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Fiesta Bowl Boise State vs. TCU Picks & Predictions

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2010 Fiesta Bowl Boise State vs. TCU Start Time, TV Guide & Odds

Glendale, AZ – Welcome to the BCS Buster Bowl.

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No. 3 TCU and No. 6 Boise State will meet in the Fiesta Bowl, marking the first time a BCS game other than the championship game has a matchup of unbeaten teams.

It's also the first time two teams from conferences without automatic bids to the BCS have played in the five big-money bowls in the same season.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made TCU -7 point spread favorites (View College Football odds) for the Monday, Jan. 4 game (Game Matchup). Current public betting information shows that 59% of bets for this game have been placed on Boise State +7 (View College Football bet percentages).

Mountain West champion TCU (12-0) earned an automatic bid to break into the BCS for the first time in school history.

Western Athletic Conference champ Boise State (13-0) became the first team from a non-automatic qualifying conference to receive an at-large bid.

“We think it's a matchup that's credible,” Fiesta Bowl CEO John Junker said. “If there was a glass ceiling, we think we've taken a chunk out of it.”

The Horned Frogs and Broncos played in the Poinsettia Bowl last season. TCU won 17-16 to hand Boise State its only loss of the season.

This time, the so-called little guys will move their tussle to the big stage - and Junker said the Fiesta didn't mind staging a rematch, which he said got a thumbs-up from TV partner Fox.

“We're not the NFL,” he said. “There's new players, new stories, new energy. These are two teams that have been atop the rankings all year long, and we're very excited for a chance to match them.”

They might want to roll back the roof at Glendale's University of Phoenix Stadium on Jan. 4, because the game should provide plenty of offensive fireworks.

Boise State has the nation's highest-scoring attack, averaging 44.1 points per game. TCU ranks fourth at 40.7 points per game.

For a few hours on Saturday night, it looked as if the Horned Frogs might slip into the BCS title game. No. 3 Texas found itself in a protracted defensive struggle with No. 21 Nebraska in the Big 12 playoff, and a Longhorns loss may have cleared the way for TCU to become the first school from a non-automatic qualifying conference to play for the national title.

But Texas pulled out a 13-12 victory, stunning the Cornhuskers and TCU coach Gary Patterson.

“I had to walk outside. ... I didn't even say anything,” Patterson said. “I got up. ... I walked out in my bare feet, walked down the street, it was cold and I didn't even feel it. What else was I going to do. I had the same feeling when Utah scored at the end of the game a year ago (a 13-10 Frogs loss while Utah went on to be BCS buster). You get so close, but yet you're so far away.”

It might not have mattered because unbeaten Cincinnati finished ahead of TCU in the final standings anyway.

The Horned Frogs, 12-0 for the first time, will settle for a trip to the desert for their BCS debut.

Patterson told his team it can still play for The Associated Press national championship. It's a long shot, because the Horned Frogs are third in the latest AP Top 25, behind Texas and Alabama, which are meeting in the BCS title game.

“That's what I told them, I said our whole deal is we're going to have to show the nation in this next bowl game that we belong, that we're one of the top two teams in the nation,” Patterson said. “You can still win the AP, so that's what our whole goal is within the next month, to try to get ourself against a very good opponent, which is going to be hard to do anyway because they're a very good opponent.”

TCU chews up 265.5 yards rushing, fifth nationally. Quarterback Andy Dalton ranks fourth nationally in passing efficiency, with 22 TDs and only five interceptions in 279 pass attempts.

Boise State players, parents and fans gathered in the new press box at Bronco Stadium to watch the bowl selection show.

The crowd erupted when the pairing was announced. But moments later, the crowd reacted with much less enthusiasm when TCU was announced as the Broncos' foe. Bronco fans had been hoping for a matchup with a Big Ten team like Iowa or Penn State.

Boise State coach Chris Petersen said he wasn't disappointed to face the Frogs.

“We got what we wanted,” Petersen said. “We're playing a great opponent. With tough opponents there is great opportunity.

“I just think there is so much respect out there for TCU,” Petersen said. “People say they should be playing in the national championship game. Maybe they should. I think that just adds to the excitement for us.”

