Free NCAAFB, NFL & MLB Service Plays For Sunday 10/14/18

ANDRE RAMIREZ
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Bills vs. Texans

BILLS +11

The Bills face a banged-up Texans team that has found its groove in the last two weeks with wins against Indianapolis and Dallas. Last week’s win against Tennessee boosted the Bills’ confidence, but the Bills have to ramp up their passing game, which is last in the NFL (121.8 yards), and continue to create offense on the run. The Texans have struggled in the red zone, but could get some reprieve against the Bills, who are 29th in red-zone defense (20 percent). Watson plans to play Sunday against the Bills, which will make the Bills’ task more difficult. Texans 19-14.
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SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Bills vs. Texans
Free Play on Texans -10 -109
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COLE FAXON
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Jaguars vs. Cowboys
FREE PLAY on Cowboys +3½ -105
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BOBBY CONN
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Cardinals vs. Vikings
1* Free Play on Cardinals/Vikings over 43½ -110
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JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Baltimore Ravens -2.5

I’ve been fading the Tennessee Titans with regularity this season. That includes last week when I was on the Bills +5.5 in their outright upset of the Titans. And I keep coming back to the same thing with this Titans team. They are overrated because of their 3-2 record, and they simply cannot move the football on offense. That’s why I’ll gladly lay the 2.5 points with the Ravens this week.

The Titans are averaging just 17.4 points and 294 yards per game this season. They rank 29th in scoring offense and 29th in total offense. Marcus Mariota is short on weapons since losing TE Delanie Walker, and they just cannot get their run game going. They also have injuries on the offensive line that aren’t helping matters right now.

The Ravens are a complete team this year. Their offense is one of the most improved in the league. They are 11th in scoring offense at 26 points per game and also 11th in total offense at nearly 400 yards per game. Not to mention, the Ravens are 1st in scoring defense at 15.4 points per game and 3rd in total defense at 304 yards per game.

The Titans could easily be 0-5 instead of 3-2 right now. All three of their wins came by exactly 3 points. They have been outgained in four of their five games, with the only exception being the one yard they outgained the Jaguars by. And that was a game Jacksonville clearly didn’t show up for after beating the Patriots the previous week. They were outgained by 154 yards in their 3-point win over the Titans. They were also outgained by 35 yards in their 3-point win over the Eagles in which they miraculously erased a 17-3 deficit. This team is winning with smoke and mirrors, and it won’t continue.

The Ravens are clearly an elite team. They have outgained four of their five opponents this season all by 49 yards or more. And the only time they were outgained was last week by a mere 6 yards in their overtime loss to the Browns. That’s a Browns team that could easily be 5-0 right now. That loss will have the Ravens coming back this week highly motivated for a victory. And their only other loss was on the road against the Bengals on a short week on Thursday night football. Well, Thursday home games are 5-0 this season, so that was an extremely difficult spot for them.

The Ravens are 16-6-4 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Baltimore is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning record. The Titans are 17-41-1 ATS in their last 62 vs. AFC opponents. John Harbaugh is 43-29 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of Baltimore. Bet the Ravens Sunday.
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KENNY WALKER
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Cardinals vs. Vikings
Cardinals+10½
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JIMMY BOYD

1* Free Pick on Rams/Broncos UNDER 52

The total here has been set way too high. With the way the Rams have been scoring points and the OVER cashing each of the last 3 weeks, the public will be lining up to take the OVER, especially given the Broncos come in having allowed at least 27 points in each of their last 3.

While they did allow 27 to Chiefs at home on MNF in Week 4, they really held Mahomes and that KC offense in check for 3+ quarters. It took some ridiculous plays (left-handed throw) by Mahomes for the Chiefs to get to 27. I think that Denver defense will have a similar strong showing here at home against the Rams high-powered attack.

What most people will fail to check is the forecast for this game. Mother Nature figures to lend a helping hand in slowing down LA, as temps are expected to be well below freezing (24-25 degrees), with a slight chance of snow.

