Saturday 2/2/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Saturday’s NCAAB, NFL & NBA games.
John Ryan
Feb 02 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | St. John's vs Duke
Play on: St. John's +17½ -109 at GTBets
John Ryan Sports
Saturday, February 2, 2019
Ryan is 13-2 ATS with fours no-plays over the last 19 Super Bowls. He has a 10-Star for tomorrow’s SB LIII that includes 4 parlays using the alternative lines givig you an unbelievable winning opportunity.
1.The Play and How to Play It
A. Play a 5-Star wager amount on St.Johns (611) taking on Duke in NCAAM action set to start at 12:00 PM EST.
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2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes
Projections calls for St. Johns to lose this game by fewer than 14 points.
1. Data Base Situational Queries
Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development.
This DB situational query has gone 70-28 ATS for 71.4% over the past 5 seasons. Play against any team off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival and now facing an opponent off an upset win by 15 points or more installed as as an underdog.
This DB query has earned a 35-12 ATS mark for 75% over the past 20 seasons. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (ST JOHNS) off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more.
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Stephen Nover
Feb 02 '19, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Youngstown State vs Detroit
Play on: Detroit -5½ -108 at Pinnacle
Youngstown State is on a short road turnaround after upsetting Oakland, 75-74, as 7 1/2-point road 'dogs on Thursday. The Penguins aren't good enough to post back-to-back away upsets. Detroit Mercy defeated Youngstown State, 78-66, when the teams met earlier this season in Youngstown. It was the fourth time in the last five games the Titans have covered against the Penguins. Detroit is 6-4 in the Horizon League. The Titans halted a three-game losing skid with a 78-64 home victory against Cleveland State on Thursday. Youngstown State just lost 72-62 to Cleveland State on the road before upsetting Oakland. This is the Penguins' third consecutive road appearance. The Penguins were 2-7 in the Horizon League until defeating Oakland. They are ranked 282nd in the country in Kem Pomeroy's ratings. Detroit is ranked 200th by Pomeroy. The Titans have covered seven of their nine lined home games this season. Youngstown State has lost eight of its 12 road contests. The Penguins are surrendering 79.7 points per game, which ranks 333rd. Detroit is one of the more accurate 3-point shooting teams in the country ranking 60th in 3-point shooting percentage. The Titans are the better team, are home and catching the Penguins in a letdown spot.
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Larry Ness
Feb 02 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Notre Dame vs Boston College
Play on: Boston College -2½ -109 at GTBets
My 1* Free Play is on Boston College (2:00 EST).
The Irish are in a “free fall” right now and I think they’ll struggle again this afternoon in this difficult road venue.
Notre Dame has lost seven of its last eight games. The Irish average 72.5 PPG and they concede 70. John Mooney leads the nightly charge with 14.4 points and 10.8 boards per game. The Irish looked poor in a loss to Duke last time out, surrendering 83 points.
The Eagles have been pretty mediocre this season and they enter off a loss to Syracuse, but they’ve still won two of their last three. Overall BC averages 74.2 PPG and it concedes 72.6, led by 20.5 points and 7.7 boards per night from Ky Bowman.
Additionally note that the Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss, while ND is 0-6 ATS in its last six in the same position.
I think that the home floor advantage will prove significant in this particular matchup. Consider BC on Saturday afternoon.
Good luck…Larr
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Bobby Conn
Feb 02 '19, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | North Carolina-Asheville vs Gardner-Webb
Play on: Gardner-Webb -20 -109 at GTBets
1* Free Play on Gardner-Webb -20 -109
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Info Plays
Feb 02 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Towson vs College of Charleston
Play on: Towson +11 -110 at sportsbook
1* Free Play on Towson +11 -110
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Jimmy Boyd
Feb 02 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Kentucky vs Florida
Play on: Florida +4 -115 at Bovada
1* Free NCAAB Pick on Florida Gators +4
Love the value here with Florida getting points at home in this one. Kentucky is getting way too much love here due the fact that they come in having won 7 straight and covered 5 in a row. At the same time, Gators are a bit undervalued after failing to cover their last 3.
After a slow start to SEC play, Florida has turned it on with 3 wins in their last 4 and there's not a bigger game on their schedule than when Kentucky comes to town. They have taken full advantage of this spot the past couple two seasons. Last year they won beat the Wildcats 80-67 on their home floor and the year before they won 88-66 (home team has covered 7 of the last 9).
Gators are 35-14 ATS last 49 after failing to cover the spread in 3 straight games and 24-11 ATS last 35 at home off a failed cover where they won outright as a favorite. Take Florida!
