Thursday 9/20/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games.
Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, September 20, 2018
9/20 12:35 PM PT / 3:35 PM ET
MLB (907) LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS (908) OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Take: (908) OAKLAND ATHLETICS
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Atlanta w/Gausman -150 Over Philadelphia
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: Take NY METS/WASHINGTON UNDER the total of 8 runs
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Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: Kansas City/Detroit under 8 1/2
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Jeff Allen Sports
Thursday's Free Selection is on the Mets/Nats Under
John Martin
Sep 20 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Royals vs Tigers
Play on: Royals +138 at GTBets
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Kansas City Royals +138
The Royals have played .500 ball over their last 10 games. They haven’t packed it in just yet. The same cannot be said for the Tigers, who are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. And I like KC starter Jorge Lopez, who is 2-3 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in six starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in two road starts. Matt Boyd has never been able to figure out the Royals. Boyd is 3-7 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 13 previous starts against Kansas City. Give me the Royals.
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Sal Michaels
Sep 20 '18, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Temple
Play on: OVER 57 -110
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Info Plays
Sep 20 '18, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Temple
Play on: OVER 54½ -110
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Sean Higgs
Sep 20 '18, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Temple
Play on: Tulsa +7 -110
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Steve Janus
Sep 20 '18, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Temple
Play on: OVER 57 -109
Bobby Conn
Sep 20 '18, 8:20 PM in 10h
NFL | Jets vs Browns
Play on: OVER 39½ -109
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Kenny Walker
Sep 20 '18, 8:20 PM in 10h
NFL | Jets vs Browns
Play on: UNDER 40½ -110
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#1 Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Washington Nationals - 260
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Detroit Tigers w/Boyd -145 over Kansas City
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Golden Dragon Sports
FREE WINNER for THURSDAY: Cincinnati Reed -132
Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Oakland Jackson -140
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Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Washington - 260
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play THURS Tampa w/Stanek-155
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: Take KANSAS CITY/DETROIT OVER the total of 8½ runs
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Thursday: Chicago White Sox + 180
John Anthony Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Miami Marlins + 125
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday: Take CINCINNATI/MIAMI OVER the total of 8½ runs
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Thursday, September 20, 2018
9/20 04:35 PM MLB (905) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (V VELASQUEZ - R) VS (906) ATLANTA BRAVES (K GAUSMAN - R)
Take : Braves
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Roz Wins
Roz's Thursday, September 20, 2018, Free Pick
9/20 12:35 PM MLB (907) LOS ANGELES ANGELS (M SHOEMAKER - R) VS (908) OAKLAND ATHLETICS (E JACKSON - R)
Take : A's
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Tommy Brunson
Both schools have been trending towards the Under early on, a both Tulsa and Temple have played 2 of their first 3 games Under the total, but both have shown they are capable of putting the ball into the end-zone, as the Golden Hurricane are averaging just over 26 points per game, while the Owls have posted right at 27 points per game in their first 3 games.
Temple has seen their last 4 AAC games ALL topple the total, including last year's 43-22 Owls win in a game Tulsa turned it over 3 times. That marked the second series Over in as many meetings, as 2014's meeting saw 59 combined points between the AAC schools.
Last Thursday night we saw Boston College and Wake Forest go back-and-forth, and up-and-down in a 41-31 finale. I'm not saying that Tulsa and Temple have the firepower those 2 teams have, but I do think this stand-alone contest will be an entertaining affair.
I am playing this AAC battle over the total.
1* TULSA-TEMPLE OVER
Jimmy Boyd
Sep 20 '18, 3:35 PM in 2h
MLB | LAA vs OAK
Play on: OVER 9 +105
1* Free Pick on Angels/A's OVER 9
The A's and Angles should have no problem going OVER the total in Thursday's series finale. The OVER is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 games and has cashed in 10 of the A's last 11 home games. OVER is also 27-11-2 in the A's last 40 games against division opponents, including 7 straight OVERs between these two teams when they meet up at the Coliseum.
Oakland has done most of the heavy lifting, as they come in averaging 5.9 runs/game over their last 7. They have torched LA's pitching for 17 runs on 17 hits in the first two games of the series and I look for them to put another big number on the board against Angels starter Matt Shoemaker.