As for the Rams defense, expect a better showing here against Case Keenum, as the last 3 poor showings by the defense have come against Philip Rivers, Kirk Cousins and Russel Wilson. Denver hasn't score more than 23 since their opener and I expect that trend to continue here.

UNDER is 11-2 in the Broncos last 13 after giving up 25 or more in 3 straight games and 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs a team with a winning road record. UNDER is also 9-3 in the Rams last 12 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER!
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SEAN MURPHY
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Ravens vs. Titans
Ravens-2½

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Tennessee at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.

I’ll lay the short number with the Ravens on Sunday afternoon, even in a tough spot playing their third straight road game. I like the bounce-back nature of this one for Baltimore, and also the fact that it will be looking to avenge a narrow field goal loss at the hands of the Titans last season. While both teams check in with identical 3-2 records, I believe Baltimore has a lot more upside. The Ravens simply weren’t able to make enough plays on offense in order to secure a win in Cleveland last Sunday. I do anticipate more efficiency from that unit here but the real story should be the Baltimore defense which draws a favorable matchup against a limited Titans offense. The Ravens defense is a different unit with cornerback Jimmy Smith back on the field. He returned last week and it should come as no surprise that they kept the Browns offense at bay for four quarters and then some. After falling just short in that game, I’m anticipating another strong performance from the defense here. To be quite honest, I’m not sure the Ravens will have to do much offensively in order to secure an important road victory.
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BLACK WIDOW
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Colts vs. Jets
Jets-2
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INFO PLAYS
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Bills vs. Texans
1* Free Play on Bills +8½ -110
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CHIP CHIRIMBES

Seattle vs Oakland (London) 1:00 ET

Raiders (+) over Seahawks

Golly, I hate to play on either of these two teams as I think that they both stink. Yes, even the Seahawks who are supposed to contend for a playoff spot (I don't see how). Oakland has so many weaknesses that their coach has to be patient. John Gruden has a 10-year deal and the Oakland management is gearing for the 2020 season when they are supposed to play in las Vegas so there is not much pressure on Gruden to show results at this time. But, he does want to win and playing Seattle in Oakland is a reward. Seahawks has lost their 'mojo'...play OAKLAND!
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MARK WILSON
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Bucs vs. Falcons
Free Play on Falcons -3½
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MARC LAWRENCE

Play - Cleveland Browns (Game 254).

Edges - Browns: 6-0 ATS in this series, including 3-0 at home … Chargers: 0-4-1 ATS as favorites in Eastern Time Zone cities; and 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in 3rd away games of the season … We recommend a 1* play on Cleveland. Thank you and good luck as always.
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RICKY TRAN
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Bucs vs. Falcons
Ricky's Free NFL play on the Over 57:

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the Bucs defense (ranked dead last in NFL) is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- The Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games overall.

- The Over is 4-0 in the Falcons last 4 games overall.

- The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

Verdict: Take Over
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DENNIS MACKLIN

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, October 14, 2018 is on the Ravens/Titans Under

This is a classic battle of the two of the league's better defenses against two pedestrian offenses that rock pedestrian at best offense that feature PK as two of their most dangerous weapons. Both teams are coming off losses, the Ravens 12-9 vs. an improved outfit and the Titans a 13-12 debacle to the hard trying Buffalo Bills. Envision much of that type of play here with all the "action" coming between the 20s and the points coming three at a time. Play the under.
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TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Bucs vs. Falcons
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Falcons (FREE PLAY)

It’s all hands on deck for the underachieving Falcons as they look to break a three-game slide. Tampa is also trending in the incorrect direction, it comes in off back-to-back losses and it returns from its bye week with a new QB under center. “New” in that Jameis Winston is going to finally see his first action of the season. Winston is being “thrown to the wolves” here in my estimation though, as this is a “must win” game for ATL if it has any hopes at all of competing in the postseason this year. I expect Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan to have a big day (even the Bears’ Trubisky destroyed the Bucs this season with six touchdown passes, all through the air.) Additionally note that Tampa is a poor 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 on the road.

T.M. Prediction: 33-24 Falcons.
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ART ARONSON

This is a 1* Free Play on the LA Rams.

