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Free NCAAFB, NFL & MLB Service Plays For Saturday 10/27/18

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(@shazman)
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Saturday 10/27/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Wednesday’s NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games.

 
Posted : October 27, 2018 9:11 am
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SAL MICHAELS
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State
Free Play on Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State over 58 -110
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COLE FAXON
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
UNLV vs. San Jose State
FREE PLAY on San Jose State -2½ -109
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TOTALS GURU
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
South Florida vs. Houston
Free Total Annihilator On South Florida vs Houston under 74½ -102
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ALEX SMART
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Georgia vs. Florida
Georgia-6½ -114

Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL

World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party”politically correct or not, that's what it is. Im also wondering if some of the pundits and maybe even the lines makers are not indulging themselves in some extensive pregame festivities and a little bit of Kool aid well in advance of this big time SEC tilt. From my perspective , I feel Georgia is the far superior side, and despite of Dan Mullins Florida playing better and also up trending in my power rankings charts, the Gators still have a long way to go before they can be considered viable national championship contenders like the Bulldogs. I know some of the luster was knocked off the Bulldogs when they were beaten by LSU a couple of weeks ago, as they did not match the intensity of a under rated group in an extremely hostile environment. But now with two weeks rest, you can bet the intensity and will to bounce back will be there. Im not saying that small miracles can't happen , as was the case when LSU lost to Florida, and Im certainly not saying the Gators won't be revved up to pull off another upset, Im just saying that Georgia is the superior team that we still have not seen the best of, and on national tv this Saturday afternoon the DAWGS could be hell bent on a bounce back of mammoth proportions with the no mercy rule put on hold. Investing in the sports markets is all about edges, and as we all know anything is possible on any given Saturday, but from a long term perspective Georgia has the edge on this type of short chalk line 9 out of 10 times irrespective of the location of the game. Right or wrong Im on Georgia to cover .

Georgia Fight song Lyrics: Glory, glory to old Georgia!
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RAY MONOHAN

Hawaii vs. Fresno Over 59

The last game on the board has value with a free move on Saturday.

Fresno State doesn't get any attention, but this team is quietly having a solid season.

With just 1 loss entering Saturday, the Bulldogs offer one of the top offenses in the entire nation. Averaging 38 points per game, Fresno State likes to move quickly and can strike with the big play on any given down.

Hawaii meanwhile is right there with them. Averaging nearly 35 a game, the Rainbow Warriors like to sling it all over the place and they know some shots will have to be taken if they hope to overcome this Fresno State team.

Expect fireworks in this one.

Back the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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JESSE SCHULE
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Washington vs. California

This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Washington Huskies.

The Huskies ran for 201 yards on 40 carries without star running back Myles Gaskins in a 27-13 home win over Colorado last week. They will play on the road this week, but against an inferior Cal team. The Bears have lost three of their four games against PAC12 teams, including double digit home losses to Oregon and UCLA. The Huskies should get Gaskin back this weekend, and that's not good news for the Bears. He scored two TDs in a 38-7 rout over California last year. Washington has won four straight at Berkley, and their last two wins at Cal were by a combined 63 points. The Bears have failed to cover the spread in all four of their home games this season. I like Washington to win big and run up the score here in this game.

Take WAS.

GL,

Jesse Schule
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:13 am
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STEVE JANUS
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Northern Illinois vs. BYU
1* Free Sharp Play on Northern Illinois +7½ -110
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EFF ALLEN
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
New Mexico State vs. Texas State
New Mexico State+3

Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday is on New Mexico State

Couldn't even consider laying points with Texas State who is winless against FBS competition this year and 1-6 overall. The Bobcats are horrific on offense and couldn't dream of trading points with the much more high octane Aggies who have posted 119 points the last three weeks. Sure NMSU gives up a lot of yards and points but stiff breezes have had success keeping the Bobs in check. New Mexico State straight up.
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LARRY NESS
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Washington vs. California
Washington-11½

My free play is on Washington at 6:30 ET.

