachian State that produced only 319 yards of offense. Running back Jalen Hurd accounted for 110 of the 127 rushing yards - nearly 100 fewer than Tennessee's average in 2015 - and is sure to attraction plenty of attention from Virginia Tech's opportunistic defense. Dobbs, who is one of two quarterbacks in a Power Five conference that passed for 2,000 yards and rushed for 600 last season (Clemson's Deshaun Watson), threw for 192 versus Appalachian State but was credited with minus-4 yards rushing on nine carries that included a pair of sacks.
Defensive coordinator Bud Foster's unit was in mid-season form against Liberty with three interceptions and a fumble recovery as cornerback Greg Stroman led the way with two picks and a pass breakup. Quarterback Jerod Evans must take care of the ball better after accounting for two of the Hokies' four lost fumbles versus Liberty, but he offset those miscues by going 20-of-32 for 221 yards and four touchdowns. One of Evans' top targets is junior tight end Bucky Hodges, who caught two touchdown passes last week after recording six as a sophomore and seven as a freshman.
LINE HISTORY:
Tennessee opened as 10.5-point favorites for the "Battle at Bristol". The point spread was structured like a hill for the week as it rose up to 11, then 11.5, then back down to 11, until finally settling in at 10.5 on Friday evening.
The total opened at 52 before quickly rising to 54.5 on Tuesday. On Thursday the total was bumped up to 55 before the public had enough and started betting the Under - forcing the books to move their total back down to 53.
TRENDS:
* Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
* Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
* Over is 6-0 in Volunteers last 6 neutral site games.
* Over is 7-1 in Hokies last 8 non-conference games.
Virginia Cavaliers at No. 23 Oregon Ducks (-24, 70.5)
Benkert won the job over the summer and seemed to establish an instant connection with sophomore wideout Olamide Zaccheaus. After sitting out the first half of the Richmond loss due to suspension for a team violation, the Philadelphia native hauled in five passes for 75 yards and a score. Running back Taquan Mizzell had just seven yards on seven carries but made four catches and now has at least one reception in 34 games, the longest active streak in the country for a running back and one that started in Virginia's 59-10 loss to Oregon at home on Sept. 7, 2013.
Prukop hit Darren Carrington II seven times for 117 yards and a score and also found Charles Nelson four times, part of a very busy day for the junior return specialist. Nelson finished the day with 288 all-purpose yards and had five touches for at least 30, but he also had a pair of fumbles - one on a punt return and another on a kickoff return - that gave him some room for improvement. "I'm trying to work harder this week on the basics, the little things — catching the ball and holding on to the ball," Nelson told reporters this week. "Overall I thought it was a good game for everybody. A lot of things to clean up, and that's what this week's for."
LINE HISTORY:
The Ducks opened as 23.5-point favorites but the public starting betting the line up starting on Monday. The spread got as high as -24.5 by mid-week but settled back down to the opening number of -23.5 by Friday evening.
The total opened at 70.5 and hasn't moved at all throughout the week.
TRENDS:
* Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Ducks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Cavaliers last 7 games following a straight up loss.
* Over is 16-4-1 in Ducks last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
NOTE: No. 7 Houston hosts Lamar, No. 9 Georgia hosts Nicholls State, No. 24 Texas A&M hosts Prairie View A&M, No. 3 Florida State hosts Charleston Southern, No. 18 Mississippi hosts Wofford and No. 22 Louisiana State hosts Jacksonville State, none of which currently have lines posted.