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College Football Bowl Trends

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Saturday, December 17

UTSA (6 - 6) at NEW MEXICO (8 - 4) - 12/17/2016, 2:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 1-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON (9 - 3) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (10 - 3) - 12/17/2016, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ARKANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. UCF (6 - 6) - 12/17/2016, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

APPALACHIAN ST (9 - 3) vs. TOLEDO (9 - 3) - 12/17/2016, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 6) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (6 - 6) - 12/17/2016, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Monday, December 19

C MICHIGAN (6 - 6) vs. TULSA (9 - 3) - 12/19/2016, 2:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Tuesday, December 20

MEMPHIS (8 - 4) vs. W KENTUCKY (10 - 3) - 12/20/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 75-102 ATS (-37.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
W KENTUCKY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Wednesday, December 21

BYU (8 - 4) vs. WYOMING (8 - 5) - 12/21/2016, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Thursday, December 22

COLORADO ST (7 - 5) vs. IDAHO (8 - 4) - 12/22/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
COLORADO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
COLORADO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
COLORADO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
COLORADO ST is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
IDAHO is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
IDAHO is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Friday, December 23

E MICHIGAN (7 - 5) vs. OLD DOMINION (9 - 3) - 12/23/2016, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
OLD DOMINION is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
OLD DOMINION is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 5) vs. NAVY (9 - 4) - 12/23/2016, 4:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 159-119 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 159-119 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games against Conference USA opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 70-40 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 76-42 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

OHIO U (8 - 5) vs. TROY (9 - 3) - 12/23/2016, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Saturday, December 24

MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 4) at HAWAII (6 - 7) - 12/24/2016, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Monday, December 26

MIAMI OHIO (6 - 6) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (5 - 7) - 12/26/2016, 11:00 AM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MARYLAND (6 - 6) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 6) - 12/26/2016, 2:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

VANDERBILT (6 - 6) vs. NC STATE (6 - 6) - 12/26/2016, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Tuesday, December 27

ARMY (7 - 5) vs. NORTH TEXAS (5 - 7) - 12/27/2016, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WAKE FOREST (6 - 6) vs. TEMPLE (10 - 3) - 12/27/2016, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
TEMPLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
TEMPLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
WAKE FOREST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WASHINGTON ST (8 - 4) vs. MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 12/27/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BAYLOR (6 - 6) vs. BOISE ST (10 - 2) - 12/27/2016, 10:15 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 132-96 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 132-96 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Wednesday, December 28

NORTHWESTERN (6 - 6) vs. PITTSBURGH (8 - 4) - 12/28/2016, 2:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) vs. MIAMI (8 - 4) - 12/28/2016, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

INDIANA (6 - 6) vs. UTAH (8 - 4) - 12/28/2016, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
INDIANA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a bowl game since 1992.
UTAH is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 116-86 ATS (+21.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.
UTAH is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
UTAH is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KANSAS ST (8 - 4) vs. TEXAS A&M (8 - 4) - 12/28/2016, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Thursday, December 29

S FLORIDA (10 - 2) vs. S CAROLINA (6 - 6) - 12/29/2016, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ARKANSAS (7 - 5) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 4) - 12/29/2016, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 3) vs. COLORADO (10 - 3) - 12/29/2016, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Friday, December 30

TCU (6 - 6) vs. GEORGIA (7 - 5) - 12/30/2016, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

N CAROLINA (8 - 4) vs. STANFORD (9 - 3) - 12/30/2016, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

S ALABAMA (6 - 6) vs. AIR FORCE (9 - 3) - 12/30/2016, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEBRASKA (9 - 3) vs. TENNESSEE (8 - 4) - 12/30/2016, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FLORIDA ST (9 - 3) vs. MICHIGAN (10 - 2) - 12/30/2016, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Saturday, December 31

LSU (7 - 4) vs. LOUISVILLE (9 - 3) - 12/31/2016, 11:00 AM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KENTUCKY (7 - 5) vs. GEORGIA TECH (8 - 4) - 12/31/2016, 11:00 AM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WASHINGTON (12 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (13 - 0) - 12/31/2016, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ALABAMA is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
ALABAMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

OHIO ST (11 - 1) vs. CLEMSON (12 - 1) - 12/31/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CLEMSON is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
OHIO ST is 177-132 ATS (+31.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 177-132 ATS (+31.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 161-118 ATS (+31.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 119-84 ATS (+26.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Monday, January 2

IOWA (8 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (8 - 4) - 1/2/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLORIDA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
FLORIDA is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

