Sunday 11/11/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Cardinals vs. Chiefs
Free Play on Cardinals +17 -115
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COLE FAXON
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Bills vs. Jets
FREE PLAY on Jets -7½ +115
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BLACK WIDOW
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Saints vs. Bengals
Bengals+6 -105
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JIMMY BOYD
1* Free Pick on Jags/Colts OVER
Most just assume games with the Jaguars are going to be lower-scoring, as they got one of the leagues best defenses and an offense that seems to play poorly more times than not. I just think the matchup here is going to be more offensive than most think.
As bad as Blake Bortles has been, I think a lot of his struggles have been a result of him having to do too much. In Jacksonville's 4-game losing streak they are averaging a mere 76.5 yards/game on the ground. Good news here is Leonard Fournette is expected to make his return and that should really open up the offense and allow Bortles to attack more on play action and not just throw into coverage when the defense doesn't have to respect the run.
It certainly helps that the Colts aren't a great defensive team. Indy comes in giving up 26.6 ppg and are allowing 6 yards/play and opposing QB's have completed 72.4% of their attempts against them. I wouldn't be shocked if the Jags scored 30+ and even if they don't we should get close to 20 here from the Colts at home with how well Andrew Luck is playing. Indy is averaging 26.2 ppg at home with Luck at quarterback in his career and 31.3 ppg at home this season. Take the OVER!
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DOUG UPSTONE
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Chargers vs. Raiders
UNDER 50
On Sunday, Play Under on teams against the total like OAKLAND and CLEVELAND, allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in four straight games. In the last five years, these teams are 31-5 UNDER, 86.1 percent.
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TOTALS GURU
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Redskins vs. Bucs
Free Total Annihilator On Redskins vs Bucs over 50½ -104
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KENNY WALKER
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Bills vs. Jets
Jets-7 -105
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SEAN MURPHY
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Saints vs. Bengals
UNDER 54
Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the ‘under’ between New Orleans and Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday.
This is the highest posted total on this week’s board but I don’t believe it is warranted. The Saints aren’t the same team away from the friendly confines of the Superdome, at least not on offense. While the Bengals defense doesn’t inspire a great deal of confidence, this is still a winning football team and one that is coming off its bye week rested and ready, not to mention catching the Saints at home (and perhaps most importantly, outdoors). On offense, the Bengals are in a really tough spot without WR A.J. Green. QB Andy Dalton has enjoyed a ton of success this season, as has WR Tyler Boyd, but both will be challenged with Green sidelined. It will be up to Cincinnati RB Joe Mixon to move the chains on Sunday afternoon and he goes up against what has been a strong Saints run defense this season. While I do expect the Bengals to put together some sustained long drives, I’m not sure how many of those they can finish with touchdowns. Expect to see a lot of those long, clock-eating drives in this game, and in the end I think the clock runs out on ‘over’ bettors given the high total.
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RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Chargers vs. Raiders
Chargers-10 +100
The Chargers have value here at this number.
Oakland has just been flat out bad this season.
They come in with just 1 win over the lowly Browns and just 2-6 ATS. They have typically been blown out and this one should be no different.
They are getting outscored by 2 touchdowns per game and simply don't have the firepower to keep up with Rivers and this offense.
Some trends to note. Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November. Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Lay the number. Back Los Angeles.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Seahawks vs. Rams
Rams-10
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (FREE PLAY)
Both teams come in off losses. The Hawks were upset 25-17 at home against a weak Chargers’ defense, while the Rams fell 45-35 in New Orleans for their first setback of the year. LA defeated the Hawks earlier in the season, but I think the “revenge” angle can be thrown out the window this week after LA suffered its first loss last week. The Rams will now be ultra-focused and I have a hard time seeing the visitors keeping pace. Note that LA is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 45 points or more in its previous outing. Consider the home side in this matchup this weekend.
T.M. Prediction: 35-17 Rams.