Three schools have one loss in the Pac-12 North, Washington (4-1), Washington State (3-1) and Stanford (3-1). The 6-2 Huskies bounced back from an overtime loss to Oregon on Oct 13 with a 27-13 win over Colorado last Saturday. Meanwhile, the California Golden Bears snapped their three-game losing streak last Saturday, easily defeating the Oregon State Beavers, 49-7, this past Saturday. California improved to 4-3 (1-3 Pac-12) on the season. The series began in 1904, with Washington holding a 54-39-4 lead all-time.

RB Myles Gaskin is Washington’s all-time leading rusher but he could miss his second straight game due to a shoulder injury (Huskies expect him to be available for the team’s showdown against Stanford on Nov. 3. Despite playing without Gaskin last week, Salvon Ahmed, Kamari Pleasant and Sean McGrew served as more-than-capable replacements, helping Washington rush for a season-high 201 yards. QB Jake Browning sealed last week’s win with a 26-yard TD pass to Aaron Fuller, who has a team-high 42 receptions. The Huskies are allowing a league-low 15.6 points PPG (10th-best in the nation) and boast one of the top linebackers in the country in senior Ben Burr-Kirven, who recorded an interception and 15 tackles against Colorado, boosting his nation-leading total to 108.

Cal RB Patrick Laird recorded 241 all-purpose yards (193 rushing) and three TDs in last week's rout of the Beavers and it's possible that Cal's QB carousel ended last week, as redshirt freshman Chase Garbers likely earned another start after completing 17-of-26 passes for 234 yards and three TDs against Oregon State. Cal dominated Oregon State on both sides of the ball and easily finished the game out-gaining Oregon State by a 539-241 margin.

Cal held a players-only meeting the night before the Golden Bears ended a 14-game conference road losing streak at Oregon State and are seeking the school's first bowl game appearance since the 2015 season. Cal needs two wins in five games to become bowl eligible but likely will be underdogs in all of them. That starts right here, as No. 15 Washington opened as an 11 1/2-point favorite. Washington is back in control of its destiny in the Pac-12 North race ndt won't let this mediocre Cal team get in the way of upcoming showdowns with No. 25 Stanford (Nov 3) and its Apple Cup meeting with No. 14 Washington State on Nov 23. Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry
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JOSEPH D'AMICO

Saturday's NCAAF FREE WINNER; Texas A & M.

Game 173.

4:00 pm pst.

I am not impressed with the under-achieving, Bulldogs. They have lost 3 of their L4, both SU and ATS. In those 3 defeats, their offense accounted for a mere, 5.3 PPG. The Aggies come in here riding a 3-game SU win streak, well-rested, after having LW off, and revenge to motivate them, having lost the L2 in this series. Mississippi State QB, Nick Fitzgerald has been horrific, with more INT's than TD's (4/7). They will need to rely on their ground game, but facing the 2nd ranked rush defense in the nation is going to make it very tough to put points on the board. Texas A&M is 6-1 ATS the L7 on the road and 7-1 ATS the L8 overall. Take the Aggies. Thank you.
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FREDDY WILLS
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Washington vs. California
California+12

Live dog here in Cal in my opinion who gave Oregon a tough game at home and really outplayed them in the box score a few weeks ago, but they were -4 TO margin. Before last week they turned the ball over 14 times in a 3 game span. They finally went to the freshman QB Chase Garbers, who is a mobile QB threat, and I think Cal’s defense which is very underrated should keep them in the game as long as they don’t turn the ball over they will have a shot to win, because..

Washington’s offense just is not very good, and going up against a Cal defense that is #7 vs. the QB, #48 vs. the run. Washington’s Jake Browning really overrated, and this offense has had issues in the red zone. Washington -2 TO margin on the season and their defense has only force 9 TO’s in 8 games. Washington also has Stanford on deck
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Mark Roberts

ARMY/EASTERN MICHIGAN OVER
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:15 am
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Randy Chambers

WISCONSIN-
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Chris Ruffolo

ARKANSAS
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Andrew Jett

CLEMSON-
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BOBBY LIGS

Event: (187) PURDUE at (188) MICHIGAN STATE
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 27, 2018 12PM EDT
Play: MICHIGAN STATE -1.5 (-108)
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EXECUTIVE SPORTS

