Tuesday 11/6/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Creighton -19 Over Western Illinois
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: NOTRE DAME (CBB) -13 over Ill-Chicago
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Totals4U
Tuesday's Free Selection: IUPUI Jaguars/Xavier Musketeers over 147 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Florida Gators + 4
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#1 Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection: Cal-Riverside Highlanders + 18 1/2
Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +10 over Wichita St
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, November 6, 2018
11/06 07:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM ET
CB (743) SAN FRANCISCO VS (744) UC DAVIS
Take: (744) UC DAVIS
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Jeff Allen Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection is on the Montreal Canadiens
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Cleveland State +18'
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Hawkeye Sports
Tuesday's Free Pick: BYU Cougars + 14
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Gus Augustine
Buffalo entered last Tuesday's home game against Miami-Ohio with the #1 rated defense in the MAC and they are as high as #31 in the nation in total defense, so expect them to make-up for the fact they allowed 42 points to be scored on them last week at home in this game against Kent State.
The Golden Flashes managed their biggest offensive output since September when they scored 35 points in last week's road win at Bowling Green, yet the game still held Under the total.
Kent has played 4 in a row this year Under the total, and the Under for the season is 6-3 in Kent's games.
Buffalo did soar Over last week against Miami-O, but they had been Under in their previous pair of conference games, holding Toledo to just 17 points, and the week prior allowing just 6 to Akron. The defense will be able to contain the offensively-inept Kent attack tonight, and while Buffalo can and will score the football, their output of offense combined with a bounce-back stifling defensive effort will keep this game just Under the posted total.
Series numbers show 2 of the last 3, and 5 of the previous 7 overall in this series having held Under the total.
Low we go at UB Stadium for Tuesday in this Kent State-Buffalo meeting.
1* KENT STATE-BUFFALO UNDER
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Ray Chadwick
My free play for Tuesday is Buffalo minus the points over Kent State.
The last place the 2-7 Golden Flashes want to be this Tuesday night is in a dreary and wet Buffalo to face a Bulls team that is chomping at the bit to notch another win and move one step closer to sewing up a berth in the MAC Championship Game at the end of this month.
Buffalo just keeps on truckin', as their win and cover last week at home over Miami-Ohio made it 8-1 straight up for the Bulls, and they also improved to 9-2 against the spread their last 11 home games!
Yes, Kent did pick up the win last Tuesday when they visited Bowling Green, but that was their biggest output of the year in conference action with 35 points. Cannot expect a repeat as this Buffalo defense was punctured for 42 points a week ago at home, but are by far the better of the pair of defenses on the field, as they rank at the top of the MAC in a host of defensive categories.
Kent is allowing right at 34 points per game to be scored against them, and lest you think Buffalo is just a one-trick defensive pony, remember that their quarterback Tyree Jackson is having a fantastic season, and he just threw it for well over 300 yards in last week's win.
They have a special season brewing in Buffalo, and tonight they take Kent State out back to the proverbial woodshed.
Lay the lumber with the Bulls.
4* BUFFALO
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Tommy Brunson
Philly college hoops coming out of the box hot tonight my friends, as the La Salle Explorers may the shirt trip cross-town to visit the Temple Owls.
Always entertaining when any of the Big Five rivals tangle, but when it's the first game of the season, even more exciting.
Looks like too many points for me to lay with Fran Dunphy's Owls who do return their top pair of scorers in Quinton Rose and Shizz Alston Jr., but are also minus a key front-court player in Obi Enechioniya who has graduated.
That and the fact the Explorers stopped a 3 game series losing streak with the 87-83 home win last November to even the series against the spread at 3-3-1 the past 7 showdowns.
La Salle has a new coach in former Villanova assistant Ashley Howard, and while their leading scorer BJ Johnson has also moved on, they do have some pop in their lineup with Pookie, as in Pookie Powell who averaged close to 17 points per game last year.
The Explorers have also added a transfer from Marquette in Traci Carter who started 23 games for the Golden Eagles last year.
It is usually the norm that any Big Five battle is hotly-contested, and this early in the season to be getting this many points is a offer too good to pass on.
Close one in Philadelphia tonight.
Take La Salle plus the points.
