Jim Kruger- 8 and 4 CFB sides this year, looking to rebound from disappointing 1-2 week LW
3:00p Jim Kruger
BYU
-11.0 (-110) / 5 units
INDIAN COWBOY
IC NCAAF PLAY OF THE DAY: OKLAHOMA vs TULSA
Play: Tulsa (POD) +23.5
Comments: IC NCAAF PLAY OF THE DAY: Tulsa (POD) +23.5 Let this baby keep rising. It seems the whole world is on Oklahoma here but is truly warranted? So they beat Miami at home in Norman. Congrats. They also pummeled Utah State, congrats. However, now they go on the roda to play a Tulsa team that has an offense to at least keep this game competitive. It continues to amaze me how much Oklahoma is inflated each year. They are a very good team, however, playing on the road against a Golden Hurricane team that has a quarterback in Paul Smith who has equivalent numbers to Sam Bradford, and to be giving Smith and the Hurricanes an essentially 24 point cushion as this line will continue to rise is a bit remarkable. The Tulsa fans will be into this game, and we will see just how good these Sooners are on the road, in their first contest away from home with this group of playres facing a Tulsa team that feel they have the offensive to match up with nearly anyone. I'll gladly take the points as the Sooners are 1-4 ATS as road favorites greater than double-s, the Golden Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS as a double- dog or greater and Tulsa is 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. This team surprised BYU and will be competitive in this game as Oklahoma is likely to walk away as a 2 touchdown winner.
IC MLB: PITTSBURGH vs CHICAGO CUBS
Play: Pirates/Cubs Under 12
Comments: IC MLB:Pirates/Cubs Under 12: This line continues to rise in some places and I don't think it's warranted. Frankly, I think the steam is not warranted whatsoever. Pitt has lost 6 straight and their offense has been lacking. Malhom got roughed up at Houston in his last start. This means he is horrible and is going to get roughed up in Chicago? Keep in mind before that start he went on the road to Coors against a very good Rockies team and gave up 1 run in 7 innings. He then gave u p just 2 runs to the Reds at home. In 7 innings against the Cubs he gave up just 5 hits in his last start as if he cuts down on his walks, he should be fine in this game. Marquis has pitched 3 of 4 quality starts and 6 straight unders. Cubs need a big game from him and he is on a bounce-back after getting roughed up against Pitt last time out. Under is 6-0 in Marquis's last 6, under is 5-1 for the Cubs when the total is set this high and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.
IC MLB: BALTIMORE vs TEXAS
Play: O's/Rangers Under 11
Comments: IC MLB: O's/Rangers Under 11: These 2 ERA's will not reflect the way these guys pitch today. The bottom line here is Santos will not want to get sent back down to triple AAA, he needs a big start, the Rangers have not been hitting the ball well, Mendoza was pitching very well before he took some time off for an injury and now he is back and he will pitch well against an O's team that will face him for the first time and limited work has not had too much success against him. The under is 11-2 when the Rangers are home favorites, under is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these 2 teams in texas and the under is 4-1 when the Rangers face a total of 11 or higher
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Billy Coleman 5* Over SF Giants
Young Guns 5* Toronto
Tripple Crown 5* St. Louis
Larry Ness' Fabulous Friday Total-MLB (3-0 last nine days with totals / 26-12 TY!)
Larry's found some great opportunities to play a MLB total over the last nine days and he's delivered a 3-0 mark. That ups his year-long record to 26-12 or 68% winners! His "recipe for success" has really been quite simple. Find a team and pitching matchup in which the posted total is "too low!" He's found one tonight!
My Fabulous Total is on Chi/Min Over at 8:10 ET.
As I've said any number
of times in recent write-ups, there won't exactly be a "playoff
atmosphere" in tonight's White Sox/Twins game. Minnesota has finished
with a winning record in each of manager Ron Gardenhire's first five
seasons, winning the division crown four times. In Gardenhire's tenure,
the Twins only failed to make the playoffs in 2005, when the White Sox
rode the AL's best record to their first World Series title in 88 years.