Event: (143) SO MISSISSIPPI at (144) Charlotte
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 27, 2018 2PM EDT
Play: SO MISSISSIPPI -7.0 (-110)

SO.MISS -7

So.Miss is 15-4 ATS in road games after outgaining their opponent by 225 or more yards in their previous game, and 22-6 ATS after outrushing them by 125 yards or more. Look for SoMiss to stay in contention for their division race of Conference USA.
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THE PREZ

Event: (207) NAVY at (208) NOTRE DAME
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 27, 2018 8PM EDT
Play: NOTRE DAME -23.5 (-108)

College Football Preview and Free Pick: Midshipmen vs Irish

Notre Dame and Navy square off in the longest intersectional rivalry in college football and do so away from home. The Irish and the Midshipmen will take the SDCCU Stadium field in San Diego on Saturday night for a game that is important to both squads. College Football Preview and Free Pick: Midshipmen vs Irish.

Game Preview

Vegas Rotation: (207) Navy vs (208) Notre Dame
Time and Date: 8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 27, 2018
Line: Notre Dame -23.5, 55
Venue: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California
TV Coverage: CBS

Navy Midshipmen

It is difficult to write and it is difficult to admit, at least for Navy faithful, that this is easily the least talented Midshipmen roster in over a decade. It takes a ton of recruiting and convincing for the coaching staff of Navy to sell their triple-option attack to blue-chip high school athletes.

Navy quarterback Garret Lewis, like his offensive 'mates, are run-first personnel. Lewis has 68 carries for 244 yards on the season. The Navy offense has attempted just 49 pass attempts on the season for a grand total of 346 yards with two touchdowns against one interception.

The Midshipmen average over 300 rushing yards per game on the legs of Malcolm Perry, Nelson Smith and Anthony Gargiulo.

Their young defense has struggled this season and they are vastly overmatched this Saturday against Ian Book and the Irish offense.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Since Book took over the starting field general roll for the Irish the offense has been uber dangerous. Book has led Notre Dame to an average of 46 points per events, this until the Irish stumbled in a game they were expected to dominate, versus the Pittsburgh Panthers.

In past seasons these two teams have played a large number of close games but this year is different. The talent level of the Irish on both sides of the ball are too much for an undermanned Navy squad.

Prediction

The Midshipmen started 2-1 this season but have since dropped four straight. The Notre Dame coaching staff has reminded the players of their lethargic effort against Pittsburgh two weeks ago. And the loss by Ohio State last Saturday has vaulted the Irish into a position to control their own destiny.

Free Pick is a play on the Irish minus the wood (-23.5)
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:17 am
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JACK JONES
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Kansas State +24.5

The Bill Snyder as an underdog theory isn’t dead yet. The Wildcats have proven that by going 3-0 ATS in their last three games as an underdog as they continue to be undervalued week after week. And they are certainly catching too many points once again here Sunday as 24.5-point dogs to Oklahoma. This is the final game that was left off my premium card, but it’s certainly premium pick worth.

Kansas State only lost 14-19 at home to Texas as 8.5-point dogs. They suffered another heartbreaking 34-37 loss at Baylor, but covered the spread as 3.5-point dogs. And then they upset Oklahoma State 31-12 as 8.5-point home underdogs. That’s their last three games, and then they had a bye to get ready for Oklahoma this week.

So the Wildcats will be fresh and ready to go for this one. Give Snyder two weeks to prepare for a team, and his teams are going to give a big, smart effort. That’s evident by the fact the the Wildcats are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week. Kansas State is also 21-7 ATS in its last 28 games as a road underdog.

I think Snyder is likely to use the formula that Army used to make them competitive against Oklahoma. Army controlled the ball for 45 minutes against Oklahoma. The end result was a 21-28 (OT) road loss as 28.5-point underdogs. Kansas State has the running game to try and do the same, and you can bet Snyder will make sure his quarterback doesn’t snap the ball until there are only a few seconds left on the play clock. That’s going to make it difficult for Oklahoma to cover this massive 24.5-point spread.