LA comes in off a tough 33-31 road win in Seattle and remains unbeaten. We think that streak continues at Mile High with a convincing victory Sunday afternoon. Denver enters off a terrible 34-16 loss to the Jets. We have a hard time seeing the Broncos’ “on again, off again” defense slowing down Rams’ QB Jared Goff, who has 1,727 passing yards and a 12:4 TD:INT already. The Broncos gave up over 300 yards rushing last week as well, which doesn’t bode well facing LA RB Todd Gurley, who had 77 rushing yards last week and who also already has 415 receiving yards. Overall the Rams are averaging 34.6 points and allowing 19.6. The Broncos are averaging 20 PPG and they’re allowing 26.2. Note as well that the Rams are 6-4 ATS in their last ten non-conference games, while the Broncos are just 4-5 ATS in their last nine non-conference contests. While LA couldn’t cover the spread on the road last weekend, the conditions seems right for a big blowout this time around. Consider the RAMS on Sunday afternoon.

AAA Sports
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JOSEPH D'AMICO

Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: New England Patriots.

Yes, Kansas City is 5-0, but the only top-tier team they have faced was Pittsburgh, whose defense has more leaks than the Titanic. New England is starting to heat up with 2 consecutive wins and covers. Brady has more weapons than just Gronkowski. He has a backfield comprised of Michel and dual-threat, White, along with a new deep threat in Gordon, who will eat up the 31st ranked pass defense of the Chiefs. Throw in the revenge factor (Pats lost last September meeting, 42-27), and I must lay the points with a New England team that is 35-14-2 ATS the last 51 at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you.
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JOHN MARTIN
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Jaguars vs. Cowboys
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Dallas Cowboys +3

The Jaguars just haven’t been the same since losing Leonard Fournette to a hamstring injury. And Fournette is expected to sit out this week, too. They have lost two of their last three games with their only win coming at home against the lowly Jets. They lost at home to the Titans 6-9 as 10-point favorites as they managed just 232 total yards in that defeat. And they also lost 14-30 at Kansas City last week. Blake Bortles is being asked to do more than he’s comfortable with. The Jaguars have turned the ball over nine times the last three weeks, including five against the Chiefs last week. The Cowboys are 2-0 at home this season with wins over the Giants and Lions. They are much better at home and should not be underdogs here to the Jaguars. Jacksonville is 16-31 ATS in its last 47 non-conference road games. Dallas is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in its previous game. Give me the Cowboys.
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ROSS BENJAMIN

Colts @ Jets 1:00 PM ET

Game# 259-260

Play On: Under 45.5

The Colts are coming off a 38-24 loss at New England in their previous game and 2 weeks ago suffered a 37-34 home defeat versus Tennessee.

The Jets lost 31-12 at Jacksonville 2 weeks ago and then rebounded for last Sunday’s 41-17 home win over Denver. The Jets will enter Sunday’s game with a 2-3 (.400) record. Since 12/6/2015, the Jets are 8-1 under the total as a favorite and when there’s a total of 48.5 or less.

Any NFL non-division underdog (Colts) with a total of 43.0 to 49.0 that’s playing after Game 3 of their season, and they allowed 35 points or more in each of their previous 2 contests, versus an opponent (Jets) who allowed 12 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they (Jets) own a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those games going 25-3 (89.3%) under the total since 1988. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Sunday 10/14 NFL free pick.
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ASA

NFL PLAY ON Washington +1 over Carolina, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

