Duke vs. Miami 2009 Week 12 College Football Picks
No. 21 Miami looks to get back on the winning track Saturday when the Hurricanes host Duke at Noon ET from Landshark Stadium.
The Hurricanes are 7-3 on the season and 5-5 against the spread. Miami lost last week at North Carolina, but have won two of their last three. Miami has failed to cover in three of its last four. The Hurricanes have won five of six meetings with Duke.
Duke is 5-5 on the season and 4-4-1 against the spread. The Blue Devils have lost two straight and failed to cover in both games. Duke is looking to become bowl eligible with a win for the first time this decade.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made Miami 17.5-point home favorites over Duke on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 56.
Miami is scoring 31.5 points per-game and has been led by Jacory Harris. Harris has thrown for 2,655 yards with 19 touchdowns, but has 16 interceptions. Duke is holding teams to 26.1 points per-game thanks to a strong passing defense. The Blue Devils are giving up 155.9 yards rushing per-game.
Duke has improved on offense, scoring 25.2 points per-game, but the Blue Devils have relied heavily on the passing game as they average only 63.9 yards rushing per-game. Miami has given up 24.2 points per-game. Thaddeus Lewis has thrown for 2,640 yards and 16 touchdowns for Duke with only six interceptions.
The key in this pick comes down to the play of Miami’s offense. Harris will be challenged by the Duke secondary, so Graig Cooper and Javarris James will have to step up in the running game. If the Hurricanes can move the ball on the ground, they should have no problem covering the point spread odds. Look for Miami to play the pass on defense and keep Duke in check and the Hurricane offense to run the ball effectively enough to cover the large spread.
Our College Football Week 12 Free Pick for this matchup is: MIAMI -17.5 and UNDER 56.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus DUKE since 1992
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against DUKE since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
All games played at MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE since 1992
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against DUKE since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 12 College Football Injury Report
DUKE
[RB] 10/23/2009 - Kyle Griswould out for season ( Leg )
(S) 09/07/2009 - Anthony Young-Wiseman out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 11/14/2009 - Abraham Kromah "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Leg )
[WR] 11/12/2009 - Tyree Watkins out for season ( Knee )
[DT] 11/14/2009 - Vince Oghobaase "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Leg )
[QB] 11/16/2009 - Sean Renfree out for season. ( Knee )
[OG] 11/16/2009 - Mitchell Lederman out for season. ( Toe )
[QB] 11/18/2009 - Thaddeus Lewis probable Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Leg )
MIAMI
[DE] 09/05/2009 - Gavin Hardin out for season ( Neck )
[LB] 09/05/2009 - Shayon Green out for season ( Lower Body )
[DE] 08/21/2009 - Adewale Ojomo out for season ( Jaw )
[FB] 11/19/2009 - Patrick Hill is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Ankle )
[CB] 10/10/2009 - Ryan Hill out for season ( Shoulder )
[TE] 10/10/2009 - Richard Gordon out for season ( Shoulder )
[DT] 10/12/2009 - Marcus Forston out for season ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/14/2009 - Sean Spence is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Duke ( Knee )
[LB] 10/13/2009 - Jordan Futch out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 11/14/2009 - Eric Moncur "?" Saturday vs. Duke ( Lower Body )
(S)11/14/2009 - JoJo Nicolas "?" Saturday vs. Duke ( Shoulder )
(S) 11/19/2009 - Ray-Ray Armstrong is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Duke ( Knee )
[QB] 11/03/2009 - Taylor Cook out for season, transfer. ( Undisclosed )
[DL] 11/05/2009 - Dyron Dye out indefinitely ( Lower Body )
[QB] 11/16/2009 - Jacory Harris probable Saturday vs. Duke ( Hand )
[WR] 11/19/2009 - Thearon Collier expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Ankle )
Duke at Miami Odds
Duke Blue Devils +17.5 Over 56 (+875)
Miami Hurricanes -17.5 Under 56 (-1700)