The Wildcats have certainly been a better than average running team this season. They have rushed for 192 yards per game and 4.6 per carry against teams that normally only allow 156 yards per game and 4.1 per carry. Oklahoma gave up 339 rushing yards to Army. Texas ran for 177 yards on them as well. The Wildcats have rushed for a combined 610 yards in their last two games, so they are winning at the line of scrimmage right now, and should win against this soft Oklahoma defense as well. Bet Kansas State Saturday.
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JOHN MARTIN
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Navy vs. Notre Dame
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Navy +24

I don’t think the bye week came at a very good time for Notre Dame. They built up a lot of momentum from their 7-0 start and were rolling. They are now ranked #3 in the country and certainly would have been getting a lot of media hype and compliments over their bye week. Don’t be surprised if they come out sluggish Saturday against a Navy team that has had their number in recent years. You know the Midshipmen are going to be up for this game as it’s their Super Bowl since they are just 2-5 on the season. But they are better than that record as they held late leads over SMU, Temple and Houston in recent weeks, but couldn’t finish the deal. They don’t have to win this game, they just have to stay within 24 to get us the cover, and I think they can. Navy is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Midshipmen haven’t lost any of the last five meetings by more than 17 points, and four were decided by 10 points or fewer. Give me Navy.
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R&R TOTALS

R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Saturday 10-27-18

OVER 51 -115 Iowa/Penn State
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BOBBY CONN
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Northern Illinois vs. BYU
1* Free Play on Northern Illinois +7 -110
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KENNY WALKER
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
South Florida vs. Houston
Houston-7
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DOUG UPSTONE
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State
Coastal Carolina-3 -115

On Saturday in college football, Play Against home teams like EASTERN MICHIGAN and GEORGIA STATE after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games, against opponent after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games. In the last five years, this spot is 25-3 ATS, 89.3 percent!
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:19 am
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SEAN MURPHY
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Arizona State vs. USC
USC-3

Saturday NCAAF Free play. My selection is on USC minus the points over Arizona State at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

Arizona State got off to a tremendous start this season, keyed by a big home win over Michigan State, but since then it's been all downhill as the Sun Devils have dropped four of their last five games overall. I don't see them digging themselves out of the hole on Saturday as they head to Los Angeles to face the Trojans. USC is fresh off a 41-28 loss at Utah last Saturday. There's no real shame in that loss as the Utes are the real deal. Keep in mind, prior to that, the Trojans had posted three consecutive victories. This is the stretch where they really need to make hay. After facing Arizona State they will travel to play Oregon State followed by games against Cal and UCLA. All four games are winnable before the regular season finale against Notre Dame. I simply feel we'll see USC put its best foot forward in this key Pac-12 matchup, and that should be enough to outlast an uneven Arizona State squad.
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CHIP CHIRIMBES

Chip's FREE NCAA Winner South Florida at Houston 3:30 ET

Cougars (-) over Bulls

A pair of power house offenses go at it where No. 20 South Florida (7-0) visits Houston (6-1) with both clubs 3-0 in AAC play. Last season the Bulls opened 7-0 (better even then my 5-0 100% with Games of the Year) as they are now and were derailed by the the Cougars 28-24 losing at home. Jerry called again, pointed out that his game fits his winning trend. When an unranked team Missouri is favored over a ranked No. 20 South Florida team...take the favorite and they are 8-1 89% ATS this season. Not without meter as Houston is 3rd nationally is sacks allowed with just four in seven games while 8th in passing offense at 321.3 yards per game. Lay-it take HOUSTON!
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INFO PLAYS
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Army vs. Eastern Michigan
1* Free Play on Army vs Eastern Michigan under 48½ -110
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MARK WILSON
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State
Free Play on Texas Tech +5 -110
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State
Free Play on Texas A&M +3 -109
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CALVIN KING
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas
[1%] Free Play on Arkansas +1
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:21 am
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ROSS BENJAMIN

Game# 145-146

Play On: TCU -13.5

Kansas enters this week with a 2-5 (.285) record. The Jayhawks only 2 wins have come against Rutgers and Central Michigan who’ve combined to go 2-15 (.118) this season.

TCU is coming off losses of 17-14 to Texas Tech and 57-27 against Oklahoma during its previous 2 games played. Those defeats dropped their season record to 3-4 (.428).

