ESPN Monday Night College Football Pick: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
By Drew Sharper
PITTSBURGH, PA (The Spread) – Pittsburgh hosts No. 11 Florida State at 8PM ET on ESPN, live from Heinz Field.
Pittsburgh is coming off a 6-7 record in 2012 in which it went 8-5 against the spread. Florida State was 12-2 last year and went just 5-8 against the spread. Pitt is 5-3 all-time against Florida State, but the teams have no recent meetings.
Odds: The oddsmakers from Bovada.lv have Florida State as the favorite on the road, as the Seminioles have odds of -11 points against Pitt. The over/under total for the game has been set at 49 points
Line Movement: The opening odds for this game had Florida State favored by 10 points. The spread was never lower than that and is currently at its peak of FSU -11. The over/under total for this game opened at 49 points. It fluctuated between that and 49.5 points before closing at 49.
Public Betting: Of the wagers that have been placed on this game, 81% are going on Florida State with odds of -11 points against Pittsburgh. Be sure to click on the public betting link to get the latest odds and betting percentages.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest college football trends, the Seminoles have hit the under in 7 of their last 9 road games while FSU is 0-6 against the spread in its last 6 road games. The under seems like the right play here. The two teams are breaking new quarterbacks and both had solid defensive play a year ago. Florida Stat may be able to score some points, but I see Pitt struggling to move the ball consistently with an offense that has so many new pieces at the skill positions. Florida State’s defense should be the story of this contest.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: FLORIDA STATE/PITTSBURGH UNDER 49