3* LA SALLE
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play TUES: CFB Buffalo-20
The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: Take WYOMING (CBB) -6½ over Cal-Santa Barbara
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Tuesday: Xavier Musketeers - 20
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR TUESDAY - ATLANTA/CHARLOTTE UNDER 233½
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John Anthony Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection: Indiana State Sycamores + 6 1/2
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday: Take PITTSBURGH (CBB) -13½ over Youngstown St
Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Tuesday, November 6, 2018
11/06 07:00 PM CB (743) SAN FRANCISCO VS (744) UC DAVIS
Take : UC Davis
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Cole Faxon
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Michigan State vs Kansas
Play on: Michigan State +6 -105 a
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Bobby Conn
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Cleveland State vs Davidson
Play on: Cleveland State +19
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Teddy Davis
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Michigan State vs Kansas
Play on: Michigan State +6 -105 at Bovada
So we have a great match up here on opening night for college basketball. I will take Sparty here tonight as a dog at this price on a neutral court. Sure they lost some talent, but they always replace with great recruits that fit his system. They still have 3 returning starters and I love Winston who will run the show and I think he will be the X Factor tonight that gives them a chance to win this game.
Everyone is making a big deal of Kansas being ranked #1 and bringing in all these transfers. While I do think they obviously have a good team it's tough for some of these new kids to step in and accept different roles especially when its game time.
Talent the edge goes to Kansas, Coaching big edge to Izzo. Take Sparty and the points tonight
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Mike Williams
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Eastern Washington vs Syracuse
Play on: Syracuse -17½ -105
Jimmy Boyd
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Wisc-Milwaukee vs Boston College
Play on: Wisc-Milwaukee +17 -110
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Kenny Walker
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Pennsylvania vs George Mason
Play on: Pennsylvania +5½ -110
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Matt Josephs
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Towson vs Virginia
Play on: Virginia -25 -108 at pinnacle
The Cavaliers begin their campaign with Towson on Tuesday night. The Tigers lost three senior starters and are looking to reload with youth and transfers. They are woefully undersized as well which doesn't play well against the Cavaliers. UVA will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. This is a team that clamps down on offenses and cover a lot of their big numbers. They are 20-9-1 in their last 30 games against the spread and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. I don't like the Tigers chances to keep this close.
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Ben Burns
Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Pennsylvania vs George Mason
Play on: Pennsylvania +6 -115 at BMaker
This line has climbed from its opener, enough that I feel we're now getting solid value with the underdog. Keep in mind that the Quakers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season, the first time in a decade. Coach Donahue had this to say: "With a veteran group that we have coming back, I think we'll be ready to compete and execute." Consider grabbing the points with PENN.
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John Ryan
Nov 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Hawks vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -11½ -104 at 5Dimes
John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Charlotte (702)
Atlanta (3 - 6) at Charlotte (5 - 5)
Tuesday, 11/6/2018 7:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Charlotte, who is currently priced as a 10.5-point home favorite.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Charlotte to score more between 112 and 120 points, have 12 or fewer turnovers, and will have a minimum advantage of 8 more total rebounds. Atlanta is just 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 117 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 117 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
In games where 112 to 120 points were scored, had 12 or fewer turnovers, and had a minimum rebounding edge of at least 8 boards, the Hornets are a perfect 6-0 ATS.
The following database situational query has produced a 66-29 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 1996. Play on home favorites off a home blowout win by 20 points or more and is now facing an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points
Sal Michaels
Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Buffalo
Play on: UNDER 52 -110
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Dustin Hawkins
Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Buffalo
Play on: Kent State +21½ -110
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Info Plays
Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Buffalo
Play on: UNDER 52 -110
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Steve Janus
Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | La Salle vs Temple
Play on: Temple -8½ -110 at BMaker
1* Free Sharp Play on Temple -8½ -110
My money is on the Owls to easily win here at home by double-digits against La Salle. Temple was a lot better than their 17-16 record a year ago and will be bringing back their top two scorers in Quinton Rose and Shizz Alston Jr. This is also a special season for the Owls, as head coach Fran Dunphy has announced it will be his last. Expect the players to play extra hard for him, as they want to at least send him out with an NCAA Tournament bid. It starts by taking care of the Explorers, who figure to have a tough time improving on last year's 13-19 record, given they lost B.J. Johnson, who averaged 20.8 ppg and 8.3 rpg. Bet Temple -8.5!