Any favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points that’s coming off 2 or more losses in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those favorites going 27-2 ATS (93.1%) since 2009. Bet on TCU minus the points for my Saturday 10/27 free pick.
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MIKEY SPORTS

Mikey Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 10-27-18

Purdue +1 1/2
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ROB VINCILETTI
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Tulane vs. Tulsa
Tulane+1 -109

The College comp play is on Tulane. Game 171 at 7:00 eastern. Tulane lost a a 10 point home favorite last week to SMU and that sets them up in a negative system that plays on conference road favorites at -2 or road dogs of less than 6 off a -7 or more conference home favorite loss by 4 or more. This system has cashed 12 of the last 13. Tulane pasted Tulsa by 34 last year. The Green Wave have covered 5 of 6 after allowing 280+ pass yards. Tulsa is 1-8 ats after passing for 170 or less yards and 1-6 ats vs losing teams. Look for Tulane to get the cash.
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Mike Wynn

Free Play: Free Tennessee/South Carolina Under 54 Points
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Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Duke/Pittsburgh under 45
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Atlantic Sports

Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Georgia State + 3 1/2
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:22 am
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#1 Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Charlotte 49ers + 7
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Platinum Plays

Free Pick the South Carolina Gamecocks -8 over Tennessee
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Hawkeye Sports

Early Saturday's Free Pick: New Mexico Lobos + 20
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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders - 5
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John Anthony Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: BYU Cougars - 6 1/2
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, October 27, 2018

CF (161) WASHINGTON STATE VS (162) STANFORD

Take: (162) STANFORD

Reason: Your free play for Saturday, October 27, 2018 is in the College football scheduled contest between Washington State and Stanford. Your free play is on the Stanford Cardinal.
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:24 am
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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY: USC -3½ over Arizona St
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Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, October 27, 2018, Free Pick

(185) IOWA VS (186) PENN STATE

Take : Iowa
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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Early Saturday Free Selection Is
Army +1
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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Saturday: Take TEXAS ST +1 over New Mexico St
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Golden Dragon Sports

FREE WINNER for Saturday
Maryland -17'
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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Purdue +1
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:26 am
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Arthur Ralph Sports

FREE play Sat Houston-7 CFB
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The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Saturday: Take OREGON/ARIZONA OVER the total of 65
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Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR SATURDAY - Texas/Oklahoma St OVER 61½
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(CFB)
Purdue
USC
Oregon
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
#137/8 W.Forest/Louisville Over
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#152 Utah State
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:27 am
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TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon
Home of the Dog Pound
#134 Pittsburgh
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Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#128 Virginia
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Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#130 Akron
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Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker

Free: #154 Colorado
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Valley Sports

#179 Texas
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Vegas Hotsheet

#172 Tulsa
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:29 am
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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Saturday, Oct. 27 is:

Florida +7 over Georgia.
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TOMMY BRUNSON

The underdog in Northwestern's games this year stands at 7-0 against the spread - the Wildcats covering all 3 as the dog.

The host in the series is 9-2 straight up, and 8-3 against the spread.

The Badgers are just 2-4 this season against the spread when laying the wood.

Based on the above, you take one look at today's 7-point impost, and your knee-jerk reaction is to jump all over Northwestern as the home dog today, but I think that would be a mistake. I think this line is a "sucker line", and I am here to talk you out of falling into this "trap".

Northwestern is now down to freshman RB - Isaiah Bowser toting the ball due to injuries in their backfield, and even with Bowser netting over 100 yards last week, I do not see the Wildcats controlling this game on the ground. QB - Clayton Thorson is not a mobile quarterback, and that has been the Achilles Heel of the Badgers - facing the dual threat signal-caller. Thorson's game plays into the strength of Wisconsin.

The winner of this game holds the inside track to rep the West Division of the Big Ten, but after struggling to get past lowly Rutgers, 18-15 last week, and needing a dramatic OT field goal to beat then winless Nebraska the week before, maybe this 7-point line is indeed accurate.

I prefer the Badgers today even with Alex Hornibrook going to sit this one out in concussion protocol. Look for RB - Jonathan Taylor to bang away for another 100 yard game on the ground.

Lay the wood with Bucky Badger today in Evanston.

