BIG AL's 93% THURSDAY NIGHT ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH
At 7:45 PM, our Thursday Night ESPN Game of the Month is on the Miami Hurricanes minus the points over Texas A&M, as the Aggies are a terrible traveller off a home game. Indeed, over the last 11 seasons, Texas A&M has covered just one of 12 games on the road, if they played at home the week before, and are now matched up against a .666 (or better) foe. Miami has won 99 of 111 games straight up vs. non-conference foes since 1980, and the Hurricanes are a super 25-6 SU at home and 20-10-1 ATS vs. undefeated foes, including 8-1 if the Hurricanes' win percentage ranges from .500 to .875. Take Miami Fla. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
Marc Lawrence
Hurricanes tackle the Aggies in at home in hot and muggy South Florida this evening knowing that teams in Game Four of the season with 17 or more returning starters, playing off back-to-back ATS losses who allow < 30 PPG, are 14-0 ATS as a dog or favorite of < 10 points provided they were not shutout in their opening game of the season. With Texas A&M 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games, and also 1-9 ATS on the road in weekday games, we'll stay at home with Miami here tonight.
My 15* play is on the StL Cards at 8:10 ET. There's still some value and plenty of good money-making opportunities in games involving "teams going nowhere." That's the case tonight, as the Astros and Cards open a meaningless four-game set in St Louis. The last few years, these two teams have been the "class" of the NL Central but not in '07. The Cards enter at 71-80 and the Astros at 66-86. The Astros are tied with the Pirates, just one game better than the Marlins, who own the NL's worst record. The Astros do however, reside in the basement of the "moneyline " standings (minus-$2,163), as well as owning MLB's worst road record at 26-48 (minus-$1,727). Against this backdrop, the Asstros will send Wandy Rodriguez to the mound. In 15 home starts TY, he's 6-3 with a 2.94 ERA and the Astros have gone 11-4. However, in 14 road starts, he's allowed 92 hits in 72.2 innings, posting a 7.31 ERA. He's 2-10 and Houston is 3-11. What's more, We love msi and, Rodriguez has been terrible in his career against the Cardinals, going 0-4 with an 8.71 ERA in four starts and a relief appearance against them. The left-hander comes in 1-2 with a 7.99 ERA in his last five starts overall, allowing 28 hits and 17 walks in 23.2 innings! The Cards counter with Braden Looper (12-10, 4.55 ERA), who has been outstanding in three starts against Houston this season, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA. His other 30 appearances against the Astros were all in relief, and he is 6-2 with a 2.07 ERA lifetime against them. Looper has given up two ERs or less in six of his last seven starts (2.55 ERA, including 1.38 in the six good starts!) plus is 7-3 with a 3.05 ERA in 14 starts at home this year (Cards are 10-4). 'Under the Radar' Game of the Week 15* StL Cards.
Good Luck...Larry
LT Lock
Miami
streak is 2-0
WINNING POINTS
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 20
7:45 pm
*CLOSE CALL
Texas A&M over Miami-FL* by 2
The key number in this puzzle might be in the play counts
for each offense:
2006
Miami-FL: 61.8
Texas A&M: 67
2007
Miami-FL: 59.7
Texas A&M: 74.0
The Aggies can stay on the field better than Miami-FL can.
They did so a year ago, and they are doing it so far this
season. Miami needs to hit big plays but they don't seem to
have the big-play receivers any more. Defensively, Miami-FL
haslong thrived on the turnover but A&M is not the kind of
team to come in and throw it away. They play power football
with the added difficulty of option and if they don't fumble,
they bull their way to owning the clock, controlling the game,
and wearing down the Miami-FL defense in the second half.
Weather forecast of possible thunderstorms and winds up to
20 mph would probably benefit the ground-oriented visitors
and hamper the big-play seeking home team. TEXAS A&M, 23-21.