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Scott Rickenbach
Nov 06 '18, 7:35 PM in 7h
NHL | Oilers vs Lightning
Play on: OVER 6 +103
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #61 Tuesday Free Pick OVER the total in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:35 ET - No matter how hard you work, there are good breaks and bad breaks in sports betting that come with the territory. The key to long-term success is that you overall make strong plays and understand that the breaks (both good and bad) will even out in the long run. Why the intro here? Because I certainly had one that fell into the "bad break" category with the Edmonton Over yesterday. The Oilers and Capitals combined for 6 goals in the first two periods and then went scoreless in the 3rd to hand me a very tough push with a top play. As noted above, it is part of the business. Now, as a result, I won't hesitate to come right back with the Oilers Over again today! The over is 3-0 in Edmonton's Tuesday games this season. The over is 20-10 in Tampa Bay's Tuesday games the past 2+ seasons. The Lightning have scored an average of 4 goals per game their last dozen games. The Oilers had scored an average of 4 goals per game their last 7 games prior to being held to just 2 goals at Washington last night. Both the Bolts and Edmonton have been strong on the power play this season but the Oilers penalty kill has struggled. Look for plenty of goals in this one. Free Pick OVER the total in Tampa Bay
Ross Benjamin
Nov 06 '18, 7:35 PM in 7h
NHL | Oilers vs Lightning
Play on: UNDER 6 -110
Ross Benjamin has a huge Tuesday night in store with a 10* NHL Top Play underdog, 5* college basketball total-Duke/Kentucky (9:30 ET/ESPN), and a 5* NBA ATS winning side-Milwaukee/Portland (10:05). Making your wagering day an extremely profitable one by purchasing all 3 of these winning picks or any one of them for that matter.
Edmonton @ Tampa Bay 7:35 ET
Game# 61-62
Play On: Under 6.0
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Will Rogers
Nov 06 '18, 7:35 PM in 7h
NHL | Canucks vs Red Wings
Play on: Red Wings -104 at pinnacle
The set-up: Vancouver already has 18 points through 17 games, a surprise for sure after finishing with just 30 wins last year. But after a 7-6 win over the Avs, I think Vancouver stumbles in this difficult East Coast road venue. The Red Wings will look to take advantage of a contented Canucks side and to get back on track after their three-game win streak was snapped in a tight 4-3 setback to the Oilers most recently.
The pick: Note that the Canucks have been downright terrible in this spot, going just 8-28 (-19.3 units) in their last 36 after playing three consecutive home games. I think the Wings are the correct call in this one.
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Larry Ness
Nov 06 '18, 9:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Nets vs Suns
Play on: Suns +1 +102 at 5Dimes
My free play is on the Pho Suns at 9:05 ET.
Devin Booker missed three games with a hamstring injury before returning for the Suns' Friday's loss against the Toronto Raptors. However, he looked "back on his game" on Sunday when he scored 25 points and hit the game-winning shot with 1.7 seconds remaining against the Grizzlies. Sunday's 102-100 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies ended Phoenix's seven-game slide. The 2-7 Suns will welcome the Brooklyn Nets to Phoenix tonight, a team which is a modest 4-6 but one which is coming off a strong performance in its 122-97 triumph over the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday.
This game in Phoenix begins a stretch in which the Nets will play four straight and seven of nine on the road. Forward Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (9.9 & 5.9) enjoyed his top offensive performance of the season against Philadelphia by scoring 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting, leading the way along with D'Angelo Russell (15.4), who also had 21. Shooting guard Caris LeVert had points in the win and has now scored 20 or more points in back-to-back games and six times overall this season (he's averaging 20.0 PPG).
Booker (25.7 PPG) had 14 points in the fourth quarter Sunday and may have found a new running mate in rookie small forward Mikal Bridges, who has played more than 20 minutes in four of the past five games and is carving himself a role while impressing his teammates. Let's NOT forget the No. 1 pick in the last draft, the 7-1 Deandre Ayton (16.0 & 10.7).
The Nets have used the same starting five -- LeVert, Russell, Joe Harris, Jarrett Allen and two-time former Sun Jared Dudley -- in each of their first 10 games, which is the good news. The bad news is, they are just 1-4 SU on the road this season and would need to win here, to cover. The Suns ended the game against Memphis on a 21-7 run and won for the first time since Booker scored 35 points in a 121-100 victory over Dallas on opening night. Expect the Suns to make it back-to-back wins for the first time this season by earning a victory here vs the highly beatable Nets.
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Brandon Lee
Nov 06 '18, 9:30 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -1 -105 at 5Dimes
10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Kentucky -1)
I'll take my chances here with Kentucky at basically a pick'em in the much-anticipated season opener against Duke. The public loves the Blue Devils and there's a ton of hype around this year's team because of Zion Williamson and another loaded freshman class. I wouldn't doubt Coach K to turn this team into a title contender, but they lost all their key guys from last year. I just think it's going to take some time for this team to gel. Kentucky also has an equally strong freshmen crop, but they got some experienced guys back from last year's team, plus added in senior All-Pac-12 center Reid Travis (Stanford grad transfer). I think this could be one of the better Wildcat teams we have seen in recent years and I'm confident they take care of business tonight. Give me Kentucky -1!