This game opened with Washington -2.5 and has been bet down all week. The majority of the bets are sitting on Carolina and we feel this move is a major overreaction to what happened on Monday night. Washington looked terrible in front of the entire world on Monday Night football losing 43-19 @ New Orleans. The Redskin defense that had been playing very well was torched by Drew Brees as he threw only 3 incompletions (26 for 29) and set the all time NFL passing yards record on Monday. It was the first time Washington has been outgained in a game this season. The Skin defense has now faced Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees in their last 3 games. Despite their struggles vs Brees, they fared quite well vs Rodgers (265 yards) and Luck (179 yards) and we expect them to perform well vs the inaccurate Cam Newton (18th among starters in completion percentage and 27th in yards passing on the season). The Redskins are 1-1 on the season at home beating Green Bay by 14 and losing to Indy but outgaining them by 53 years. Carolina has played just one road game this season losing by 7 @ Atlanta which is the Falcons only win this season. Last week at home the Panthers struggled to beat the NY Giants 33-31 kicking the game winning FG as time expired. The Panthers were outgained by over 80 yards in that game and we’ve seen how poorly the Giants have played this year including getting creamed at home on Thursday night vs the Eagles. For the season Carolina is 3-1 but they are averaging just 5.8 YPP and allowing 6.7 YPP. Now we’re getting Washington off an embarrassing loss at home in a near pick-em game vs an overrated Carolina team. We feel this line should be -3 or higher for Washington so we’ll take the value with the Redskins.
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LARRY NESS

My free play is on the Ten Titans at 4;25 ET.

The Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans are each 3-2. The Ravens were the NFL's lone unbeaten team in the preseason (5-0) and then crushed Buffalo 47-3 in Week 1 However, Baltimore is just 2-2 since, despite owning the NFL's stingiest defense, one allowing only 15.4 PPG (Ravens rank third in yards allowed, at 303.8 per). In Mike Vrabel, the Titans feature one of seven new head coaches in 2018. He's one of just two with a winning record, joined by Chicago's Nagy (Bears are 3-1). Each of Tennessee's first five games in 2018 have ended within a TD at the finish, with the last four tending in three, 3-point wins (one in OT) and a 13-12 loss in Week 5. An offense that is averaging just 17.4 PPG (29th), is a big part of the problem.

Baltimore's "D" was up to the challenge last week but its offense underachieved in a 12-9 overtime loss at Cleveland. The Ravens had 25 FDs and 410 total yards but did not get into the end zone, settling for three FGs. Offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg would like to see his team improve its attention to detail. "There are some things that you have to do to win a game, and then there are some things that you just have to stay away from or you give the game away, and we did several of those things," Mornhinweg told reporters. "Just big picture, the thing, we talked about it as a team. If you look at it, the last two ball games, we’ve fumbled down there on the goal line and thrown an interception on the goal line. These are things that good teams just stay away from." Defensively, Baltimore also allowed 342 yards passing and a TD to Browns rookie QB Baker Mayfield. A breakdown in the secondary led to a long play downfield in overtime, setting up the game-winning, 37-yard FGlby Greg Joseph with two seconds remaining.

Tennessee QB Titans Marcus Mariota is hoping to improve on his 14-of-26 performance for 129 yards and an interception in last week's 13-12 loss at Buffalo. He's been slowed by an injury (has played in four games, starting three) and enters with a putrid 72.3 QB rating (2 TDs / 4 INTs / 676 passing yards). The running game hasn't helped much, averaging 107.2 YPG (17th) on 3.7 YPC. The defense may be underrated, ranking 4th by allowing 17.2 PPG and 7th in yards allowed (333.2 per).

Yes, the Tennessee offense is a "work in progress" but I won't ignore the fact that the Ravens have gone over 123 minutes of game time without scoring a TD. In fact, after starting the season 13 of 13 in the red zone, the Ravens haven't scored a TD since the first quarter of Week 4 in Pittsburgh, the NFL's longest active streak. The Titans are 2-0 SU and ATS at home in 2018, including a 26-23 win over the defending champion Eagles. No reason for them not to beat the Ravens, as well.

