Marc Lawrence's Playbook
5* Navy
4* Connecticut
3* Northwestern
Upset Special: Iowa
Sports Reporter
Best Bets:
BYU
Arkansas
SMU
Purdue
North Texas
Larry Ness' Daytime Delight-MLB (19-8 11-day run / 253-141 on the season!)
My Daytime Delight is on the KC Royals at 2:10 ET. The Royals are 65-86 on the year and the White Sox are 66-86. Despite almost identical records, the moneyline records of the two teams shows a much greater disparity. The Royals show a small profit at plus-$102, while the White Sox check in at minus-$1,400. Jon Garland (9-12, 4.47 ERA) starts for the White Sox and after back-to-back 18-win seasons, still finds himself shy of 10 wins in '07, despite this being his 31st start! Chicago scored an average of 4.5 runs per game for Garland last season but has averaged just 3.2 runs for him in '07. Chicago is 11-19 (minus-$672) in his starts this year, after going 41-23 (plus-$1,360) in his regular season starts the last two seasons. Garland enters this game with just one win since July 27 and the White Sox have lost SIX of his last seven outings. He does own a 1.23 ERA over his last three starts but I'm backing the rejuvenated Zach Greinke (and the Royals) in this one. Greinke has begun to live up to his huge 'promise' since rejoining the KC rotation in late August. While he's only pitched 21 innings in his five starts, he has posted an impressive 1.71 ERA. Daytime Delight on the KC Royals.
Good Luck...Larry
ATS Lock Club
3 Miami Fl
Pure Lock
White Sox (confirmed)
system sports
Miami -2.5 7:45 EST
A&M is 2-14 in theri last 16 road openers, the Aggies are 0-6 on the non-conference road and the Aggies are 1-9 when playing on weekdays! Add it up and you have our 29-3 ATS TRIPLE SYSTEM WINNER on MIAMI!
MLB
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City 2:10 PM EST
Play On: UNDER THE TOTAL (Garland/Greinke) Listed Pitchers
Rocky Atkinson
Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Sep 20 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
Reason: Prior to last night's game the Phillies had won 9 of their last 11 games. Philadelphia is 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 opening games of a series. Philadelphia has won Lohse's last 4 starts. The Phillies are 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. NL East opposition. Philadelphia is 4-1 in his last 5 road starts. The Nationals are 4-9 in their last 13 games to start a series. In their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record the Nationals are 7-19. Washington is 3-9 in Bergmann's last 12 starts coming off 4-days rest. Philadelphia is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with Washington. Play on the Phillies -.
Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio
Game: Texas A&M at Miami FL Sep 20 2007 7:45PM
Prediction: Texas A&M
Reason: Play on Texas A&M at 7:45 ET. These teams meet for just the second time ever and not since 1944. Clearly there's no history. Recent history however, shows a Miami program in decline, with a young first-time head coach, who would have never been given a chance if Miami was what it once was! LY's disaster saw an ugly 31-7 loss at Louisville, a 20-15 'escape' at pathetic Duke and a road loss at 5-7 Virginia. Miami did go 5-2 at home but two of those wins came over Florida A&M and Florida Int'l. Speaking of Fla Int'l, while Miami had 428 yards of total offense, including 204 via the run, the 'Canes won just 23-9 (as 32 1/2-point favorites). Kyle Wright is back at QB (replacing Kirby Freeman) but really, neither QB can play at a high level. Miami's offense still looks to make "big plays" but the team has no "big-play" people! There's nothing wrong with Miami's defense but A&M is a grind-it-out team with a very dangerous QB in Stephen McGee plus a deep stable of runners. McGee completed 62% LY (12 TDs and just two INTs) and while he's not off to as good of a start TY, he does lead the team in rushing (263 yards / 9.1 ypc). A&M averages 296.3 yards on the ground (6.4 ypc) and 275-pound FB Lane already has seven TDs! A&M went 5-0 away from College Station last year, before getting swamped by Cal in the Holiday Bowl. Franchione's in his fifth year at A&M and while the Aggies won in Austin last year, a win on the road against a non-conference "name school" like Miami, would be HUGE. The good thing working for A&M here is that Miami is "big-time' in name only. Miami got drubbed in Norman 51-13 and while this game will be closer, A&M is clearly the better team. A&M is my 15* Thursday Night Game of the Month.
