Friday 9/7/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games. 10
Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, September 7, 2018
9/07 07:10 PM PT / 10:10 PM ET
MLB (977) NEW YORK YANKEES VS (978) SEATTLE MARINERS
Take: (977) NEW YORK YANKEES
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Oakland w/Bassitt -160 Over Texas
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: Take CHICAGO CUBS/WASHINGTON UNDER the total of 9 runs
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Totals4U
Friday's Free Selection: Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets under 7
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Jeff Allen Sports
Friday's Free Selection is on the NY Yankees
Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee Brewers - 150
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#1 Sports
Friday's Free Selection: Minnesota Twins - 145
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Colorado Rockies w/Gray +135 over LA Dodgers
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Golden Dragon Sports
FREE WINNER for FRIDAY: Minnesota Gonsalves
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Milwaukee Anderson -157
Hawkeye Sports
Friday's Free Pick: Seattle Storm - 5 (WNBA)
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play FRI KC Royals w/Filmyer+135
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: Take LA DODGERS/COLORADO UNDER the total of 9½ runs
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Friday: Miami Marlins + 180
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John Anthony Sports
Friday's Free Selection: St Louis Cardinals - 150
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday: Take NY YANKEES/SEATTLE OVER the total of 7½ runs
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Friday, September 7, 2018
9/07 04:05 PM MLB (955) CHICAGO CUBS (J LESTER - L) VS (956) WASHINGTON NATIONALS (J ROSS - R)
Take : Cubs
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Roz Wins
Roz's Friday, September 7, 2018, Free Pick
09/07 04:10 PM MLB (967) BALTIMORE ORIOLES (D BUNDY - R) VS (968) TAMPA BAY RAYS (B SNELL - L)
Take : Rays -1.5 Runs
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Chris Jordan
My free winner for Friday night is on the Milwaukee Brewers on the Run Line over the San Francisco Giants.
MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.
That's because the Brewers' offense is heating up again, and the team has won seven of 10 behind a .278 batting average. Milwaukee has outscored foes by 19 runs along the way, and there is simply noway the Giants will keep up in this game. San Francisco is batting .195 over its last 10 games.
Look for Milwaukee's offense to be paced by Christian Yelich, who has 96 runs and 85 RBIs for the Brewers this season, and Lorenzo Cain, who has 13 hits and is batting .317 over his past 10 games.
All Brew Crew.
1* BREWERS RUN LINE
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Tommy Brunson
My Friday comp play is the Yankees an the Mariners to open their weekend series from Safeco Field with an Under as Masahiro Tanaka and James Paxton work deep into the night without giving up many runs.
Tanaka has absolutely owned the Mariners in his career, as he comes into tonight's assignment at 6-0 with a 2.34 ERA in his 7 career starts versus the M's. That includes a 3-0 mark in King County, with a 2,17 ERA at Safeco Field! This will be his first start of the season against Seattle.
Paxton came off the DL on Saturday, and fanned 10 Oakland hitters to earn the win. 7 of his last 10 starts have played Under the total. Against New York, he did strike out 9 Yankees, but allowed 4 runs to score in his 5 innings of work back in the month of June. That game did hold Under the total, as 4 of the last 6 series meetings between the teams have also held Under the posted price.
Weekend starts with an Under.
4* N.Y. YANKEES-SEATTLE UNDER
Ray Chadwick
For Friday, let's back the Horned Frogs in their "tune up" game for their big showdown at home with Ohio State next weekend, as TCU does what they want, whenever they want against cross-town rival SMU.
They call this the Iron Skillet battle, but it really has not been close, as the Horned Frogs have been the dominant side - 6 straight wins, none of them closer than 19 points - and they barely broke a sweat in last week's 55-7 romp over Southern.
Coach Patterson pulled the starters at half time in that one.
SMU could not get on the board last week until it was too late in their loss at North Texas. The Mustangs continue to leak on defense where they have allowed over 47 points per game in their last 5 losses dating back to last season.
TCU will be on boar early in this one, and often as well.
Horned Frogs big tonight, say 63-14.
5* TCU
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Cole Faxon
Sep 07 '18, 9:40 PM in 8h
MLB | Braves vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -152
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Mike Williams
Sep 07 '18, 8:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Angels vs White Sox
Play on: Angels +120
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Bobby Conn
Sep 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | TCU vs SMU
Play on: SMU +23½
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Jimmy Boyd
Sep 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | TCU vs SMU
Play on: UNDER 60½ -110
1* Free Pick on TCU/SMU UNDER 60.5
No surprise here that the public is pounding the OVER in this one. TCU put up 55 in their opener against Southern, while SMU saw a combined 69 points in their road loss to North Texas. Not to mention these two teams combined for 92 points in last year's meeting. I believe the value here is on the other side of the total.
SMU didn't score a point against North Texas until the 4th quarter and while they ended up allowing 46 to the Mean Green, North Texas had just one offensive touchdown in the first half of that game. As for TCU, you can't read much of anything with their offensive output against Southern, a team they were favored to beat by 50-points.
With this being a bit of a rivalry and the game being played at SMU, I think the Mustangs can keep the Horned Frogs from going off. Not to mention we might not see the most focused TCU team with that huge game against Ohio State on deck. Note the last time these two teams played at SMU, the two teams combined for just 36 points with a total of 68.
UNDER is 12-4 in TCU's 16 road games under head coach Gary Patterson, where they are coming a home game where they won as a favorite but didn't cover the spread. UNDER is also a perfect 6-0 in TCU's last 6 road games as a favorite and 7-3 in SMU's last 10 non-conference games. Take the UNDER!
