College football betting news, trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, December 30, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
December 30
Louisville (-6.5) vs Mississippi State, Tax Slayer Bowl, Jacksonville
Bolting a job for a team in the same league is a serious kick in the teeth; Dan Mullen is now the coach at Florida- not good for Miss State, which also lost QB Fitzgerald to injury in Egg Bowl loss to Ole Miss. Bulldogs are 2-2 as an underdog this year, 2-2 in games with dingle digit spread. Likely last college game for Louisville QB Jackson; Cardinals are 17-8 SU last two years. Cards won last three games, scoring 46 ppg; they’re 4-6 as favorites this year, 0-3 in games with a single digit spread. Favorites won/covered this game last three years; SEC teams are 2-3 in this game last five years, with average total of 52.4- Miss State lost 34-20 (-1) here in 2012. Louisville is 3-2 in its last five bowls; favorites covered their last four. Bulldogs won three of last four bowls, but they were favored in all four, with average total of 62.3.
Memphis (-3.5) vs Iowa State, Liberty Bowl, Memphis
Iowa State had a great year, coming from nowhere to go 5-4 in tough Big X despite using four different QB’s, one of whom is also starting MLB; Cyclones are 6-2 vs spread as an underdog this year, 6-2 in games with a single digit spread. This is ISU’s first bowl game since 2012. Memphis lost four of its last five bowls, allowing 31+ points in all five, 41+ in 4 of 5. Tigers are 5-2 as favorites this year, 2-3 in games with single digit spread. In their last three games, Tigers allowed 477-466-726 yards- they have a great WR (Miller) and a terrible defense. I’m serious; Iowa State’s starting QB was OK with being a middle LB, and their coach didn’t bolt for more ca$h— they have outstanding team chemistry. Obviously a home game for Memphis; this is first time in five years there is no SEC team here. Average total in last five Liberty Bowls: 60.6. Iowa State is 3-1 vs spread as a road underdog this season.
Penn State (-2) vs Washington, Fiesta Bowl, Glendale, AZ
Penn State is a bully team; they’ve got nine wins by 19+ points this year, but their two losses are by total of 5 points, in consecutive weeks at Ohio State/Michigan State. PSU’s only close win was 21-19 at Iowa. Nittany Lions are 6-5 as a favorite this year, 2-0 in games with single digit spread. Washington is 10-2, with losses at ASU/Stanford; Huskies were favored by 7.5+ points in every game this year- they’re 5-6 as an underdog under Petersen. PSU is favored in a bowl for first time since they beat LSU 19-17 (-1) in ’09 Capital One Bowl. Lions lost four of last five bowls, allowing 34.6 ppg. Washington is 2-3 in its last five bowls. Underdogs are 3-2 vs spread in last five Fiesta Bowls, all of which were decided by 8+ points; average total is 57.4. Big 14 teams are 18-10-1 vs spread in last 29 games when playing Pac-12 teams.
Wisconsin (-6) @ Miami, Orange Bowl, Miami
Underdogs won last four Orange Bowls SU; ACC teams won/covered last five Orange Bowls, with two of the upset wins over Big 14 teams. Richt is 10-5 in bowls; his 31-14 bowl win LY ended Miami’s 7-game bowl losing streak. Hurricanes lost their last two games after a 10-0 start; they’re 1-1 as underdogs this year, 4-1 in games with single digit spread. Wisconsin was 12-0 before losing Big 14 title game 27-21 to Ohio State; Badgers are 8-4 as favorites this year, 1-1 in games with single digit spread. Wisconsin won its last three bowls, by 3-2-8 points; underdogs are 3-1-1 vs spread in their last five bowls. Since 2011, Miami is 6-2 as a home underdog; they waxed Notre Dame 41-8 in their only game as a home dog this season. Wisconsin is 9-2 as road favorites under Chryst.
NCAAF
Long Sheet
Saturday, December 30
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LOUISVILLE (8 - 4) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4) - 12/30/2017, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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IOWA ST (7 - 5) at MEMPHIS (10 - 2) - 12/30/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
IOWA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
IOWA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WASHINGTON (10 - 2) vs. PENN ST (10 - 2) - 12/30/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WISCONSIN (12 - 1) at MIAMI (10 - 2) - 12/30/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
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Trend Report
Saturday, December 30
LOUISVILLE @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
Louisville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 7 games
IOWA STATE @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Iowa State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 7 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
WASHINGTON @ PENN STATE
Washington is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Penn State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 6 games
WISCONSIN @ MIAMI-FL
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami-FL's last 10 games