Good luck...Larry
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Bears
Vikings
Titans
Patriots
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Kyle Compeau

CHIEFS+
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Andrew Jett

CHIEFS+
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Randy Chambers

JAGUARS
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VEGAS SYNERGY

Event: (255) Chicago Bears at (256) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 14, 2018 1PM EDT
Play: Chicago Bears -3.0 (-108)
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EXECUTIVE SPORTS

Event: (269) Los Angeles Rams at (270) Denver Broncos
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 14, 2018 4PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Rams -7.0 (-103)

LA RAMS -6.5

Yesterday's Free Play on Nebraska +4 cashed here. Now in the NFL let's go with the Hot 5-0 Rams. Denver is 0-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 yards or more per game. They are 0-6 ATS as an Underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. They are 2-11 ATS after a loss. RAMS by 14.
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ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Steelers vs. Bengals
Bengals-1½

The NFL Comp play is on the Cincy Bengals at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals have raced out to a 4-1 start and are off a nice come back win over Miami last week winning by 10 after trailing by 17. In fact home favorites off a home favored win and cover by 10 or more Have covered 91% if they were trailing at the half. Cincy has covered 8 straight vs AFC Teams. The Steelers are 0-8 ats off a win ad 1-6 ats after scoring 30 or more. The Bengals have the running game and the passing game to put up points with Pittsburgh and are a shade better on defense. Look for The Bengals to emerge with a win and cover.
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SEAN HIGGS
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Ravens vs. Titans
Titans+3 -125

Taking the TITANS as my FREE PICK today. 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS last 9 at home. Ravens playing 3 straight road game. We had them in that big win over the Steelers. Laid off last week's tough division battle with an improved Browns team. Think they fade in the 2nd half today. TENNESSEE TITANS for the win.
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Mike Wynn

Free Play: Houston -10 Over Buffalo
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Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Buffalo/Houston under 41
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Atlantic Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Indianapolis + 2 1/2
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Platinum Plays

Free Pick the Jacksonville/Dallas Game OVER 40 Points
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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Sunday: Take CAROLINA/WASHINGTON OVER the total of 44½
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Golden Dragon Sports

FREE WINNER for SUNDAY: Chicago -4
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Hawkeye Sports

Early Sunday's Free Pick: San Jose Sharks - 125
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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Carolina -1'
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The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: Take LA RAMS/DENVER UNDER the total of 51½
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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Sunday: Buffalo Bills + 10
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John Anthony Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Boston Red Sox
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im Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, October 14, 2018

NFL (259) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (260) NEW YORK JETS

Take: (259) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Reason: Your free play for Sunday, October 14, 2018 is in the NFL scheduled contest between the Indianapolis Colts and the New York Jets. Your free play is on the COLTS.
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Roz Wins

Roz's Sunday, October 14, 2018, Free Pick

(275) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS (276) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Take : Patriots
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#1 Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Buffalo Bills + 10
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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play for Sunday, October 14, 2018

(271) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS (272) DALLAS COWBOYS

Take : Jaguars
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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Early Sunday Free Selection Is
Seattle -2½
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Arthur Ralph Sports

FREE play SUN Vikings -10
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Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR SUNDAY - Indianapolis +2½ over NY Jets
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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Sunday, October 14 is:

Winnipeg Jets over Carolina Panthers.
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
#253/4 LA Chargers/Cl.Browns Over
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JACK BRAYMAN

You didn't think the New York Jets' big-play explosion against the Denver Broncos was a fluke, did you? The Jets are better than most expect them to be, and the Indianapolis Colts are worse than everyone thinks they will be by season's end. Fact is, this is the season people in Indianapolis realize Andrew Luck is not the end all to be all, and that this organization has a lot to work on if it plans on competing in the AFC South.

Meanwhile, the Jets are doing their part, and should be right there in the end to challenge the New England Patriots in the AFC East, because I don't think the Belichick-Brady marriage is going to hold up this season. We're going to see a bit of destruction and letdown in Foxborough. There are too many expectations. But not with the Jets. And as long as they're flying under the radar, you can expect them to step up to shock some folks.

The combination of quarterback Sam Darnold and running back Isaiah Crowell will be too much for Indianapolis' defense, as the balance is what makes this team tick. Crowell's 219 rushing yards were a Jets record. He also rushed for 102 yards in Week 1. So what if he had just 69 in the middle three games - that is irrelevant. He is controlling the running game between the 40s, to keep the chains moving, and that will help keep the Colts' offense off the field. Crowell's 14.6 yards per carry last Sunday were the most ever by a player with at least 15 attempts, and I expect him to run wild in this one.