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Cardinals vs. Chiefs
Free Play on Cardinals +17 -120
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CHIP CHIRIMBES
Miami at Green Bay 4:25
Dolphins (+) over Packers
Hey, check the standings...guess what Miami (5-4) two more wins and has a better record than Green Bay (3-4-1). At times in this handicapping world I sometimes only see the points spread records and don't actually realize the standings. Oh, I know who's goo and who's not but it is a minor oversight. The Dolphins will be led by Brock Osweiler who is 2-2 as a starter and has the support of a defense that did not allow a touchdown last week against the Jets in Miami. I still believe Rogers has issues with his knee and he's wearing down later in games. Take MIAMI!
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MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Lions vs. Bears
Lions+7½ -135
Play - Detroit Lions (Game 265).
Edges - Lions: 5-1 ATS in division games after scoring less than 10 points previous games … Bears: 1-6 ATS after scoring 40-plus points and facing a sub .500 foe off a SUATS loss … With Lions QB Matthew Stafford 9-1 SU in his last 10 starts against the Bears, we recommend a 1* play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always.
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CALVIN KING
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Saints vs. Bengals
[1%] Free Play on Bengals under 56
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DENNIS MACKLIN
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Lions vs. Bears
Bears-6½
DMack's Free Play for Sunday, November 11, 2018 is on the Chicago Bears
100% full disclosure is that I this game did not make my NFL cut but could be worth a flyer ... IF YOU TRUST THE BEARS. You have to say that Nagy is doing a nice job bring this team along slowly. He's not giving Trubisky to much leash too soon but has started to ask him to make plays and is giving him the opportunities. The Lions have never been good in the road and have basically played themselves out o the post season with two straight losses AFTER they had apparently found a running attack. The Bears are learning to win and coming off convincing wins over AFC East bottom feeders Bills and Jets. Somewhat leary to lay almost a fill touchdown even at home in a division game but maybe the Bears are ready for better things.
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JEFF ALLEN
Jeff Allen's Free NFL Play for Sunday is on the Buffalo Bills
How can you possibly lay almost double-digits with a Jet outfit that has scored one offensive TD in it's L23 drives and has lost three straight by by 20-14-7 points. Darnold has not made much progress in reading defenses and is the same turnover machine he was at USC. The Bills offense is not much better but the defense has proven time in and time out that it can play and rarely gets a break from being put in bad spots. At the end of the day, Anderson likely to be cleared from concussion protocol and Josh Allen is reported close. Bills defense makes this a one score game ...
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JOSEPH D'AMICO
Sunday's NFL FREE WINNER: UNDER in the Bills/Jets matchup.
Games 251-252.
10:00 am pst.
Buffalo is riding a 4-game SU skid in which they've combined for a total of 33 points, while New York's current, 3-game slide, they've combined for 33 points as well. Overall, the Bills rank 32nd in scoring, averaging a mere, 10.7 PPG, while the Jets are 22nd, offensively, accounting for just, 22.0 PPG. Both defenses match up well here. The UNDER is 5-2 the L7 meetings in this series, 6-1 in the Bills L7 overall, and 8-2 in the jets :10 vs. the AFC East. Take the UNDER. Thank you.
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WILL ROGERS
NHL | Nov 11, 2018
Avalanche vs. Oilers
OVER 6
The set-up: I take many different things into account when I release my picks. Plain old common sense is one of them. These two teams are desperate for a victory. Colorado has lost five straight and Edmonton has lost three in a row. Each faces some stiff upcoming competition as well. So with both teams pushing the pace tonight, I’m expecting this total to sneak “over” sooner rather than later.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Avs have seen the total go “over” the number in seven of their last nine following a four games or more unbeaten streak. This number is low, play the “over.”
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Randy Chambers
COLTS
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Chris Ruffolo
BEARS
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TEDDY COVERS
Event: (257) Washington Redskins at (258) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 11, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.0 (-103)
3% Take Tampa Bay (#258)
Is there ever a good reason to lay points with a last place 3-5 team against their first place 5-3 foe? You bet there is when the 5-3 team is an injury riddled disaster area and the 3-5 team is in circle-the-wagons mode against a lesser tier foe!