W MICHIGAN (13 - 0) vs. WISCONSIN (10 - 3) - 1/2/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
W MICHIGAN is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

USC (9 - 3) vs. PENN ST (11 - 2) - 1/2/2017, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
PENN ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
PENN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
USC is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
USC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AUBURN (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA (10 - 2) - 1/2/2017, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a neutral field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : December 14, 2016 12:41 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Saturday, December 17

UTSA vs. NEW MEXICO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Mexico's last 14 games
New Mexico is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

SAN DIEGO STATE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games
San Diego State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
Houston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

TOLEDO vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games
Toledo is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Central Florida's last 7 games
Central Florida is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
Arkansas State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

SOUTHERN MISS vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
Southern Miss is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Miss
Louisiana-Lafayette is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Miss

Monday, December 19

CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. TULSA
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Central Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tulsa's last 10 games
Tulsa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Tuesday, December 20

WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. MEMPHIS
Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games
Memphis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Memphis is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Wednesday, December 21

BYU vs. WYOMING
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of BYU's last 7 games
Wyoming is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games

Thursday, December 22

IDAHO vs. COLORADO STATE
Idaho is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Idaho is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games
Colorado State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Friday, December 23

EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. OLD DOMINION
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 10 games
Eastern Michigan is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Old Dominion is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Old Dominion's last 19 games

LOUISIANA TECH vs. NAVY
Louisiana Tech is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisiana Tech's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Navy's last 9 games
Navy is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

OHIO vs. TROY
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio's last 9 games
Ohio is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Troy is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Troy is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Rest to come

 
Posted : December 14, 2016 12:42 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Saturday – Dec. 17

UTSA at New Mexico, 2:00 PM ET – New Mexico Bowl
UTSA: 2-4 ATS in road lined games
New Mexico: 11-2 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog

Houston at San Diego State, 3:30 PM ET – Las Vegas Bowl
Houston: 8-1 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game
San Diego St: 29-13 UNDER in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Arkansas State at UCF, 5:30 PM ET – Cure Bowl
Arkansas St: 11-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival
UCF: 6-0 OVER after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Appalachian State at Toledo, 5:30 PM ET – Camellia Bowl
Appalachian St: 4-13 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56
Toledo: 7-0 ATS in non-conference games

Southern Miss at LA Lafayette, 9:00 PM ET – New Orleans Bowl
Southern Miss: 1-7 ATS as a favorite
LA Lafayette: 8-1 ATS in road games after playing 2 straight conference games

Monday – Dec. 19

Central Michigan at Tulsa, 2:30 PM ET – Miami Beach Bowl
C Michigan: 10-29 ATS after having lost 4 out of their last 5
Tulsa: 7-0 ATS in road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

Tuesday – Dec. 20

Memphis at Western Kentucky, 7:00 PM ET – Boca Raton Bowl
Memphis: 7-23 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game
W Kentucky: 12-3 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

Wednsday – Dec. 21

BYU at Wyoming, 9:00 PM ET – Poinsettia Bowl
BYU: 6-0 ATS in road games in non-conference games
Wyoming: 22-30 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals

Thursday – Dec. 22

Colorado State at Idaho, 7:00 PM ET – Idaho Potato Bowl
Colorado St: 6-0 ATS after a win by 17 or more points
Idaho: 9-22 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70

Friday – Dec. 23

Eastern Michigan at Old Dominion, 1:00 PM ET – Bahamas Bowl
E Michigan: 9-25 ATS off a home win
Old Dominion: 8-0 ATS as a favorite

Louisiana Tech at Navy, 4:30 PM ET – Armed Forces Bowl
Louisiana Tech: 3-14 ATS in road games after a 2 game road trip
Navy: 76-41 ATS in road games in non-conference games

Ohio at Troy, 8:00 PM ET – Dollar General Bowl
Ohio: 9-1 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse
Troy: 7-0 UNDER in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Saturday – Dec. 24

Middle Tennessee State at Hawaii, 8:00 PM ET – Hawaii Bowl
Mid Tenn St: 8-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
Hawaii: 3-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Monday – Dec. 26

Miami Ohio at Mississippi State, 11:00 AM ET – St. Petersburg Bowl
Miami OH: 13-4 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
Mississippi St: 1-8 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Maryland at Boston College, 2:30 PM ET – Quick Lane Bowl
Maryland: 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Boston College: 11-3 UNDER after playing a conference game

Vanderbilt at NC State, 5:00 PM ET – Independence Bowl
Vanderbilt: 14-4 UNDER as an underdog
NC State: 8-1 ATS in games played on turf