The Broncos will make their second Fiesta Bowl appearance in four years. Most fans distinctly recall their first trip.

In January 2007, the eighth-ranked Broncos used a passel of trick plays to stun 10th-ranked Oklahoma in a game still regarded as one of the great bowls in college football history. Afterward, tailback Ian Johnson proposed to his cheerleader girlfriend, giving the Fiesta Bowl an indelible image of the underdog-as-conqueror.

The Broncos are led by quarterback Kellen Moore, the nation's top-rated passer.

2010 Fiesta Bowl

Teams: Boise State vs. TCU

Kickoff: Jan. 4, 2010 at 8PM ET

Venue: University of Phoenix Stadium

TV: FOX

Odds:

Boise State +7 Over 54.5 (+220)
TCU -7 Under 54.5 (-300)

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Posted : January 2, 2010 5:18 pm
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Fiesta Bowl Boise State vs. TCU Picks & Predictions

Two unbeatens look for a perfect season and an outside shot at a co-national championship when Boise State and TCU meet in the 2010 Fiesta Bowl Monday at 8PM ET from University of Phoenix Stadium.

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Boise State is 13-0 on the year and 8-4 against the spread. The Broncos have failed to cover in their last two games, but hold a BCS bowl win already when they defeated Oklahoma in the 2006 Fiesta Bowl.

TCU is 12-0 this season and 8-3 against the spread. The Horned Frogs have dominated their way through the season, winning 10 games by 16 points or more.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made TCU 7-point favorites over Boise State on Monday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 53.

Boise State is scoring a nation-high 44.2 points per-game and averaging 460.5 yards of offense per-game. Kellen Moore has thrown for 3,325 yards and 39 touchdowns with just three interceptions on the year while Jeremy Avery has rushed for 1,131 yards and six touchdowns. TCU allows just 12.4 points and 233.3 yards per-game on defense. The Horned Frogs have given up just 966 rushing yards over 12 games.

TCU is posting 40.7 points and 469.1 yards of offense per-game this season. Andy Dalton has thrown for 2,484 yards and 22 touchdowns, but TCU has four different rushers with over 500 yards on the season, including Dalton. The Broncos are allowing just 17.7 points and 299.6 points per-game on defense.

This game seems to be a great matchup of two teams that both have very strong offenses and very strong defenses. TCU has made easier work of its opponents and the Mountain West Conference has played very well in the bowls. Despite that, a 7-point spread seems high for two undefeated teams and for two teams as established as these two. The oddsmakers must know something, and earlier this year TCU has had some high spreads against quality teams that it covered easily. For that reason, we suggest a pick of TCU minus the points and the under in this game.

Our Fiesta Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is: TCU -7 and UNDER 53.

College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends

TCU is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

TCU is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 59-23 ATS (+33.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

BOISE ST is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

BOISE ST is 54-21 ATS (+30.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

BOISE ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons

TCU is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games in this series since 1992

TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST since 1992

TCU is 1-1 straight up against BOISE ST since 1992

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons

TCU is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games

TCU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Bowl Season College Football Injury Report

BOISE ST

[RB] 09/12/2009 - Andy Silsby out for season ( ACL )

[C] 08/20/2009 - Cory Yriarte out for season ( Knee )

[RB] 09/27/2009 - DJ Harper out for season ( Leg )

[RB] 12/05/2009 - Matt Kaiserman out for season ( Leg )

[TE] 11/16/2009 - Richie Brockel out for season ( Foot )

[WR] 12/07/2009 - Austin Pettis "?" vs TCU in the Fiesta Bowl ( Ankle )

[WR] 12/07/2009 - Tyler Shoemaker "?" vs TCU in the Fiesta Bowl ( Hernia )

[LB] 12/05/2009 - Daron Mackey out for season ( Leg )

[LB] 12/07/2009 - Derrell Acrey "?" vs TCU in the Fiesta Bowl ( Leg )

TCU

No significant injuries.

Fiesta Bowl Odds

Boise State Broncos +7 Over 53 (+220)
TCU Horned Frogs -7 Under 53 (-300)

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Picks and Predictions @ The Spread

 
Posted : January 4, 2010 12:04 pm
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