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Mike Williams
Feb 02 '19, 4:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Hofstra vs Northeastern
Play on: Hofstra +2½ -110 at YouWager
1* on Hofstra +2½ -110
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Kenny Walker
Feb 02 '19, 5:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | North Alabama vs Lipscomb
Play on: Lipscomb -24½ -109 at GTBets
Free Pick on Lipscomb
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Mark Wilson
Feb 02 '19, 5:05 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Southern Utah vs Eastern Washington
Play on: Eastern Washington -4½ -110 at Bovada
Free Play on Eastern Washington -4½ -110
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John Martin
Feb 02 '19, 5:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Clippers vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons -1½ -105 at Bovada
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Pistons -1.5
The Detroit Pistons are starting to play some very good basketball here of late now that they are healthy. And you know Blake Griffin wants revenge on his former team and wants to sweep the season series after beating the Clippers 109-104 on the road in their first meeting. This is a struggling Clippers team that is just 4-8 SU & 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Pistons are 18-6 ATS in home games when playing six or fewer games in 14 days over the last three seasons. The Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Give me the Pistons.
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Ray Monohan
Feb 02 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NHL | Golden Knights vs Panthers
Play on: Golden Knights -106 at BetOnline
Vegas -115
The Golden Knights are worth a flyer here on Saturday. They catch Florida in a nice spot as they have struggled against the Pacific Division.
Coming into Saturday, Florida is just 1-4 in their last 5 against the division. Look for them to continue their struggles, especially given the back to back their on.
Some trends to note. Golden Knights are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Golden Knights are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Grab the road side. Back Vegas.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE NHL ML Play
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Jack Jones
Feb 02 '19, 7:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Pacers vs Heat
Play on: Heat -3 -102 at Pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Miami Heat -3
The Miami Heat should be highly motivated for a victory off back-to-back losses to the Bulls and Thunder. I know they are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, but the fact that this will be just the 3rd game in 6 days for the Heat eases some of that. Plus, they have the next two days off, so they should be ‘all in’ here.
The Pacers clearly miss Victor Oladipo. They are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their four games since losing him to a season-ending knee injury. They lost on the road to the hapless Grizzlies, by 32 at home to the Warriors, by 18 on the road to a Wizards team that was playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, and by 7 on the road to the Magic.
The Pacers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games. Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall. The Pacers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Heat are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games playing on zero rest. This is a deep Miami team that can handle these back-to-backs better than most. Bet the Heat Saturday.
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Dave Price
Feb 02 '19, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | TCU vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor -4 -109 at GTBets
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Baylor -4
The Key: Few teams are playing as well as Baylor right now. The Bears are 8-2 SU & 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. None of their wins were more impressive than their 30-point win at Oklahoma as 5.5-point dogs last time out. And their two losses came to Kansas by 5 and TCU by 4 during this stretch. Now the Bears have their chance to avenge that loss to TCU as they will host the Horned Frogs here Saturday. TCU is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in Big 12 true road games this season. That includes their 19-point loss at TCU last time out. The Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Horned Frogs are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Take Baylor.
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Steve Janus
Feb 02 '19, 8:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Pelicans vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -10½ -103 at Pinnacle
1* Free Sharp Play on Spurs -10½ -103
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Dustin Hawkins
Feb 02 '19, 9:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Rockets vs Jazz
Play on: Rockets +7 -105 at Pinnacle
Free Play on Rockets +7 -105
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Hunter Price
Feb 02 '19, 10:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | New Mexico vs Fresno State
Play on: New Mexico +9 -110 at Bovada
1* Free Pick on New Mexico +9 -110
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Top Shelf Sports Pick NCAA Basketball BALL STATE CARDINALS ‑185
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Line Mover Sports NCAA Basketball LOUISIANA STATE TIGERS ‑9.5
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R and R Totals NBA DALLAS MAVERICKS/CLEVELAND CAVALIERS ‑105 o210
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Tommy Brunson
After getting out of the gate in fine fashion and looking like they were finally going to shed that Big Dance-less Monkey that has been perched on their backs, the Nebraska Cornhuskers now look like a team destined to be heading to the NIT one more time.
Not that Illinois is a world-beater, but the 6-15 Illini have shown some fight these past couple of weeks, and they did win outright just last Saturday in their conference game at Madison Square Garden against the ranked Maryland Terrapins. Illinois has also routed Minnesota on their home home court, 95-68 back on January 16th.
As for Nebraska, they are now playing without one of their team leaders in Isaac Copeland Jr., as Copeland injured himself on January 26th in the Huskers 10-point home loss to Ohio State. The Cornhuskers have now dropped 6 of their last 8 games straight up as they head into this afternoon's game in Champaign.
With Copeland now out, and the Huskers reeling, it's hard to make a compelling case for the visiting favorite today even as bad as Illinois has been this year.
The home team in this series has won 3 in a row, and 7 of the last 9 straight up, and it is Illinois that is on a 3-1 series spread run, and they have covered in 5 of the last 8 series showdowns overall.
Until Nebraska shows me that can play without Copeland, and just win a game in general, I will go with the Illini plus the points to cover this home game.
