Thursday 8/30/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games.
Steve Oh
Wake Forest -7
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Josh Nagel
Tulane +7
Purdue -3.5
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Tom Fornelli
Tulane Under 56
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Fezzik NFLX
Rams / Saints Under 36
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Spartan
3* Purdue -3
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Rocky Atkinson
2* NEW York Jets -3.5
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Ken Thomson
2* Purdue -2.5
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Stephen Nover
3*preseason GOY
Seattle -150 (NFLX)
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Goodfella
3* Tulane + 7
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Greg shaker
2* Purdue / northwestern over 51
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MEGALOCKS 1st release of the year........
Wake Forest at Tulane – College Football Predictions
Wake Forest at Tulane – College Football Predictions
The Game
It doesn’t get much better than this.
The Green Wave came within a sliver of turf of making a bowl game last season and should be motivated to get things off on the right foot. Wake Forest is turning into an EMERGING JUGGERNAUT under HC Dave Clawson these days and will be a handful for Tulane.
Thursday night SWEET ACC vs AAC ACTION in New Orleans. Let’s do this.
The Details
Wake Forest -6 Tulane (56)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Wake Forest -4
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Wake Forest 31 Tulane 25
The Match-Up
Wake Forest offense vs Tulane defense
This should be interesting, yo. Wake Forest starting QB Kendall Hinton has been suspended for the first three games of the season and the keys to the car have been turned over to true freshman (!) Sam Hartman who has looked very good in camp. Having said that, QB John Wolford was fantastic last season (29-6 TD to INT) and it remains to be seen how lethal this offense can be without Wolford leading the way. The offensive line looks great on paper and returns all five starters. They are also deep at RB but will miss the services of dangerous WR Scotty Washington (INJ). Tulane was average on defense last season allowing 29 PPG but they were roasted on the ground (210 YPG) and only bagged 14 sacks. They only return five starters to the stop unit and will be without their top-two tacklers from last season.
Tulane did well last season playing against “non-elite” offenses. It’s hard to see Wake ripping through the Green Wave defense with a true freshman making his first start BUT they will definitely get their points. A mistake or two here or there could be very costly because Tulane is going to have fun on offense as well.
Tulane offense vs Wake Forest defense
The Green Wave features a spread option attack that is tough to prepare for and difficult to stop. Mobile senior QB Jonathan Banks is a fine fit for the offense and is a very smart and dangerous runner. Overall, the Green Wave bring back nine starters on this side of the ball and even added stud LT Noah Fisher to the mix. Tulane has improved their PPG in three consecutive seasons (16.0, 19.7, 24.1, 27.5 LY) and will be a handful for all but the stingiest defenses on their docket. Wake Forest does not fit into that category as they allowed 457 (!) YPG last year and will be without a pair of rock solid LBs from last season’s team. That’s not ideal when facing the Green Wave spread option. Wake Forest will have to be very disciplined and force a couple of turnovers. Trying too hard to get up the field and disrupt timing can often lead to big plays.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
Tulane HC Willie Fritz is an impressive 42-28-3 (60%) vs the point spread as HC….Dave Clawson also does good work vs Vegas with a 65-48-2 (57.5%) mark vs the number…..Our Tulane INSIDERS tell us not to expect a repeat of the 2016 game with Wake Forest (7-3 SNOT BUBBLER in favor of the Deacs).
Summary
This is almost certainly going to be an entertaining game with both offenses holding the upper hand. Wake has the OL/RB combo that could easily dominate the game and Tulane has to find a way to avoid getting ripped apart on the ground. The young Wake QB looks like the real deal in practice but let’s see how it translates in game one. Tulane is a tough team to prepare for and getting a TD feels like a good play, particularly when considering the Demon Deacons’ defense does not appear to be anything special on paper.
Conclusion
Official play: Tulane +6 (line is widely available) (play down to +4.5)
Lean: Over 56.
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steve oh
ucf -23
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Adam Thompson
UCF -23.5
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Ben burns
I'm playing on GB/KC UNDER the total (3* TOTAL OF MONTH)
. Led by a pair of veteran coaches, these teams have nothing to prove. The #1 concern here is going to be avoiding injury. Reid's Chiefs allowed just six points in Week 4 of last preseason while McCarthy's Packers allowed just 10. Both ga‚mes finished with less than 37 combined points. Expect this one to do the same.
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Stephen Nover
2* Minnesota / New Mexico st under 46.5
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VegasGuysVIP
Reds over 9.5 *50
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Virgobbi Sports NFLX 2018
PIT -2.5 (-110)
GB-KC o36 (-109)
NE-NYG u38.5 (-121)
WAS-BAL u34.5 (-115)
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Sleepyj
3* Minnesota / New Mexico st under 46.5
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JR ODONNELL
3* Tulane +6
3* Philadelphia +1
3* Arizona +100(mlb)
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Arthur Ralph Sports
THURS Trophy Plays
Wash RedSkins + 6 1/2
Dodgers w/ Hill -130
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VegasInsiderTips
Atlanta Falcons - Miami Dolphins : U 36
Pittsburgh Steelers - Carolina Panthers : U 36
Arizona Cardinals - Denver Broncos : U 35.5
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XS SPORTS THURSDAY BASEBALL REGULAR PLAY (YESTERDAY 1-2)
Houston -1.5 -115
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XS SPORTS THURSDAY BASEBALL TOP PLAY (YESTERDAY 0-2)
Houston Under 8
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XS SPORTS THURSDAY NFL PRESEASON
Arizona -2.5 +105
Arizona Under 38.5
NY Giants Under 35.5
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Trace Adams
Thursday's Selection ...