1* WISCONSIN
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RAY CHADWICK

For Saturday's comp play, going to put on my lumberjack shirt and chop some wood with the in-need-of-a-blowout Colorado Buffaloes in their homecoming game versus Oregon State.

Colorado is back home after Pac 12 road losses at USC and Washington, but they should be able to get their offense rolling once again versus the beleaguered Beavers defense that has allowed 49, 56 and 52 points over their last 3 games, and are just 2-4 versus the line this season in the underdog role, failing their last pair.

Steven Montez and the Buffs offense should be able to score at will on the Beavers, and CU has covered conference home games already against Arizona State and UCLA.

There is a reason the Buffs made this their homecoming game this season, as the fully expect to blow out Oregon State and have the home crowd leave Folsom Field in a very good mood.

Big price, but no choice here except lay it.

3* COLORADO
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TOMMY BRUNSON

Comp play for Saturday, let's take the big home underdog Miners of UTEP as they play host to the blazin' Blazers of UAB.

UAB enters at 6-1 both straight up and against the spread, and in reality they have more than enough to take care of business against the injury-riddled and winless (0-7 straight up) Miners, but you have to admire the job first year coach Dana Dimel has done in El Paso, as his team has not been a pushover at all.

UTEP enters with 3 straight covers, including giving both Louisiana Tech and North Texas major scares the past 2 weeks as the double-digit underdog.

You play against the UAB Blazers at you own peril, as Bill Clark has a special team this year, but perhaps after their huge homecoming win over North Texas last weekend, UAB will leave that back door open just a little allowing the Miners to sneak in and grab the bacon.

UTEP to cover another.

3* UTEP
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KYLE HUNTER
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
UAB vs. UTEP
UTEP+16

*3 Star Free Pick* The UAB Blazers have been tremendous this year. Bill Clark is a really good coach. UAB is coming off a nice win over North Texas last weekend, and that win gives them a clear path to the conference title game.

UTEP has lost 19 straight games. The Miners looked hapless all of last year though, and this year they are showing some major signs of life. In their last four games, they have outgained their opponent three times. UTEP nearly upset North Texas at home two weeks ago as a 26 point home underdog (they lost by 3 points). They then went to LA Tech, who is another very good team in Conference USA, and lost by only 7 points as a 22 point underdog.

UAB is 6-1 ATS on the season thus far, and the oddsmakers are high on them now. They aren't flying under the radar anymore. I think UAB is a good team, but I think this is about as bad of a spot as you could find for them. Why would they be motivated to beat down UTEP after beating 2 of the Conference USA favorites in the last three weeks?

I'll take the improving Miners to cover the big number at home.
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BLACK WIDOW
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Purdue vs. Michigan State
Michigan State+1
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:40 am
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HUNTER PRICE
NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Oregon vs. Arizona
1* Free Pick on Oregon -9½ -110
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DAVE PRICE

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:

1* on SMU +9

The Key: The SMU Mustangs are starting to play some great football under first-year head coach Sonny Dykes. They have won 3-1 in their last 4 games with their only loss coming on the road to unbeaten UCF. They should be able to hang with an overrated Cincinnati team that finally tasted defeat last week in a 17-24 (OT) loss at Temple. I think the Bearcats could be primed for a hangover following that defeat. They took advantage of an easy early schedule to get to 6-0 and they’re clearly nowhere near as good as most 6-1 teams would be at this point. But they are getting respect from the books now. They have to beat SMU by double-digits to beat us, and I’m just not seeing it. The Bearcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 conference games. Take SMU.
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BRANDON LEE

10* NCAAF FREE PICK (Syracuse +2.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a home dog against the Wolfpack. I went against NC State last week as a big dog against Clemson, as I just didn't feel this team was anywhere close to as good as their record or ranking. I still feel the same way about this team. I don't think they have any business being a road favorite against Syracuse.

The Orange are coming off an exciting 40-37 win at home over North Carolina and have to be thinking about a 10-win season. If they can win here, they have to like their chances at Wake, at home against Louisville and at BC. Add in a bowl win and they finish 10-3. Whether or not that happens, I think this team is going to be jacked up for this game.