Washington’s injury situation is a disaster – period. OL Coach Bill Callahan lost both starting guards last week, Shawn Lauvao and Brandon Scherff, with season ending injuries. Their star left tackle, Trent Williams is out long term as well. Right tackle Morgan Moses was flagged four times last week trying to play through a knee injury, and he hasn’t been able to practice this week, very questionable for Sunday.
Besides playing behind an offensive line that could be starting guys they just signed off the waiver wire this week, the Redskins will also be without big play WR Paul Richardson, who hit IR this week too. RB Chris Thompson has bad ribs. Jordan Reed is dealing with a neck injury. If the Redskins fall behind here, they’ll have a very hard time catching up.
The Bucs haven’t strung together two good halves of football in the last month, but they’re not hopeless either – not with an offense that has produced 27+ seven times in eight games this season. And while Tampa’s defensive stats are legitimately dismal, this is a BIG step down in class for the Bucs defense after facing the likes of Atlanta, Carolina, Pittsburgh and New Orleans already this season. Take the Bucs.
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CARMINE BIANCO
Event: (265) Detroit Lions at (266) Chicago Bears
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 11, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Chicago Bears -6.5 (-110)
NFL - Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
The 3-5 Lions head to Chicago to take on the Bears and after consecutive losses to a couple of good defensive sides in Seattle and Minnesota it doesn't get any better this weekend against a very good Bears defense. Stafford has had a good run of it the past few seasons against the Bears but this is a different Bears side and they'll put pressure on him all day and offensively should control the clock with a strong running game. Bears by 7+ Sunday.
The Free Play is Chicago Bears -6.5 -110
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JIM FEIST COMP
257) Washington Redskins
(258) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pick (258) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Your free play for Sunday, November 11, 2018 is in the NFL scheduled contest between the Washington Redskins and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Your free play is on the Buccaneers.
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BOBBY CONN
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Lions vs. Bears
1* Free Play on Lions +7 -110
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RED DOG SPORTS
NCAA-B | Nov 11, 2018
Florida Atlantic vs. UCF
UCF-20 -115
The free basketball play is to take Central Florida -20 at home vs. FAU. It is a big number early in the year but I think they win by about 24.
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EXECUTIVE SPORTS
Event: (265) Detroit Lions at (266) Chicago Bears
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 11, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Detroit Lions 6.5 (-103)
DETROIT +6.5
Play Against Favorites (CHICAGO) a dominant team outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games. (35-10, 78% over the last 10 seasons.) The situation's record this season is: (3-1) Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-3).Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in road games after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half.
DETROIT is 13-4 ATS in road games after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: New England/Tennessee Under 47 Points
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Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Arizona Cardinals/Kansas City Chiefs under 49 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Florida Atlantic + 20
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Washington/Tampa Bay Game OVER 50½ Points
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Sunday's Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets + 2 1/2
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Sunday: Arizona Cardinals + 16 1/2
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: BUFFALO/NY JETS OVER the total of 36½
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Roz Wins
Roz's Sunday, November 11, 2018, Free Pick
(269) LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS (270) OAKLAND RAIDERS
Take : Chargers
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#1 Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Arizona Cardinals + 16 1/2
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Sunday, November 11, 2018
(267) ARIZONA CARDINALS VS (268) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Take : Chiefs
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Early Sunday Free Selection Is
New Orleans -5½
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday: Take DETROIT/CHICAGO OVER the total of 43½
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Sunday
Green Bay -10'
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Atlanta/Cleveland under 50
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play Sun Saints - 4 1/2
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: Take SEATTLE/LA RAMS OVER the total of 50
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR SUNDAY - WASHINGTON/TAMPA BAY OVER 50½
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John Anthony Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: New England Patriots - 6 1/2
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CHRIS JORDAN
My free play for tonight is on the Atlanta Falcons laying the number in Cleveland against the Browns.