For Thursday, Raise The Bar 1500♦ is the Tulane Green Wave as the home dog against Wake Forest. At 7:00 am eastern time, the Green Wave is the +6 point underdogs in Vegas and offshore. Special Note: If this line should creep up to either +6 1/2 or +7, I do advise buying the half-point up on Tulane.
Tricky spot for Dave Clawson's young Demon Deacons, as they will head to the Big Easy to face a Green Wave team where it will be anything but "easy" for Wake Forest to leave town with both the win and more importantly the cover.
Wake is replacing some key veterans from last year's bowl winning squad - won a thriller over Texas A&M - and they will have a freshman under center making this road start, as presumed starter Kendall Hinton has been suspended for the first three games of this season. That means Sam Hartman will be tasked with not only winning this game, but winning it by over a touchdown if you are interested in winning some sheckles on the Deacons.
Wake Forest was just 1-2 last season against the spread as the road favorite, and are just 1-3 in the last 5 seasons when listed as the road chalk. Clearly, not a role they have much familiarity with.
I am going to put my fazzoles on the Green Wave, as this is the third season for coach Willie Fritz at the helm, and he has experienced players - especially at the QB spot - back for this season's bid to go "bowling".
Fritz' first game as head coach was a 7-3 road loss in Winston Salem to Clawson and the Deacs back in 2016 as the double-digit road dog. This time around the Green Wave are the home dog, and they did go 4-1 last season at Yulman Stadium, including covering both as a home underdog.
Take the points here, and do not be surprised if there is a mild upset sprung by Tulane tonight.
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Ultra Sports
NFLX:
113 Carolina Panthers +2'
121 Los Angeles Rams +6
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Tony Chau-Sports Betting Champ
{A} LAA - Unofficial
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Dave Essler
3*TOW
Wake Forest / Tulane under
PLAY: UNDER Wake Forest/Tulane
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
This one is about how I see this game playing out. Wake just wants a win on the road here, they start a Freshman at QB who has zero pass attempts, ever. So, I don't see Clawson opening things up anytime soon, and Wake's offensive line has 131 career starts, so there's not reason not to run the ball. That's magnified by the fact that Tulane's defensive line is under sized. Tulane has a QB issue in the near future - they have an LSU transfer that Fritz said will play sooner rather than later, which has to put more pressure on Banks, which could cause him to try and do too much. These two teams played two years ago at Wake - the final score was 7-3. I'd love for that to be that case here, but I'll take a game in the 20's and be quite happy. Wake's defensive line is also very experienced, so I don't see the Green Wave putting up a ton of points.There's ALWAYS the potential for turnovers and short fields, but neither team did much of that last season - so, if Tulane keeps Dortch under control, this game stays under.
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Wayne Root Football
No Limit Chiefs
Millionaire Northwestern.
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Scoutspicks
MLB. 1230 start.
8 units on Brewers -140
Bill ScoutsPicks
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Wayne Root Baseball
Perfect Play Rockies
Millionaire Braves.
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
Great Lake Sports
MLB
3* #969 Seattle +140 (LeBlanc)
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Bettingresource
Aug 30: WTA Tennis: US Open: Bouchard - Vondrousova
Back: Vondrousova win Odds: 2.12
Risk: 8 Units Return:
Aug 30: NCAAF: Tulane - Wake Forest
Back: Tulane +6 Odds: 1.91
Risk: 8 Units Return:
Aug 30: NCAAF: Tulane - Wake Forest
Back: Over 57.5 Odds: 1.91
Risk: 8 Units Return:
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Northcoast late phones
CFB MQPP. Northwestern +1
NFLX
3.5*. Steelers Under 36 1/2
3*. Vikings +1
3*. Texans -4
MQPP. Falcons under 35 1/2
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Tom Stryker
27-10 ATS NCAA PRIMETIME ELITE BEST BET
Purdue
17-4 ATS NCAA ELITE DATABASE INVESTMENT
Minnesota
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Miller locks
7:00 pm est ncaaf
new mexico state vs. Minnesota
pick: Minnesota -22.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
7:30 pm est nfl
washington redskins vs. Baltimore ravens
pick: Baltimore ravens -6.5 (-115)
risk: 11 units
7:35 pm est mlb
chicago cubs vs. Atlanta braves
pick: Atlanta braves (-129)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
wake forest vs. Tulane
pick: Tulane +5.5 (-110)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
northwestern vs. Purdue
pick: Northwestern +2 (-110)
risk: 11 units
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Worlds Worst Picker
Northwestern +1
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Scoutspicks
10 units GOY play on Oakland 140
Bill ScoutsPicks
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Scoutpicks
Very Rare 8 unit Parlay.
NYY -320 to Houston-250.
8 units to win 6.5 units.
Got good information on these games.
Bill ScoutsPicks
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Kelso
N.F.L.X. 10 Miami KC
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Johnny Capone's Smart Plays...
NCAAF....Got a great play tonight fellas!! We always like to play the puppies especially when we may have the OUTRIGHT chance but we will take the GENEROUS points tonight and make the TULANE GREEN WAVE plus +7 an XX LARGE PLAY OF THE DAY!! Good luck and take care guys!!!
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Marco D'Angelo
3% MLB Mismatch
Houston -1.5
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