Ryan Worden
Sep 07 '18, 10:10 PM in 9h
MLB | NYY vs SEA
Play on: OVER 7½ +105
Both of these pitchers have had very good seasons, and on paper this looks like a low scoring pitching duel. Tanaka has been very inconsistent and shaky at times in the last 6 weeks against some bad to mediocre teams and Seattle will be the best offense he's faced in weeks. On the other side, Shields also looked shaky in his last start allowing 4 walks and giving up a home run to Oakland after being on the disabled list for 3 weeks. That forearm injury may not be fully healed and this is the wrong offense to be facing if you aren't 100 percent.
We are getting a nice low total given these pitchers total body of work this season but a closer look shows a perfect time to take the Over. Take The OVER 7.5 Runs
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Info Plays
Sep 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | TCU vs SMU
Play on: UNDER 60½ -110
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Kenny Walker
Sep 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Cubs vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals +126
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Jack Jones
Sep 07 '18, 10:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Yankees vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -105 at MyBookie
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Seattle Mariners -105
It’s now or never for the Seattle Mariners. They cannot afford to fall behind the Yankees and A’s any further in the wild card race. And now they get a chance to host the Yankees for a three-game series with an opportunity to make up some ground on them, starting with Game 1 tonight.
The good news for the Mariners is that they’ll be sending their ace James Paxton to the mound. Paxton is 11-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 25 starts with 186 K’s in 144 1/3 innings. Paxton is also 5-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 11 home starts this year.
Masahiro Tanaka is 10-5 with a 3.90 ERA in 23 starts for the Yankees this season. In his last start at Seattle, Tanaka gave up 4 runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 5-6 loss to the Mariners, which came in July of 2017.
Seattle is 11-3 when revenging three straight losses against an opponent this season. The Yankees are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 1-8 in its last nine games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Mariners are 7-0 in Paxton’s last seven starts during Game 1 of a series. Bet the Mariners Friday.
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Cappers Club
Sep 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Marlins vs Pirates
Play on: Marlins +185 at betonline
Marlins +185
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Friday and in this game the value lies with the Marlins.
On the mound for the Marlins is Dan Straily who has been pitching really well as of late. In his last two starts he has given up only one run.
They do have a tough matchup against Chris Archer but at this price they are worth a serious look.
Back the Marlins
Ross Benjamin
Sep 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | TCU vs SMU
Play on: TCU -22 -110 at betonline
Dating back to last season, Ross has gone an incredible 21-5 (81%) L26 with his football (NCAAFB/NFL) picks. He’s also 9-0 L9 and 22-7 (76%) L29 with his NFL 10* Top Play picks. You get what you pay for from one of the world’s elite sports handicapping professionals.
TCU @ SMU 8:00 PM ET
Game# 301-302
Play On: TCU -22.0
TCU opened their season last Saturday with a convincing 55-7 home win over Southern University. The SMU Mustangs turned in a less than inspiring performance during last Saturday’s 46-23 loss at North Texas, and they didn’t come close to covering as a 3.0-point underdog. The combination of these 2 results and the current point-spread plays into an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below.
Any non-conference road favorite of 15.0 to 33.5-points (TCU) that’s coming off a win in which they allowed 16 points or fewer, versus an opponent (SMU) coming off a non-conference away underdog ATS loss while allowing 35 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 17-3 ATS (85%) since 1990.
I seldom opt to bet on a college football road favorite, let alone one that’s laying these many points. However, there are exceptions to every rule as it applies to sports betting. Bet on TCU minus the points for my Friday 9/7 free pick.
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Dustin Hawkins
Sep 07 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Orioles vs Rays
Play on: Orioles +244
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Brandon Lee
Sep 07 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Orioles vs Rays
Play on: Rays -1½ -105 at 5Dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Rays -1.5, -105)
I'll take my chances here with Tampa Bay on the -1.5 run line in Friday's series opener against the Orioles. I feel like this is a great spot to jump on the Rays off that ugly 10-3 loss to the Blue Jays on Wednesday. That was a rare loss for Tampa, as they come in with a 13-3 record over their last 16 games. It certainly helps they have their ace on the mound in Blake Snell, who is putting up Cy Young type numbers this season. Snell is 17-5 with a 2.02 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 26 starts. He's also a ridiculous 8-1 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.872 WHIP in 11 home starts. Good chance he shuts down this Orioles offense and I'm willing to bet the Rays offense can provide enough here to win by at least 2 runs. Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy has a 5.36 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 26 starts and a 8.79 ERA and 1.884 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Not to mention a 6.07 ERA in 8 career starts against Tampa Bay. Give me the Rays -1.5 (-105)!
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JTG SPORTS
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES/NEW YORK METS u7.5
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Total Winner Sports
BOSTON RED SOX +105
VIP Sports Lock Club
BOSTON RED SOX +105
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First Half Sports
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 +115
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Power Play Wins
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES ‑150
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Wise Guy Insider
MINNESOTA TWINS ‑140
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Team Underground
HOUSTON ASTROS ‑115
Pinnacle Sports Picks
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS ‑170
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MVP Lock Club
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5
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Best Sports Capper
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES ‑150
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Assassin Sports Betting
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ‑140
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R and R Totals
TEXAS CHRISTIAN HORNED FROGS/SOUTHERN METHODIST MUSTANGS u59.5
Picks 2 Play
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS ‑170