Tuesday – Dec. 27

Army at North Texas, 12:00 PM ET – Cotton Bowl
Army: 4-2 ATS as a favorite
N Texas: 7-25 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers

Wake Forest at Temple, 3:30 PM ET – Military Bowl
Wake Forest: 8-20 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points
Temple: 6-0 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

Washington State at Minnesota, 7:00 PM ET – Holiday Bowl
Washington St: 23-39 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Minnesota: 8-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

Baylor at Boise State, 10:15 PM ET – Cactus Bowl
Baylor: 2-11 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8
Boise State: 17-5 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Wednsday – Dec. 28

Northwestern at Pittsburgh, 2:00 PM ET – Pinstripe Bowl
Northwestern: 17-6 ATS in road games after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game
Pittsburgh: 10-24 ATS in road games after a 2 game home stand

W Virginia at Miami, 5:30 PM ET – Russell Athletic Bowl
W Virginia: 10-22 ATS against ACC opponents
Miami: 7-0 ATS after a win by 17 or more points

Indiana at Utah, 8:30 PM ET – Foster Farms Bowl
Indiana: 5-18 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Utah: 6-0 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Kansas State at Texas AM, 9:00 PM ET – Texas Bowl
Kansas St: 34-16 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5
Texas AM: 0-7 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

Thursday – Dec. 29

S Florida at S Carolina, 2:00 PM ET – Birmingham Bowl
S Florida: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
S Carolina: 6-0 UNDER after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game

Arkansas at Virginia Tech, 5:30 PM ET – Belk Bowl
Arkansas: 11-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival
Virginia Tech: 4-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Oklahoma State at Colorado, 9:00 PM ET – Alamo Bowl
Oklahoma St: 5-15 ATS after having won 8 or more out of their last 10
Colorado: 6-0 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63

Friday – Dec. 30

TCU at Georgia, 12:00 PM ET – Liberty Bowl
TCU: 7-1 UNDER after playing a conference game
Georgia: 13-4 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points

North Carolina at Stanford, 2:00 PM ET – Sun Bowl
N Carolina: 3-5 ATS after being outrushed by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games
Stanford: 10-2 ATS after playing a game at home

S Alabama at Air Force, 5:30 PM ET – Arizona Bowl
S Alabama: 3-11 ATS after playing a conference game
Air Force: 10-2 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog

Nebraska at Tennessee, 3:30 PM ET – Music City Bowl
Nebraska: 6-0 OVER in road games off a loss against a conference rival
Tennessee: 44-21 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Florida State at Michigan, 8:00 PM ET – Orange Bowl
Florida St: 8-1 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
Michigan: 48-74 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

Saturday – Dec. 31

LSU at Lousiville, 11:00 AM ET – Citrus Bowl
LSU: 8-19 ATS in road games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game
Louisville: 11-1 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a home favorite

Kentucky at Georgia Tech, 11:00 AM ET – Taxslayer Bowl
Kentucky: 15-31 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game
Georgia Tech: 7-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games

Washington at Alabama, 3:00 PM ET – Chick Fil A Bowl
Washington: 0-7 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 5 straight games
Alabama: 41-20 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins

Ohio State at Clemson, 7:00 PM ET – Fiesta Bowl
Ohio St: 51-30 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7
Clemson: 12-28 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games

Monday – Jan. 2

Iowa at Florida, 1:00 PM ET – Outback Bowl
Iowa: 6-0 ATS in road games off a home win
Florida: 1-9 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games

W Michigan at Wisconsin, 1:00 PM ET – Cotton Bowl
W Michigan: 8-1 ATS in non-conference games
Wisconsin: 11-2 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games

USC at Penn State, 5:00 PM ET – Rose Bowl
USC: 7-1 UNDER as a favorite
Penn St: 8-0 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

Auburn at Oklahoma, 8:30 PM ET – Sugar Bowl
Auburn: 16-5 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Oklahoma: 0-6 ATS as a neutral field favorite

 
Posted : December 14, 2016 12:44 pm
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Posts: 318493
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StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON ST at MINNESOTA
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game 46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

IOWA at FLORIDA
Play On - Any team (IOWA) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 7-5 this year. ( 58.3% | 1.5 units )

IOWA at FLORIDA
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (FLORIDA) after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points 27-9 since 1997. ( 75.0% | 0.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

OHIO ST at CLEMSON
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season 72-37 since 1997. ( 66.1% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

MIDDLE TENN ST at HAWAII
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (MIDDLE TENN ST) good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game 182-125 over the last 10 seasons. ( 59.3% | 0.0 units ) 29-19 this year. ( 60.4% | 0.0 units )

 
Posted : December 14, 2016 12:45 pm
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Posts: 318493
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College Bowl Trends
By Marc Lawrence
VegasInsider.com

For the longest time College Bowl games played before New Year’s Day were deemed minor bowls. Those played from January 1st out were the main or major bowl games.