OVER has cashed in 6 of Shoemakers last 8 starts, is 4-1 in his last 5 starts on the road and 6-0-1 in his last 7 when he takes the mound in Game 3 of a series. OVER is also a perfect 4-0 in Shoemakers last 4 starts against the A's. Take the OVER!
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Brandon Lee
Sep 20 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Red Sox vs Yankees
Play on: Red Sox +152 at 5Dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Red Sox +152)
I'll take my chances here with Boston avoiding the sweep and locking up their third straight division title. Not to mention the price here is exceptional for a team that has already eclipsed the 100-win mark. The offense has struggled of late for the Red Sox, but Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka has a mere 4.08 ERA in 17 career starts against Boston. He's faced them 3 times this season and in those 3 starts, he's allowed 11 runs on 21 hits (5 HRs) and 5 walks in just 15 innings of work. Boston counters with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has quietly been one of the better starters in the AL. Over his last 16 starts Rodriguez has a sensational 2.89 ERA and I look for hime to keep this high-powered Yankees offense in check. Give me the Red Sox +152!
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Matt Fargo
Sep 20 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Royals vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -145 at sportsbook
The Royals opened their roadtrip by getting swept against the Pirates as all three games were decided by just one run including identical 2-1 losses the last two games. The dreadful season is almost over for Kansas City which has the second worst record in baseball at 52-100 including a 22-53 record on the road. This includes a 12-37 record in road games after scoring one run or less. The Tigers were also swept in their most recent series as the Twins took all three games to open the week which extended their home losing streak to seven games. This includes an 8-2 loss yesterday and Detroit has won 12 of 20 games this season after a loss by six or more runs. One of the pleasant parts of the rotation has been Matthew Boyd as he has quietly been pitching outstanding. He has a 4.08 ERA which seems average but it comes with a 1.09 WHIP which is tied for sixth best in the American League. He has been even better at home as he has a 2.44 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts and the Tigers are a perfect 8-0 in his eight home games when working on five or six days of rest. Meanwhile, the Royals are 0-6 in their last six road games against left-handed starters. Kansas City counters with Jorge Lopez who had a near perfect game through eight innings against Minnesota two starts back but regressed after that against the same Twins team. He actually got hurt in that last outing as he has to leave with a rib injury so he might be 100 percent healthy on top of it. Here, we play against underdogs after two straight losses by two runs or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six runs or more. This situation is 55-18 (75.3 percent) since 1997. Play (916) Detroit Tigers
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Doug Upstone
Sep 20 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Reds vs Marlins
Play on: Reds -135 at sportsbook
On Thursday night, Play On road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like CINCINNATI, batting .190 or worse over their last five games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.00 the last five games, In the last 21 years, teams like the Reds are 48-13, 78.7 percent.
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Dave Price
Sep 20 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | White Sox vs Indians
Play on: White Sox +177 at YouWager
Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Chicago White Sox +177
The Key: I like the big underdog price we are getting with the Chicago White Sox today. They led 1-0 in the 9th inning last night before giving up a grand slam and lost as +275 dogs. Well, Cleveland has nothing to play for right now as they’ve already wrapped up the division. They can’t be this heavily favored moving forward with their lack of motivation. Josh Tomlin certainly doesn’t deserve to be getting this much respect from oddsmakers. Tomlin is 0-3 with a 7.68 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 7 starts this year. James Shield sports a 4.50 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 31 starts this season. He is 5-8 with a. 3.79 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 22 lifetime starts against the Indians, including 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in 2 starts against the Indians in 2018, yielding 3 earned runs in 14 innings. Take Chicago.
Jack Jones
Sep 20 '18, 7:35 PM in 6h
MLB | Phillies vs Braves
Play on: Phillies +137 at BetPhoenix
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Philadelphia Phillies +137
This series against Atlanta is Philadelphia’s final stand. The Phillies are 5.5 games back of the Braves in the NL East and really need to sweep this series. It starts with Game 1 tonight, and I like the value we are getting with them are road underdogs here.