INDIAN COWBOY
Play: Texas A&M +3 (POD)
Comments: IC'S NCAAF PLAY OF THE DAY: Texas A&M +3 (POD) You notice the line slowly going down? There is good reason for it. The Aggies are the far better team here and I understand that they have played no one of significance, but I also understand that that this team's lowest point total of the season is 38. What is the one thing that Miami is horrible at? Offense. This team put up a pathetic number of points against a no-name Florida school, and now has to match point totals with the Aggies? This is going to be a long day for the overrated Hurricanes as this is still the same crop that Coker brought in and Coker has killed the program in the final few years he was there and this is not Shannon's fault, but the Aggies, should rightfully be favored here as the Hurricanes are getting far too much respect with a terrible offense. Miami's defense is great right? Any team that gets lit up for 50 points, Oklahoma or not, is not a great defense. A&M will simply make more plays and have far too many offensive weapons in my mind to be held back in this game. Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, this team is ranked top 20 in the nation for a reason and the Hurricanes are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
IC MLB: HOUSTON vs ST LOUIS
Play: Astros / Cards Under 8.5 (some places possibly 9)
Comments: IC MLB: Astros / Cards Under 8.5 (some places possibly 9): Yes, I know Wandy is horrible on the road. However, I also know that neither of these offenses can score worth a lick as well as the fact that Wandy went on the road, to Wrigley and pitched 6 scoreless innings and gave up 4 hits. Now, that won't show up on the overall stats for him this year as he is 2-10 away from home. The Cardinals beat Wandy with a 2-4 ballgame against Wainwright and getting runs from either of these teams right now is like pulling your hair out. Looper has gone under 2 of 3 times when he faced the Astros this year and the game that went over was when Jennings was on the mound, that itself should be understandable - plus it was a road start for Looper. Braden has a 3.05 ERA at home and when he faced both Sampson and Williams of the Astros, the game went under, and why not Wandy here, where whenever he pitches 2 straight non-quality starts, he comes backfired up with a quality start. Under is 7-1 when the Astros are a dog, under is 4-1 when the Cards face a lefty at home and the under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in St. Louis
IC MLB: TBA vs TBA
John Ryan
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (MLB)
Sep 20, 2007 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Phillies - Phils lost a tough won last night, but are still surging toward the playoffs. They will play these same Nats 7 times over the remainder of the season and quite frankly, they should take 6 of them. The Phillies offense in the NL version of the NYY and they can overcome poor starts with the bats. In fact, it has been since 1908 since a team had a winning record with a pitching staff sporting a 4.85 ERA in the NL. Philly bullpen has righted their ship and sports a solid 2.43 ERA and a 0.919 WHIP over their past 7 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 100-62 and has made 50.6 units since 1997. Play against any NL team that has a bad offense scoring <=4.1 runs/game and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season and is now facing an average starting pitcher sporting an ERA=4.20 to 5.20. Philly also runs the bases Philly has not hit any HR in their past 2 games and this puts the Phillies into a very strong role. Phils are 7-1 this season following 2 straight games with NO HR. Take the Phils.
Wayne Root
Chairman - Texas A&m
John Ryan
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (MLB)
Sep 20, 2007 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Phillies - Phils lost a tough won last night, but are still surging toward the playoffs. They will play these same Nats 7 times over the remainder of the season and quite frankly, they should take 6 of them. The Phillies offense in the NL version of the NYY and they can overcome poor starts with the bats. In fact, it has been since 1908 since a team had a winning record with a pitching staff sporting a 4.85 ERA in the NL. Philly bullpen has righted their ship and sports a solid 2.43 ERA and a 0.919 WHIP over their past 7 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 100-62 and has made 50.6 units since 1997. Play against any NL team that has a bad offense scoring <=4.1 runs/game and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season and is now facing an average starting pitcher sporting an ERA=4.20 to 5.20. Philly also runs the bases Philly has not hit any HR in their past 2 games and this puts the Phillies into a very strong role. Phils are 7-1 this season following 2 straight games with NO HR. Take the Phils.
Russ Culver Part I +9.73u ytd bases
LA-Colorado UNDER 10 -115 (Lowe-Jimenez)
Chicago-KC UNDER 8 1/2 -113 (Garland-Greinke)
"Grand Salami" UNDER 97 -110 (2 units)
Net Prophet
CFB:
Miami-FL/Texas A&M UNDER 45