EW SPORTS PICKS
NCAA Basketball RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS ‑13 ‑110
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Lasvegasmoneymachine
NHL CALGARY FLAMES/SAN JOSE SHARKS over 5.5
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JACK JONES
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Jacksonville Jaguars +3
This is certainly a ‘buy low’ opportunity on the Jacksonville Jaguars today. Earlier in the season there’s no way they would have been 3-point road underdogs to the Indianapolis Colts. But the way things have been going lately, the Jaguars are undervalued while the Colts are overvalued.
The Jaguars have lost four straight coming in. A big reason for their struggles is because they haven’t found a running game without Leonard Fournette. They are 2-0 in games he plays this season, and 1-5 in the rest. Well, Fournette returns this week. He brings the offensive identity that the Jaguars want to be, which is a power running team setting up play action for Blake Bortles. They aren’t a good team when Bortles has to throw 40 times a game. He won’t have to this week.
Conversely, the Colts come in on a two-game winning streak with blowout wins over the Bills and Raiders. Their other win this season came against the Redskins, who aren’t as good as their record. I’m still not sold that this is a very good team, and they certainly aren’t as good as the Jaguars. Jacksonville won the two meetings with Indy last year by a combined 57-10 score.
The Jaguars still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. They rank 2nd in total defense, giving up just 313.2 yards per game this season. They are also 2nd in yards per play (5.0) allowed. The Colts are 23rd in total defense at 371.4 yards per game and 25th in scoring defense at 26.6 points per game. Andrew Luck has been feasting on some bad defenses of late. This is the best defense he’s seen all season.
The Colts are 1-8 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last three seasons. Plays on any team (Jacksonville) - after losing by 42 or more points total ATS in their last five games against an opponent that went over the total by 28 or more points in their last three games are 36-9 (80%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. This might be the last time the Jaguars are underdogs all season, so take advantage this week. Bet the Jaguars Sunday.
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BRANDON LEE
10* FREE NFL PICK (Bengals +6.5)
I'll take my chances on the Bengals as a near touchdown underdog at home. Not only has New Orleans won 8 straight, but they have covered 6 straight games. After just beating the Rams by double-digits, the betting public won’t hesitate to back them against the Bengals.
While Cincinnati has a very respectable record at 5-3, this is not a team that gets a lot of love from the public no matter how well they are playing. Public certainly isn’t going to want anything to do with them after watching them fail to cover each of their last 3 games and seeing star wide out A.J. Green out with an injury.
This is simply a really bad spot for the Saints, who I think could be in for a major letdown after their recent slate of games. It started with this team getting up for that Monday Night game against Washington, where Brees passed Peyton Manning to become the all-time leading passer in NFL history. Then came the 10-point 4th quarter rally at Baltimore where they won on a missed extra point by Justin Tucker. After that they went on the road and got revenge on the Vikings from last year’s fluke playoff loss and finally the huge tie-breaker game against the Rams for that No. 1 seed in the NFC.
While New Orleans is likely running on fumes, the Bengals are sitting there chomping at the bit off of their bye week. Cincinnati is also not an easy place for opposing teams to go and get a win. Bengals are 3-1 at home and the lone loss was that game against the Steelers, where they went down and scored to take a 21-20 lead with 1:18 to play, only to let Pittsburgh go right down the field and score (added 2-point conversion).
History also says now is a good time to back off the Saints, as they are a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 when they go into a game having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. New Orleans has also had a poor history against the AFC North, going just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 against that division.
Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 30 or more points. Give me Cincinnati +6.5!
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Mikey Money
NCAA Basketball SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TROJANS ‑150
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Vegas Investment Picks
NFL SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +9.5
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Nov. 11 is:
Marshall -7.5 over Hofstra.
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Tommy King Wins
NFL CLEVELAND BROWNS +5.5
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Team Underground
NFL SEATTLE SEAHAWKS/LOS ANGELES RAMS under 51
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HM Sports Handicapping
NFL DETROIT LIONS +7
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The Oracle
NFL MIAMI DOLPHINS/GREEN BAY PACKERS over 47.5
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Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday NBA Basketball
Atlanta +12 over LAKERS (9:35 et)
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RICH GREEN
Free Top Consensus Pick For Sunday NBA Basketball
DENVER -3 over Milwaukee (8:05 et)
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1. NSA(The Legend) NFL - Falcons -6
2. Vegas Line Crushers NFL - Jets -7.5
3. VegasSI.com NFL - Lions +7
4. SportsAction365.com NFL - Cardinals over 49.5
5. Gameday Network NFL - Patriots -6.5
6. PointSpreadReport.com NFL - Falcons -6
7. InsiderSportsAction.com NFL - Lions +7
8. Lou Panelli NFL - Jaguars +3
9. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino NFL - Cowboys over 43.5
10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NFL - Chargers -10
11. William E. Stockton NFL - Cardinals +15.5
12. Vincent Pioli NFL - Packers -10
13. Steve "Scoop" Kendall NFL - Buccaneers -3
14. SCORE NFL - Cowboys +7.5
15. East Coast Line Movers NFL - Seahawks +9.5
16. Tony Campone NFL - Patriots -6.5
17. Chicago Sports Group NFL - Jets over 36.5
18. Hollywood Sportsline NFL - Cardinals +15.5
19. VIP Action NFL - Packers -10
20. South Beach Sports NFL - Jaguars +3
21. Las Vegas Sports Commission NFL - Falcons -6
22. NY Players Club NFL - Patriots over 47
23. Fred Callahan NFL - Cowboys +7.5
24. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NFL - Seahawks +9.5
25. Michigan Sports NFL - Jets over 36.5
26. National Consensus Report NFL - Packers -10
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