Now I've been extremely critical of the Falcons' defense, and complimentary of the Browns' offense the entire season. So this weekend I'm going against everything I've been clamoring about and laying the road chalk. I think Atlanta is in the right spot to put up some points and distance itself for a double-digit win after making a statement in Washington last week.
Atlanta has two winnable games staring it in the face, before heading to New Orleans for a rematch with the Saints, looking for revenge after losing at home 43-37 in a wild shootout on Sept. 23.
The Falcons can't afford to let up, especially knowing the Saints have a tough game in Cincinnati on Sunday.
With Atlanta's fifth-best offense, you're going to see Matt Ryan victimize Cleveland's 30th-ranked defense that was just swatted by the Kansas City Chiefs last week, 37-21.
Ryan, who completed 26 of 38 passes for 350 yards and four touchdowns last week, is completing 71 percent of his passes, and has thrown 19 touchdowns versus just three interceptions. His main target, Julio Jones, is in after hauling in seven passes for 121 yards and one touchdown - which happened to be his first in 12 games. Ryan also has rookie Calvin Ridley.
The biggest problem for Cleveland's 29th-ranked rushing defense will be stopping Atlanta on 3rd and shorts, as the Falcons have converted a league-high 53.3 percent on third downs.
Lay the chalk in this one, as Atlanta rolls to the dub.
5* FALCONS
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TOMMY BRUNSON
They could only score 14 points last week at home against a very depleted Atlanta defense, and they have not scored more than 23 points in any of their 5 games since their bye-week, but I do think Washington will combine with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to land Over the total here on Week 10 at Raymond James Stadium.
The Bucs are not capable of playing a 10-7 game - at least the stats say they aren't! - as Tampa Bay enters this home game having played Over the total in 7 of their 8 games on the season. It doesn't seem to matter who is under center, the Bucs just like to score - 28.6 points per game - and they like to be scored upon - 34.3 points per game allowed - so why not just plunk down some cash on the Over in this one?!!?!
True, Alex Smith brings a more "safe" dynamic to Jay Gruden's offense, but also consider that prior to this season, Jay Gruden's team had been on a 25-12 Over clip. My feeling is the Redskins get their offense working against the yielding Buccaneers defense, as this one heads north of the total when the dust settles.
'Skins-Bucs Over on Sunday.
2* WASHINGTON-TAMPA BAY OVER
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RAY CHADWICK
I guess the Redskins 5-2 mark they entered play with last Sunday was a little bit of "fool's gold", as the Redskins laid a big fat egg at home in a 38-14 beating they absorbed at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons.
Now, Washington must go on the road to play another team from the NFC South, but whereas the Falcons were coming off a bye-week, and also happen to be surging with 3 straight wins, the same cannot be said for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are once again playing quarterback roulette. The bigger problem though for the Bucs is their leaky defense which has allowed some big points (42, 27, 23, 34, 48, 30, 21 & 40) this year, and while the Redskins are not known for scoring in droves, I am sure Jay Gruden will be willing to take a few shots this weekend against this porous stop-unit.
Tampa Bay is on a 1-5 slide both straight up and against the spread, while Washington has rebounded from both previous defeats this year with wins and covers over Green Bay and Carolina.
This is the first of 3 on the road for the 'Skins over the next 4 weeks, and it is the one that shapes up to be the easiest on paper to win. I know they don't play them on paper, but with the Bucs defense looking like a paper tiger, chances Alex Smith and the offense get enough going to win this game seems good to me. The fact we are getting a point or two makes me willing to give the Redskins the "mulligan" for last week's setback.
Smith knows how to protect the football, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston are always good for a turnover or two.
'Skins to get us the skins!
3* WASHINGTON
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SCOTT DELANEY
Is this the week the Oakland Raiders really stick it to the bettors? I mean, they do every week, when fans and squares back them, then lose big. But something tells me Jon Gruden's boys are going into Carson, California and will shock everyone.