1* ILLINOIS
Scott Delaney
My complimentary winner for Saturday is on the Utah State Aggies over the UNLV Runnin' Rebels in Mountain West Conference play.
First-year coach Craig Smith has the Aggies playing much better than third-year coach Marvin Menzies has the Rebels playing, and tonight may be as embarrassing a loss as UNLV will suffer all season.
The other night Reno went into the Thomas and Mack Center and obliterated the Rebels, going up by as many as 25 in front of the Rebellion (UNLV's student section) and cruised to a 17-point win.
Tonight will be worse.
Utah State is riding a five-game win streak and catches the Rebels at the right time, as they're struggling to find consistency, struggling without key personnel and certainly struggling on the road.
Don't let the conference records fool you, as I know a firmer grip on second place is at stake here, but UNLV also opened the conference slate with teams from the bottom of the standings. The Aggies and Rebels play just once this season, so I suspect Utah State would much rather push its league mark to 7-2, while dropping UNLV to 5-4, rather than the teams being tied in the conference standings. Tonight's winner conceivably holds the tiebreaker.
But again, the Aggies - who come in after a 103-73 home win against San Jose State last Wednesday - are playing far better and will be poised to win this game. The Rebels have lost two straight, allowing an average of 90.5 in those games.
Utah State will win this game by at least 20 points.
5* UTAH STATE
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Jack Brayman
La Salle has five wins this season; Richmond has just eight, to go along with 13 losses. It's been a rough season for both teams, I know this. There really isn't a lot of hope for either team come Atlantic 10 tourney time. In league play, the Explorers are 3-4, while the Spiders are just 2-6.
Tonight, regardless of all that, I think is a great spot for Richmond, as I think it will be able to take advantage of a La Salle team that just was in the same position the other night against Massachusetts.
The Explorers won a rare game by completing the season sweep of the Minutemen. Now it's time for Richmond to take advantage in the same type of situation.
Richmond just got its first win in five games, an 84-81 road win at Saint Louis, so I anticipate it returning home with enough momentum to win this game.
Take the Spiders tonight, as they get it done against the equally bad Explorers.
4* RICHMOND
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Gus Augustine
Comp play winner for Saturday comes in the Atlantic 10 as I side with the visiting La Salle Explorers plus the points as they play in Richmond against the 8-13 Spiders.
Let's face facts, both A-10 teams are in rebuild mode this season, and while the Explorers are only 5-14 this year, they have shaken off their 0-10 start under new head coach Ashley Howard, and have actually won 5 of their last 9. That streak includes back-to-back conference wins at Fordham and at home earlier this week against UMass.
The Explorers have also covered in 6 of their last 9 contests, and will be playing a Spiders team that was able to snap a 4-game straight up and against the spread losing streak with a conference road upset win over St. Louis their last time out.
Still, Richmond is just 2-6 now overall both straight up and against the spread their last 8 games, and have gone a money-burning 3-7-1 against the spread on their home court this season. Meanwhile, La Salle has rewarded their backers to a tune of 6-3-1 against the spread in their lined road games so far.
Richmond has won and covered each of the last 3 series meetings. Can La Salle pull the upset? Probably not the outright, but the Explorers do average just 2 points less per game than the Spiders, and they pull down nearly 3 rebounds per game more than the host, while shooting 77% as a team from the free-throw line compared to Richmond's 68.5% team average.
La Salle is improving and while they will not pull off the road outright win, I do see them making this a full 40 minute contest against the Spiders.
Take the points.
3* LA SALLE
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Ray Chadwick
Saturday comp play is the Bucks as the road favorite over the Wizards.
Milwaukee is fresh off a road rout of Toronto on Thursday night, and tonight they will be looking for a little payback from their January 11th visit to D.C. when they lost to Washington, 113-106 as the -1 1/2 point road chalk.
Since that loss to the Wizards, the Bucks have been able to win 8 of 9 games, and they are 5-3-1 against the spread in that 9 games stretch.
As for Washington, they have played to 4 wins and 4 losses in the 8 games since upending Milwaukee. Certainly not terrible, but also nothing extraordinary either.
The Wizards have actually won and covered in 5 of the last 7 series meetings against the Bucks, so you can be sure that Washington has Milwaukee's undivided attention in tonight's battle.
Milwaukee has gone 8-2 against the spread when listed as a favorite between -5 to -8 1/2 points, while Washington is just 5-7 against the spread in the same price range as an underdog between +5 to +8 1/2 points.
The Bucks are posting 117 points per game on the year, while the Wizards come in with an average of 112.7 points per contest.
Since the Wizards have proven they know how to beat the Bucks in recent meetings, and because they are also at home for this Eastern Conference meeting, I think we are going to see this game stay close for a long spell, but precisely because the Bucks have dropped the past 2 in the series, including that January setback, I expect the Bucks to be focused on avenging that loss to the Wizards.
I am going to lay it with Milwaukee here on Saturday night in the NBA.
4* MILWAUKEE
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