SEBASTIAN
50* Miami FL -2.5
Kelso Thurs
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7 units Tex A&M +2.5 @ Miami
2 units Under 46.5
1 unit Parlay of both
JIM FEIST BASEBALL 2007 REGULAR SEASON PACKAGE
(907) PHI Phillies vs (908) WAS Nationals
Game Starts at September 20 2007 16:05 EST
Take over
5 Star
JIM FEIST BASEBALL 2007 REGULAR SEASON PACKAGE
(907) PHI Phillies vs (908) WAS Nationals
Game Starts at September 20 2007 16:05 EST
Take over
5 Star
Mr A's
Thursday, September 20th, 2007, 7:05 p.m. est.
Mets' (L) Tom Glavine
New York Mets (84-67) at Florida Marlins (65-87)
(L) Tom Glavine (13-6) vs. (L) Dontrelle Willis (9-15)
New York sends Tom Glavine (13-6, 3.88 ERA to the hill. The left-hander Glavine is 2-0 with a 1.30 ERA in his last four starts. The Mets are 5-2 in Glavine's last 7 starts away from home, . but Glavine has struggle in Miami, just 7-13 with a 4.33 ERA in 23 starts
Florida counters with Dontrelle Willis (9-15, 5.34). The left-hander is 3-9 with a 5.59 ERA in 16 home starts. The Marlins have lost 11 of Willis' last 13 starts and have dropped five of his last 6 at home. Willis has been successful versus the Marlins, going 11-3 with a 2.39 ERA in 17 career starts versus the Mets
New York Mets has won the last five games against the Florida Marlins at Dolphins Stadium
Take the Mets. They have played well away from home, winning 6 of their last 9 games on the road and have beaten the Marlins in the last 7 meetings in Florida. The total has gone 'over' in four of the last six meetings and ten of the last 13 in Florida
Oddsmakers:
New York as a -145 road favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.
New York Mets
Over
Wiseguy sports
2 units Miami Florida
1 unit Dodgers
Stanley Sharpe
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Thu, 09/20/07 - 10:15 PMStan Sharp | MLB RunLine Double-Dime Bet
914 SFG -1.5 (+125) vs 913 CIN
Analysis: San Francisco pitcher Matt Cain has pitched very well but you could never tell that by his record. In 9 of his last 10 Games Cain has given up 3 runs or less. Look for another strong outing from this young right hander. TAKE SAN FRANCISCO (-1.5 Runs) as STAN'S BASEBALL BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Brandon Lang
THURSDAY
15 DIME
Texas A&M -
5 DIME
Texas A&M/Miami OVER
Free Pick - Phillies (For analysis see Daily video)
Wunderdog
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Game: Texas A & M at Miami (Thursday 9/20 7:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas A & M +2.5
In the first road test for the Aggies, we like their chances against a Miami team that struggled mightily in their first game vs. a Big 12 opponent. The Hurricanes lost 13-51 to Oklahoma in week two. That game was sandwiched between two cupcakes in Marshall and Florida International. Last week they beat Florida International 23-9 but underperformed as a 33 point favorite. So, can Miami play against good teams? They haven't proven it yet. Texas A&M returned 9 starters on offense and ranks third in the nation in rushing (296 yards per game). They are averaging over twice as many points per game this season than Miami. This offense, combined with Miami's struggling offense, will spell doom for the Hurricanes. After losing last game ATS, Miami is now riding a very poor 11-21 ATS streak at home. They just aren't the same Miami team. They are just 1-7 in their last eight vs. ranked opponents! This is a huge game for the Aggies who have had this one circled since the schedule came out. It's their first chance to start 4-0 in over 60 years! "Aggies defensive back Devin Gregg said this week, "Coach said it best. It can be exposure, or we can be exposed." We think A&M comes to play tonight and gets the cover.
Good Thursday morning to all at the mall.
HONDO GETS ALL WET
September 20, 2007 -- Hondo went double-draino off the high board last night, belly-flopping with the Rangers and Royals to slash the earnings to 70 mcgees.
Today, a day-night double-delight - 10 units apiece on the Pirates and Marlins (as a special favor to Metamucil fans).
O.J.'s determination is nothing short of remarkable. As soon as he made bail, he went right back to work looking for the real killers of his ex-wife and Ron Goldman.