This ought to be the week we see just about everyone side against the Raiders, meaning they'll be on the Los Angeles Chargers. And I say Oakland puts forth its best effort and this is the week it covers the spread. Heck, it may catch the Bolts off guard and win this game outright.
The Raiders have been outscored 55-3 over their last five quarters, and they've lost four straight by at least 14 points for the first time in franchise history. The Raiders have also allowed the second most points as a franchise through eight games (252), and are tied for second fewest takeaways (6).
Everything points to a Chargers rout.
And when things are too good to be true, and they look like an easy play (imagine all the survivor pools), that's when bad things happen.
The Chargers' defense is not all that, ranking 19th in the league. The rushing D is suspect, and if Oakland can get anything going, sustain some drives, giving the defense some rest and draining clock, this margin will stay tight.
I won't dare make the Raiders a premium play the rest of the season. But this week I'll take a shot with them as my free play.
2* RAIDERS
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GUS AUGUSTINE
Comp play winner for Sunday is the points and the visiting Seahawks over the overvalued Rams.
LA's defense has been giving up some big plays the past couple of weeks - 45 points to New Orleans, and 27 at home to Green Bay the week prior - and they also gave up 31 points in the first series meeting with Seattle back on October 7th in their 33-31 win but no cover over the Seahawks.
The Rams have been asked to cover some large imposts this season, and Sean McVay's team has not been able to get on top of those numbers, as Los Angeles is just 1-4-1 against the spread their last 6 after covering their first 3 this year.
As for the Seahawks, they dropped a tough one at home to the Chargers last week, but they did win outright the last time they were installed as the road dog - at Detroit, 28-14 to close out the month of October.
The underdog in this series has covered 6 of the last 7 meetings, and I would be remiss to fail to mention the Rams do have a very, very big Monday night game against the Kansas City Chiefs up next, so look for this large impost to be just large enough for Seattle to sneak inside of the number.
Seahawks the live dog.
4* SEATTLE
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MIKE WILLIAMS
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Seahawks vs. Rams
1* on Rams -9½ +105
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HUNTER PRICE
NCAA-B | Nov 11, 2018
East Tennessee State vs. Creighton
1* Free Pick on East Tennessee State +12½ -110
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MATT JOSEPHS
NCAA-B | Nov 11, 2018
Drexel vs. Rutgers
Drexel+12.5
Drexel is coming off a 66-62 loss at Eastern Michigan. They were led by Trevor John and Kurk Lee who will likely lead the team all season long. The Dragon also have Alihan Demir who put up nearly a double-double in the loss. The team struggled offensively, but flashed some defense which eluded them last season. Rutgers beat Fairleigh Dickinson 90-55 in their first game. Peter Kiss had 17 points in the win and he's coming over from Quinnipiac. Geo Baker is the team's leading returning scorer. Drexel has covered in seven of their last nine against teams with a winning record. I think this is an ugly low scoring affair so give me the underdog.
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ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Patriots vs. Titans
Titans+7
The NFL comp play is on Tennessee plus the 6-7 points at 1:00 eastern. The Titans fit several tight variations of the home dog off a road dog win system and the pats fit the play against the Super bowl loser as a non division road favorite of 2 or more vs a team wit a winning record and subsets take that system to 94% since 1980. The Titans have covered 5 of 6 at home and 4 of 5 after allowing 90 or less rush yards. The Pats could come up a bit flat here after 3 straight wins and covers. Look for the Titans to cover.