Vince Velasquez has actually been at his best on the road this season. He has posted a 3.64 ERA and 1.298 WHIP in his 14 road starts this year. Velasquz gave up just one earned run in his last start against the Braves this season.
Kevin Gausman has been a mediocre starter this year in his time with the Orioles and Braves. He is 10-10 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.300 WHIP in 29 starts, including 1-1 with a 6.10 ERA in his last two starts. Gausman is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start against the Phillies. That came back on July 12th as he allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 5 innings of a 5-4 loss.
The Braves have had zero home-field advantage here down the stretch. They are just 5-14 in their last 19 home games. Atlanta is 3-12 in its last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Phillies Thursday.
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Kenny Walker
Sep 20 '18, 8:20 PM in 7h
NFL | Jets vs Browns
Play on: UNDER 40½ -110
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Ray Chadwick
For tonight, let's side with Temple to follow up their upset win last week at Maryland with a solid home win and cover over visiting Tulsa.
Yes, the Owls are 0 for their last 5 when laying points on their home field, but they did handle their business in last year's meeting in Oklahoma, 43-22 in a game they forced 3 Golden Hurricane turnovers.
Temple is on a 21-6 spread run their last 27 AAC games, and they have also covered in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with losing records.
Owls to build some momentum off of last week's big win at Maryland.
Lay the points.
2* TEMPLE
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Jack Brayman
Let's head to Nationals Park for tonight's freebie, as I love this National League East battle between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals to soar past the number.
Since every MLB wager on a run line or total auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Jason Vargas and Max Scherzer. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play.
The Mets are pushing Vargas back in their rotation to keep everyone else on a regular five-day schedule. And while things get back to routine status, make note the left-hander is 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA in his last three starts. Now he heads into D.C., where the Nats bats have heated up to the tune of a 7-3 winning run. Washington holds a team on-base percentage of .332 for the year, and Bryce Harper paces the lineup with a .394 OBP. This team knows how to manufacture runs, and that'll be a problem for the Mets' staff.
As for Scherzer, yes, he's been dominating and needs just seven more to match his career-high of 284 strikeouts. But in his last three starts he is just 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA. Look for Amed Rosario to lead the charge, as he's collected 12 hits and is batting .300 over his past 10 games for New York.
Play this one high, as the pitchers falter.
2* OVER Mets-Nationals
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Trace Adams
My Thursday comp play is the A's over the Angels.
Oakland was able to halt a 3-game losing skid with the 10-0 win late last night, as the A's have now won 5 of the last 7 in the season series over the Angels.
Meanwhile, the Halos have now lost 4 of their last 6 on the year.
Matt Shoemaker will make just his 5th start since his return from injury way back on March 31st when he left his start against the A's with 3 runs allowed in his 5-plus innings worked.
Edwin Jackson will counter, and his last start against the Angels was an August 11th win over L.A. in which he did not allow a run in his 7-plus worked.
Oakland knows Tampa Bay is not losing these days, so they need to keep winning to stay in postseason position.
Take the A's.
3* OAKLAND
Eric Schroeder
In American League Central play tonight, the Cleveland Indians will crush the Chicago White Sox. The Cleveland Indians won 4-1 in Wednesday's meeting, as Oliver Perez earned his first win of the year. Tonight the pitchers won't matter.
IMPORTANT: As you know every single Run Line play and Total wager will automatically list the scheduled starting pitchers at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who is pitching for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by betting the game over again in the event that takes place.
The White Sox have dropped their last three ballgames, and we're talking about an Indians team that averages 4.9 RBIs per game this season. One of the highest-scoring teams in the league, the Tribe averages 5.03 runs per game, ranking third in the league with a total of 761 runs scored.
That won't bode well against a White Sox team that has lost seven of 10, batting .207 and being outscored by 17 runs in that span, and sporting a rather high 4.23 ERA in those 10 contests.
Leading the charge tonight will be Francisco Lindor, who is hitting .281 with 173 hits and 35 home runs in 148 games this year for the Indians. More recently, Jason Kipnis has three home runs and 13 RBIs over his past 10 games for Cleveland.
Lay the run line with Cleveland.
5* INDIANS RUN LINE