ESPN Sunday College Football Week 1 Free Pick: Ohio vs. Louisville
By Drew Sharper
LOUISVILLE, KY (The Spread) – No. 9 Louisville meets Ohio at 3:30PM ET on ESPN today, live from Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium.
Louisville is coming off an 11-2 record during the 2012 season in which the Cardinals went 6-7 against the spread. Ohio went 9-4 last season and the Bobcats were 5-8 against the spread. This is the first meeting between these two since 1959.
Odds: The oddsmakers from Bovada.lv have Louisville as the clear favorite at home in this game, as the Cardinals have odds of -20.5 points against Ohio. The over/under total for this contest has been set at 58 points
Line Movement: The opening odds for this game had Louisville favored by 20.5 points as well. The spread has bounced around from 20 to 21 points before closing at its opening mark. The over/under total opened at 57.5 points and has simply added another ½ point.
Public Betting: Of the wagers that have been placed on this game, 58% are going on Louisville with odds of -20.5 points against Ohio. Be sure to click on the public betting link to get the latest odds and betting percentages.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest college football trends, Louisville has hit the under in 11 of its last 15 home games and Ohio has hit the under in 6 of its last 9 road games. On paper, you might be compelled to take the over, as both teams have veteran quarterbacks that are capable of putting up big numbers, but both defenses are a bit underrated and both have a lot of returning starters. Louisville should be fast in the pass game and keep Ohio QB Tyler Tettleton from taking over. Teddy Bridgewater may have a good game, but he can’t post 58 points on his own. Look for this game to go under the point total.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: OHIO/LOUISVILLE UNDER 58