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STEPHEN NOVER
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Patriots vs. Titans
Titans+7
What if I told you there was a matchup on the Sunday NFL card where you could take a touchdown with a home team that had won eight of their last 10 home games, had the superior defense with maximum motivation going and was facing an opponent who has yet to look good on the road. Would you be interested? I am - even though it means going against the Patriots. That's the story with Tennessee hosting New England. The Titans are 8-2 SU, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games at Nissan Stadium, which is one of the more underrated strong home fields. The Patriots have done little in their road matchups. They lost by double-digits to the Jaguars and Lions in their first two road games. New England was outgained and needed two touchdowns that didn't come from its offense to subdue the Bears in Chicago, 38-31, and only managed one touchdown on offense to beat the Bills, 25-6, in their last away contest. The 2-7 Bills, with the worst offense in the NFL in years, was set to cover in that game until third-string quarterback Derek Anderson threw a pick-six with less than six minutes left. So I think it's fair to say the Patriots have been less than impressive away from Foxboro. The Titans are going to be sky-high for this matchup. Not only do they have playoff revenge, but the Titans feature a number of former Patriots. The list includes running back Dion Lewis, cornerbacks Malcom Butler and Logan Ryan along with defensive coordinator Dean Pees and head coach Mike Vrabel, a longtime player and linebacker coach for Bill Belichick. Even though this is a non-division game, the Titans are going to know the Patriots extremely well. From a matchup standpoint, the Titans offense has picked up since Marcus Mariota discarded a glove he had to wear on his throwing hand. A healthy Mariota accounted for three touchdowns and a season-high 119.9 passer rating in the Titans' 28-14 road win against the Cowboys this past Monday. The Patriots rank third-from-the-bottom in sacks and are 26th in pass defense. By contrast, the Titans give up the fewest points per game in the NFL at 17.6. The Titans don't reside in the Patriot League, I mean AFC East Division either. New England's offense hasn't been at full strength with both Rob Gronkowski, its top receiving threat, and Sony Michel, its best runner, both missing last week. Each is questionable for Sunday. I'm not in the habit of fading the Patriots, but this is the matchup and spot to do it.
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MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Saints vs. Bengals
Bengals+6 -110
The New Orleans Saints are coming off seven straight victories, but they're in a far from ideal spot here at Cincinnati Sunday afternoon. The Saints defeated the Rams by 10 points last week and have the Eagles on deck next week. Will they really bother to do much more than get a W here?
The Bengals are a solid 3-1 SU at home on the season and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Sure, the Bengals will have to do without their star receiver A.J. Green (toe injury), but they'll be rested and well prepared coming off their bye week.
Cincinnati has covered the spread in five straight meetings and that's a trend I expect to continue.
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INFO PLAYS
NCAA-B | Nov 11, 2018
Vanderbilt vs. USC
1* Free Play on USC -2 -107
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STEVE JANUS
NCAA-B | Nov 11, 2018
IUPU Ft Wayne vs. Ohio State
1* Free Sharp Play on IUPU Ft Wayne +17½ -105
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BEN BURNS
NHL | Nov 11, 2018
Wild vs. Blues
Blues-109
The Blues are catching the Wild at the end of a 7-game road trip. Earlier in the trip, the Wild won here at St. Louis. Since that loss, the Blues have won their next two games by a combined margin of 8-1, scores of 4-1 and 4-0. Note that they're a lucrative 8-4 (+5.1) the last 12 times that they were off a shutout victory. At roughly a pick'em price, consider backing the revenge-minded Blues.
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LARRY NESS
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Chargers vs. Raiders
Chargers-9½
My free play is on the LA Chargers at 4:05 ET.
Philip Rivers is often overlooked when in a discussion of "best NFL quarterbacks." However, Rivers is in his 15th season and he has not missed a start since making the first of his career in the 2006 season opener. When the 6-2 Chargers visit the woeful 1-7 Oakland Raiders on Sunday, the 36-year-old QB will be making his 201st consecutive start. He enters the game third in the NFL with a 116.5 QB rating and is tied for fourth with 19 TD passes, while throwing only three interceptions. His counterpart is Oakland's Derek Carr, who comes in completing 72.3% of his passes but owns a more modest 94.8.QB rating, while throwing just 10 TDs against eight NTs. Carr was sacked SEVEN times in the team's Week 9 loss and Oakland's young, injury-plagued offensive line has made things difficult for him, as he's been sacked 24 times this season and "roughed up" many more times.