That all changed when cable television entered the fray. Today, in order to fill a need for cable television broadcasting rights, there are no less than a whopping 40 bowl games, only to conclude with the College Football Playoff championship game on January 9th.

Hence, a handful of bowl games on the docket prior to New Year’s Day are considered of the heavyweight variety. Nonetheless, the bowl games are still primarily populated by two classes of teams: those who suffered disturbing late losses and fell out of major bowl consideration, and those who scraped and clawed and earned a bowl bid thanks to a strong second-half effort.

Let take a look this year’s bowl card shapes up. I’ll return next week and an in-depth look at the New Year’s Six and College Football Playoff games.

Conference Call

Like teams and coaches, conferences too develop bowl personalities.

Our database dug deep and found these noteworthy ‘best and worst’ conference trends. All results are ATS dating back as far as 1980, unless noted otherwise.

ACC
Best: 9-1 ATS dog of more than 4 points versus opponents off a SU win: Memphis
Worst: 2-10 ATS versus opponents off a SU favorite loss (Temple and Tulsa)

Big Ten
Best: 7-1 ATS off double-digit ATS win (Iowa)
Worst: 3-9 ATS versus opponent off SU favorite loss (Nebraska)

Big 12
Best: 5-1 ATS off SU underdog win (Kansas State)
Worst: 2-17 ATS as favorites of less than 8 points if scored 35 or more points last game (Oklahoma)

C-USA
Best: 16-4 ATS off double-digit loss (North Texas)
Worst: 1-11 ATS as dogs versus opponent off SU underdog win (Texas San Antonio)

Independent
Best: 7-1 ATS versus opponent off SUATS loss (Army)
Worst: 5-13 ATS versus opponent off SUATS win (BYU)

MAC
Best: 4-0 ATS off SU underdog win versus opponent off SU win (Eastern Michigan)
Worst: 3-13 ATS off double-digit loss (Toledo)

MWC
Best: 9-2 ATS as underdog versus opponent off SU loss (San Diego State)
Worst: 1-7 ATS as favorites of more the 3 points versus opponents off ATS win (Boise State, Colorado State, New Mexico)

PAC 12
Best: 9-1 ATS as underdogs off consecutive wins (Washington)
Worst: 1-6 ATS versus opponents off SU underdog win (USC)

SEC
Best: 16-4 ATS as underdogs of more than 4 points off a SU loss (Arkansas, Auburn, South Carolina)
Worst: 2-8 ATS as double-digit favorites off a double-digit SU win (Alabama, Mississippi State)

Sun Belt
Best: 8-1 ATS as underdogs of 8 or less points versus .500 or greater opponents (Appalachian State, Arkansas State, La Lafayette)
Worst: 1-6 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points (Troy)

Second-Half Ups and Downs

The bowl team whose second half overall stats (from Game 7 out as opposed to the first six games of the season) improved the most was Idaho (surprise), whose +116 net yards per game improvement tops the pack.

Right on their heels was Appalachian State at +92 net yards per contest over the 2nd half of the season.

The bowl team whose overall team stats regressed the most from Game 7 out was Florida, who slipped a whopping -137 net YPG during the 2nd half of the campaign.

Nipping right on the Gators’ heels was Baylor as the Bears went backwards -135 net yards per game during their dramatic 0-6 SUATS season ending collapse.

In The Stats

Speaking of stat performances this season, the best teams overall ITS (In The Stats) in games against fellow bowl teams was (no surprise) Alabama, who was 10-0 ITS.

Other perfect ITS performers include Toledo (6-0), along with Houston and Miami Ohio (5-0 each).

Bowl teams that were beat up ITS against other bowl teams were Maryland (0-7), along with Hawaii and Memphis (each 0-5).

Tale Of The Tape

Another interesting slant is weighing teams and their performance in games against other fellow bowl teams this season.

The best bowl spread beaters against other bowl foes were Eastern Michigan and Temple, both going 5-1 ATS.

The biggest bowl spread money loser was Maryland at 0-7 ATS.

In games “In The Stats” (net overall yards versus opponent’s net overall yards), the biggest bowler Yards Per Game stat winner was Alabama (+247 net yards per game, with both Clemson and Louisville earning runner-up honors at +160 net YPG each.

Pre-New Year’s Day bowlers that got trounced on the field, or the biggest Yards Per Game stat loser was Maryland at -199 net YPG, with Boston College and Wake Forest in the neighborhood at -162 and -156 net YPG respectively.

You Gotta Be Kidding

Our well-oiled machine notes that if you were to simply pick the winner of a bowl game and you will likely beat the spread as well.

That’s confirmed by the fact that straight up bowl winners are 737-117-12 ATS in all bowl games since 1980. Now go find a winner.

 
Posted : December 14, 2016 12:47 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Trends to Watch - Part II
By Marc Lawrence
VegasInsider.com

It’s on to the meat and potatoes portion of the 2016 college football postseason, namely the ‘New Year’s Six’ and the College Football Playoff games.

Starting on Friday, December 30 with the Orange Bowl matchup between Florida State and Michigan, and concluding Monday, January with the Sugar Bowl showdown between Auburn and Oklahoma, ESPN and ABC will televise the eight most popular bowl games on this year’s expansive card.

All stats are from the 2016 PLAYBOOK Bowl Stat Report.

Big Bowl Game Trends

Over the years, each bowl game develops its own favorite or underdog point-spread personality.

All results are Against the Spread (ATS) dating back as far as 1980, unless noted otherwise, and are listed in chronological order according to this year’s bowl schedule.

ORANGE BOWL – The underdog has been the money winner has won this bowl game in straight-up fashion 7 of the last nine games, including each of the last three years. (Florida State)

CITRUS BOWL – The favorite has bagged the cash each of the last five years in this bowl. 2014 saw South Carolina beat Wisconsin, 34-24, in a ‘pick’ game. (LSU)

CHICK-FIL-A BOWL – The underdog has barked the loudest in the Peach Bowl, winning straight-up 10 of the last sixteen contests, going 11-5 ATS overall - with the 2002 game being a ‘pick em’ affair. (Washington)

FIESTA BOWL – The underdog owns the edge in the Fiesta Bowl, winning 8 of the last fifteen games in the scoreboard, going 10-5 ATS overall. (Clemson)

OUTBACK BOWL – The underdog has owned the edge of late in this bowl game, going 4-1 ATS the last five years. (Iowa)

COTTON BOWL – The chalk has rewarded backers 5 of the last seven years in this bowl game. (Wisconsin)

ROSE BOWL – The favorite has taken home the money of 11 of the last sixteen Rose Bowls (one game was a pick ‘em). Including 4 of the last five games. (USC)

SUGAR BOWL – The underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four Sugar Bowl games. (Auburn)

Good, Bad and Ugly Team Techs

Listed below are the stand out Good, Bad and Ugly team technicals on this year’s major bowl game card.

GOOD: The underdog is 12-1 ATS in Clemson bowl games…Florida State 7-1 ATS as bowlers vs. foe off a loss…LSU – 3-0 ATS as bowlers with win percentage of less than .666…Washington coach Peterson is 6-0 ATS as a 'dog with rest

BAD: Western Michigan is 1-6 SU all-time in bowl games (win last year)…Penn State and USC are each 1-3 ATS in their last four bowl games

UGLY: Louisville 1-6 both SU and ATS as a bowl 'dog.

Conference Calling

Some of the best and worst conference bowl trends include the following:

Big Ten bowl favorites are 2-6 SU and 0-7-1 ATS vs. ACC opponents (Michigan).

Big Ten bowl teams are 17-3 ATS vs. opponents that scored 35 or more points in their last game (Ohio State).

Pac-12 bowlers are 16-4 ATS off a double-digit wins when facing Big Ten opponents. (USC)

SEC bowlers are 14-2 ATS against Big 12 opponents. (Auburn)

SEC bowlers off SU and ATS loss are 1-7 ATS vs. Big Ten foes off a double-digit win (Florida)

Inside The Stats

Looking at this year’s major bowl games from a ‘bowler vs. bowler’ ITS (Inside The Stats) performance perspective, this year found…

Alabama 10-0 SU and 10-0 ITS by an average 247 YPG margin

Clemson 10-1 SU and ITS by an average 160 PYG margin

Michigan 7-2 SU and ITS by an average 137 YPG margin

Ohio State 8-1 SU and ITS by an average 140 YPG margin

USC 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS by an average -02 YPG margin

Washington 5-1 SU and 5-1 ITS by an average 109 YPG

Chew On This

Alabama is 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS in its last four bowl games.

 
Posted : December 22, 2016 12:48 am
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