This year, both the Twins (75-77) and the White Sox (66-87) have failed
to meet expectations. Minnesota is trying to avoid finishing below .500
for the first time since 2000 and Chicago hopes to avoid its first
last-place finish since 1989. Against this backdrop, we have Marke
Buehrle (9-9, 3.55 ERA) squaring off against Johan Santana (15-12, 3.14
ERA). Buehrle is looking for his first win in seven weeks. He's 0-3 with
a 5.27 ERA since in seven starts (team is 2-5) since beating Detroit on
Aug 3. Santana, who has won the AL Cy Young award two of the last three
seasons, is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA in his last four outings, while allowing
four ERs in FOUR of his last five starts! This total reflects two
top-notch pitchers in good form and that's NOT what we have tonight!
Also note that the last 10 meetings this year between the White Sox and
Twins have seen the 'over' go 7-2-1! Fabulous Friday Total on Chi/Min Over.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness
My Fabulous Total is on Chi/Min Over at 8:10 ET. As I've said any number of times in recent write-ups, there won't exactly be a "playoff
atmosphere" in tonight's White Sox/Twins game. Minnesota has finished with a winning record in each of manager Ron Gardenhire's first five seasons, winning the division crown four times. In Gardenhire's tenure, the Twins only failed to make the playoffs in 2005, when the White Sox rode the AL's best record to their first World Series title in 88 years. This year, both the Twins (75-77) and the White Sox (66-87) have failed to meet expectations. Minnesota is trying to avoid finishing below .500 for the first time since 2000 and Chicago hopes to avoid its first last-place finish since 1989. Against this backdrop, we have Marke Buehrle (9-9, 3.55 ERA) squaring off against Johan Santana (15-12, 3.14 ERA). Buehrle is looking for his first win in seven weeks. He's 0-3 with a 5.27 ERA since in seven starts (team is 2-5) since beating Detroit on Aug 3. Santana, who has won the AL Cy Young award two of the last three seasons, is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA in his last four outings, while allowing four ERs in FOUR of his last five starts! This total reflects two top-notch pitchers in good form and that's NOT what we have tonight! Also note that the last 10 meetings this year between the White Sox and Twins have seen the 'over' go 7-2-1! Fabulous Friday Total on Chi/Min Over.
Good Luck...Larry
Ats Lock Club
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4 units on the Philadelphia Phillies (-115) over the Washington Nationals, 7:00
4 units on the LA Dodgers (even) over the Arizona D-Backs, 9:40
SEBASTIAN
7* Atl under
10* StL
10* LAA run line
20* NYY under
20* R sox under
Big Al
Computer Boys - Tulsa
Championship - La Angels
Blue Chip - Padres
Linemovers - Brewers
10 Dime - Nationals
Robert Ferrringo picks bought and paid for.
5-Unit Play. Take #952 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, -110) over Pittsburgh (2 p.m., Friday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is our Runline of the Week.
Our ol’ boy Paul Maholm is on the bump and our boy has gotten touched up for 38 hits and 19 runs in his last 24 innings. He’s given up at least 10 hits in three of his past four outings and has a 5.59 road ERA and a 5.46 daytime ERA. Maholm is actually 4-0 against the Cubs, and 3-0 in Wrigley, but he has an ERA near 5.00 so I’m willing to wager that his poor pitching catches up to him. The Pirates just got swept out of San Diego and then had to make the trip East to Chicago for a day game. I’m guessing they’re not going to be as sharp as they otherwise would be. Jason Marquis has won over 64 percent of his career decisions in the day and is 7-2 this year in sunlight (and 8-3 at home). Chicago is 12-3 in Marquis’ home starts, 10-3 against the N.L. Central, and the Pirates are 14-40 on the road against a team with a winning home record.
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.0 Colorado at San Diego (10 p.m., Friday, Sept. 21)
The Rockies actually get to Jake Peavy. Peavy has a career 4.39 ERA against Colorado, including a 4.93 ERA against them at home. The Rockies are playing well, which means they’re swinging the bats well, and the ‘over’ is 7-1 in their last eight games. Also, the ‘over’ is 21-7 in San Diego’s last 28 against a lefty and 19-8 when they face a team with a winning record. This line falls under my One Bad Inning Rule, as in it only takes one bad inning by either pitcher to blow this line. Hopefully that inning comes early so I can get some sleep for this football weekend.