Rivers will lead the Chargers onto to field looking for a SIXTH straight victory. The team hasn't lost since dropping a 35-23 decision at the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3 and currently occupies the top wild-card spot in the AFC. Rivers joined Brett Favre (297), Eli Manning (210) and Peyton Manning (208) as the only quarterbacks in NFL history to start at least 200 consecutive games. He has recorded two touchdown tosses and a passer rating of 95 or higher in each of the Chargers' first eight contests and will join Aaron Rodgers (13 in 2011) and Tom Brady (10 in 2007) as the only QBs to do so in their teams' initial nine games with another such performance on Sunday. RB Melvin Gordon may not be Todd Gurley but he's not too far behind, rushing for 579 yards (5.4 YPC / 7 TDs) plus adding 31 catches for three TDs. A healthy Keenan Allen leads in catches (47) and receiving yards (640) but Tyrell and Mike Williams each have five TD catches, while averaging 20.5 and 18.8 YPC, respectively.
Oakland comes in off four straight defeats, a slide that began with a 26-10 setback against the Chargers in Los Angeles in Week 5. The Raiders have allowed 76 points in their last two games, including a 34-3 loss at San Francisco in Week 9 (Thursday game). The Raiders have allowed at least 20 points in every contest during coach Jon Gruden's first season on the sideline since 2008 with Tampa Bay (Oakland allows 31.5 PPG on the season, ranking 31st of 32 teams). The Raiders are tied with the 1-7 NY Giants for the worst record in the NFL.
Bottom line is, the Raiders are just NOT not getting better. They are coming off their most embarrassing game of the season, a 34-3 loss to a 49ers team that was 1-7 at the time and was starting a QB (Nick Mullens) who began the season on the practice squad and was making his NFL debut against Oakland. The Chargers are 3-1 SU & ATS on the road in 2018, losing only at the 8-1 Rams. Looking back further, the Chargers are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 road games plus are 5-0 ATS in their last five November games. The Chargers beat the Raiders 26-10 back on Oct 7 but the venue change (Oakland, not LA) shouldn't much alter the result. Take the Chargers.
Good luck...Larry
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
1/2 Min.Wild/St.Lo.Blues Over
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#508 Denver Nuggets
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TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon
Home of the Dog Pound
#260 Tennessee Titans
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Golden Locks Sports
#271.2 Ph.Eagles/Dal Cowboys Over
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Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#271 Seattle Seahawks
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Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#255/6 NO Saints/Cin.Bengals Over
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Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker
Free: #269 Los Angeles Chargers
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Valley Sports
#266 Chicago Bears
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Vegas Hotsheet
#269 Los Angeles Chargers
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Bears
Falcons
Dolphins
Eagles
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BUSTER SPORTS
Event: (507) Milwaukee Bucks at (508) Denver Nuggets
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: November 11, 2018 8PM EST
Play: 1H Denver Nuggets -1.5 (-110)
We will be taking the home club here for the first half as the Bucks play their second game of a back to back and the dreaded third game in 4 nights. Milwaukee had to go to OT yesterday in a 128-126 loss to the Clippers and now face one of the best teams in the NBA this year coming off their first home loss of the season. Denver will come out strong early tonight especially after losing to the up and coming Nets in their last home start. At the time of this writing we are laying only 1 1/2 for the first half line and that is exactly what we will do. So lets get the job done with the Denver Nuggets as your free play for today.
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BRUCE MARSHALL
(539) Ipfw
(540) Ohio State
Pick
Over
After getting involved in a grinder vs. Cincinnati on opening night, this will seem like a day at the beach for the Buckeyes, who can look forward to getting up and down the court vs. go-go Fort Wayne. The Mastodons scored 82 ppg a year ago and return several key cogs including G John Konchar, and have five scoring in double digits thru the first two games. Play Fort Wayne-Ohio State "Over"
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