I don't have the same feeling about NC State, who really went into that Clemson game thinking they had a chance. Losing the way they did has to be tough to swallow and hard to bounce back from. If they come out flat, things could get ugly in what will be a rowdy Carrier Dome Saturday night.

Even if I knew NC State was going to put everything they had into this game, I still would like the Orange as a home dog here. Give me Syracuse +2.5!
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BEN BURNS
NBA | Oct 27, 2018
Bulls vs. Hawks
Hawks-5

Last night, I won my October "Game of the Month" on Charlotte over Chicago, moving to 5-1 YTD with top NBA sides. As you're likely aware and as I mentioned last night, the Bulls are currently a mess. As expected, the Hornets ran them out of the building. If interested, here's an excerpt from that writeup:

These teams just faced each other, at Chicago, on Wednesday. Playing on their home floor, the Bulls were able to eke out a 2-point win. All is not currently well in Chicago, however, as the team is dealing with some key injuries. Markkenen, Dunn and Valentine are all very important for this team and all remain out. The Bulls were able to overcome those injuries at home. On the road, against a determined revenge-minded opponent, is going to prove a different story. Now, Portis is also out. That leaves them extremely thin in the frontcourt. Parker will be expected to do a lot but he's not 100% healthy himeself and is hardly up to the task. Hutchinson is not likely to cut it either. At 2-3, Charlotte coach James Borrego knows his team can ill afford another loss here. Off Wednesday's loss, Borrego commented: "My tendency right now is to go make changes all over the place. But we've got to stay disciplined, we've got to stay poised." The Hornets have had real trouble at Chicago. They beat the Bulls by 15 the last meeting here though. Expect Borrego's team to "stay poised" en route to another double-digit blowout win.

Now, still dealing with the key injuries to Markkenen, Dunn, Valentine and Portis, the Bulls are playing the second of b2b road games and their third game in the past four days overall. They'll face a well-rested Atlanta team which is off b2b victories and coming in with some momentum. The Hawks hammered the Cavs by 22 at Cleveland two games ago. I played on them in their last game and they rallied to beat the Mavs by seven. Consider laying the points with the "healthier" and "fresher" home team.
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Lasvegasmoneymachine

NCAA Football SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS ‑2.5
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Monster Sports Picks

NCAA Football SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS ‑2.5
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:42 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58609
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Randy Chambers

PELICANS
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Kyle Compeau

BOSTON NHL
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Chris Ruffolo

DODGERS
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ERIC SCHROEDER

I always get a kick out of people who complain about their jobs, but never do anything to change the culture around them. They stay in misery and blame the world for the problems they can correct if they'd simply shut their mouths and do their jobs - period.

Enter UNLV coach Tony Sanchez.

He's a team-first guy, always has been.

But during the Rebels' last three losses, he's pinned issues on his running back, his secondary and last week the entire team. Not once did he use his traditional "we have to prepare them better line," after the game. Even if you feel the way you do, you share that with the players behind closed doors, not whine about it elsewhere.

But, that's where we are with UNLV, and herein lies the problem that has always been symptomatic with this program. The Rebels looked like a team that was headed to a bowl game, instead I wouldn't be surprised if Sanchez is headed to the unemployment line, and back to coaching high school after this season.

It's true UNLV counts on one of the more prolific running games in the country, but this is a team that hasn't been all that impressive the last three games. Not like it had been. Last week it looked better through the air against Air Force, but still lost at home. The team misses quarterback Armani Rogers, and after seeing QB Max Gilliam's potential, he has letdown written all over this contest in San Jose.

The Spartans are pretty bad, still searching for a win. But there isn't going to be a good chance for one after this week. If there is one game they're looking at as a contest they can steal at least one victory this season - it's against UNLV.

The Rebels, on the other hand, could very well overlook the Spartans, and get caught slipping. I see UNLV making San Jose's offense looking very good, as the Rebels have the 115th ranked (out of 130) defense, including the 114th rushing D. UNLV allows 37.3 points per game, 14th-worst in the nation.

UNLV has allowed its last three opponents to score 50, 59 and 41 points - and two of them were at home.

Take the Spartans on the Moneyline here.