3-Unit Play. Take #972 Cleveland (-1.5, +115) over Oakland (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 21)
The Indians are 14-5 against the A’s in Cleveland and Oakland is 2-6 following an off day. The A’s haven’t exactly mailed it in, but they’re also not exceptionally imposing. Oakland is 3-9 in their last 12 road games and Cleveland is 12-2 in its last 14 home games. The Indians have been dominant at home and have one of their aces on the bump. Fausto Carmona has only given up more than three runs in four of his past 28 outings and Cleveland is 20-8 in those contests (11-3 at home).
3-Unit Play. Take #958 Atlanta (-155) over Milwaukee (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 21)
I think the Braves see the rest of the N.L. East teams playing spoiler and they want in on the fun. The Brewers suck on the road, as in 19-44 as a road dog suck, and they are 3-7 against a team with a winning record. The Braves are 13-3 in Tim Hudson’s last 16 starts and he has too much pride not to bring his A-Game.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Washington (+100) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 21)
The Nats have been playing well at home and very well lately. They blew a big lead last night but I think they get their W this evening. Shawn Hill has been a hard luck guy, but he has a 2.63 home ERA and has only given up more than three runs once in his last 14 outings with a 3.01 ERA on the year. He’s solid, and I think he cashes today.
That's it for today. Good luck
Wolkosky Milan
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115-68-2 last thirty four days!!!
3-2 Yesterday!
Today:
10* OKLAHOMA -20½
10* OKL/TUL UNDER 67½
10* BOS/TB UNDER
10* ANGELS
Free: YANKS RL
ace-ace / allan eastman
5 Boston -27
4 Wis Vs Iowa Under 44.5
3 Oregon -17
Lenny Del Genio's 15* AL Underdog of the Week
Play on the Devil Rays at 7:10 ET. Boston's division lead has been reduced to 1 1/2 games, its slimmest since it held that margin on April 24. The second-place New York Yankees, who have won four straight and 12 of 14, were seven games out of first as recently as Sept. 3. The Red Sox (90-63), who had a season-high 12-game lead on July 5, are trying to avoid losing five straight for the first time since a six-game skid from Aug. 25-30, 2006. The good news for Boston is that Josh Beckett (19-6, 3.20 ERA) takes the mound tonight. He won a third straight start by out-dueling Chien-Ming Wang in a 10-1 home win over the Yankees on Saturday. Since losing his final two starts of July, Beckett is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA with 57 strikeouts over 56 2-3 innings. He is 10-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 12 road starts this season. The bad news is the team seems to be "gagging" and it will face lefty Scott Kazmir (13-8, 3.54 ERA). The Red Sox are minus-$915 in '07 versus lefties, going 12-15 (minus-$660) on the road. Kazmir is 4-0 in his last five starts, including holding the Red Sox and Mariners without a run (just eight total hits by the two teams) in his last two outings (13 innings). His strikeout-to-walk ratio in the two games is 21-4! The Devil Rays are a completely different team with Kazmir on the hill and that's not such a fancy slogan. The numbers reveal that with Kazmir starting, the Devil Rays are 19-13 (plus-$714) and when he's not, they are only 44-77 (minus-$1,908). Beckett or no Beckett, the Devil Rays are my 15* AL Underdog of the Week.
Good luck, Lenny
NORTHCOAST
Friday Night Marquee Play (13-5)
Oklahoma -23
Russ Culver +10.45u ytd bases
Marlins +153
Brewers +158
Rockies +185
Royals +184
Blue Jays +165
A's +163
Devil Rays +128
White Sox +174
Houston-St. Louis UNDER 9 -115 (Backe-Pineiro)
Cincinnati-SF UNDER 9 Even (Belisle-Misch)
KC-Detroit UNDER 10 -113 (Buckner-Jurrjens)
Oakland-Cleveland UNDER 8 1/2 -110 (Blanton-Carmona)
Baltimore-Texas UNDER 11 -110 (Santos-Mendoza)
Chad Jordan
TWO MILLION DOLLAR WINNER #2 IN A ROW
TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE +23