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Contrarian picks

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(@hightide)
Posts: 244
Reputable Member
Topic starter
 

Over the last few years I've been following picks gathered from NFL analysts public picks. These are straight up picks....the ones you see all over the place (USA today, ESPN, etc). Basically, I look for games that have about 80% of the picks on one side and take the opposite team if at least 2 or more analysts are on that team.
Anyway its been good for me in the past, although the first few weeks of the season are tough as the records of the analysts start with a clean slate.
Here are this weeks pick...I use ML for all these bets
Indy
San Fran
Balt
Possible:Jets (only one analyst took the Jets)

 
Posted : September 10, 2017 10:02 am
(@michael-cash)
Posts: 7610
Member Moderator
 

Hightide? I hope you don't live in Florida my dude. Welcome to the site!

Thanks for the picks, not a lot of people are doing these so it will be interesting to see how they fare. Best of luck today!

 
Posted : September 10, 2017 10:20 am
(@hightide)
Posts: 244
Reputable Member
Topic starter
 

Thanks, Micheal, and best of luck this season to all here.
Just a note: there are about 105 analysts in this years "contest".
I use only the analysts in the top 20% of the win column. There has to be at least 2 of those in the top 20% picking the dog.
For the first week or so I use last years standing for the picks.
For that reason I have to scratch the Jets for this week.

 
Posted : September 10, 2017 12:58 pm
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