Yes, Luck threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns against the Patriots last Thursday, and you can argue he looked comfortable, but I'm not convinced he is 100 percent, and I don't think the Patriots are as good as the Jets on defense. New York will bring a different package than New England did, and will frustrate Luck the entire game, with safety Marcus Maye looking to follow up his 104-yard interception return from last week, with a possible pick six this time around. Poor kid needed 105 yards for a TD in his return against Denver. Luck has thrown 121 passes in the last two weeks, so either he's healed and just can't get the Colts a dub, or they need to get that guy on a pitch count.

I'll go even further and say I wouldn't be surprised if Luck's NFL-leading 28-game streak of throwing a touchdown is in jeopardy in this game, against a hungry and fired-up Jets team.

Trust me here, take the Jets. And as I will always do with favorites laying anywhere between -3 and -4.5, I want you buying the half point down if this point spread hits that range.

3* NY JETS
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CHRIS JORDAN

My free play in the NFL for Week 6 is going to be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, in NFC South action against the Atlanta Falcons. And it's not necessarily an indictment of the Falcons, although I do think the Bucs will victimize that horrendous defensive unit.

Truth be told, I think the Bucs have a chance to make a run the next few weeks, during which they will play three of four on the road. But we're talking about game at Atlanta, versus Cleveland, at Cincinnati and at Carolina - all winnable games.

That is, if we see the same offense that ran by New Orleans in the season-opener and knocked off defending champion Philadelphia the next week. The Bucs lost at home to the Steelers and before taking last week off, was demoralized in Chicago.

The bye week will have helped, and while they come in fresh and prepared, the Falcons step to the field after being humiliated by Pittsburgh.

The Falcons defense lost their season-opener 18-12, in a tight defensive affair on that first Thursday night. From there, the team has allowed 24, 43, 37 and 41 points. No matter what it does offensively, or who the opponent has been, this team's has been brutal to watch, and will be vulnerable after a road trip, and now hosting a rested Tampa Bay team.

And when they're on offense, the Falcons will struggle to break out with Tampa Bay safety Justin Evans roaming the secondary. Through four games he has 21 tackles, an interception, a fumble recovery and a touchdown. He has been a menace, and been the biggest bright spot in a defensive backfield that has struggled, but with the time off should be improved and ready for this game.

And as I always insist, with football underdogs catching anywhere between +2' and -4 points, I want you buying the half point up.

5* BUCCANEERS
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RAY CHADWICK

Do you realize that the Bills recorded a high-school-like 92-yards passing last week? That's it, but it was good enough to get them the "W", in their 13-12 slog-fest at home over Tennessee. It marked Buffalo's 3rd straight Under, and I see them landing Under the total again today in their game at the Texans.

Houston just played an Under in their primetime contest at home versus Dallas, and their offense has had issues scoring in the red-zone of late. The Texans have held Under in 3 of their 5 games this year now, as they have been held to 22-points or less in 4 of their 5 games this year.

Buffalo hits the road here with 9 Unders over their last 13 away from Orchard Park, and the last I checked this Bills game is being played away from home.

With both offenses struggling to put the football in the end-zone, I will look for this AFC contest to land Under the total today at NRG Stadium.

Bills-Texans Under.

3* BUFFALO-HOUSTON UNDER
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TRACE ADAMS

For Sunday, Over in the Rams-Broncos contest.

There aren't too many sure things in life - death, taxes, and the Rams posting 33 points or more when they take to the gridiron.

Today, the Rams take to the gridiron once again here in the Mile High City, and face a Broncos team that just was shredded for over 300 yards rushing by the New York Jets last weekend, as Denver allowed 34 points in their 34-16 loss to the Jets in a game that landed Over the total.

Believe it or not, there will be snow on the ground in this one, but I don't see it slowing up the Rams.

Have to take a good long look at another Over today, as it seems doubtful to me that if Denver could not bottle up the previously inept Jets, there is no way in hell that they contain the Rams!