2* SAN JOSE STATE MONEYLINE
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JACK BRAYMAN

My free winner for Saturday is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points against the Oklahoma State Cowbooys. And as I will always do with favorites laying anywhere between -3 and -4 1/2, I want you buying the half point down.

Here's the deal, Texas (6-1 overall, 4-0 Big 12) comes in riding a six-game winning streak that includes a victory over No. 8 Oklahoma, and vying for a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game. With just one loss, there is even an outside shot at gaining a berth in the College Football Playoff. The motivation to win big, and impressively, against the rest of the slate is there for the 'Horns.

On the flipside, with Oklahoma State (4-3, 1-3), we have a team that steps back on to the field after a much-needed week off following back-to-back losses. This team had hopes getting to the conference title game fly out the window, and while I know the only thing left is gaining bowl eligibility, I don't see the Pokes hanging with this team.

Texas' passing game is too good for Oklahoma State's inexperienced secondary.

I expect Texas receivers Lil'Jordan Humphrey and Collin Johnson to torch Oklahoma's defensive backfield, which features two freshmen and two sophomores. The Cowboys rank 97th in the nation in passing defense, and it won't matter who starts under center for the 'Horns: Sam Ehlinger or Shane Buechele.

Triple-revenge is in place in this game, as Texas leads the series 24-8, but Oklahoma State has won the last three meetings. But this year is different, and the Longhorns are on a mission.

Lay the road chalk.

1* TEXAS
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:47 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58609
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

CHRIS JORDAN

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish had a bye week to prepare for the triple option, and now they'll get a chance to show why they're fully deserving of being in the college football playoff conversation. I don't trust the Navy Midshipmen on either side of the ball, and see them losing badly in San Diego.

Let's start with Navy, which is 2-5 on the year with wins against Memphis and Lehigh. Needless to say, the Midshipmen are struggling more than usual under coach Ken Niumatalolo. We're heading into their eighth game and the quarterback job is still up in the air. That's not good, even for a team that runs the ball more than a high-school football team in the Midwest.

Navy is a team that obvioulsy likes to play keep away, employing its triple option to monopolize time of possession. But against a talented team like Notre Dame, the Middies are going to need luck moving the chains in order to maintain possession. Forget for a moment Navy ranks 62nd in third down conversion, now it faces a defense that ranks 29th in the country, and 30th against the rush.

Notre Dame is far too balanced - with the 47th best offense - to squander away a game when it is undefeated and headed toward a playoff berth.

Lay the chalk, as Notre Dame dominates on both sides of the ball.

4* NOTRE DAME
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JOHN RYAN

NCAA-F | Oct 27, 2018
Clemson vs. Florida State
UNDER 50

John Ryan Sports Research Report
The Play and the Matchup
UNDER Clemson-Florida State (205-206)
CLEMSON (7 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 3)
Week 9 Saturday, 10/27/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 5-star wager on the UNDER, which is currently lined at 49.5-points.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the defenses top play well and will contain each offense to 5.0 or less yards-per-play. IN past road games installed as a favorite, the Clemson Tigers are 6-1 ‘UNDER’ when both teams gain less than 5.0 YPPL. FSU is 56-3 ‘UNDER’ at home under these same performance measures. The ACC as a conference is a whole when a team is installed as a favorite under these projections has produced a 42-1-1 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 80% and went ‘UNDER’ the posted total by an average of 10.3 PPG.
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Tys Terrific Tips

NCAA Football BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS ‑6.5
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OSKEIM SPORTS

Event: (201) TEXAS TECH at (202) IOWA STATE
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 27, 2018 12PM EDT
Play: TEXAS TECH 5.5 (-106)

Texas Tech is undervalued in the betting market as my math model only favors the Cyclones by 2.13 points. Moreover, the Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games, 4-1 ATS in their last five conference affairs and 4-1 ATS in their previous five road tilts.

I also like the fact that the underdog is an 80% ATS winning proposition in this series, while the road team in 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these squads.
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DWAYNE BRYANT

Event: (161) WASHINGTON STATE at (162) STANFORD
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 27, 2018 7PM EDT
Play: Total Under 53.5 (-110)

My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Points Scored = 50
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Posted : October 27, 2018 9:49 am
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