LA has played 8 of their last 10 (playoff game NOT included) Over the total since last year, and the Over is now 14-7 since offensive-savant Sean McVay took over as head coach in La-La Land.

Denver's offense is nowhere near as prolific as Los Angeles', but the Rams have allowed some big gainers, and some big points - 62 of them! - in their last pair of contests. Case Keenum is a gamer, so look for him to try and keep pace with Goff and the Rams.

L.A. and Denver to land Over the total.

3* L.A. RAMS-DENVER OVER
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TOMMY BRUNSON

Last year in the opening Thursday Night Kick-Off, New England was cruising to victory but nobody gave Kansas City the memo at the half, as the Chiefs outscored the Patriots, 28-10 in the second-half of their 42-27 outright win.

Will it be Deja Vu all over again?

KC has yet to lose either straight up or against the spread, as they enter this key AFC matchup at 5-0, and they just dominated a Jacksonville team that New England happened to lose to in the month of September.

New England appears to be back on track, as the Pats have been able to dent the end-zone for back-to-back 38 point outputs in home wins and covers over Miami and on Thursday night over Indianapolis. Certainly, the extra days and their third straight game in front of the home crowd bode well for Belichick's team. What also bodes well is their 9-1 (playoffs included) home spread run their last 10 games, but let's also keep in mind that Kansas City is in the midst of 9 straight regular season covers, and they have covered in 7 of their last 9 as the road pup - Pats win and cover included.

Patrick Mahomes showed signs that he is a mere mortal, as he threw 2 interceptions and did not have a TD pass last week, but you know what? The Chiefs still beat the Jags by 16-points!

I am glad this is the prime time game, because it's going to be a good one.

Winning at home over the flawed Colts and Dolphins are one thing, I need to see Tom Terrific do it against the unbeaten Chiefs before I will believe it.

KC the call.

2* KANSAS CITY
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BRANDON LEE
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Rams vs. Broncos
10* FREE NFL PICK (OVER 51)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 51 between the Rams and Broncos. I want to start off by saying, I’m well aware of the fact that it’s expected to be below-freezing with a chance of snow. Everyone overreacts when they see snow in the forecast and just assume it’s going to lead to a low-scoring game. I would much rather play in snow than rain, plus it’s the games with the strong winds that really impact the scoring. In fact, a lot of times, snow on the field really makes things tough for the defense, as they have to try and react to the offensive player.

The other thing here is that we can expect the Rams offense to be near full strength, as wide outs Cooper Kupp and Brandin Cooks are both expected to clear concussion protocol by Sunday. When this offense has all it’s weapons, it’s one of the best in the league. Not only are they averaging 34.6 ppg, but they haven’t scored fewer than 33 in any single contest.

Denver is perceived to be this great defensive team, but that’s just not the case with this team. The Broncos are T-23rd in scoring defense (26.2 ppg) and are 26th in total defense (395.8 ypg). I get it was a letdown spot, but they just gave up 512 total yards to the Jets and 34 points to a NY team that hadn’t scored more than 17 in each of their previous 3 games.

Hard to get to 50+ points without both teams scoring and I’m confident Denver’s offense being able to contribute enough to push this OVER the mark. While the Broncos are just 27th in scoring at 20.0 ppg, they are 12th in the NFL in total offense at 393.8 ypg. I think playing at home against what figures to be a fatigued Rams defense that is still without one of their best players in corner Aqib Talib, will definitely help the Broncos offense get going.

I also think the last few weeks we have seen the true colors of this LA defense and how they can be exploited. Twice this season the Rams have allowed an opposing quarterback to throw for 300 yards and twice they have allowed teams to run for at least 140 yards. Denver has the 3rd ranked rushing attack, which I think is huge, as it will allow Case Keenum and that offense to play in front of the chains. Look for Denver to take some shots on 2nd and short and pick up some big plays via play action.

OVER is 10-2 in the Rams last 12 off a division game and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 off a win against a division rival. OVER is also 25-9 in the Broncos last 34 games against a team that is averaging 29+ ppg. Take the OVER!
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VIC DUKE
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Chargers vs. Browns
Browns+1½

Chargers/Browns 1:00: Worth taking another crack at the Browns which got an energy infusion with Baker Mayfield inserted at the helm. And the Browns' defense leads the NFL with 15 takeaways. Cleveland is actually a few plays away from being undefeated this season. Cleveland is learning how to win now and that confidence should carry over against a Chargers' team that has to travel cross country vs a team they've struggled with (0-6 ATS). Without Bosa, Chargers still a step slow on the edge in containment and we'll side with Cleveland here.
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STEVE JANUS
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Panthers vs. Redskins
1* Free Sharp Play on Redskins +1½ -110
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MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Oct 14, 2018
Chargers vs. Browns
Browns-105

The Cleveland Browns are undefeated home at FirstEnergy Stadium on the season and they've covered the spread in all three games. They're coming off a 12-9 overtime triumph over Baltimore last week and look like a decent home favorite here against the LA Chargers.

The visitors put up 412 yards of total offense in a 26-10 win over Oakland last week. It's however one thing to dominate an Oakland D which ranks in the bottom three for points allowed, and a whole other thing to take on Cleveland which ranks 12th for points allowed at 22.6 ppg and leads the NFL with 15 takeaways.

Offensively Cleveland has done much better since Baker Mayfield took over from Tyrod Taylor behind center. Mayfield threw for a season-high 342-yards against Baltimore and the rookie quarterback should only get better and better with more confidence and experience.

Browns have covered the spread in six straight meetings with LA Chargers.
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BOBBY LIGS

Event: (259) Indianapolis Colts at (260) New York Jets
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 14, 2018 1PM EDT
Play: Total Over 47.5 (-108)
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DWAYNE BRYANT

Event: (255) Chicago Bears at (256) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 14, 2018 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 41.5 (-105)

My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Points Scored = 38
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KEVIN DOLAN

Event: (9275) Kansas City Chiefs at (9276) New England Patriots
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 15, 2018 2AM EDT
Play: New England Patriots -3.5 (+105)

This is a game that is making up one of our Westgate Supercontest plays this weekend.

Undefeated Kansas City heads into New England on Sunday night in what could easily be seen as an upcoming preview for this season's AFC Championship game.

Kansas City are off back to back important matchups. One against in-division rivals the Denver Broncos, a game which the Broncos let slip late, and another against the best defensive team in the league, the Jacksonville Jaguars. Both of these games were meaningful in their own way as the Chiefs not only had to overcome the best team in their division for the better part of the last decade, but also prove to many doubters that this Kansas City offense was for real against a resilient Jacksonville D.

They passed both tests with flying colors but now find themselves with yet a third step up game as they enter the home of an NFL dynasty in the New England Patriots and we believe this game will be a bridge too far for a KC team that has had to be on high alert for a stretched duration.

Take the New England Patriots -3.5 to get the job done at home tonight and make a statement against their AFC Championship rivals.

PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3.5
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DAVE PRICE

1* on Minnesota Vikings -10

The Key: The Vikings need wins after opening the season 2-2-1. They got a big one last week in Philadelphia, and they will avoid a letdown this week against the Cardinals because they were already upset by the Bills at home in the biggest stunner of the season a few weeks ago. They won’t be taking the Cardinals lightly, especially after Arizona beat San Francisco 28-18 last week. But that was maybe the most misleading final score of the year. The Cardinals only managed 220 total yards and gave up 447 yards to the 49ers, so they were outgained by 227 yards. The 49ers gave the game away by committing 5 turnovers. Now the Cardinals switch time zones this week in what will be a 10:00 AM Pacific body clock game for them. Arizona is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games with a 10:00 AM Pacific starting time. Take Minnesota.
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Bob Harvey Sports

#951 Houston Astros
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Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday NFL Football

WASHINGTON +1.5 over Carolina (1 et)
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RICH GREEN

Free Top Consensus Pick For Saturday

Over 58 Total Points, Kansas City at NEW ENGLAND (NFL Football, 8:20 et)
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Jeff Allen Sports

Sunday's Free Selection is on the St Louis Blues
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